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Doubly Stochastic Poisson Process
In probability theory, a Cox process, also known as a doubly stochastic Poisson process is a point process which is a generalization of a Poisson process where the intensity that varies across the underlying mathematical space (often space or time) is itself a stochastic process. The process is named after the statistician David Cox, who first published the model in 1955. Cox processes are used to generate simulations of spike trains (the sequence of action potentials generated by a neuron), and also in financial mathematics where they produce a "useful framework for modeling prices of financial instruments in which credit risk is a significant factor." Definition Let \xi be a random measure. A random measure \eta is called a Cox process directed by \xi , if \mathcal L(\eta \mid \xi=\mu) is a Poisson process with intensity measure \mu . Here, \mathcal L(\eta \mid \xi=\mu) is the conditional distribution of \eta , given \ . Laplace transform If \eta is a Cox p ...
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Probability Theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event. Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is not possible to perfectly predict random events, much can be said about their behavior. Two major results in probability ...
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Laplace Transform
In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after its discoverer Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform In mathematics, an integral transform maps a function from its original function space into another function space via integration, where some of the properties of the original function might be more easily characterized and manipulated than in ... that converts a Function (mathematics), function of a Real number, real Variable (mathematics), variable (usually t, in the ''time domain'') to a function of a Complex number, complex variable s (in the complex frequency domain, also known as ''s''-domain, or s-plane). The transform has many applications in science and engineering because it is a tool for solving differential equations. In particular, it transforms ordinary differential equations into algebraic equations and convolution into multiplication. For suitable functions ''f'', the Laplace transform is the integral \mathcal\(s) = \int_0^\infty f(t)e^ \, dt. H ...
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Valerie Isham
Valerie Susan Isham (born 1947) is a British applied probabilist and former President of the Royal Statistical Society. Isham's research interests in include point processes, spatial processes, spatio-temporal processes and population processes. Education and career Isham went to Imperial College London ( B.Sc., Ph.D.) where she was a student of statistician David Cox. She has been a professor of probability and statistics at University College London since 1992. Book Isham is the coauthor with Cox of the book ''Point Processes'' (Chapman & Hall, 1980).Reviews of ''Point Processes'': J. D. Biggins (1981), ''Math. Gaz.'', , ; D. J. Daley, ; Fergus Daly (1991), ''JRSSA'', , ; Paul T. Holmes (1983), ''JASA'', , ; David Vere-Jones (1982), Recognition Isham was the president of the Royal Statistical Society for 2011–2012. She was awarded its Guy Medal in Bronze in 1990. In 2018 she received the Forder Lectureship from the London Mathematical Society and the New Zealand Ma ...
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Mixed Poisson Process
In probability theory, a mixed Poisson process is a special point process that is a generalization of a Poisson process. Mixed Poisson processes are simple example for Cox processes. Definition Let \mu be a locally finite measure on S and let X be a random variable with X \geq 0 almost surely. Then a random measure \xi on S is called a mixed Poisson process based on \mu and X iff \xi conditionally on X=x is a Poisson process on S with intensity measure x\mu . Comment Mixed Poisson processes are doubly stochastic in the sense that in a first step, the value of the random variable X is determined. This value then determines the "second order stochasticity" by increasing or decreasing the original intensity measure \mu . Properties Conditional on X=x mixed Poisson processes have the intensity measure x \mu and the Laplace transform In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after its discoverer Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform ...
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Gaussian Process
In probability theory and statistics, a Gaussian process is a stochastic process (a collection of random variables indexed by time or space), such that every finite collection of those random variables has a multivariate normal distribution, i.e. every finite linear combination of them is normally distributed. The distribution of a Gaussian process is the joint distribution of all those (infinitely many) random variables, and as such, it is a distribution over functions with a continuous domain, e.g. time or space. The concept of Gaussian processes is named after Carl Friedrich Gauss because it is based on the notion of the Gaussian distribution (normal distribution). Gaussian processes can be seen as an infinite-dimensional generalization of multivariate normal distributions. Gaussian processes are useful in statistical modelling, benefiting from properties inherited from the normal distribution. For example, if a random process is modelled as a Gaussian process, the distribution ...
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Ross's Conjecture
In queueing theory, a discipline within the mathematical theory of probability, Ross's conjecture gives a lower bound for the average waiting-time experienced by a customer when arrivals to the queue do not follow the simplest model for random arrivals. It was proposed by Sheldon M. Ross in 1978 and proved in 1981 by Tomasz Rolski. Equality can be obtained in the bound; and the bound does not hold for finite buffer queues. Bound Ross's conjecture is a bound for the mean delay in a queue where arrivals are governed by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. or by a non-stationary Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...... The conjecture states that the average amount of time that a customer spends waiting in a queue is greater than or equal to ::\frac where ' ...
