2025 Ecuadorian General Election

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ecuador on 9 February 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on 13 April 2025. Incumbent President Daniel Noboa is running for re-election, having been elected in the 2023 general election. The election will also elect members of the National Assembly to a full four year term.

Background

In 2024, the country faced a military and security conflict when Los Choneros leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar escaped from prison in the city of Guayaquil, on the day of his scheduled transfer to a maximum-security prison. The events were reported the next day by authorities, with charges being filed against two prison guards. Following the escape, Noboa declared a state of emergency, to last for 60 days. Riots ensued in multiple prisons across Ecuador following Noboa's decree of military use in prisons. Two days later, mass armed attacks occurred throughout the country, including armed groups storming a television broadcasting station mid-air.

In May 2024, Noboa filed to run for re-election with the National Electoral Council under a "special" registration number.

Electoral system

The president is elected using a modified two-round system, with a candidate required to get over 50% of the vote, or get over 40% of the vote and be 10 points ahead of their nearest rival, to be elected in the first round. The president is limited to two consecutive four-year terms. However, Noboa is currently serving the remaining term of Guillermo Lasso, whose of ''muerte cruzada'' called for the 2023 snap general elections and his early conclusion of his presidency.

Members of the National Assembly are elected by three methods. Fifteen are elected by closed list proportional representation in a nationwide constituency. Six are elected by overseas voters (two each from Canada/United States, Latin America and Asia/Europe/Oceania). The remaining 116 members are elected from multi-member constituencies by closed list proportional representation, with all seats allocated using the Webster method. Members of the National Assembly are limited to two four-year terms, regardless if they are consecutive or not. There are gender quotas for the party lists, meaning there is alternation between men and women. There are no quotas for minority representation.

Presidential candidates

Declared pre-candidates

Minor pre-candidates

* Pedro Granja ( PSE), criminal lawyer

Potential

, there has been speculation about the potential candidacy of the following notable individuals within the previous six months.
* Henry Kronfle ( PSC), President of the National Assembly (2023–present) and member of the National Assembly (2017–present)
* Dallyana Passailaigue ( PSC), member of the National Assembly (2017–present)

Declined

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy but have publicly denied interest in running or were rejected as pre-candidates and declined to pursue further with their candidacies.
* Bolívar Armijos Velasco, President of the National Council of Rural Parochial Governments of Ecuador (2014–2019) and 2023 presidential candidate
* Lucio Gutiérrez, Member of the National Assembly (2023–present) and 43rd President of Ecuador (2003–2005)
* Guillermo Lasso, 47th President of Ecuador (2021–2023)
* Diana Salazar Méndez, Attorney General of Ecuador (2019–present)
* Jan Topić, businessman and 2023 presidential candidate

Opinion polling

Pre-candidates

References

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