In the run-up to the

2021 Senedd election 1 (one, unit, unity) is a number representing a single or the only entity. 1 is also a numerical digit and represents a single unit of counting or measurement. For example, a line segment of ''unit length'' is a line segment of length 1. I ...

, various organisations carried out

opinion poll An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election) is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions ...

ing to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The date range for these opinion polls was from the

2016 National Assembly for Wales election Sixteen or 16 may refer to: *16 (number), the natural number following 15 and preceding 17 *one of the years 16 BC, AD 16, 1916, 2016 Films * '' Pathinaaru'' or ''Sixteen'', a 2010 Tamil film * ''Sixteen'' (1943 film), a 1943 Argentine film ...

, held on 5 May 2016, to 6 May 2021 when the election for the newly named

Senedd The Senedd (; ), officially known as the Welsh Parliament in English and () in Welsh, is the devolved, unicameral legislature of Wales. A democratically elected body, it makes laws for Wales, agrees certain taxes and scrutinises the Welsh Gove ...

took place and was the first Welsh election which included 16 and 17-year-olds in the electoral franchise. After January 2020 most opinion polls also included this data set to reflect the enfranchisement in the next election.

Constituency vote

The opinion polls below are gauge voting intentions for the 40

single member constituency A single-member district is an electoral district represented by a single officeholder. It contrasts with a multi-member district, which is represented by multiple officeholders. Single-member districts are also sometimes called single-winner vot ...

seats elected through the

plurality voting system Plurality voting refers to electoral systems in which a candidate, or candidates, who poll more than any other counterpart (that is, receive a plurality), are elected. In systems based on single-member districts, it elects just one member per ...

Graphical summary

The chart below depicts constituency vote opinion polls conducted for the Senedd election.

Poll results

Regional vote

The opinion polls below are gauge voting intentions for the 20

regional list The Scottish Parliament ( Holyrood), created by the Scotland Act 1998, has used a system of constituencies and electoral regions since the first general election in 1999. The parliament has 73 constituencies, each electing one Member of th ...

seats elected through the additional member system.

Graphical summary

The chart below depicts regional vote opinion polls conducted for the next Senedd election.

Poll results

Leadership polling

At various dates in the run up to the 2021 Senedd election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of these polls are displayed in this article. The polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The date range for these opinion polls is from 2019 to 2021, with the exception of Welsh party leaders where the entire polling history is shown. Most approval polling in Wales is carried out by

YouGov YouGov is a British international Internet-based market research and data analytics firm, headquartered in the UK, with operations in Europe, North America, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. In 2007, it acquired US company Polimetrix, and sinc ...

Cardiff University , latin_name = , image_name = Shield of the University of Cardiff.svg , image_size = 150px , caption = Coat of arms of Cardiff University , motto = cy, Gwirionedd, Undod a Chytgord , mottoeng = Truth, Unity and Concord , established = 1 ...

. A single score is then given to each figure, based on where the most common answer for a leader lies, with 0 representing Strongly Dislike and 10 representing Strongly Like.

Welsh party leaders

Mark Drakeford

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Mark Drakeford Mark Drakeford (born 19 September 1954) is a Welsh politician serving as First Minister of Wales and Leader of Welsh Labour since 2018. He previously served in the Welsh Government as Cabinet Secretary for Finance from 2016 to 2018 and Minist ...

, leader of

Welsh Labour Welsh Labour ( cy, Llafur Cymru) is the branch of the United Kingdom Labour Party in Wales and the largest party in modern Welsh politics. Welsh Labour and its forebears won a plurality of the Welsh vote at every UK general election since 1922 ...

and

First Minister of Wales , insignia = First Minister of Wales logo.png , insigniasize = 120px , insigniacaption = Logo , flag = Flag of Wales.svg , flagsize = 120px , flagborder = yes , flagcaption = Flag of Wales , image = File:Mark Drakeford (cropped).jpg , ...

Paul Davies

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Paul Davies, the former leader of the

Welsh Conservatives The Welsh Conservatives ( cy, Ceidwadwyr Cymreig) is the branch of the United Kingdom Conservative Party that operates in Wales. At Westminster elections, it is the second most popular political party in Wales, having obtained the second-large ...

and the former Leader of the Opposition in Wales. He resigned as Leader of the Welsh Conservatives and Leader of the Opposition on 23 January 2021, after it was exposed that he was involved in an incident which possibly broke Welsh COVID-19 regulations in December 2020.

Andrew RT Davies Andrew Robert Tudor Davies CBE (born 1968) is a British politician serving as Leader of the Welsh Conservative Group in the Senedd since 2021, previously holding the position from 2011 to 2018. He has been a Member of the Senedd (MS) since 2007 ...

became the new leader of the Welsh Conservatives and Leader of the Opposition in Wales on 24 January 2021.

Adam Price

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Adam Price Adam Robert Price (born 23 September 1968) is a Welsh politician serving as the Leader of Plaid Cymru since 2018. , he has sat in the Senedd for Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, having previously been a Member of Parliament (MP) for the Carmart ...

