2024 United States Senate Election In Texas

The 2024 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Texas. Two-term incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz is seeking a third term in office. Primary elections took place on March 5, 2024 during Super Tuesday.

Background

Texas is generally considered to be a Republican stronghold, having not elected a Democrat to any statewide office since 1994.

Republicans control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, both houses of the Texas Legislature, and a large majority in Texas' U.S. House congressional delegation.

Cruz was first elected in 2012, defeating Paul Sadler by 15.84 points and was reelected in 2018 by only 2.56 points, narrowly defeating Beto O'Rourke. The close elections in 2018 prompted some analysts to believe that Texas could become a swing state, but in the 2020 and 2022 elections, Republicans improved their margins of victory.

This race is considered to heavily favor Cruz, but some consider the race to have a potential to become competitive. Should Democrats win this election, it would be the first time they won a Texas U.S. Senate race since 1988.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

* Ted Cruz, incumbent U.S. senator (2013–present)

Eliminated in primary

*Holland Gibson, retiree
*Rufus Lopez, attorney

Declined

* Dan Crenshaw, U.S. representative from (2019–present) ('' running for re-election'')
* Adam Kinzinger, former U.S. representative from (2011–2023)

Endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

*Colin Allred, U.S. representative from (2019–present)

Eliminated in primary

*Meri Gomez, tax consultant
*Mark Gonzalez, former Nueces County District Attorney (2017–2023)
* Roland Gutierrez, state senator from the 19th district (2021–present)
*Robert Hassan, businessman
*Steven Keough, law professor and retired U.S. Navy captain
*Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman, tech entrepreneur
*Carl Sherman, state representative from the 109th district (2019–present)
*Thierry Tchenko, home repair nonprofit executive and former associate director of the District of Columbia Office of Policy

Disqualified

*Aaron Arguijo, coffee shop owner and U.S. Navy veteran

Withdrew

*John Love III, former Midland city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 ''( running for U.S. House)''
*Zachariah Manning, businessman ''( running for U.S. House)''

Declined

* Julián Castro, former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014–2017), former mayor of San Antonio (2009–2014), and candidate for President of the United States in 2020
* Veronica Escobar, U.S. representative for (2019–present) ''( running for re-election'', ''endorsed Allred)''
* Scott Kelly, retired NASA astronaut and brother of Arizona Senator Mark Kelly

Endorsements

Fundraising

Polling

Results

Green primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

*Mason Cysewski

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box
, title = Ted Cruz (R)
, list =
;U.S. Executive Branch officials
* John Bolton, United States National Security Advisor (2018–2019), United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2005–2006)

;U.S. senators
* Norm Coleman, Minnesota (2003–2009)

;Labor unions
* Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Texas

;Organizations
* American Israel Public Affairs Committee{{Cite web , url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured/ , title=Support Pro-Israel Candidates , access-date=2023-04-07 , website= AIPAC PAC
* Club for Growth
* National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund{{Cite web , last=NRA-PVF , title=NRA-PVF {{! Grades {{! Texas , url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/texas , access-date=2024-02-27 , website=NRA-PVF , language=en
* Republican Jewish Coalition{{Cite web , date=July 12, 2023 , title=RJC PAC Endorses Champions of the Jewish Community, Senators Ted Cruz and Rick Scott, for Re-Election , url=https://www.rjchq.org/rjc_pac_endorses_champions_of_the_jewish_community_senators_ted_cruz_and_rick_scott_for_re_election , access-date=February 11, 2024 , website=Republican Jewish Coalition , language=en
* Senate Conservatives Fund
*Texas Alliance for Life{{Cite web , date=2023-10-05 , title=NEWS RELEASE: Texas Alliance for Life Releases First Round of Endorsements in the Primary Elections - Texas Alliance for Life , url=https://www.texasallianceforlife.org/news/news-release-texas-alliance-for-life-releases-first-round-of-endorsements-in-the-primary-elections/ , archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231005235331/https://www.texasallianceforlife.org/news/news-release-texas-alliance-for-life-releases-first-round-of-endorsements-in-the-primary-elections/ , archive-date=October 5, 2023 , access-date=October 5, 2023 , url-status=live , website=Texas Alliance for Life , language=en
* Turning Point Action{{Cite web , title=Endorsements , url=https://www.tpaction.com/endorsements/ , access-date=2023-12-14 , website=Turning Point Action
*Young Conservatives of Texas

