Black–Scholes model
   HOME

TheInfoList



OR:

The Black–Scholes or Black–Scholes–Merton model is a mathematical model for the dynamics of a
financial market A financial market is a market in which people trade financial securities and derivatives at low transaction costs. Some of the securities include stocks and bonds, raw materials and precious metals, which are known in the financial market ...
containing
derivative In mathematics, the derivative of a function of a real variable measures the sensitivity to change of the function value (output value) with respect to a change in its argument (input value). Derivatives are a fundamental tool of calculus. ...
investment instruments. From the parabolic partial differential equation in the model, known as the Black–Scholes equation, one can deduce the Black–Scholes formula, which gives a theoretical estimate of the price of European-style options and shows that the option has a ''unique'' price given the risk of the security and its expected return (instead replacing the security's expected return with the
risk-neutral In economics and finance, risk neutral preferences are preferences that are neither risk averse nor risk seeking. A risk neutral party's decisions are not affected by the degree of uncertainty in a set of outcomes, so a risk neutral party is indif ...
rate). The equation and model are named after economists
Fischer Black Fischer Sheffey Black (January 11, 1938 – August 30, 1995) was an American economist, best known as one of the authors of the Black–Scholes equation. Background Fischer Sheffey Black was born on January 11, 1938. He graduated from Harvard ...
and Myron Scholes;
Robert C. Merton Robert Cox Merton (born July 31, 1944) is an American economist, Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences laureate, and professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, known for his pioneering contributions to continuous-time finance, especia ...
, who first wrote an academic paper on the subject, is sometimes also credited. The main principle behind the model is to
hedge A hedge or hedgerow is a line of closely spaced shrubs and sometimes trees, planted and trained to form a barrier or to mark the boundary of an area, such as between neighbouring properties. Hedges that are used to separate a road from adjoin ...
the option by buying and selling the underlying asset in a specific way to eliminate risk. This type of hedging is called "continuously revised
delta hedging In finance, delta neutral describes a portfolio of related financial securities, in which the portfolio value remains unchanged when small changes occur in the value of the underlying security. Such a portfolio typically contains options and their ...
" and is the basis of more complicated hedging strategies such as those engaged in by
investment bank Investment is the dedication of money to purchase of an asset to attain an increase in value over a period of time. Investment requires a sacrifice of some present asset, such as time, money, or effort. In finance, the purpose of investing i ...
s and
hedge fund A hedge fund is a pooled investment fund that trades in relatively liquid assets and is able to make extensive use of more complex trading, portfolio-construction, and risk management techniques in an attempt to improve performance, such as s ...
s. The model is widely used, although often with some adjustments, by options market participants. The model's assumptions have been relaxed and generalized in many directions, leading to a plethora of models that are currently used in derivative pricing and risk management. The insights of the model, as exemplified by the Black–Scholes formula, are frequently used by market participants, as distinguished from the actual prices. These insights include
no-arbitrage bounds In financial mathematics, no-arbitrage bounds are mathematical relationships specifying limits on financial portfolio prices. These price bounds are a specific example of good–deal bounds, and are in fact the greatest extremes for good–deal bo ...
and risk-neutral pricing (thanks to continuous revision). Further, the Black–Scholes equation, a partial differential equation that governs the price of the option, enables pricing using
numerical methods Numerical analysis is the study of algorithms that use numerical approximation (as opposed to symbolic manipulations) for the problems of mathematical analysis (as distinguished from discrete mathematics). It is the study of numerical methods th ...
when an explicit formula is not possible. The Black–Scholes formula has only one parameter that cannot be directly observed in the market: the average future volatility of the underlying asset, though it can be found from the price of other options. Since the option value (whether put or call) is increasing in this parameter, it can be inverted to produce a "
volatility surface Volatility smiles are implied volatility patterns that arise in pricing financial options. It is a parameter (implied volatility) that is needed to be modified for the Black–Scholes formula to fit market prices. In particular for a given expi ...
" that is then used to calibrate other models, e.g. for OTC derivatives.


History

Economists
Fischer Black Fischer Sheffey Black (January 11, 1938 – August 30, 1995) was an American economist, best known as one of the authors of the Black–Scholes equation. Background Fischer Sheffey Black was born on January 11, 1938. He graduated from Harvard ...
and Myron Scholes demonstrated in 1968 that a dynamic revision of a portfolio removes the
expected return The expected return (or expected gain) on a financial investment is the expected value of its return (of the profit on the investment). It is a measure of the center of the distribution of the random variable that is the return. It is calculated b ...
of the security, thus inventing the ''risk neutral argument''. They based their thinking on work previously done by market researchers and practitioners including
Louis Bachelier Louis Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Bachelier (; 11 March 1870 – 28 April 1946) was a French mathematician at the turn of the 20th century. He is credited with being the first person to model the stochastic process now called Brownian motion, as part ...
,
Sheen Kassouf Sheen T. Kassouf (11 August 1928 – 10 August 2005) was an economist from New York known for research in financial mathematics. In 1957 he married Gloria Daher in Brooklyn, New York. Kassouf received a PhD in economics from Columbia Universi ...
and
Edward O. Thorp Edward Oakley Thorp (born August 14, 1932) is an American mathematics professor, author, hedge fund manager, and blackjack researcher. He pioneered the modern applications of probability theory, including the harnessing of very small correlatio ...
. Black and Scholes then attempted to apply the formula to the markets, but incurred financial losses, due to a lack of risk management in their trades. In 1970, they decided to return to the academic environment. After three years of efforts, the formula—named in honor of them for making it public—was finally published in 1973 in an article titled "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities", in the '' Journal of Political Economy''.
Robert C. Merton Robert Cox Merton (born July 31, 1944) is an American economist, Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences laureate, and professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, known for his pioneering contributions to continuous-time finance, especia ...
was the first to publish a paper expanding the mathematical understanding of the options pricing model, and coined the term "Black–Scholes
options pricing In finance, a price (premium) is paid or received for purchasing or selling options. This article discusses the calculation of this premium in general. For further detail, see: for discussion of the mathematics; Financial engineering for the impl ...
model". The formula led to a boom in options trading and provided mathematical legitimacy to the activities of the
Chicago Board Options Exchange The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), located at 433 West Van Buren Street in Chicago, is the largest U.S. options exchange with an annual trading volume of around 1.27 billion at the end of 2014. CBOE offers options on over 2,200 compani ...
and other options markets around the world. Merton and Scholes received the 1997
Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, officially the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel ( sv, Sveriges riksbanks pris i ekonomisk vetenskap till Alfred Nobels minne), is an economics award administered ...
for their work, the committee citing their discovery of the risk neutral dynamic revision as a breakthrough that separates the option from the risk of the underlying security. Although ineligible for the prize because of his death in 1995, Black was mentioned as a contributor by the Swedish Academy.


