Mixed Poisson Process
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In
probability theory Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set o ...
, a mixed Poisson process is a special
point process In statistics and probability theory, a point process or point field is a collection of mathematical points randomly located on a mathematical space such as the real line or Euclidean space. Kallenberg, O. (1986). ''Random Measures'', 4th edition. ...
that is a generalization of a
Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
. Mixed Poisson processes are simple example for
Cox process In probability theory, a Cox process, also known as a doubly stochastic Poisson process is a point process which is a generalization of a Poisson process where the intensity that varies across the underlying mathematical space (often space or time) ...
es.


Definition

Let \mu be a
locally finite measure In mathematics, a locally finite measure is a Measure (mathematics), measure for which every point of the measure space has a Neighbourhood (mathematics), neighbourhood of Finite set, finite measure. Definition Let (X, T) be a Hausdorff space, Hau ...
on S and let X be a
random variable A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of a quantity or object which depends on random events. It is a mapping or a function from possible outcomes (e.g., the po ...
with X \geq 0
almost surely In probability theory, an event is said to happen almost surely (sometimes abbreviated as a.s.) if it happens with probability 1 (or Lebesgue measure 1). In other words, the set of possible exceptions may be non-empty, but it has probability 0. ...
. Then a
random measure In probability theory, a random measure is a measure-valued random element. Random measures are for example used in the theory of random processes, where they form many important point processes such as Poisson point processes and Cox processes. De ...
\xi on S is called a mixed Poisson process based on \mu and X iff \xi conditionally on X=x is a
Poisson process In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space with the essential feature that the points occur independently of one ...
on S with
intensity measure In probability theory, an intensity measure is a measure that is derived from a random measure. The intensity measure is a non-random measure and is defined as the expectation value of the random measure of a set, hence it corresponds to the avera ...
x\mu .


Comment

Mixed Poisson processes are doubly stochastic in the sense that in a first step, the value of the random variable X is determined. This value then determines the "second order stochasticity" by increasing or decreasing the original intensity measure \mu .


Properties

Conditional on X=x mixed Poisson processes have the
intensity measure In probability theory, an intensity measure is a measure that is derived from a random measure. The intensity measure is a non-random measure and is defined as the expectation value of the random measure of a set, hence it corresponds to the avera ...
x \mu and the
Laplace transform In mathematics, the Laplace transform, named after its discoverer Pierre-Simon Laplace (), is an integral transform In mathematics, an integral transform maps a function from its original function space into another function space via integra ...
: \mathcal L(f)=\exp \left(- \int 1-\exp(-f(y))\; (x \mu)(\mathrm dy)\right) .


Sources

*{{cite book , last1=Kallenberg , first1=Olav , author-link1=Olav Kallenberg , year=2017 , title=Random Measures, Theory and Applications, location= Switzerland , publisher=Springer , doi= 10.1007/978-3-319-41598-7, isbn=978-3-319-41596-3 Poisson point processes