{{Endorsements box
, title = Colin Allred (D)
, colwidth = 60
, list =
;U.S. senators
* Catherine Cortez Masto, Nevada (2017–present){{Cite web , url=https://themessenger.com/politics/hispanic-caucus-super-pac-under-fire-from-democrats-for-not-backing-latino-candidate-to-unseat-sen-ted-cruz-exclusive , archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231026191917/https://themessenger.com/politics/hispanic-caucus-super-pac-under-fire-from-democrats-for-not-backing-latino-candidate-to-unseat-sen-ted-cruz-exclusive , url-status=dead , archive-date=October 26, 2023 , title=Hispanic Caucus Super PAC Under Fire From Democrats for Not Backing Latino Candidate To Unseat Sen. Ted Cruz (Exclusive) , website= The Messenger , last=Carrasquillo , first=Adrian , date=October 26, 2023 , access-date=October 26, 2023 , language=en-US
* Al Franken, Minnesota (2009–2018){{Cite web , last=Franken , first=Al , date=July 19, 2023, title=Why I Hate Ted Cruz, url=https://www.midwestvaluespac.org/why-i-hate-ted-cruz/ , access-date=September 9, 2023, website=Midwest Values PAC , language=en-US
* Jon Tester, Montana (2007–present){{cite news , title=TX-Sen: Jon Tester helps Colin Allred (D) fire Ted Cruz, url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/8/15/2187537/-TX-Sen-Jon-Tester-helps-Colin-Allred-D-fire-Ted-Cruz , access-date=August 15, 2023 , website= Daily Kos , date=August 15, 2023
* Tina Smith, Minnesota (2018–present){{cite web, url=https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2023/07/05/ted-cruz-colin-allred-preparing-for-senate-showdown-as-others-plan-to-join-the-race/ , work= The Dallas Morning News , date=July 6, 2023 , title=Ted Cruz, Colin Allred prepare for Senate showdown as others plan to join the race , last=Jeffers Jr. , first=Gromer , access-date=July 6, 2023
* Gary Peters, Michigan (2015–present)

;U.S. representatives
* Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012){{Cite web , date=2024-03-07 , title=GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Colin Allred for US Senate , url=https://giffords.org/articles/giffords-pac-endorses-colin-allred-for-us-senate/ , access-date=2024-03-12 , website=Giffords , language=en-US
* Veronica Escobar, TX-16 (2019–present)
* Lizzie Fletcher, TX-07 (2019–present){{cite news , last1=Svitek , first1=Patrick , last2=Choi , first2=Matthew , title=Dallas Democrat Colin Allred announces 2024 challenge to Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz , url=https://www.texastribune.org/2023/05/03/ted-cruz-colin-allred-2024/ , access-date=May 3, 2023 , website= The Texas Tribune , date=May 3, 2023
* Seth Moulton, MA-06 (2015–present)
* Marc Veasey, TX-33 (2013–present)

;State legislators
* Cesar Blanco, state senator from the 29th district (2021–present)
* Chris Turner, former Minority Leader of the Texas House of Representatives (2017–2023) from the 101st district (2013–present)

;Local officials
*Rodney Ellis, Harris County Commissioner for Precinct 1 (2017–present)
*Clay Jenkins, Dallas County Judge (2011–present)
* John Wiley Price, Dallas County Commissioner for District 3 (1985–present)
* Sylvester Turner, former Mayor of Houston (2016–2024)

;Individuals
*Olivia Julianna, activist
* Kelley Robinson, president of Human Rights Campaign{{Cite web , date=January 30, 2024 , title=Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses U.S. Representative Colin Allred for Senate , url=https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-pac-endorses-u-s-representative-colin-allred-for-senate , access-date=January 30, 2024 , website=Human Rights Campaign , language=en-US , last=Caesar , first=Alana

;Organizations
* College Democrats of America
* Collective PAC
* Congressional Black Caucus PAC
* Council for a Livable World
* Democrats Serve
* End Citizens United{{Cite web , date=June 26, 2023 , title=End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Congressman Colin Allred for U.S. Senate , url=https://endcitizensunited.org/latest-news/press-releases/endorses-congressman-colin-allred/ , access-date=June 26, 2023 , website=End Citizens United , language=en-US
* Giffords
* Harvard College Democrats
*Human Rights Campaign
* Jewish Democratic Council of America
* Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs{{Cite web , title=Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates: Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs , url=https://jacpac.org/story/23/06/28/meet-jacs-2024-candidates , archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230901165858/https://jacpac.org/story/23/06/28/meet-jacs-2024-candidates , archive-date=September 1, 2023 , access-date=September 1, 2023 , website=JACPA , url-status=live
* J Street PAC
* League of Conservation Voters
* Let America Vote
*Midwest Values PAC
*National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare
* National Organization for Women PAC{{Cite web , title=2024 Federal Endorsements , url=https://www.nowpac.org/2024-federal-endorsements , access-date=2024-03-25 , website=NOW PAC , language=en-US
*Peace Action
* Planned Parenthood Action Fund
*Reproductive Freedom for All{{Cite web , date=2024-04-03 , title=Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Colin Allred for U.S. Senate in Texas , url=https://reproductivefreedomforall.org/news/reproductive-freedom-for-all-endorses-colin-allred-for-u-s-senate-in-texas/ , access-date=2024-04-04 , website=Reproductive Freedom for All , language=en-US