Fundamental hypotheses

The Black–Scholes model assumes that the market consists of at least one risky asset, usually called the stock, and one riskless asset, usually called the
money market The money market is a component of the economy that provides short-term funds. The money market deals in short-term loans, generally for a period of a year or less. As short-term securities became a commodity, the money market became a compon ...
, cash, or
bond Bond or bonds may refer to: Common meanings * Bond (finance), a type of debt security * Bail bond, a commercial third-party guarantor of surety bonds in the United States * Chemical bond, the attraction of atoms, ions or molecules to form chemica ...
. The following assumptions are made about the assets (which relate to the names of the assets): * Riskless rate: The rate of return on the riskless asset is constant and thus called the
risk-free interest rate The risk-free rate of return, usually shortened to the risk-free rate, is the rate of return of a hypothetical investment with scheduled payments over a fixed period of time that is assumed to meet all payment obligations. Since the risk-free ra ...
. * Random walk: The instantaneous log return of the stock price is an infinitesimal
random walk In mathematics, a random walk is a random process that describes a path that consists of a succession of random steps on some mathematical space. An elementary example of a random walk is the random walk on the integer number line \mathbb Z ...
with drift; more precisely, the stock price follows a
geometric Brownian motion A geometric Brownian motion (GBM) (also known as exponential Brownian motion) is a continuous-time stochastic process in which the logarithm of the randomly varying quantity follows a Brownian motion (also called a Wiener process) with drift. It i ...
, and it is assumed that the drift and volatility of the motion are constant. If drift and volatility are time-varying, a suitably modified Black–Scholes formula can be deduced, as long as the volatility is not random. * The stock does not pay a
dividend A dividend is a distribution of profits by a corporation to its shareholders. When a corporation earns a profit or surplus, it is able to pay a portion of the profit as a dividend to shareholders. Any amount not distributed is taken to be re-i ...
.Although the original model assumed no dividends, trivial extensions to the model can accommodate a continuous dividend yield factor. The assumptions about the market are: * No arbitrage opportunity (i.e., there is no way to make a riskless profit). * Ability to borrow and lend any amount, even fractional, of cash at the riskless rate. * Ability to buy and sell any amount, even fractional, of the stock (this includes
short selling In finance, being short in an asset means investing in such a way that the investor will profit if the value of the asset falls. This is the opposite of a more conventional "long" position, where the investor will profit if the value of the ...
). * The above transactions do not incur any fees or costs (i.e.,
frictionless market Frictionless can refer to: * Frictionless market * Frictionless continuant * Frictionless sharing * Frictionless plane The frictionless plane is a concept from the writings of Galileo Galilei. In his 1638 '' The Two New Sciences'', Galileo prese ...
). With these assumptions, suppose there is a derivative security also trading in this market. It is specified that this security will have a certain payoff at a specified date in the future, depending on the values taken by the stock up to that date. Even though the path the stock price will take in the future is unknown, the derivative's price can be determined at the current time. For the special case of a European call or put option, Black and Scholes showed that "it is possible to create a hedged position, consisting of a long position in the stock and a short position in the option, whose value will not depend on the price of the stock". Their dynamic hedging strategy led to a partial differential equation which governs the price of the option. Its solution is given by the Black–Scholes formula. Several of these assumptions of the original model have been removed in subsequent extensions of the model. Modern versions account for dynamic interest rates (Merton, 1976),
transaction cost In economics and related disciplines, a transaction cost is a cost in making any economic trade when participating in a market. Oliver E. Williamson defines transaction costs as the costs of running an economic system of companies, and unlike pro ...
s and taxes (Ingersoll, 1976), and dividend payout.


Notation

The notation used in the analysis of the Black-Scholes model is defined as follows (definitions grouped by subject): General and market related: :t is a time in years; with t = 0 generally representing the present year. :r is the annualized
risk-free interest rate The risk-free rate of return, usually shortened to the risk-free rate, is the rate of return of a hypothetical investment with scheduled payments over a fixed period of time that is assumed to meet all payment obligations. Since the risk-free ra ...
, continuously compounded (also known as the '' force of interest''). Asset related: :S(t) is the price of the underlying asset at time ''t'', also denoted as S_t. :\mu is the
drift rate In probability theory, stochastic drift is the change of the average value of a stochastic (random) process. A related concept is the drift rate, which is the rate at which the average changes. For example, a process that counts the number of hea ...
of S, annualized. :\sigma is the standard deviation of the stock's returns. This is the square root of the
quadratic variation In mathematics, quadratic variation is used in the analysis of stochastic processes such as Brownian motion and other martingales. Quadratic variation is just one kind of variation of a process. Definition Suppose that X_t is a real-valued sto ...
of the stock's log price process, a measure of its volatility. Option related: :V(S, t) is the price of the option as a function of the underlying asset ''S'' at time ''t,'' in particular: :C(S, t) is the price of a European call option and :P(S, t) is the price of a European put option. :T is the time of option expiration. :\tau is the time until maturity: \tau = T - t. :K is the
strike price In finance, the strike price (or exercise price) of an option is a fixed price at which the owner of the option can buy (in the case of a call), or sell (in the case of a put), the underlying security or commodity. The strike price may be set ...
of the option, also known as the exercise price. N(x) denotes the standard normal cumulative distribution function: :N(x) = \frac\int_^x e^\, dz. N'(x) denotes the standard normal
probability density function In probability theory, a probability density function (PDF), or density of a continuous random variable, is a function whose value at any given sample (or point) in the sample space (the set of possible values taken by the random variable) ca ...
: :N'(x) = \frac = \frac e^.


Black–Scholes equation

The Black–Scholes equation is a parabolic partial differential equation, which describes the price of the option over time. The equation is: :\frac + \frac\sigma^2 S^2 \frac + rS\frac - rV = 0 A key financial insight behind the equation is that one can perfectly
hedge A hedge or hedgerow is a line of closely spaced shrubs and sometimes trees, planted and trained to form a barrier or to mark the boundary of an area, such as between neighbouring properties. Hedges that are used to separate a road from adjoin ...
the option by buying and selling the
underlying In finance, a derivative is a contract that ''derives'' its value from the performance of an underlying entity. This underlying entity can be an asset, index, or interest rate, and is often simply called the "underlying". Derivatives can be use ...
asset and the bank account asset (cash) in such a way as to "eliminate risk". This hedge, in turn, implies that there is only one right price for the option, as returned by the Black–Scholes formula (see the next section).


