The 2023 Alberta general election is scheduled by law to be held on May 29, 2023 to elect the members of the

Legislative Assembly of Alberta The Legislative Assembly of Alberta is the deliberative assembly of the province of Alberta, Canada. It sits in the Alberta Legislature Building in Edmonton. The Legislative Assembly currently has 87 members, elected first past the post from singl ...

. Election dates are fixed under Alberta's Election Act but that does not affect the powers of the

Lieutenant Governor of Alberta The lieutenant governor of Alberta () is the viceregal representative in Alberta of the . The lieutenant governor is appointed in the same manner as the other provincial viceroys in Canada and is similarly tasked with carrying out most of the m ...

to specify a different day in accordance with provisions in the aforementioned Act, the

Constitution of Canada The Constitution of Canada (french: Constitution du Canada) is the supreme law in Canada. It outlines Canada's system of government and the civil and human rights of those who are citizens of Canada and non-citizens in Canada. Its contents a ...

and the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

Background

In the 2019 general election, the United Conservative Party under the leadership of Jason Kenney defeated incumbent Premier Rachel Notley and her New Democratic Party. During the ensuing

30th Alberta Legislature The 30th Alberta Legislative Assembly was constituted after the general election on April 16, 2019. The United Conservative Party (UCP), led by Jason Kenney, won a majority of seats and formed the government. The New Democrats, led by outgoing Pr ...

the United Conservatives formed a

majority government A majority government is a government by one or more governing parties that hold an absolute majority of seats in a legislature. This is as opposed to a minority government, where the largest party in a legislature only has a plurality of seats. ...

with Kenney as Premier. Notley and the NDP formed the

Official Opposition Parliamentary opposition is a form of political opposition to a designated government, particularly in a Westminster-based parliamentary system. This article uses the term ''government'' as it is used in Parliamentary systems, i.e. meaning ''th ...

. No other party won a seat even though the Alberta Party had received 9% of the vote. In preparation for the next general election, the government adopted the ''Election Statutes Amendment Act, 2021 (No. 2)'' (Bill 81 of the second session). The amendments altered the fixed election date to be the last Monday in May unless the

Lieutenant Governor A lieutenant governor, lieutenant-governor, or vice governor is a high officer of state, whose precise role and rank vary by jurisdiction. Often a lieutenant governor is the deputy, or lieutenant, to or ranked under a governor — a "second-in-comm ...

dissolves the Legislature sooner; raised election spending limits for political parties and for nomination contestants; and prohibited third-party advertisers who have a certain type of affiliation to a political party.

Timeline

2019

*April 16: The

United Conservative Party The United Conservative Party of Alberta (UCP) is a conservative political party in the province of Alberta, Canada. It was established in July 2017 as a merger between the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta and the Wildrose Party. ...

(UCP) wins a majority government in the

30th Alberta General Election The 2019 Alberta general election was held on April 16, 2019, to elect 87 members to the 30th Alberta Legislature. In its first general election contest, the Jason Kenney-led United Conservative Party (UCP) won 54.88% of the popular vote and 63 ...

, defeating the previous

Alberta New Democratic Party The Alberta New Democratic Party (french: Nouveau Parti démocratique de l'Alberta), commonly shortened to Alberta's NDP, is a social-democratic political party in Alberta, Canada. It is the provincial Alberta affiliate of the federal New Democr ...

(NDP) government which had governed since 2015. No other parties won seats in the election. *April 30:

Jason Kenney Jason Thomas Kenney (born May 30, 1968) is a Canadian former politician who served as the 18th premier of Alberta from 2019 until 2022 and the leader of the United Conservative Party (UCP) from 2017 until 2022. He also served as the member of ...

is sworn in as the 18th premier of Alberta. The first UCP cabinet is likewise sworn in.

Derek Fildebrandt Derek Alexander Gerhard Fildebrandt (born October 18, 1985) is the publisher, president and chief executive officer of the Western Standard New Media Corp. and a former member of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. Canadian Taxpayers Federat ...

resigns as leader of the

Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta The Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta (french: Parti de la liberté conservatrice de l'Alberta) was an Albertan autonomist, libertarian and conservative political party in Alberta, Canada. The party was named the Alberta First Party (french: ...

. *May 21:

Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is one of 87 districts mandated to return a single member (MLA) to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the post method of voting. ...

