Autocovariance
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Autocovariance
In probability theory and statistics, given a stochastic process, the autocovariance is a function that gives the covariance of the process with itself at pairs of time points. Autocovariance is closely related to the autocorrelation of the process in question. Auto-covariance of stochastic processes Definition With the usual notation \operatorname for the expectation operator, if the stochastic process \left\ has the mean function \mu_t = \operatorname _t/math>, then the autocovariance is given by where t_1 and t_2 are two instances in time. Definition for weakly stationary process If \left\ is a weakly stationary (WSS) process, then the following are true: :\mu_ = \mu_ \triangleq \mu for all t_1,t_2 and :\operatorname X_t, ^2, with 1 indicating perfect correlation and −1 indicating perfect anti-correlation. For a WSS process, the definition is :\rho_(\tau) = \frac = \frac. where :\operatorname_(0) = \sigma^2. Properties Symmetry property :\operatorname_(t_1,t ...
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Autoregressive Process
In statistics, econometrics, and signal processing, an autoregressive (AR) model is a representation of a type of random process; as such, it can be used to describe certain time-varying processes in nature, economics, behavior, etc. The autoregressive model specifies that the output variable depends linearly on its own previous values and on a stochastic term (an imperfectly predictable term); thus the model is in the form of a stochastic difference equation (or recurrence relation) which should not be confused with a differential equation. Together with the moving-average (MA) model, it is a special case and key component of the more general autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models of time series, which have a more complicated stochastic structure; it is also a special case of the vector autoregressive model (VAR), which consists of a system of more than one interlocking stochastic difference equation in more than one ev ...
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Autocorrelation
Autocorrelation, sometimes known as serial correlation in the discrete time case, measures the correlation of a signal with a delayed copy of itself. Essentially, it quantifies the similarity between observations of a random variable at different points in time. The analysis of autocorrelation is a mathematical tool for identifying repeating patterns or hidden periodicities within a signal obscured by noise. Autocorrelation is widely used in signal processing, time domain and time series analysis to understand the behavior of data over time. Different fields of study define autocorrelation differently, and not all of these definitions are equivalent. In some fields, the term is used interchangeably with autocovariance. Various time series models incorporate autocorrelation, such as unit root processes, trend-stationary processes, autoregressive processes, and moving average processes. Autocorrelation of stochastic processes In statistics, the autocorrelation of a real ...
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Weak-sense Stationarity
In mathematics and statistics, a stationary process (also called a strict/strictly stationary process or strong/strongly stationary process) is a stochastic process whose statistical properties, such as mean and variance, do not change over time. More formally, the joint probability distribution of the process remains the same when shifted in time. This implies that the process is statistically consistent across different time periods. Because many statistical procedures in time series analysis assume stationarity, non-stationary data are frequently transformed to achieve stationarity before analysis. A common cause of non-stationarity is a trend in the mean, which can be due to either a unit root or a deterministic trend. In the case of a unit root, stochastic shocks have permanent effects, and the process is not mean-reverting. With a deterministic trend, the process is called trend-stationary, and shocks have only transitory effects, with the variable tending towards a determin ...
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Kalman Filter
In statistics and control theory, Kalman filtering (also known as linear quadratic estimation) is an algorithm that uses a series of measurements observed over time, including statistical noise and other inaccuracies, to produce estimates of unknown variables that tend to be more accurate than those based on a single measurement, by estimating a joint probability distribution over the variables for each time-step. The filter is constructed as a mean squared error minimiser, but an alternative derivation of the filter is also provided showing how the filter relates to maximum likelihood statistics. The filter is named after Rudolf E. Kálmán. Kalman filtering has numerous technological applications. A common application is for guidance, navigation, and control of vehicles, particularly aircraft, spacecraft and ships Dynamic positioning, positioned dynamically. Furthermore, Kalman filtering is much applied in time series analysis tasks such as signal processing and econometrics. K ...
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Probability Theory
Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms of probability, axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure (mathematics), measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event (probability theory), event. Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of determinism, non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured Quantity, quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is no ...
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Reynolds Decomposition
In fluid dynamics and turbulence theory, Reynolds decomposition is a mathematical technique used to separate the expectation value of a quantity from its fluctuations. Decomposition For example, for a quantity u the decomposition would be u(x,y,z,t) = \overline + u'(x,y,z,t) where \overline denotes the expectation value of u, (often called the steady component/time, spatial or ensemble average), and u', are the deviations from the expectation value (or fluctuations). The fluctuations are defined as the expectation value subtracted from quantity u such that their time average equals zero. The expected value, \overline, is often found from an ensemble average which is an average taken over multiple experiments under identical conditions. The expected value is also sometime denoted \langle u\rangle, but it is also seen often with the over-bar notation. Direct numerical simulation, or resolution of the Navier–Stokes equations completely in (x,y,z,t), is only possible on extreme ...