Black–Scholes formula

The Black–Scholes formula calculates the price of
European European, or Europeans, or Europeneans, may refer to: In general * ''European'', an adjective referring to something of, from, or related to Europe ** Ethnic groups in Europe ** Demographics of Europe ** European cuisine, the cuisines of Europe ...
put and call options. This price is
consistent In classical deductive logic, a consistent theory is one that does not lead to a logical contradiction. The lack of contradiction can be defined in either semantic or syntactic terms. The semantic definition states that a theory is consistent ...
with the Black–Scholes equation. This follows since the formula can be obtained by solving the equation for the corresponding terminal and boundary conditions: :\begin & C(0, t) = 0\textt \\ & C(S, t) \rightarrow S - K \textS \rightarrow \infty \\ & C(S, T) = \max\ \end The value of a call option for a non-dividend-paying underlying stock in terms of the Black–Scholes parameters is: :\begin C(S_t, t) &= N(d_1)S_t - N(d_2)Ke^ \\ d_1 &= \frac\left ln\left(\frac\right) + \left(r + \frac\right)(T - t)\right\\ d_2 &= d_1 - \sigma\sqrt \\ \end The price of a corresponding put option based on
put–call parity In financial mathematics, put–call parity defines a relationship between the price of a European call option and European put option, both with the identical strike price and expiry, namely that a portfolio of a long call option and a short pu ...
with
discount factor Discounting is a financial mechanism in which a debtor obtains the right to delay payments to a creditor, for a defined period of time, in exchange for a charge or fee.See "Time Value", "Discount", "Discount Yield", "Compound Interest", "Efficient ...
e^ is: :\begin P(S_t, t) &= Ke^ - S_t + C(S_t, t) \\ &= N(-d_2) Ke^ - N(-d_1) S_t \end\,


Alternative formulation

Introducing auxiliary variables allows for the formula to be simplified and reformulated in a form that can be more convenient (this is a special case of the Black '76 formula): :\begin C(F, \tau) &= D \left N(d_+) F - N(d_-) K \right\\ d_+ &= \frac\left ln\left(\frac\right) + \frac\sigma^2\tau\right\\ d_- &= d_+ - \sigma\sqrt \end where: D = e^ is the discount factor F = e^ S = \frac is the
forward price The forward price (or sometimes forward rate) is the agreed upon price of an asset in a forward contract. Using the rational pricing assumption, for a forward contract on an underlying asset that is tradeable, the forward price can be expressed in t ...
of the underlying asset, and S = DF Given put–call parity, which is expressed in these terms as: :C - P = D(F - K) = S - D K the price of a put option is: :P(F, \tau) = D \left N(-d_-) K - N(-d_+) F \right/math>


Interpretation

It is possible to have intuitive interpretations of the Black–Scholes formula, with the main subtlety being the interpretation of the N(d_\pm) (and ''a fortiori'' d_\pm) terms, particularly d_+ and why there are two different terms. The formula can be interpreted by first decomposing a call option into the difference of two
binary option A binary option is a financial exotic option in which the payoff is either some fixed monetary amount or nothing at all.Breeden, D. T., & Litzenberger, R. H. (1978). "Prices of state-contingent claims implicit in option prices". ''Journal of Busin ...
s: an asset-or-nothing call minus a
cash-or-nothing call A binary option is a finance, financial exotic option in which the payoff is either some fixed monetary amount or nothing at all.Breeden, D. T., & Litzenberger, R. H. (1978). "Prices of state-contingent claims implicit in option prices". ''Journal ...
(long an asset-or-nothing call, short a cash-or-nothing call). A call option exchanges cash for an asset at expiry, while an asset-or-nothing call just yields the asset (with no cash in exchange) and a cash-or-nothing call just yields cash (with no asset in exchange). The Black–Scholes formula is a difference of two terms, and these two terms are equal to the values of the binary call options. These binary options are less frequently traded than vanilla call options, but are easier to analyze. Thus the formula: :C = D \left N(d_+) F - N(d_-) K \right/math> breaks up as: :C = D N(d_+) F - D N(d_-) K, where D N(d_+) F is the present value of an asset-or-nothing call and D N(d_-) K is the present value of a cash-or-nothing call. The ''D'' factor is for discounting, because the expiration date is in future, and removing it changes ''present'' value to ''future'' value (value at expiry). Thus N(d_+) ~ F is the future value of an asset-or-nothing call and N(d_-) ~ K is the future value of a cash-or-nothing call. In risk-neutral terms, these are the expected value of the asset and the expected value of the cash in the risk-neutral measure. A naive, and slightly incorrect, interpretation of these terms is that N(d_+) F is the probability of the option expiring in the money N(d_+), multiplied by the value of the underlying at expiry ''F,'' while N(d_-) K is the probability of the option expiring in the money N(d_-), multiplied by the value of the cash at expiry ''K.'' This interpretation is incorrect because either both binaries expire in the money or both expire out of the money (either cash is exchanged for the asset or it is not), but the probabilities N(d_+) and N(d_-) are not equal. In fact, d_\pm can be interpreted as measures of
moneyness In finance, moneyness is the relative position of the current price (or future price) of an underlying asset (e.g., a stock) with respect to the strike price of a derivative, most commonly a call option or a put option. Moneyness is firstly a thr ...
(in standard deviations) and N(d_\pm) as probabilities of expiring ITM (''percent moneyness''), in the respective
numéraire The numéraire (or numeraire) is a basic standard by which value is computed. In mathematical economics it is a tradable economic entity in terms of whose price the relative prices of all other tradables are expressed. In a monetary economy, actin ...
, as discussed below. Simply put, the interpretation of the cash option, N(d_-) K, is correct, as the value of the cash is independent of movements of the underlying asset, and thus can be interpreted as a simple product of "probability times value", while the N(d_+) F is more complicated, as the probability of expiring in the money and the value of the asset at expiry are not independent. More precisely, the value of the asset at expiry is variable in terms of cash, but is constant in terms of the asset itself (a fixed quantity of the asset), and thus these quantities are independent if one changes numéraire to the asset rather than cash. If one uses spot ''S'' instead of forward ''F,'' in d_\pm instead of the \frac\sigma^2 term there is \left(r \pm \frac\sigma^2\right)\tau, which can be interpreted as a drift factor (in the risk-neutral measure for appropriate numéraire). The use of ''d'' for moneyness rather than the standardized moneyness m = \frac\ln\left(\frac\right) in other words, the reason for the \frac\sigma^2 factor is due to the difference between the median and mean of the
log-normal distribution In probability theory, a log-normal (or lognormal) distribution is a continuous probability distribution of a random variable whose logarithm is normally distributed. Thus, if the random variable is log-normally distributed, then has a norma ...
; it is the same factor as in Itō's lemma applied to geometric Brownian motion. In addition, another way to see that the naive interpretation is incorrect is that replacing N(d_+) by N(d_-) in the formula yields a negative value for out-of-the-money call options. In detail, the terms N(d_1), N(d_2) are the ''probabilities of the option expiring in-the-money'' under the equivalent exponential martingale probability measure (numéraire=stock) and the equivalent martingale probability measure (numéraire=risk free asset), respectively. The risk neutral probability density for the stock price S_T \in (0, \infty) is :p(S, T) = \frac where d_2 = d_2(K) is defined as above. Specifically, N(d_2) is the probability that the call will be exercised provided one assumes that the asset drift is the risk-free rate. N(d_1), however, does not lend itself to a simple probability interpretation. SN(d_1) is correctly interpreted as the present value, using the risk-free interest rate, of the expected asset price at expiration, given that the asset price at expiration is above the exercise price. For related discussion and graphical representation see
Datar–Mathews method for real option valuation The Datar–Mathews Method (DM Method) is a method for real options valuation. The method provides an easy way to determine the real option value of a project simply by using the average of positive outcomes for the project. The method can be unders ...
. The equivalent martingale probability measure is also called the risk-neutral probability measure. Note that both of these are ''probabilities'' in a measure theoretic sense, and neither of these is the true probability of expiring in-the-money under the real probability measure. To calculate the probability under the real ("physical") probability measure, additional information is required—the drift term in the physical measure, or equivalently, the market price of risk.