MLA Nathan Cooper is elected Speaker of the Legislative Assembly. *June 30:

Stephen Mandel Stephen Mandel (born July 18, 1945) is a Canadian politician and leader of the Alberta Party from 2018 to 2019. He previously served as an Alberta cabinet minister from 2014 to 2015 and as mayor of Edmonton, Alberta for three terms from 2004 ...

resigns as leader of the

Alberta Party The Alberta Party, formally the Alberta Party Political Association, is a political party in the province of Alberta, Canada. The party describes itself as a centrist and pragmatic in that is not dogmatically ideological in its approach to politi ...

. *September 4:

Cheryle Chagnon-Greyeyes Cheryle Chagnon-Greyeyes is a Canadian politician who served the leader of the Green Party of Alberta from September 2018 until her resignation in September 2019. She has worked at the University of Calgary and is Cree from Muskeg Lake Cree Na ...

resigns as leader of the

Green Party of Alberta The Green Party of Alberta (GPA, french: Parti vert de l'Alberta) is a registered political party in Alberta, Canada, that is allied with the Green Party of Canada, and the other provincial Green parties. The party was registered by Elections A ...

. Will Carnegie is appointed interim leader.

2020

*February 10: Former PC MLA

Jacquie Fenske Jacquie Fenske (born 1955 or 1956) is a Canadian politician, who served as interim leader of the Alberta Party from 2020 to 2021. She served on Strathcona County Council from 1995 to 1998, and again from 2004 to 2012. Fenske then went into provinc ...

is announced as acting leader of the Alberta Party. *March 28: Jordan Wilkie is elected leader of the

. *June 29: Members of Wexit Alberta and the

voted to approve a merger into the

Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta is a provincial political party in Alberta, Canada, which was formed through the merger of Wexit Alberta and the Freedom Conservative Party of Alberta in 2020. Views According to its constitution, Wex ...

(WIP). *July 17: The WIP announced that

Paul Hinman Paul Hinman (born 1959) is a Canadian politician and businessman. He is the former leader of the Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta since 2020 and was formerly the leader of the Wildrose Alliance (2008–2009) and Alberta Alliance Party (20 ...

would serve as interim leader until the party's founding convention and leadership contest. *November 22:

Alberta Liberal Party The Alberta Liberal Party (french: Parti libéral de l'Alberta) is a provincial political party in Alberta, Canada. Founded in 1905, it is the oldest active political party in Alberta and was the dominant political party until the 1921 election ...

Leader David Khan resigns.

2021

*January 4: Six UCP MLAs are demoted by Jason Kenney for travelling internationally during the

COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta The COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta is part of an ongoing global pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The province of Alberta has the third ...

. *January 14:

Pat Rehn Pat Rehn (born 1965 or 1966) is a Canadian politician who was elected in the 2019 Alberta general election to represent the electoral district of Lesser Slave Lake in the 30th Alberta Legislature. Elected as a member of the United Conservative P ...

is removed from the UCP caucus to sit as an independent. Jason Kenney cited a lack of constituency work as the reason for the removal. *March 6: John Roggeveen is appointed interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party. *April 7: 17 UCP MLAs sign an open letter criticizing the Alberta government for reimposing more stringent public health restrictions aimed at combatting COVID-19. *May 13: UCP MLA

Todd Loewen Douglas Todd Loewen (born September 16, 1966) is a Canadian politician and the Member of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta for Central Peace-Notley. Loewen was first elected in 2015 as a member of the Wildrose Party for the electoral district o ...

resigns as UCP Caucus Chair and releases a letter calling on Jason Kenney to resign. Loewen and

Drew Barnes Drew Barnes (born May 21, 1961) is a Canadian politician who was elected in the 2012, 2015 and 2019 Alberta general elections to represent the electoral district of Cypress-Medicine Hat in the 28th, 29th and 30th Alberta Legislatures, respect ...

are expelled from the UCP caucus through a caucus-wide vote. Both MLAs had criticized the UCP government's response to COVID-19. Both will sit as independents. *July 13: Paul Hinman is elected leader of the WIP. *July 14: Pat Rehn, Independent MLA for

Lesser Slave Lake Lesser Slave Lake (french: Petit lac des Esclaves)—known traditionally as "Beaver Lake" (ᐊᒥᐢᐠ ᓵᑲᐦᐃᑲᐣ amisk sâkâhikan in the Plains Cree language, and T’saat’ine migeh in Dene Zhatıé) or "Beaver people were over the ...

