This page lists public
opinion poll
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election) is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions ...
s conducted for the
2019 European Parliament election in France
The 2019 European Parliament election in France were held on 26 May 2019 (and on 25 May in parts of overseas France and for some nationals abroad), electing members of the 9th French delegation to the European Parliament as part of the elections h ...
, was held on 26 May 2019.
Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (''Commission nationale des sondages'') and utilize the
quota method.
Graphical summary
The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below, excluding those conducted on behalf of a political party or movement. Trendlines are
local regression
Local regression or local polynomial regression, also known as moving regression, is a generalization of the moving average and polynomial regression.
Its most common methods, initially developed for scatterplot smoothing, are LOESS (locally es ...
s. Where possible, the scenario with ''gilets jaunes'' lists is used.
Voting intentions
Polls marked with an asterisk (*) were conducted on behalf of a political party. The May 2018 Viavoice poll was conducted for
Europe Ecology – The Greens
Europe Ecology – The Greens (french: Europe Écologie Les Verts , EELV ) is a centre-left to left-wing green political party in France. The party is a member of the European Green Party. The party was formed on 13 November 2010 from the merge ...
(EELV). The October 2018 Ifop polls tested two scenarios: one in which
Ségolène Royal
Marie-Ségolène Royal (; born 22 September 1953) is a French politician who was the Socialist Party candidate for the Presidency of France in the 2007 election.
Royal was president of the Poitou-Charentes Regional Council from 2004 to 2014 ...
did not lead the
Socialist Party
Socialist Party is the name of many different political parties around the world. All of these parties claim to uphold some form of socialism, though they may have very different interpretations of what "socialism" means. Statistically, most of th ...
(PS) list (in which the PS received 6%), and the other in which she did (in which it the PS received 7.5%). The December 2018 Ipsos poll was commissioned by
La République En Marche!
Renaissance (RE), previously known as La République En Marche ! (frequently abbreviated LREM, LaREM or REM; translated as "The Republic on the Move" or "Republic Forward"), or sometimes called simply En Marche ! () as its original name, is a l ...
and obtained by ''
Le Journal du Dimanche
''Le Journal du dimanche'' (English: ''Sunday's newspaper'') is a French weekly newspaper published on Sundays in France.
History and profile
''Le Journal du Dimanche'' was created by Pierre Lazareff in 1948. He was managing editor of ''France ...
'', and the Ifop poll fielded from 3 to 4 December was conducted for
Raphaël Glucksmann
Raphaël Glucksmann (, born 15 October 1979) is a French journalist, film director, and political figure. In May 2019, he was elected a member of the European Parliament, within the S&D alliance.
Early life and career
Glucksmann is the son of p ...
's movement
Place Publique
Place Publique is a centre-left political party in France, founded in 2018 by Raphaël Glucksmann, Claire Nouvian, Jo Spiegel, and Thomas Porcher.
In January 2019, the movement claimed 25,000 members.
History Creation
The party was officia ...
(including the movement in a union list of the left).
Ifop-Fiducial polls completed on or after 7 March listed in the table below are "rolling" polls unless otherwise denoted by two asterisks (**), as is the case with Harris Interactive polls completed on or after 26 April. Starting on 15 March, the Ifop-Fiducial poll asked specifically about a list consisting of Place Publique and the Socialist Party, as opposed to the PS alone; until 26 March, it continued to ask about a list conducted by the NPA, which later ruled out its participation in the European elections due to its lack of funds; and until 15 April, also continued to ask about a
Résistons!
Jean Lassalle (; oc, Joan de Lassala; born 3 May 1955) is a French politician who represented the 4th constituency of the Pyrénées-Atlantiques department in the National Assembly from 2002 to 2022. A former member of the Democratic Movement ...
list, which also lacked sufficient financing.
In 2014, the EELV alone received 8.95% of valid votes; in 2019, the party will run in a common list with the
Independent Ecological Alliance
The Independent Ecological Alliance (french: Alliance écologiste indépendante) was a French electoral coalition originally created to participate in the 2009 European elections composed of the Independent Ecological Movement, Ecology Generati ...
(AEI) and
Régions et Peuples Solidaires
Régions et Peuples Solidaires (English: Regions and Peoples with Solidarity) is a political federation of various regionalist parties (particularly of centre-left affiliation) in France. It was founded in 1995, in order to organise a coordinated ...
(R&PS), which received 1.12% and 0.34% of the vote in 2014, respectively, for a total of 10.41% of votes in 2014. The PS, which will run in a common list alongside Place Publique, received 13.98% of valid votes in 2014; in 2019, it will also be allied with
New Deal
The New Deal was a series of programs, public work projects, financial reforms, and regulations enacted by President Franklin D. Roosevelt in the United States between 1933 and 1939. Major federal programs agencies included the Civilian Cons ...
, which received 2.90% of the vote in 2014; together, the lists received 16.88% of the vote in 2014.
On 4 May 2019, following the publication of the entire list of 33 electoral lists in the election by the Ministry of the Interior, the polling commission recommended that pollsters test all 33 lists with the names, supporting parties, and lead candidates, and list the individual scores for each list even for those lists which obtain only low voting intentions, using a designation such as "less than 0.5%" if necessary.
The publication of polls will be prohibited after midnight on 24 May 2019.
As in every national vote, several polling firms will release estimations of the results after the closing of ballot boxes, including Harris Interactive with Epoka (on behalf of TF1, RTL, ''Le Figaro''), as well as Ipsos with Sopra Steria (on behalf of France Télévisions with Radio France), a partnership running through 2022.
See also
*
Opinion polling for the 2014 European Parliament election in France
*
Opinion polling for the 2009 European Parliament election in France
Notes
;Additional lists
References
External links
Notices of the French polling commissionContinuous results for the Ifop-Fiducial rolling poll (Ifop site)Continuous results for the Ifop-Fiducial rolling poll (''Paris Match'' site)Continuous results for the Harris Interactive rolling poll{{in lang, fr
2019 European Parliament election in France
Opinion polling in France
France
France (), officially the French Republic ( ), is a country primarily located in Western Europe. It also comprises of Overseas France, overseas regions and territories in the Americas and the Atlantic Ocean, Atlantic, Pacific Ocean, Pac ...