Derivations

A standard derivation for solving the Black–Scholes PDE is given in the article Black–Scholes equation. The
Feynman–Kac formula The Feynman–Kac formula, named after Richard Feynman and Mark Kac, establishes a link between parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) and stochastic processes. In 1947, when Kac and Feynman were both Cornell faculty, Kac attended a present ...
says that the solution to this type of PDE, when discounted appropriately, is actually a martingale. Thus the option price is the expected value of the discounted payoff of the option. Computing the option price via this expectation is the
risk neutrality In economics and finance, risk neutral preferences are preferences that are neither risk averse nor risk seeking. A risk neutral party's decisions are not affected by the degree of uncertainty in a set of outcomes, so a risk neutral party is indif ...
approach and can be done without knowledge of PDEs. Note the expectation of the option payoff is not done under the real world probability measure, but an artificial
risk-neutral measure In mathematical finance, a risk-neutral measure (also called an equilibrium measure, or '' equivalent martingale measure'') is a probability measure such that each share price is exactly equal to the discounted expectation of the share price u ...
, which differs from the real world measure. For the underlying logic see section "risk neutral valuation" under
Rational pricing Rational pricing is the assumption in financial economics that asset prices - and hence asset pricing models - will reflect the arbitrage-free price of the asset as any deviation from this price will be "arbitraged away". This assumption is use ...
as well as section "Derivatives pricing: the Q world" under Mathematical finance; for details, once again, see Hull.


The Options Greeks

" The Greeks" measure the sensitivity of the value of a derivative product or a financial portfolio to changes in parameter values while holding the other parameters fixed. They are
partial derivatives In mathematics, a partial derivative of a function of several variables is its derivative with respect to one of those variables, with the others held constant (as opposed to the total derivative, in which all variables are allowed to vary). Pa ...
of the price with respect to the parameter values. One Greek, "gamma" (as well as others not listed here) is a partial derivative of another Greek, "delta" in this case. The Greeks are important not only in the mathematical theory of finance, but also for those actively trading. Financial institutions will typically set (risk) limit values for each of the Greeks that their traders must not exceed.Martin Haugh (2016)
Basic Concepts and Techniques of Risk Management
Columbia University Columbia University (also known as Columbia, and officially as Columbia University in the City of New York) is a private research university in New York City. Established in 1754 as King's College on the grounds of Trinity Church in Manhatt ...
Delta is the most important Greek since this usually confers the largest risk. Many traders will zero their delta at the end of the day if they are not speculating on the direction of the market and following a delta-neutral hedging approach as defined by Black–Scholes. When a trader seeks to establish an effective delta-hedge for a portfolio, the trader may also seek to neutralize the portfolio's gamma, as this will ensure that the hedge will be effective over a wider range of underlying price movements. The Greeks for Black–Scholes are given in closed form below. They can be obtained by differentiation of the Black–Scholes formula. Note that from the formulae, it is clear that the gamma is the same value for calls and puts and so too is the vega the same value for calls and puts options. This can be seen directly from
put–call parity In financial mathematics, put–call parity defines a relationship between the price of a European call option and European put option, both with the identical strike price and expiry, namely that a portfolio of a long call option and a short pu ...
, since the difference of a put and a call is a forward, which is linear in ''S'' and independent of ''σ'' (so a forward has zero gamma and zero vega). N' is the standard normal probability density function. In practice, some sensitivities are usually quoted in scaled-down terms, to match the scale of likely changes in the parameters. For example, rho is often reported divided by 10,000 (1 basis point rate change), vega by 100 (1 vol point change), and theta by 365 or 252 (1 day decay based on either calendar days or trading days per year). Note that "Vega" is not a letter in the Greek alphabet; the name arises from misreading the Greek letter nu (variously rendered as \nu, , and ν) as a V.


Extensions of the model

The above model can be extended for variable (but deterministic) rates and volatilities. The model may also be used to value European options on instruments paying dividends. In this case, closed-form solutions are available if the dividend is a known proportion of the stock price. American options and options on stocks paying a known cash dividend (in the short term, more realistic than a proportional dividend) are more difficult to value, and a choice of solution techniques is available (for example lattices and grids).


Instruments paying continuous yield dividends

For options on indices, it is reasonable to make the simplifying assumption that dividends are paid continuously, and that the dividend amount is proportional to the level of the index. The dividend payment paid over the time period , t + dt/math> is then modelled as: :qS_t\,dt for some constant q (the
dividend yield The dividend yield or dividend–price ratio of a share is the dividend per share, divided by the price per share. It is also a company's total annual dividend payments divided by its market capitalization, assuming the number of shares is constant ...
). Under this formulation the arbitrage-free price implied by the Black–Scholes model can be shown to be: :C(S_t, t) = e^ N(d_1) - KN(d_2), and :P(S_t, t) = e^ N(-d_2) - FN(-d_1), where now :F = S_t e^\, is the modified forward price that occurs in the terms d_1, d_2: :d_1 = \frac\left ln\left(\frac\right) + \left(r - q + \frac\sigma^2\right)(T - t)\right/math> and :d_2 = d_1 - \sigma\sqrt = \frac\left ln\left(\frac\right) + \left(r - q - \frac\sigma^2\right)(T - t)\right/math>.


