Novikov's Condition
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Novikov's Condition
In probability theory, Novikov's condition is the sufficient condition for a stochastic process which takes the form of the Radon–Nikodym derivative in Girsanov's theorem to be a martingale. If satisfied together with other conditions, Girsanov's theorem may be applied to a Brownian motion stochastic process to change from the original measure to the new measure defined by the Radon–Nikodym derivative. This condition was suggested and proved by Alexander Novikov. There are other results which may be used to show that the Radon–Nikodym derivative is a martingale, such as the more general criterion Kazamaki's condition, however Novikov's condition is the most well-known result. Assume that (X_t)_ is a real valued adapted process on the probability space \left (\Omega, (\mathcal_t), \mathbb\right) and (W_t)_ is an adapted Brownian motion: If the condition : \mathbb\left ^ \right\infty is fulfilled then the process : \ \mathcal\left( \int_0^t X_s \; dW_s \righ ...
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Probability Theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event. Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is not possible to perfectly predict random events, much can be said about their behavior. Two major results in probability ...
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Stochastic Process
In probability theory and related fields, a stochastic () or random process is a mathematical object usually defined as a family of random variables. Stochastic processes are widely used as mathematical models of systems and phenomena that appear to vary in a random manner. Examples include the growth of a bacterial population, an electrical current fluctuating due to thermal noise, or the movement of a gas molecule. Stochastic processes have applications in many disciplines such as biology, chemistry, ecology, neuroscience, physics, image processing, signal processing, control theory, information theory, computer science, cryptography and telecommunications. Furthermore, seemingly random changes in financial markets have motivated the extensive use of stochastic processes in finance. Applications and the study of phenomena have in turn inspired the proposal of new stochastic processes. Examples of such stochastic processes include the Wiener process or Brownian motion process, ...
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Girsanov's Theorem
In probability theory, the Girsanov theorem tells how stochastic processes change under changes in measure. The theorem is especially important in the theory of financial mathematics as it tells how to convert from the physical measure which describes the probability that an underlying instrument (such as a share price or interest rate) will take a particular value or values to the risk-neutral measure which is a very useful tool for evaluating the value of derivatives on the underlying. History Results of this type were first proved by Cameron-Martin in the 1940s and by Igor Girsanov in 1960. They have been subsequently extended to more general classes of process culminating in the general form of Lenglart (1977). Significance Girsanov's theorem is important in the general theory of stochastic processes since it enables the key result that if ''Q'' is a measure that is absolutely continuous with respect to ''P'' then every ''P''-semimartingale is a ''Q''-semimartingale. ...
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Martingale (probability Theory)
In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values. History Originally, '' martingale'' referred to a class of betting strategies that was popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins their stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double their bet after every loss so that the first win would recover all previous losses plus win a profit equal to the original stake. As the gambler's wealth and available time jointly approach infinity, their probability of eventually flipping heads approaches 1, which makes the martingale betting strategy seem like a sure thing. However, the exponential growth of the bets eventually bankrupts its users due to f ...
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Brownian Motion
Brownian motion, or pedesis (from grc, πήδησις "leaping"), is the random motion of particles suspended in a medium (a liquid or a gas). This pattern of motion typically consists of random fluctuations in a particle's position inside a fluid sub-domain, followed by a relocation to another sub-domain. Each relocation is followed by more fluctuations within the new closed volume. This pattern describes a fluid at thermal equilibrium, defined by a given temperature. Within such a fluid, there exists no preferential direction of flow (as in transport phenomena). More specifically, the fluid's overall linear and angular momenta remain null over time. The kinetic energies of the molecular Brownian motions, together with those of molecular rotations and vibrations, sum up to the caloric component of a fluid's internal energy (the equipartition theorem). This motion is named after the botanist Robert Brown, who first described the phenomenon in 1827, while looking throu ...
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Measure (mathematics)
In mathematics, the concept of a measure is a generalization and formalization of geometrical measures ( length, area, volume) and other common notions, such as mass and probability of events. These seemingly distinct concepts have many similarities and can often be treated together in a single mathematical context. Measures are foundational in probability theory, integration theory, and can be generalized to assume negative values, as with electrical charge. Far-reaching generalizations (such as spectral measures and projection-valued measures) of measure are widely used in quantum physics and physics in general. The intuition behind this concept dates back to ancient Greece, when Archimedes tried to calculate the area of a circle. But it was not until the late 19th and early 20th centuries that measure theory became a branch of mathematics. The foundations of modern measure theory were laid in the works of Émile Borel, Henri Lebesgue, Nikolai Luzin, Johann Radon, Const ...