, leader of Plaid Cymru.

Jane Dodds

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Jane Dodds Jane Dodds MS (born 13 September 1963) is a Welsh politician who has served as Leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats since 2017. She was elected as the Member of Parliament (MP) for Brecon and Radnorshire at the seat's 2019 by-election, but ...

, the leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats.

Mark Reckless

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Mark Reckless Mark John Reckless (born 6 December 1970) is a British politician who served as a Member of the Senedd (MS) for South Wales East from 2016 until 2021, having previously served as Member of Parliament (MP) for Rochester and Strood from 2010 to ...

, leader of the Brexit Party.

Neil Hamilton

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Neil Hamilton, leader of UKIP.

UK party leaders

Boris Johnson

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Boris Johnson Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson (; born 19 June 1964) is a British politician, writer and journalist who served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom and Leader of the Conservative Party from 2019 to 2022. He previously served as F ...

, leader of the

Conservative Party The Conservative Party is a name used by many political parties around the world. These political parties are generally right-wing though their exact ideologies can range from center-right to far-right. Political parties called The Conservative P ...

and

prime minister of the United Kingdom The prime minister of the United Kingdom is the head of government of the United Kingdom. The prime minister advises the sovereign on the exercise of much of the royal prerogative, chairs the Cabinet and selects its ministers. As modern pr ...

Keir Starmer

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, the leader of the Labour Party and

Leader of the Opposition The Leader of the Opposition is a title traditionally held by the leader of the largest political party not in government, typical in countries utilizing the parliamentary system form of government. The leader of the opposition is typically se ...

Ed Davey

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Ed Davey Sir Edward Jonathan Davey (born 25 December 1965) is a British politician who has served as Leader of the Liberal Democrats since 2020. He served in the Cameron–Clegg coalition as Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change from 2012 t ...

, the leader of the Liberal Democrats.

Nigel Farage

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, the leader of the Brexit Party.

Siân Berry

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Siân Berry, co-leader of the

Green Party A green party is a formally organized political party based on the principles of green politics, such as social justice, environmentalism and nonviolence. Greens believe that these issues are inherently related to one another as a foundation ...

Jonathan Bartley

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Jonathan Bartley Jonathan Charles Bartley (born 16 October 1971) is a British politician and was Co-Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales, a position he shared with Caroline Lucas and then, from 4 September 2018, with Siân Berry. He was the Green Par ...

, co-leader of the

Approval ratings for former party leaders

Jeremy Corbyn

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on

Jeremy Corbyn Jeremy Bernard Corbyn (; born 26 May 1949) is a British politician who served as Leader of the Opposition and Leader of the Labour Party from 2015 to 2020. On the political left of the Labour Party, Corbyn describes himself as a socialist ...

, the former leader of the Labour Party.

Jo Swinson

The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jo Swinson, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats.

Topical polling

Coronavirus handling

The following polls have asked people how well they think key figures have handled the coronavirus pandemic: very well, fairly well, fairly badly, very badly, or don't know. They are then provided with a Total Well or Total Badly figure.

Average popularity

The following averages are taken from the above breakdown of individual figures' popularity. Note for some figures polling exists prior to 2018 which is not shown here. Some figures may only have a small number of surveys.

Seat projections

Professor

Roger Scully Roger Awan-Scully, , also known as Roger Scully, is a British political scientist and academic. He has authored numerous books including: ''Becoming Europeans? Attitudes, Behaviour, and Socialization in the European Parliament'', and co-authored ...

Wales Governance Centre The Wales Governance Centre (WGC) () is a research centre and think-tank based Cardiff, Wales, which specialises in research into the law, politics, government and political economy of Wales, as well the wider territorial governance of the UK an ...

provides seat projections based on individual opinion polls at regular intervals on his blog, known as Elections in Wales.

Notes

References

External links

Roger Scully's Elections in Wales – Etholiadau yng Nghymru

Britain Elects Senedd voting intention archive (2015–present)

Results of the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election

Elections in Wales Blog
at

YouGov political figures
popularity ratings {{Opinion polling for United Kingdom elections Opinion polling in Wales

2021 File:2021 collage V2.png, From top left, clockwise: the James Webb Space Telescope was launched in 2021; Protesters in Yangon, Myanmar following the 2021 Myanmar coup d'état, coup d'état; A civil demonstration against the October–November 2021 ...

Elections in Wales Politics of Wales Opinion polling for United Kingdom votes in the 2020s

Constituency vote

Graphical summary

Poll results

Regional vote

Graphical summary

Poll results

Leadership polling

Welsh party leaders

Mark Drakeford

Paul Davies

Adam Price

Jane Dodds

Mark Reckless

Neil Hamilton

UK party leaders

Boris Johnson

Keir Starmer

Ed Davey

Nigel Farage

Siân Berry

Jonathan Bartley

Approval ratings for former party leaders

Jeremy Corbyn

Jo Swinson

Topical polling

Coronavirus handling

Average popularity

Seat projections

See also

Notes

References

External links