Instruments paying discrete proportional dividends

It is also possible to extend the Black–Scholes framework to options on instruments paying discrete proportional dividends. This is useful when the option is struck on a single stock. A typical model is to assume that a proportion \delta of the stock price is paid out at pre-determined times t_1, t_2, \ldots, t_n . The price of the stock is then modelled as: :S_t = S_0(1 - \delta)^e^ where n(t) is the number of dividends that have been paid by time t. The price of a call option on such a stock is again: :C(S_0, T) = e^ N(d_1) - KN(d_2), where now :F = S_(1 - \delta)^e^\, is the forward price for the dividend paying stock.


American options

The problem of finding the price of an
American option In finance, the style or family of an option (finance), option is the class into which the option falls, usually defined by the dates on which the option may be Exercise (options), exercised. The vast majority of options are either European or Amer ...
is related to the
optimal stopping In mathematics, the theory of optimal stopping or early stopping : (For French translation, secover storyin the July issue of ''Pour la Science'' (2009).) is concerned with the problem of choosing a time to take a particular action, in order to ...
problem of finding the time to execute the option. Since the American option can be exercised at any time before the expiration date, the Black–Scholes equation becomes a variational inequality of the form: :\frac + \frac\sigma^2 S^2 \frac + rS\frac - rV \leq 0 together with V(S, t) \geq H(S) where H(S) denotes the payoff at stock price S and the terminal condition: V(S, T) = H(S). In general this inequality does not have a closed form solution, though an American call with no dividends is equal to a European call and the Roll–Geske–Whaley method provides a solution for an American call with one dividend; see also
Black's approximation In finance, Black's approximation is an approximate method for computing the value of an American call option on a stock paying a single dividend. It was described by Fischer Black in 1975.F. Black: Fact and fantasy in the use of options, FAJ, July ...
. Barone-Adesi and Whaley is a further approximation formula. Here, the stochastic differential equation (which is valid for the value of any derivative) is split into two components: the European option value and the early exercise premium. With some assumptions, a
quadratic equation In algebra, a quadratic equation () is any equation that can be rearranged in standard form as ax^2 + bx + c = 0\,, where represents an unknown value, and , , and represent known numbers, where . (If and then the equation is linear, not q ...
that approximates the solution for the latter is then obtained. This solution involves finding the critical value, s*, such that one is indifferent between early exercise and holding to maturity. Bjerksund and Stensland provide an approximation based on an exercise strategy corresponding to a trigger price. Here, if the underlying asset price is greater than or equal to the trigger price it is optimal to exercise, and the value must equal S - X, otherwise the option "boils down to: (i) a European up-and-out call option… and (ii) a rebate that is received at the knock-out date if the option is knocked out prior to the maturity date". The formula is readily modified for the valuation of a put option, using
put–call parity In financial mathematics, put–call parity defines a relationship between the price of a European call option and European put option, both with the identical strike price and expiry, namely that a portfolio of a long call option and a short pu ...
. This approximation is computationally inexpensive and the method is fast, with evidence indicating that the approximation may be more accurate in pricing long dated options than Barone-Adesi and Whaley.


Perpetual put

Despite the lack of a general analytical solution for American put options, it is possible to derive such a formula for the case of a perpetual option - meaning that the option never expires (i.e., T\rightarrow \infty). In this case, the time decay of the option is equal to zero, which leads to the Black–Scholes PDE becoming an ODE:\sigma^S^ + (r-q)S - rV = 0Let S_ denote the lower exercise boundary, below which is optimal for exercising the option. The boundary conditions are:V(S_) = K-S_, \quad V_(S_) = -1, \quad V(S) \leq KThe solutions to the ODE are a linear combination of any two linearly independent solutions:V(S) = A_S^ + A_S^For S_ \leq S, substitution of this solution into the ODE for i = yields:\left \sigma^\lambda_(\lambda_-1) + (r-q)\lambda_ - r \right^ = 0Rearranging the terms gives:\sigma^\lambda_^ + \left(r-q - \sigma^\right)\lambda_ - r = 0Using the
quadratic formula In elementary algebra, the quadratic formula is a formula that provides the solution(s) to a quadratic equation. There are other ways of solving a quadratic equation instead of using the quadratic formula, such as factoring (direct factoring, g ...
, the solutions for \lambda_ are:\begin \lambda_ &= \\ \lambda_ &= \endIn order to have a finite solution for the perpetual put, since the boundary conditions imply upper and lower finite bounds on the value of the put, it is necessary to set A_ = 0, leading to the solution V(S) = A_S^. From the first boundary condition, it is known that:V(S_) = A_(S_)^ = K-S_ \implies A_ = Therefore, the value of the perpetual put becomes:V(S) = (K-S_)\left( \right)^The second boundary condition yields the location of the lower exercise boundary:V_(S_) = \lambda_ = -1 \implies S_ = To conclude, for S \geq S_ = , the perpetual American put option is worth:V(S) = \left( \right)^ \left( \right)^


Binary options

By solving the Black–Scholes differential equation with the
Heaviside function The Heaviside step function, or the unit step function, usually denoted by or (but sometimes , or ), is a step function, named after Oliver Heaviside (1850–1925), the value of which is zero for negative arguments and one for positive argume ...
as a boundary condition, one ends up with the pricing of options that pay one unit above some predefined strike price and nothing below. In fact, the Black–Scholes formula for the price of a vanilla call option (or put option) can be interpreted by decomposing a call option into an asset-or-nothing call option minus a cash-or-nothing call option, and similarly for a put—the binary options are easier to analyze, and correspond to the two terms in the Black–Scholes formula.