rejoins the UCP Caucus. *August 15:

Laila Goodridge Laila Goodridge is a Canadian politician in Alberta, Canada, who has served as the member of Parliament (MP) for Fort McMurray—Cold Lake from the Conservative Party since 2021. Goodridge served as Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) f ...

resigns as the UCP MLA for

Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche is a current provinces and territories of Canada, provincial electoral district (Canada), electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district will be one of List of Alberta provincial electoral districts, 87 districts m ...

to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election. *August 31: Barry Morishita is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party. *November 15: 22 UCP constituency associations announce they have passed special motions calling for a

review A review is an evaluation of a publication, product, service, or company or a critical take on current affairs in literature, politics or culture. In addition to a critical evaluation, the review's author may assign the work a content rating, ...

of Jason Kenney's leadership by March 1, 2022. *December 21: NDP MLA

Thomas Dang Thomas Kyle Dang (born April 7, 1995) is a Canadian politician who was elected in the 2015 Alberta general election to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta representing the electoral district of Edmonton-South West. Dang is the youngest MLA to ...

resigns from the NDP caucus after the RCMP search his home.

2022

*March 15:

Brian Jean Brian Michael Jean (born February 3, 1963) is a Canadian politician who has served as the minister of Jobs, Economy and Northern Development since 2022 and the member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) for Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche since Mar ...

, a former leader of the

Wildrose Party The Wildrose Party (legally Wildrose Political Association, formerly the ''Wildrose Alliance Political Association'') was a conservative provincial political party in Alberta, Canada. The party was formed by the merger in early 2008 of the Albe ...

, won the

by-election for the UCP. *March 24: UCP MLAs

Jason Stephan Jason Stephan is a Canadian politician elected in the 2019 Alberta general election to represent the electoral district of Red Deer-South in the 30th Alberta Legislature. He is a member of the United Conservative Party. Stephan is a tax lawyer, ...

and Peter Guthrie call on Jason Kenney to resign. *May 18: Jason Kenney won 51.4% of votes in favour of him staying as leader in a UCP leadership review vote. However, he announced he would resign shortly after the result was revealed. *May 19: The UCP caucus meets and decides to keep Jason Kenney as party leader and premier until a successor is chosen. *August 31:

Doug Schweitzer Douglas Edward Schweitzer (born 1978 or 1979) is a Canadian lawyer and politician who was elected in the 2019 Alberta general election to represent the electoral district of Calgary-Elbow in the 30th Alberta Legislature. He is a member of the Unit ...

resigns as the UCP MLA for

Calgary-Elbow Calgary-Elbow is a provincial electoral district for the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, Canada. Its most recent MLA was Doug Schweitzer, who won the seat in the 2019 provincial election. Schweitzer stepped down on August 31, 2022 and the e ...

weeks after resigning from cabinet. *October 6: The results of the UCP leadership election were announced, with former

leader

Danielle Smith Marlaina Danielle Smith (born April 1, 1971) is a Canadian politician and journalist who has been serving as the 19th premier of Alberta since October 11, 2022, and leader of the United Conservative Party (UCP) since October 6, 2022. Smith ent ...

elected leader and therefore the next premier. In her victory speech, she invited former UCP MLA and fellow leadership candidate Todd Loewen back into caucus. *October 7: Michaela Frey, UCP MLA for

Brooks-Medicine Hat Brooks-Medicine Hat is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is one of 87 districts mandated to return a single member (MLA) to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the post method of voting. It wa ...

resigns her seat and urges premier-designate Smith to run in a by-election there. Todd Loewen rejoins the UCP caucus. *October 11: Danielle Smith is sworn in as the 19th

premier of Alberta The premier of Alberta is the first minister for the Canadian province of Alberta, and the province's head of government. The current premier is Danielle Smith, leader of the United Conservative Party, who was sworn in on October 11, 2022. The ...

. *October 21: Wildrose Independence Party leader Paul Hinman is removed as leader by a court decision. Jeevan Mangat is named interim party leader. Hinman is appealing the decision. *November 8: Danielle Smith wins by-election in

. *November 30:

Calgary-Lougheed Calgary-Lougheed is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. It is one of 87 districts mandated to return a single member to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first-past-the-post method of voting. The district is primaril ...

MLA and former Premier

resigned from the Alberta Legislature. *December 8: John Roggeveen is appointed permanent leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.

Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election

The following MLAs have announced that they would not run in the 2023 provincial election: {, class="wikitable" , - !colspan="3", Retiring incumbent !Electoral District !colspan=2, Subsequent nominee !colspan=2, Elected MLA ,

Independent Independent or Independents may refer to: Arts, entertainment, and media Artist groups * Independents (artist group), a group of modernist painters based in the New Hope, Pennsylvania, area of the United States during the early 1930s * Independ ...

Edmonton-South Edmonton-South (previously styled Edmonton South) is a provincial electoral district in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The first iteration was used for the 1913 and 1917 provincial elections. The district was re-created again for the 30th Alberta ge ...

, Rhiannon Hoyle , - ,

Deron Bilous __NOTOC__ Deron Michael Bilous (born October 7, 1975) is a Canadian politician, who has served as a Member of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, representing the riding of Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview, since the 2012 provincial election. He i ...

, New Democratic ,

Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview is a provinces and territories of Canada, provincial electoral district (Canada), electoral district for the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, Legislative Assembly of Alberta, Canada. The electoral district covers the n ...

, Peggy Wright , - ,

Jon Carson Jonathon Carson (born 1991) is a Canadian politician who was elected in the 2015 Alberta general election to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta representing the electoral district of Edmonton-Meadowlark. Jon was re-elected on April 16, 2019 as a ...

, New Democratic ,

Edmonton-West Henday Edmonton-West Henday is a provinces and territories of Canada, provincial electoral district (Canada), electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is one of List of Alberta provincial electoral districts, 87 districts mandated to return a ...

, Brooks Arcand-Paul , - ,

Richard Feehan Richard John Feehan (born February 11, 1960) is a Canadian politician who was elected in the 2015 Alberta general election to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta representing the electoral district of Edmonton-Rutherford. He was made Alberta NDP ...

, New Democratic ,

Edmonton-Rutherford Edmonton-Rutherford is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is mandated to return a single member to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the post method of voting. The district was created in t ...

, Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse , - , Richard Gotfried , United Conservative ,

Calgary-Fish Creek Calgary-Fish Creek is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is one of 87 mandated to return a single member to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the post method of voting. The district is large ...

, ,

Ron Orr Ronald James Nelson Orr (born 1954) is a Canadian politician from Alberta. Orr is a member of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta for the electoral district of Lacombe-Ponoka since 2015. Orr served as a member of Executive Council of Alberta in t ...

, United Conservative ,

Lacombe-Ponoka Lacombe-Ponoka is a provincial electoral district in central Alberta, Canada created in 2003. The district is mandated to return a single member to the Legislative Assembly. History The electoral district was created in the 2003 boundary redis ...

, ,

Roger Reid Roger L. Reid (born August 3, 1946) is an American former college basketball coach who most recently guided the Southern Utah University (SUU) men's basketball team. He served as head coach at Brigham Young University (BYU) from 1989 to 1996 and ...

, United Conservative ,

Livingstone-Macleod Livingstone-Macleod is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is one of 87 current districts in the province mandated to return a single member to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the post method ...

, ,

Brad Rutherford Brad Rutherford is a Canadian politician elected in the 2019 Alberta general election to represent the electoral district of Leduc-Beaumont in the 30th Alberta Legislature. Prior to his election to the Legislative Assembly, Rutherford served a ...

, United Conservative ,

Leduc-Beaumont Leduc-Beaumont is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district is one of 87 districts mandated to return a single member (MLA) to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the post method of voting. History ...

, , - , Mark Smith , United Conservative ,

Drayton Valley-Devon Drayton Valley-Devon is a provincial electoral district in Alberta, Canada. The district was created in the 2010 boundary redistribution and is mandated to return a single member to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta using the first past the pos ...

, Andrew Boitchenko , -

Opinion polling

;Voting intentions in Alberta since the 2019 election The following is a list of published opinion polls of voter intentions. {, class="wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:14px" , - !rowspan="2", Pollster !rowspan="2", Client !rowspan="2", Dates
conducted ! rowspan="2" , Source !style="width:50px;" class="unsortable", UCP !style="width:50px;" class="unsortable",

NDP NDP may stand for: Computing * Neighbor Discovery Protocol, an Internet protocol * Nortel Discovery Protocol, a layer two Internet protocol, also called SONMP * Nondeterministic programming, a type of computer language Government * National Deve ...