;Labor unions
* American Federation of Government Employees
*Association of Flight Attendants{{Cite web , title=AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election , url=https://www.afacwa.org/afa_endorsed_candidates_for_2024_election , access-date=2024-02-23 , website=Association of Flight Attendants-CWA , language=en
* Texas AFL-CIO{{Cite web , title=In Another Sign of Strong Momentum, Allred Earns Backing of Texas AFL-CIO , url=https://www.gilmermirror.com/2024/01/30/in-another-sign-of-strong-momentum-allred-earns-backing-of-texas-afl-cio/ , access-date=January 30, 2024 , website=The Gilmer Mirror , language=en-US , last=Overton , first=Mac , date=January 30, 2024
* United Auto Workers{{Cite web , title=Texas , url=https://uawendorsements.org/map/texas/ , access-date=2024-03-04 , website=UAW Endorsements , language=en-US

Polling

{, class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
, - valign=bottom
! Poll source
! Date(s)
administered
! Sample
size{{efn, name="Key"
! Margin
of error
! style="width:100px;", Ted
Cruz (R)
! style="width:100px;", Colin
Allred (D)
! Other
! Undecided
, -
, style="text-align:left;
Marist College
, data-sort-value="2024-03-26" , March 18–21, 2024
, 1,117 (RV)
, ± 3.8%
, {{party shading/Republican, 51%
, 45%
, 1%
, 3%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
UT Tyler
, February 18–26, 2024
, 1,167 (RV)
, ± 3.2%
, 41%
, 41%
, 7%
, 12%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
YouGov
{Efn-ua, name=TPP, Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
, February 2–12, 2024
, 1,200 (RV)
, ± 3.49%
, {{party shading/Republican, 46%
, 32%
, 9%
, 13%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
National Public Affairs
, data-sort-value="2024-02-08" , February 6–8, 2024
, 807 (LV)
, ± 3.5%
, 44%
, 44%
, {{endash
, 12%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
YouGov
{Efn-ua, name=HSPA
, data-sort-value="2024-02-01" , January 11–24, 2024
, 1,145 (RV)
, ± 2.5%
, {{party shading/Republican, 48%
, 39%
, 4%{{Efn, name=TBrown, Ted Brown with 4%
, 9%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
Emerson College
{Efn-ua, name=emnx
, data-sort-value="2024-01-18" , January 13–15, 2024
, 1,315 (RV)
, ± 2.6%
, {{party shading/Republican, 42%
, 40%
, 8%
, 11%
, -
, style="text-align:left;"
YouGov
{Efn-ua, name=TPP
, December 1–10, 2023
, 1,200 (RV)
, ± 2.4%
, {{party shading/Republican, 43%
, 27%
, 15%{{Efn, "Someone else" with 15%
, 15%
, -
, style="text-align:left;"
University of Texas at Tyler
, May 10–21, 2023
, 1,413 (RV)
, ± 3.0%
, {{party shading/Republican, 42%
, 37%
, 8%{{Efn, "Someone else" with 7%; Refused to answer with 1%
, 14%
, -
, style="text-align:left;"
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
, May 8–17, 2023
, 1,000 (RV)
, ± 2.9%
, {{party shading/Republican, 47%
, 40%
, 4%{{Efn, Libertarian candidate with 2%; Green Party candidate with 2%
, 9%

{{hidden begin, titlestyle=background:#cff, title=Hypothetical polling, contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;

;Ted Cruz vs. Roland Gutierrez
{, class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
, - valign=bottom
! Poll source
! Date(s)
administered
! Sample
size{{efn, name="Key"
! Margin
of error
! style="width:100px;", Ted
Cruz (R)
! style="width:100px;", Roland
Gutierrez (D)
! Other
! Undecided
, -
, style="text-align:left;
YouGov
{Efn-ua, name=TPP, Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
, February 2–12, 2024
, 1,200 (RV)
, ± 3.49%
, {{party shading/Republican, 45%
, 31%
, 9%
, 14%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
YouGov
{Efn-ua, name=HSPA, Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
, data-sort-value="2024-02-01" , January 11–24, 2024
, 1,145 (RV)
, ± 2.5%
, {{party shading/Republican, 48%
, 38%
, 4%{{Efn, name=TBrown
, 10%
, -
, style="text-align:left;
Emerson College
{Efn-ua, name=emnx, Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
, data-sort-value="2024-01-18" , January 13–15, 2024
, 1,315 (RV)
, ± 2.6%
, {{party shading/Republican, 41%
, 40%
, 8%
, 11%
, -
, style="text-align:left;"
YouGov
{Efn-ua, name=TPP
, December 1–10, 2023
, 1,200 (RV)
, ± 2.4%
, {{party shading/Republican, 42%
, 26%
, 16%{{Efn, "Someone else" with 16%
, 17%

{{hidden end

Results

{{Election box begin , title=2024 United States Senate election in Texas
{{Election box candidate with party link
, party = Republican Party (United States)
, candidate = Ted Cruz (incumbent)
, votes =
, percentage =
, change =
{{Election box candidate with party link
, party = Democratic Party (United States)
, candidate = Colin Allred
, votes =
, percentage =
, change =
{{Election box total
, votes =
, percentage =
{{Election box end

Notes

{{notelist
;Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua

References

{{Reflist

External links

;Official campaign websites
Colin Allred (D) for SenateTed Cruz (R) for Senate

{{2024 United States elections

2024
Texas
United States Senate
Ted Cruz