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Cross-correlation
In signal processing, cross-correlation is a measure of similarity of two series as a function of the displacement of one relative to the other. This is also known as a ''sliding dot product'' or ''sliding inner-product''. It is commonly used for searching a long signal for a shorter, known feature. It has applications in pattern recognition, single particle analysis, electron tomography, averaging, cryptanalysis, and neurophysiology. The cross-correlation is similar in nature to the convolution of two functions. In an autocorrelation, which is the cross-correlation of a signal with itself, there will always be a peak at a lag of zero, and its size will be the signal energy. In probability and statistics, the term ''cross-correlations'' refers to the correlations between the entries of two random vectors \mathbf and \mathbf, while the ''correlations'' of a random vector \mathbf are the correlations between the entries of \mathbf itself, those forming the correlation mat ...
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Cross-covariance
In probability and statistics, given two stochastic processes \left\ and \left\, the cross-covariance is a function that gives the covariance of one process with the other at pairs of time points. With the usual notation \operatorname E for the expectation operator, if the processes have the mean functions \mu_X(t) = \operatorname \operatorname E _t/math> and \mu_Y(t) = \operatorname E _t/math>, then the cross-covariance is given by :\operatorname_(t_1,t_2) = \operatorname (X_, Y_) = \operatorname X_ - \mu_X(t_1))(Y_ - \mu_Y(t_2))= \operatorname _ Y_- \mu_X(t_1) \mu_Y(t_2).\, Cross-covariance is related to the more commonly used cross-correlation of the processes in question. In the case of two random vectors \mathbf=(X_1, X_2, \ldots , X_p)^ and \mathbf=(Y_1, Y_2, \ldots , Y_q)^, the cross-covariance would be a p \times q matrix \operatorname_ (often denoted \operatorname(X,Y)) with entries \operatorname_(j,k) = \operatorname(X_j, Y_k).\, Thus the term ''cross-covariance ...
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Correlation
In statistics, correlation or dependence is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables or bivariate data. Although in the broadest sense, "correlation" may indicate any type of association, in statistics it usually refers to the degree to which a pair of variables are '' linearly'' related. Familiar examples of dependent phenomena include the correlation between the height of parents and their offspring, and the correlation between the price of a good and the quantity the consumers are willing to purchase, as it is depicted in the demand curve. Correlations are useful because they can indicate a predictive relationship that can be exploited in practice. For example, an electrical utility may produce less power on a mild day based on the correlation between electricity demand and weather. In this example, there is a causal relationship, because extreme weather causes people to use more electricity for heating or cooling. However, in g ...
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Turbulent Diffusion
Turbulent diffusion is the transport of mass, heat, or momentum within a system due to random and chaotic time dependent motions. It occurs when turbulent fluid systems reach critical conditions in response to shear flow, which results from a combination of steep concentration gradients, density gradients, and high velocities. It occurs much more rapidly than molecular diffusion and is therefore extremely important for problems concerning mixing and transport in systems dealing with combustion, contaminants, dissolved oxygen, and solutions in industry. In these fields, turbulent diffusion acts as an excellent process for quickly reducing the concentrations of a species in a fluid or environment, in cases where this is needed for rapid mixing during processing, or rapid pollutant or contaminant reduction for safety. However, it has been extremely difficult to develop a concrete and fully functional model that can be applied to the diffusion of a species in all turbulent systems due ...
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Fick's Laws Of Diffusion
Fick's laws of diffusion describe diffusion and were first posited by Adolf Fick in 1855 on the basis of largely experimental results. They can be used to solve for the diffusion coefficient, . Fick's first law can be used to derive his second law which in turn is identical to the diffusion equation. ''Fick's first law'': Movement of particles from high to low concentration (diffusive flux) is directly proportional to the particle's concentration gradient. ''Fick's second law'': Prediction of change in concentration gradient with time due to diffusion. A diffusion process that obeys Fick's laws is called normal or Fickian diffusion; otherwise, it is called anomalous diffusion or non-Fickian diffusion. History In 1855, physiologist Adolf Fick first reported* * his now well-known laws governing the transport of mass through diffusive means. Fick's work was inspired by the earlier experiments of Thomas Graham, which fell short of proposing the fundamental laws for which ...
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Anti-correlation
In statistics, there is a negative relationship or inverse relationship between two variables if higher values of one variable tend to be associated with lower values of the other. A negative relationship between two variables usually implies that the correlation between them is negative, or — what is in some contexts equivalent — that the slope in a corresponding graph is negative. A negative correlation between variables is also called inverse correlation. Negative correlation can be seen geometrically when two normalized random vectors are viewed as points on a sphere, and the correlation between them is the cosine of the circular arc of separation of the points on a great circle of the sphere. When this arc is more than a quarter-circle (θ > π/2), then the cosine is negative. Diametrically opposed points represent a correlation of –1 = cos(π), called anti-correlation. Any two points ''not'' in the same hemisphere have negative correlation. An example would be a negat ...
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