Cash-or-nothing call

This pays out one unit of cash if the spot is above the strike at maturity. Its value is given by: : C =e^N(d_2). \,


Cash-or-nothing put

This pays out one unit of cash if the spot is below the strike at maturity. Its value is given by: : P = e^N(-d_2). \,


Asset-or-nothing call

This pays out one unit of asset if the spot is above the strike at maturity. Its value is given by: : C = Se^N(d_1). \,


Asset-or-nothing put

This pays out one unit of asset if the spot is below the strike at maturity. Its value is given by: : P = Se^N(-d_1),


Foreign Exchange (FX)

Denoting by ''S'' the FOR/DOM exchange rate (i.e., 1 unit of foreign currency is worth S units of domestic currency) one can observe that paying out 1 unit of the domestic currency if the spot at maturity is above or below the strike is exactly like a cash-or nothing call and put respectively. Similarly, paying out 1 unit of the foreign currency if the spot at maturity is above or below the strike is exactly like an asset-or nothing call and put respectively. Hence by taking r_, the foreign interest rate, r_, the domestic interest rate, and the rest as above, the following results can be obtained: In the case of a digital call (this is a call FOR/put DOM) paying out one unit of the domestic currency gotten as present value: : C = e^N(d_2) \, In the case of a digital put (this is a put FOR/call DOM) paying out one unit of the domestic currency gotten as present value: : P = e^N(-d_2) \, In the case of a digital call (this is a call FOR/put DOM) paying out one unit of the foreign currency gotten as present value: : C = Se^N(d_1) \, In the case of a digital put (this is a put FOR/call DOM) paying out one unit of the foreign currency gotten as present value: : P = Se^N(-d_1) \,


Skew

In the standard Black–Scholes model, one can interpret the premium of the binary option in the risk-neutral world as the expected value = probability of being in-the-money * unit, discounted to the present value. The Black–Scholes model relies on symmetry of distribution and ignores the
skewness In probability theory and statistics, skewness is a measure of the asymmetry of the probability distribution of a real-valued random variable about its mean. The skewness value can be positive, zero, negative, or undefined. For a unimodal ...
of the distribution of the asset. Market makers adjust for such skewness by, instead of using a single standard deviation for the underlying asset \sigma across all strikes, incorporating a variable one \sigma(K) where volatility depends on strike price, thus incorporating the
volatility skew Volatility smiles are implied volatility patterns that arise in pricing financial options. It is a parameter (implied volatility) that is needed to be modified for the Black–Scholes formula to fit market prices. In particular for a given expir ...
into account. The skew matters because it affects the binary considerably more than the regular options. A binary call option is, at long expirations, similar to a tight call spread using two vanilla options. One can model the value of a binary cash-or-nothing option, ''C'', at strike ''K'', as an infinitesimally tight spread, where C_v is a vanilla European call: : C = \lim_ \frac Thus, the value of a binary call is the negative of the
derivative In mathematics, the derivative of a function of a real variable measures the sensitivity to change of the function value (output value) with respect to a change in its argument (input value). Derivatives are a fundamental tool of calculus. ...
of the price of a vanilla call with respect to strike price: : C = -\frac When one takes volatility skew into account, \sigma is a function of K: : C = -\frac = -\frac - \frac \frac The first term is equal to the premium of the binary option ignoring skew: : -\frac = -\frac = e^ N(d_2) = C_\text \frac is the
Vega Vega is the brightest star in the northern constellation of Lyra. It has the Bayer designation α Lyrae, which is Latinised to Alpha Lyrae and abbreviated Alpha Lyr or α Lyr. This star is relatively close at only from the Sun, a ...
of the vanilla call; \frac is sometimes called the "skew slope" or just "skew". If the skew is typically negative, the value of a binary call will be higher when taking skew into account. : C = C_\text - \text_v \cdot \text


Relationship to vanilla options' Greeks

Since a binary call is a mathematical derivative of a vanilla call with respect to strike, the price of a binary call has the same shape as the delta of a vanilla call, and the delta of a binary call has the same shape as the gamma of a vanilla call.


Black–Scholes in practice

The assumptions of the Black–Scholes model are not all empirically valid. The model is widely employed as a useful approximation to reality, but proper application requires understanding its limitations blindly following the model exposes the user to unexpected risk. Among the most significant limitations are: * the underestimation of extreme moves, yielding
tail risk Tail risk, sometimes called "fat tail risk," is the financial risk of an asset or portfolio of assets moving more than three standard deviations from its current price, above the risk of a normal distribution. Tail risks include low-probability ...
, which can be hedged with out-of-the-money options; * the assumption of instant, cost-less trading, yielding liquidity risk, which is difficult to hedge; * the assumption of a stationary process, yielding
volatility risk Volatility risk is the risk of a change of price of a portfolio as a result of changes in the volatility of a risk factor. It usually applies to portfolios of derivatives instruments, where the volatility of its underlying is a major influencer of ...
, which can be hedged with volatility hedging; * the assumption of continuous time and continuous trading, yielding gap risk, which can be hedged with Gamma hedging; * the model tends to underprice deep out-of-the-money options and overprice deep in-the-money options. In short, while in the Black–Scholes model one can perfectly hedge options by simply
Delta hedging In finance, delta neutral describes a portfolio of related financial securities, in which the portfolio value remains unchanged when small changes occur in the value of the underlying security. Such a portfolio typically contains options and their ...
, in practice there are many other sources of risk. Results using the Black–Scholes model differ from real world prices because of simplifying assumptions of the model. One significant limitation is that in reality security prices do not follow a strict stationary
log-normal In probability theory, a log-normal (or lognormal) distribution is a continuous probability distribution of a random variable whose logarithm is normally distributed. Thus, if the random variable is log-normally distributed, then has a normal ...
process, nor is the risk-free interest actually known (and is not constant over time). The variance has been observed to be non-constant leading to models such as
GARCH In econometrics, the autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) model is a statistical model for time series data that describes the variance of the current error term or innovation as a function of the actual sizes of the previous time ...
to model volatility changes. Pricing discrepancies between empirical and the Black–Scholes model have long been observed in options that are far out-of-the-money, corresponding to extreme price changes; such events would be very rare if returns were lognormally distributed, but are observed much more often in practice. Nevertheless, Black–Scholes pricing is widely used in practice, because it is: * easy to calculate * a useful approximation, particularly when analyzing the direction in which prices move when crossing critical points * a robust basis for more refined models * reversible, as the model's original output, price, can be used as an input and one of the other variables solved for; the implied volatility calculated in this way is often used to quote option prices (that is, as a ''quoting convention''). The first point is self-evidently useful. The others can be further discussed: Useful approximation: although volatility is not constant, results from the model are often helpful in setting up hedges in the correct proportions to minimize risk. Even when the results are not completely accurate, they serve as a first approximation to which adjustments can be made. Basis for more refined models: The Black–Scholes model is ''robust'' in that it can be adjusted to deal with some of its failures. Rather than considering some parameters (such as volatility or interest rates) as ''constant,'' one considers them as ''variables,'' and thus added sources of risk. This is reflected in the
Greeks The Greeks or Hellenes (; el, Έλληνες, ''Éllines'' ) are an ethnic group and nation indigenous to the Eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea regions, namely Greece, Cyprus, Albania, Italy, Turkey, Egypt, and, to a lesser extent, oth ...
(the change in option value for a change in these parameters, or equivalently the partial derivatives with respect to these variables), and hedging these Greeks mitigates the risk caused by the non-constant nature of these parameters. Other defects cannot be mitigated by modifying the model, however, notably tail risk and liquidity risk, and these are instead managed outside the model, chiefly by minimizing these risks and by stress testing. Explicit modeling: this feature means that, rather than ''assuming'' a volatility ''a priori'' and computing prices from it, one can use the model to solve for volatility, which gives the
implied volatility In financial mathematics, the implied volatility (IV) of an option contract is that value of the volatility of the underlying instrument which, when input in an option pricing model (such as Black–Scholes), will return a theoretical value equ ...
of an option at given prices, durations and exercise prices. Solving for volatility over a given set of durations and strike prices, one can construct an implied volatility surface. In this application of the Black–Scholes model, a
coordinate transformation In geometry, a coordinate system is a system that uses one or more numbers, or coordinates, to uniquely determine the position of the points or other geometric elements on a manifold such as Euclidean space. The order of the coordinates is sign ...
from the ''price domain'' to the ''volatility domain'' is obtained. Rather than quoting option prices in terms of dollars per unit (which are hard to compare across strikes, durations and coupon frequencies), option prices can thus be quoted in terms of implied volatility, which leads to trading of volatility in option markets.