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Inhomogeneous Poisson Process
In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one another. The Poisson point process is often called simply the Poisson process, but it is also called a Poisson random measure, Poisson random point field or Poisson point field. This point process has convenient mathematical properties, which has led to its being frequently defined in Euclidean space and used as a mathematical model for seemingly random processes in numerous disciplines such as astronomy,G. J. Babu and E. D. Feigelson. Spatial point processes in astronomy. ''Journal of statistical planning and inference'', 50(3):311–326, 1996. biology,H. G. Othmer, S. R. Dunbar, and W. Alt. Models of dispersal in biological systems. ''Journal of mathematical biology'', 26(3):263–298, 1988. ecology,H. Thompson. Spatial point processes, ...
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Doubly Stochastic Model
In statistics, a doubly stochastic model is a type of model that can arise in many contexts, but in particular in modelling time-series and stochastic processes. The basic idea for a doubly stochastic model is that an observed random variable is modelled in two stages. In one stage, the distribution of the observed outcome is represented in a fairly standard way using one or more parameters. At a second stage, some of these parameters (often only one) are treated as being themselves random variables. In a univariate context this is essentially the same as the well-known concept of compounded distributions. For the more general case of doubly stochastic models, there is the idea that many values in a time-series or stochastic model are simultaneously affected by the underlying parameters, either by using a single parameter affecting many outcome variates, or by treating the underlying parameter as a time-series or stochastic process in its own right. The basic idea here is essentia ...
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Poisson Hidden Markov Model
A hidden Markov model (HMM) is a statistical Markov model in which the system being modeled is assumed to be a Markov process — call it X — with unobservable ("''hidden''") states. As part of the definition, HMM requires that there be an observable process Y whose outcomes are "influenced" by the outcomes of X in a known way. Since X cannot be observed directly, the goal is to learn about X by observing Y. HMM has an additional requirement that the outcome of Y at time t=t_0 must be "influenced" exclusively by the outcome of X at t=t_0 and that the outcomes of X and Y at t handwriting recognition, handwriting, gesture recognition, part-of-speech tagging, musical score following, partial discharges and bioinformatics. Definition Let X_n and Y_n be discrete-time stochastic processes and n\geq 1. The pair (X_n,Y_n) is a ''hidden Markov model'' if * X_n is a Markov process whose behavior is not directly observable ("hidden"); * \operatorname\bigl(Y_n \in A ...
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Measurable Function
In mathematics and in particular measure theory, a measurable function is a function between the underlying sets of two measurable spaces that preserves the structure of the spaces: the preimage of any measurable set is measurable. This is in direct analogy to the definition that a continuous function between topological spaces preserves the topological structure: the preimage of any open set is open. In real analysis, measurable functions are used in the definition of the Lebesgue integral. In probability theory, a measurable function on a probability space is known as a random variable. Formal definition Let (X,\Sigma) and (Y,\Tau) be measurable spaces, meaning that X and Y are sets equipped with respective \sigma-algebras \Sigma and \Tau. A function f:X\to Y is said to be measurable if for every E\in \Tau the pre-image of E under f is in \Sigma; that is, for all E \in \Tau f^(E) := \ \in \Sigma. That is, \sigma (f)\subseteq\Sigma, where \sigma (f) is the σ-algebra gen ...
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Intensity Measure
In probability theory, an intensity measure is a measure that is derived from a random measure. The intensity measure is a non-random measure and is defined as the expectation value of the random measure of a set, hence it corresponds to the average volume the random measure assigns to a set. The intensity measure contains important information about the properties of the random measure. A Poisson point process, interpreted as a random measure, is for example uniquely determined by its intensity measure. Definition Let \zeta be a random measure on the measurable space (S, \mathcal A) and denote the expected value of a random element Y with \operatorname E . The intensity measure : \operatorname E \zeta \colon \mathcal A \to ,\infty of \zeta is defined as : \operatorname E \zeta(A)= \operatorname Ezeta(A) for all A \in \mathcal A. Note the difference in notation between the expectation value of a random element Y , denoted by \operatorname E and the intensity ...
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Point Process
In statistics and probability theory, a point process or point field is a collection of mathematical points randomly located on a mathematical space such as the real line or Euclidean space. Kallenberg, O. (1986). ''Random Measures'', 4th edition. Academic Press, New York, London; Akademie-Verlag, Berlin. , .Daley, D.J, Vere-Jones, D. (1988). ''An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes''. Springer, New York. , . Point processes can be used for spatial data analysis,Diggle, P. (2003). ''Statistical Analysis of Spatial Point Patterns'', 2nd edition. Arnold, London. . which is of interest in such diverse disciplines as forestry, plant ecology, epidemiology, geography, seismology, materials science, astronomy, telecommunications, computational neuroscience, economics and others. There are different mathematical interpretations of a point process, such as a random counting measure or a random set. Some authors regard a point process and stochastic process as two different objects ...
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