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Alexander Novikov (mathematician)
Alexander Novikov is a professor Emeritus at the Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney. Prior to this current appointment in 1999 he was Leading Research Fellow at the Steklov Mathematical Institute (Moscow, since 1970) and Senior Lecture at the University of Newcastle (Australia, from 1996 to 1999). Alexander was born in the Soviet Union, and currently lives in Australia. His research interest includes stochastic processes, statistics of random processes, sequential analysis, random fields, and mathematical finance. He is the author of Novikov's condition. He received a PhD in Mathematics in 1972 and his Doctor of Science degree in 1982, both from the Steklov Mathematical Institute, with his thesis supervised by Albert Shiryaev Albert Nikolayevich Shiryaev (russian: Альбе́рт Никола́евич Ширя́ев; born October 12, 1934) is a Soviet and Russian mathematician. He is known for his work in probability theory, statistics and ...
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Kazamaki's Condition
In mathematics, Kazamaki's condition gives a sufficient criterion ensuring that the Doléans-Dade exponential of a local martingale is a true martingale. This is particularly important if Girsanov's theorem is to be applied to perform a change of measure. Kazamaki's condition is more general than Novikov's condition In probability theory, Novikov's condition is the sufficient condition for a stochastic process which takes the form of the Radon–Nikodym derivative in Girsanov's theorem to be a martingale. If satisfied together with other conditions, Girsanov .... Statement of Kazamaki's condition Let M = (M_t)_ be a continuous local martingale with respect to a right-continuous filtration (\mathcal_t)_. If (\exp(M_t/2))_ is a uniformly integrable submartingale, then the Doléans-Dade exponential ''Ɛ''(''M'') of M is a uniformly integrable martingale. References * Martingale theory {{probability-stub ...
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Springer-Verlag
Springer Science+Business Media, commonly known as Springer, is a German multinational publishing company of books, e-books and peer-reviewed journals in science, humanities, technical and medical (STM) publishing. Originally founded in 1842 in Berlin, it expanded internationally in the 1960s, and through mergers in the 1990s and a sale to venture capitalists it fused with Wolters Kluwer and eventually became part of Springer Nature in 2015. Springer has major offices in Berlin, Heidelberg, Dordrecht, and New York City. History Julius Springer founded Springer-Verlag in Berlin in 1842 and his son Ferdinand Springer grew it from a small firm of 4 employees into Germany's then second largest academic publisher with 65 staff in 1872.Chronology
". Springer Science+Business Media.
In 1964, Springer expanded its business internationally, o ...
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Filtration (mathematics)
In mathematics, a filtration \mathcal is an indexed family (S_i)_ of subobjects of a given algebraic structure S, with the index i running over some totally ordered index set I, subject to the condition that ::if i\leq j in I, then S_i\subseteq S_j. If the index i is the time parameter of some stochastic process, then the filtration can be interpreted as representing all historical but not future information available about the stochastic process, with the algebraic structure S_i gaining in complexity with time. Hence, a process that is adapted to a filtration \mathcal is also called non-anticipating, because it cannot "see into the future". Sometimes, as in a filtered algebra, there is instead the requirement that the S_i be subalgebras with respect to some operations (say, vector addition), but not with respect to other operations (say, multiplication) that satisfy only S_i \cdot S_j \subseteq S_, where the index set is the natural numbers; this is by analogy with a graded ...
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Doléans-Dade Exponential
In stochastic calculus, the Doléans-Dade exponential or stochastic exponential of a semimartingale ''X'' is the unique strong solution of the stochastic differential equation dY_t = Y_\,dX_t,\quad\quad Y_0=1,where Y_ denotes the process of left limits, i.e., Y_=\lim_Y_s. The concept is named after Catherine Doléans-Dade. Stochastic exponential plays an important role in the formulation of Girsanov's theorem and arises naturally in all applications where relative changes are important since X measures the cumulative percentage change in Y. Notation and terminology Process Y obtained above is commonly denoted by \mathcal(X). The terminology "stochastic exponential" arises from the similarity of \mathcal(X)=Y to the natural exponential of X: If ''X'' is absolutely continuous with respect to time, then ''Y'' solves, path-by-path, the differential equation dY_t/\mathrmt = Y_tdX_t/dt, whose solution is Y=\exp(X-X_0). General formula and special cases * Without any assumptions on ...
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