The volatility smile

One of the attractive features of the Black–Scholes model is that the parameters in the model other than the volatility (the time to maturity, the strike, the risk-free interest rate, and the current underlying price) are unequivocally observable. All other things being equal, an option's theoretical value is a monotonic increasing function of implied volatility. By computing the implied volatility for traded options with different strikes and maturities, the Black–Scholes model can be tested. If the Black–Scholes model held, then the implied volatility for a particular stock would be the same for all strikes and maturities. In practice, the
volatility surface Volatility smiles are implied volatility patterns that arise in pricing financial options. It is a parameter (implied volatility) that is needed to be modified for the Black–Scholes formula to fit market prices. In particular for a given expi ...
(the 3D graph of implied volatility against strike and maturity) is not flat. The typical shape of the implied volatility curve for a given maturity depends on the underlying instrument. Equities tend to have skewed curves: compared to at-the-money, implied volatility is substantially higher for low strikes, and slightly lower for high strikes. Currencies tend to have more symmetrical curves, with implied volatility lowest at-the-money, and higher volatilities in both wings. Commodities often have the reverse behavior to equities, with higher implied volatility for higher strikes. Despite the existence of the volatility smile (and the violation of all the other assumptions of the Black–Scholes model), the Black–Scholes PDE and Black–Scholes formula are still used extensively in practice. A typical approach is to regard the volatility surface as a fact about the market, and use an implied volatility from it in a Black–Scholes valuation model. This has been described as using "the wrong number in the wrong formula to get the right price". This approach also gives usable values for the hedge ratios (the Greeks). Even when more advanced models are used, traders prefer to think in terms of Black–Scholes implied volatility as it allows them to evaluate and compare options of different maturities, strikes, and so on. For a discussion as to the various alternative approaches developed here, see .


Valuing bond options

Black–Scholes cannot be applied directly to bond securities because of pull-to-par. As the bond reaches its maturity date, all of the prices involved with the bond become known, thereby decreasing its volatility, and the simple Black–Scholes model does not reflect this process. A large number of extensions to Black–Scholes, beginning with the
Black model The Black model (sometimes known as the Black-76 model) is a variant of the Black–Scholes option pricing model. Its primary applications are for pricing options on future contracts, bond options, interest rate cap and floors, and swaptions. It ...
, have been used to deal with this phenomenon. See .


Interest - rate curve

In practice, interest rates are not constant—they vary by tenor (coupon frequency), giving an interest rate curve which may be interpolated to pick an appropriate rate to use in the Black–Scholes formula. Another consideration is that interest rates vary over time. This volatility may make a significant contribution to the price, especially of long-dated options. This is simply like the interest rate and bond price relationship which is inversely related.


Short stock rate

Taking a short stock position, as inherent in the derivation, is not typically free of cost; equivalently, it is possible to lend out a long stock position for a small fee. In either case, this can be treated as a continuous dividend for the purposes of a Black–Scholes valuation, provided that there is no glaring asymmetry between the short stock borrowing cost and the long stock lending income.


Criticism and comments

Espen Gaarder Haug and Nassim Nicholas Taleb argue that the Black–Scholes model merely recasts existing widely used models in terms of practically impossible "dynamic hedging" rather than "risk", to make them more compatible with mainstream neoclassical economic theory. They also assert that Boness in 1964 had already published a formula that is "actually identical" to the Black–Scholes call option pricing equation.
Edward Thorp Edward Oakley Thorp (born August 14, 1932) is an American mathematics professor, author, hedge fund manager, and blackjack researcher. He pioneered the modern applications of probability theory, including the harnessing of very small correlat ...
also claims to have guessed the Black–Scholes formula in 1967 but kept it to himself to make money for his investors.A Perspective on Quantitative Finance: Models for Beating the Market
''Quantitative Finance Review'', 2003. Also se
Option Theory Part 1
by Edward Thorpe
Emanuel Derman Emanuel Derman (born 1945) is a South African-born academic, businessman and writer. He is best known as a quantitative analyst, and author of the book ''My Life as a Quant: Reflections on Physics and Finance''. He is a co-author of Black–Derm ...
and
Nassim Taleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb (; alternatively ''Nessim ''or'' Nissim''; born 12 September 1960) is a Lebanese-American essayist, mathematical statistician, former option trader, risk analyst, and aphorist whose work concerns problems of randomness, ...
have also criticized dynamic hedging and state that a number of researchers had put forth similar models prior to Black and Scholes. In response,
Paul Wilmott Paul Wilmott (born 8 November 1959) is an English researcher, consultant and lecturer in quantitative finance.
Paul Wilmott Paul Wilmott (born 8 November 1959) is an English researcher, consultant and lecturer in quantitative finance.In defence of Black Scholes and Merton

Dynamic hedging and further defence of Black–Scholes
/ref> In his 2008 letter to the shareholders of
Berkshire Hathaway Berkshire Hathaway Inc. () is an American multinational conglomerate holding company headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska, United States. Its main business and source of capital is insurance, from which it invests the float (the retained premiu ...
,
Warren Buffett Warren Edward Buffett ( ; born August 30, 1930) is an American business magnate, investor, and philanthropist. He is currently the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. He is one of the most successful investors in the world and has a net ...
wrote: "I believe the Black–Scholes formula, even though it is the standard for establishing the dollar liability for options, produces strange results when the long-term variety are being valued... The Black–Scholes formula has approached the status of holy writ in finance ... If the formula is applied to extended time periods, however, it can produce absurd results. In fairness, Black and Scholes almost certainly understood this point well. But their devoted followers may be ignoring whatever caveats the two men attached when they first unveiled the formula."http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2008ltr.pdf British mathematician Ian Stewart, author of the 2012 book entitled '' In Pursuit of the Unknown: 17 Equations That Changed the World'', said that Black–Scholes had "underpinned massive economic growth" and the "international financial system was trading derivatives valued at one quadrillion dollars per year" by 2007. He said that the Black–Scholes equation was the "mathematical justification for the trading"—and therefore—"one ingredient in a rich stew of financial irresponsibility, political ineptitude, perverse incentives and lax regulation" that contributed to the
financial crisis of 2007–08 Finance is the study and discipline of money, currency and capital assets. It is related to, but not synonymous with economics, the study of production, distribution, and consumption of money, assets, goods and services (the discipline of f ...
. He clarified that "the equation itself wasn't the real problem", but its abuse in the financial industry.