!style="width:50px;" class="unsortable",

Alberta Alberta ( ) is one of the thirteen provinces and territories of Canada. It is part of Western Canada and is one of the three prairie provinces. Alberta is bordered by British Columbia to the west, Saskatchewan to the east, the Northwest Ter ...

!style="width:50px;" class="unsortable",

Liberal Liberal or liberalism may refer to: Politics * a supporter of liberalism ** Liberalism by country * an adherent of a Liberal Party * Liberalism (international relations) * Sexually liberal feminism * Social liberalism Arts, entertainment and m ...

!style="width:50px;" class="unsortable" ,

IPA IPA commonly refers to: * India pale ale, a style of beer * International Phonetic Alphabet, a system of phonetic notation * Isopropyl alcohol, a chemical compound IPA may also refer to: Organizations International * Insolvency Practitioners ...

!style="width:50px;" class="unsortable" ,

Green Green is the color between cyan and yellow on the visible spectrum. It is evoked by light which has a dominant wavelength of roughly 495570 Nanometre, nm. In subtractive color systems, used in painting and color printing, it is created by ...

!style="width:50px;" class="unsortable",

WIP WIP or WiP may refer to: Political parties * Wildrose Independence Party of Alberta, a political party in Alberta, Canada * Western Independence Party of Manitoba, a former Canadian provincial political party * Western Independence Party of Sas ...

!rowspan="2" style="width:50px;",

Others Others or The Others may refer to: Fictional characters * Others (A Song of Ice and Fire), Others (''A Song of Ice and Fire''), supernatural creatures in the fictional world of George R. R. Martin's fantasy series ''A Song of Ice and Fire'' * Ot ...

! rowspan="2" , Margin of error ! rowspan="2" , Sample
size ! rowspan="2" , Polling
method !rowspan="2" style="width:20px;", Lead , - !style="background:;", !style="background:;", !style="background:;", !style="background:;", !style="background:;" , !style="background:;" , !style="background:;" , , - , Abacus Data , ''N/A'' , Dec 6–10, 2022 , , 43% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 51% , 3% , — , — , — , — , 3% , 3.1% , 1,000 , Online , style="background:;" , 8% , - , style="border-right-style:hidden;" , , , style="border-right-style:hidden;" , , , colspan="12",

's UCP government passes the

Alberta Sovereignty Within a United Canada Act The ''Alberta Sovereignty Within a United Canada Act'', commonly known as the ''Alberta Sovereignty Act'', is an act introduced on November 29, 2022, the first day of the fall sitting of the 4th Session of the 30th Alberta Legislature by the Prem ...

. , - , Mainstreet Research , ''N/A'' , –3, 2022 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 47% , 45% , 3.8% , — , — , — , 0.8% , 3.3% , 4% , 615 , IVR , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 2% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –Dec 3, 2022 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 48% , 44% , 5% , 1% , — , — , 1% , 1% , 4% , 591 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 4% , - , Leger , ''Postmedia'' , Nov 24–28, 2022 , , 44% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 47% , 2% , 4% , — , — , 2% , 2% , 3.1% , 1,001 , Online , style="background:;" , 3% , - , Janet Brown Opinion Research , ''CBC'' , , , 38% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 47% , 3% , 2% , 1% , <1% , 1% , 8% , 2.8% , 1,200 , Telephone , style="background:;" , 9% , - , Navigator Ltd. , ''N/A'' , Oct 7–11, 2022 , , 38% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 53% , 4% , — , — , — , — , 5% , 3.5% , 1,002 , Online , style="background:;" , 15% , - , Leger , ''Postmedia'' , Oct 7–10, 2022 , , 42% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 44% , 3% , 4% , — , — , 4% , 4% , 3.1% , 1,000 , Online , style="background:;" , 2% , - , style="border-right-style:hidden;" , , , style="border-right-style:hidden;" , , , colspan="12",

