Doubly Stochastic Poisson Process
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In
probability theory Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set ...
, a Cox process, also known as a doubly stochastic Poisson process is a
point process In statistics and probability theory, a point process or point field is a collection of mathematical points randomly located on a mathematical space such as the real line or Euclidean space. Kallenberg, O. (1986). ''Random Measures'', 4th editio ...
which is a generalization of a
Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
where the intensity that varies across the underlying mathematical space (often space or time) is itself a stochastic process. The process is named after the statistician David Cox, who first published the model in 1955. Cox processes are used to generate simulations of
spike train An action potential occurs when the membrane potential of a specific cell location rapidly rises and falls. This depolarization then causes adjacent locations to similarly depolarize. Action potentials occur in several types of animal cells, c ...
s (the sequence of action potentials generated by a
neuron A neuron, neurone, or nerve cell is an electrically excitable cell that communicates with other cells via specialized connections called synapses. The neuron is the main component of nervous tissue in all animals except sponges and placozoa. ...
), and also in
financial mathematics Mathematical finance, also known as quantitative finance and financial mathematics, is a field of applied mathematics, concerned with mathematical modeling of financial markets. In general, there exist two separate branches of finance that require ...
where they produce a "useful framework for modeling prices of financial instruments in which
credit risk A credit risk is risk of default on a debt that may arise from a borrower failing to make required payments. In the first resort, the risk is that of the lender and includes lost principal and interest, disruption to cash flows, and increased ...
is a significant factor."


Definition

Let \xi be a
random measure In probability theory, a random measure is a measure-valued random element. Random measures are for example used in the theory of random processes, where they form many important point processes such as Poisson point processes and Cox processes. ...
. A random measure \eta is called a Cox process directed by \xi , if \mathcal L(\eta \mid \xi=\mu) is a
Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
with
intensity measure In probability theory, an intensity measure is a measure that is derived from a random measure. The intensity measure is a non-random measure and is defined as the expectation value of the random measure of a set, hence it corresponds to the avera ...
\mu . Here, \mathcal L(\eta \mid \xi=\mu) is the conditional distribution of \eta , given \ .


Laplace transform

If \eta is a Cox process directed by \xi , then \eta has the
Laplace transform In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after its discoverer Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform that converts a function of a real variable (usually t, in the '' time domain'') to a function of a complex variable s (in the ...
: \mathcal L_\eta(f)=\exp \left(- \int 1-\exp(-f(x))\; \xi(\mathrm dx)\right) for any positive, measurable function f .


See also

*
Poisson hidden Markov model A hidden Markov model (HMM) is a statistical Markov model in which the system being modeled is assumed to be a Markov process — call it X — with unobservable ("''hidden''") states. As part of the definition, HMM requires that there be an obs ...
*
Doubly stochastic model In statistics, a doubly stochastic model is a type of model that can arise in many contexts, but in particular in modelling time-series and stochastic processes. The basic idea for a doubly stochastic model is that an observed random variable is m ...
*
Inhomogeneous Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
, where ''λ''(''t'') is restricted to a deterministic function *
Ross's conjecture In queueing theory, a discipline within the mathematical theory of probability, Ross's conjecture gives a lower bound for the average waiting-time experienced by a customer when arrivals to the queue do not follow the simplest model for random arriv ...
* Gaussian process *
Mixed Poisson process In probability theory, a mixed Poisson process is a special point process that is a generalization of a Poisson process. Mixed Poisson processes are simple example for Cox processes. Definition Let \mu be a locally finite measure on S and le ...


References

;Notes ;Bibliography * Cox, D. R. and Isham, V. ''
Point Processes Point or points may refer to: Places * Point, Lewis, a peninsula in the Outer Hebrides, Scotland * Point, Texas, a city in Rains County, Texas, United States * Point, the NE tip and a ferry terminal of Lismore, Inner Hebrides, Scotland * Points ...
'', London: Chapman & Hall, 1980 * Donald L. Snyder and Michael I. Miller ''Random Point Processes in Time and Space'' Springer-Verlag, 1991 (New York) (Berlin) Poisson point processes {{statistics-stub