See also

*
Binomial options model In finance, the binomial options pricing model (BOPM) provides a generalizable Numerical analysis, numerical method for the valuation of Option (finance), options. Essentially, the model uses a "discrete-time" (Lattice model (finance), lattice base ...
, a discrete numerical method for calculating option prices *
Black model The Black model (sometimes known as the Black-76 model) is a variant of the Black–Scholes option pricing model. Its primary applications are for pricing options on future contracts, bond options, interest rate cap and floors, and swaptions. It ...
, a variant of the Black–Scholes option pricing model *
Black Shoals {{no footnotes, date=March 2013 Black Shoals is an artificial ecosystem linked to the real time dynamics of the stock market. It was first shown at the Tate Gallery in 2001, and nominated for an Alternative Turner Prize in 2002. A more sophisticate ...
, a financial art piece *
Brownian model of financial markets The Brownian motion models for financial markets are based on the work of Robert C. Merton and Paul A. Samuelson, as extensions to the one-period market models of Harold Markowitz and William F. Sharpe, and are concerned with defining the concept ...
*
Financial mathematics Mathematical finance, also known as quantitative finance and financial mathematics, is a field of applied mathematics, concerned with mathematical modeling of financial markets. In general, there exist two separate branches of finance that require ...
(contains a list of related articles) *
Fuzzy pay-off method for real option valuation The fuzzy pay-off method for real option valuation (FPOM or pay-off method) is a method for valuing real options, developed by Mikael Collan, Robert Fullér, and József Mezei; and published in 2009. It is based on the use of fuzzy logic and fuzz ...
* Heat equation, to which the Black–Scholes PDE can be transformed *
Jump diffusion Jump diffusion is a stochastic process that involves jumps and diffusion. It has important applications in magnetic reconnection, coronal mass ejections, condensed matter physics, option pricing, and pattern theory and computational vision. In ph ...
*
Monte Carlo option model In mathematical finance, a Monte Carlo option model uses Monte Carlo methodsAlthough the term 'Monte Carlo method' was coined by Stanislaw Ulam in the 1940s, some trace such methods to the 18th century French naturalist Buffon, and a question he as ...
, using
simulation A simulation is the imitation of the operation of a real-world process or system over time. Simulations require the use of models; the model represents the key characteristics or behaviors of the selected system or process, whereas the s ...
in the valuation of options with complicated features *
Real options analysis Real options valuation, also often termed real options analysis,Adam Borison ( Stanford University)''Real Options Analysis: Where are the Emperor's Clothes?'' (ROV or ROA) applies option valuation techniques to capital budgeting decisions.Campb ...
*
Stochastic volatility In statistics, stochastic volatility models are those in which the variance of a stochastic process is itself randomly distributed. They are used in the field of mathematical finance to evaluate derivative securities, such as options. The name d ...


Notes


References


Primary references



(Black and Scholes' original paper.)

*


Historical and sociological aspects

* * Derman, Emanuel. "My Life as a Quant" John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2004.



* * Mandelbrot & Hudson, "The (Mis)Behavior of Markets" Basic Books, 2006. * George Szpiro, Szpiro, George G., ''Pricing the Future: Finance, Physics, and the 300-Year Journey to the Black–Scholes Equation; A Story of Genius and Discovery'' (New York: Basic, 2011) 298 pp. * Taleb, Nassim. "Dynamic Hedging" John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1997. * Thorp, Ed. "A Man for all Markets" Random House, 2017.


Further reading

* The book gives a series of historical references supporting the theory that option traders use much more robust hedging and pricing principles than the Black, Scholes and Merton model. * The book takes a critical look at the Black, Scholes and Merton model.


External links


Discussion of the model


Ajay Shah. Black, Merton and Scholes: Their work and its consequences. Economic and Political Weekly, XXXII(52):3337–3342, December 1997The mathematical equation that caused the banks to crash
by Ian Stewart in
The Observer ''The Observer'' is a British newspaper published on Sundays. It is a sister paper to ''The Guardian'' and '' The Guardian Weekly'', whose parent company Guardian Media Group Limited acquired it in 1993. First published in 1791, it is the ...
, February 12, 2012
When You Cannot Hedge Continuously: The Corrections to Black–Scholes
Emanuel Derman Emanuel Derman (born 1945) is a South African-born academic, businessman and writer. He is best known as a quantitative analyst, and author of the book ''My Life as a Quant: Reflections on Physics and Finance''. He is a co-author of Black–Derm ...


Derivation and solution


Solution of the Black–Scholes Equation Using the Green's Function
Prof. Dennis Silverman
The Black–Scholes Equation
Expository article by mathematician Terence Tao.


Computer implementations


Black–Scholes in Multiple LanguagesBlack–Scholes in Java -moving to link below-Black–Scholes in JavaChicago Option Pricing Model (Graphing Version)Black–Scholes–Merton Implied Volatility Surface Model (Java)Online Black–Scholes Calculator


Historical


Trillion Dollar Bet
Companion Web site to a Nova episode originally broadcast on February 8, 2000. "The film tells the fascinating story of the invention of the Black–Scholes Formula, a mathematical Holy Grail that forever altered the world of finance and earned its creators the 1997 Nobel Prize in Economics."
BBC Horizon
A TV-programme on the so-called
Midas formula Midas (; grc-gre, Μίδας) was the name of a king in Phrygia with whom several myths became associated, as well as two later members of the Phrygian royal house. The most famous King Midas is popularly remembered in Greek mythology for hi ...
and the bankruptcy of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM)
BBC News Magazine
Black–Scholes: The maths formula linked to the financial crash (April 27, 2012 article) {{DEFAULTSORT:Black-Scholes Model Equations Financial models Finance theories Options (finance) Stochastic models Stock market 1973 in economics Non-Newtonian calculus