elected leader of the UCP and is appointed premier on October 11th. , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –21, 2022 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 47% , 41% , 4% , 2% , — , — , 5% , 1% , 3% , 598 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 6% , - , Leger , ''Postmedia'' , Sep 1–5, 2022 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 44% , 41% , 4% , 2% , — , — , 4% , 3% , 3.1% , 1,006 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 3% , - , Leger , ''Postmedia'' , July 15–17, 2022 , , 41% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 45% , 5% , 2% , — , — , 4% , 3% , 3.1% , 1,025 , Online , style="background:;" , 4% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –13, 2022 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 42% , 40% , 6% , 2% , — , — , 9% , 2% , 4% , 592 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 2% , - , Counsel , ''N/A'' , –11, 2022 , , 37% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 42% , 5% , — , — , — , 8% , 9% , 3.5% , 788 , Online , style="background:;" , 5% , - , Leger , ''N/A'' , –23, 2022 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 42% , 40% , 3% , 3% , — , — , 5% , 4% , 3.1% , 1,000 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 2% , - , style="border-right-style:hidden;" , , , style="border-right-style:hidden;" , , , colspan="12",

announced his intention to resign as

and leader of the UCP. , - , ThinkHQ , ''N/A'' , , , 34% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 46% , 5% , 2% , — , — , 13% , 2% , 2.9% , 1,135 , Online , style="background:;" , 12% , - , Mainstreet Research , ''N/A'' , –24, 2022 , , 37% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 40% , 6% , 2% , — , 1% , 9% , 4% , 3% , 1,290 , IVR , style="background:;" , 3% , - , Leger , ''N/A'' , –20, 2022 , , 35% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 44% , 3% , 4% , — , — , 8% , 6% , 3.1% , 1,002 , Online , style="background:;" , 9% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –15, 2022 , , 38% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 40% , 6% , 2% , — , — , 11% , 3% , 4% , 584 , Online , style="background:;" , 2% , - , Research Co. , ''N/A'' , –13, 2022 , , 30% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 45% , 7% , 5% , 1% , 3% , 8% , 1% , 4% , 600 , Online , style="background:;" , 15% , - , Janet Brown Opinion Research , ''N/A'' , , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 40% , 36% , — , — , — , — , — , — , 3.3% , 900 , Telephone , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 4% , - , Yorkville Strategies , ''N/A'' , , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 44% , 39% , 4% , 3% , — , — , 8% , 2% , 4% , 600 , Telephone , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 5% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –12, 2022 , , 31% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 42% , 8% , 1% , — , — , 16% , 2% , 4% , 548 , Online , style="background:;" , 11% , - , Leger , ''Postmedia'' , –5, 2021 , , 32% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 43% , — , — , — , — , 10% , — , 2.8% , 1,249 , Online , style="background:;" , 11% , - , Nanos , ''Yellowstone to Yukon'' , –Nov 1, 2021 , Note: UCP number combines responses for "UCP under Jason Kenney" and "UCP under a different leader". , 38.8% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 47.2% , 6.5% , 2.1% , — , 0.1% , 3.3% , 1.8% , 3.5% , 801 , Online , style="background:;" , 8.4% , - , Mainstreet Research , ''Western Standard'' , –13, 2021 , , 29% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 45% , 6% , 2% , — , 1% , 13% , — , 3.2% , 935 , IVR , style="background:;" , 16% , - , Commonground , ''N/A'' , –Oct 6, 2021 , , 26.9% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 49.5% , 6.7% , 5.2% , — , — , 5.3% , 6.4% , N/A , 1,204 , Online , style="background:;" , 22.6% , - , Innovative Research , ''N/A'' , –Oct 5, 2021 , , 29% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 45% , 5% , 9% , — , 2% , 8% , 1% , N/A , 672 , Online , style="background:;" , 16% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –Oct 3, 2021 , , 31% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 43% , 7% , 2% , — , 1% , 15% , 2% , 2.0% , 552 , Online , style="background:;" , 12% , - , Innovative Research , ''N/A'' , –12, 2021 , , 31% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 44% , 5% , 8% , — , 4% , 7% , 1% , N/A , 209 , Online , style="background:;" , 13% , - , Leger , ''Postmedia'' , –26, 2021 , , 34% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 45% , 6% , 4% , — , — , 8% , 2% , 3% , 1,377 , Online , style="background:;" , 11% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –7, 2021 , , 30% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 41% , 7% , 1% , — , — , 20% , 2% , 4% , 502 , Online , style="background:;" , 11% , - , Mainstreet Research , ''Western Standard'' , –20, 2021 , , 31% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 38% , 6% , 3% , — , 3% , 17% , — , 3% , 1,010 , IVR , style="background:;" , 7% , - , Janet Brown Opinion Research , ''CBC'' , , , 37% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 45% , 6% , — , — , — , 6% , 7% , 2.1% , 1,200 , Online , style="background:;" , 8% , - , Leger , ''Calgary Herald'' , –8, 2021 , , 30% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 51% , 5% , 7% , — , — , — , 6% , 3.1% , 1,001 , Online , style="background:;" , 21% , - , Commonground , ''N/A'' , –8, 2021 , , 32% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 42% , 5% , 6% , — , — , 4% , 9% , N/A , 802 , Online , style="background:;" , 9% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –March 3, 2021 , , 38% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 41% , 10% , 2% , — , 1% , — , 11% , 4% , 603 , Online , style="background:;" , 3% , - , Mainstreet Research , ''Western Standard'' , –7, 2021 , , 31% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 48% , 4% , 3% , — , 2% , 10% , 2% , 3.1% , 1,003 , Smart IVR , style="background:;" , 17% , - , Research Co. , ''N/A'' , –4, 2020 , , 40% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 43% , 9% , 2% , — , 2% , 2% , — , 4% , 600 , Online , style="background:;" , 3% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –30, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC", 43% , 39% , 10% , 2% , — , 1% , — , 5% , — , 553 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 4% , - , Environics Research , ''CUPE'' , –23, 2020 , , 40% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 47% , 8% , — , — , — , — , 5% , — , 1,205 , — , style="background:;" , 7% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –Sep 1, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;", 38% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f", 38% , 9% , 2% , 7% , 1% , — , 5% , 4% , 512 , Online , Tie , - , Commonground , ''N/A'' , –30, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 37% , 30% , — , 11% , — , — , — , 21% , N/A , 824 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 7% , - , Innovative Research Group , ''N/A'' , –20, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 42% , 32% , 9% , 12% , — , 3% , — , 3% , — , 300 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 10% , - , Innovative Research Group , ''N/A'' , –June 23, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 44% , 38% , 5% , 6% , — , 3% , — , 3% , — , 267 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 6% , - , Innovative Research Group , ''N/A'' , –June 1, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 42% , 28% , 11% , 14% , — , 3% , — , 2% , — , 276 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 14% , - , Janet Brown Opinion Research , ''CBC'' , –June 1, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 46% , 36% , 10% , 6% , — , — , — , 3% , 3.3% , 900 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 10% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –24, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 42% , 36% , 5% , 2% , 8% , 2% , — , 4% , 1.4% , 580 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 6% , - , Northwest Research Poll , ''Western Standard'' , –19, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 40% , 34% , 8% , 7% , — , 1% , 10% , — , 3% , 1,094 , IVR , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 6% , - , Innovative Research Group , ''N/A'' , –5, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 45% , 30% , 6% , 8% , — , 7% , — , 2% , — , 314 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 15% , - , Angus Reid , ''N/A'' , –28, 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 40% , 36% , 8% , 2% , 9% , 1% , — , 4% , — , 555 , Online , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 4% , - , Mainstreet Research , ''338Canada'' , , 2020 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 47% , 38% , 6% , 4% , — , — , — , 5% , 4% , 751 , IVR , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 9% , - , Stratcom , ''N/A'' , , 2019 , , 42% , style="text-align:center;background:#f7bf8f" , 46% , — , — , — , — , — , 12% , 2.2% , 1,798 , IVR , style="background:;" , 4% , - , Lethbridge College , ''N/A'' , -10, 2019 , , style="background:#5998AC;" , 58.1% , 23.2% , 5.8% , 7.8% , — , — , — , 5.2% , 3.17% , 953 , Telephone , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 34.9% , - ! colspan="16" , , - style="background:#ffd;" , colspan="2" , 2019 general election , , , 54.9% , 32.7% , 9.1% , 1.0% , 0.7% , 0.4% , — , 1.2% , — , — , — , style="background:; color:#FFFFFF;" , 22.2% , - ! rowspan="2" , Pollster ! rowspan="2" , Client ! rowspan="2" , Dates
conducted ! rowspan="2" , Source !style="background:;", !style="background:;", !style="background:;", !style="background:;", !style="background:;" , !style="background:;" , !style="background:#0F8753;", ! rowspan="2" ,

! rowspan="2" , Margin of error ! rowspan="2" , Sample
size ! rowspan="2" , Polling
method ! rowspan="2" , Lead , - ! UCP !

Background

Timeline

2019

2020

2021

2022

Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election

Opinion polling

Opinion poll sources

References

Footnotes

External links