Spline Regression
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Spline Regression
Smoothing splines are function estimates, \hat f(x), obtained from a set of noisy observations y_i of the target f(x_i), in order to balance a measure of goodness of fit of \hat f(x_i) to y_i with a derivative based measure of the smoothness of \hat f(x). They provide a means for smoothing noisy x_i, y_i data. The most familiar example is the cubic smoothing spline, but there are many other possibilities, including for the case where x is a vector quantity. Cubic spline definition Let \ be a set of observations, modeled by the relation Y_i = f(x_i) + \epsilon_i where the \epsilon_i are independent, zero mean random variables (usually assumed to have constant variance). The cubic smoothing spline estimate \hat f of the function f is defined to be the minimizer (over the class of twice differentiable functions) of : \sum_^n \^2 + \lambda \int \hat f''(x)^2 \,dx. Remarks: * \lambda \ge 0 is a smoothing parameter, controlling the trade-off between fidelity to the data and roughnes ...
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Goodness Of Fit
The goodness of fit of a statistical model describes how well it fits a set of observations. Measures of goodness of fit typically summarize the discrepancy between observed values and the values expected under the model in question. Such measures can be used in statistical hypothesis testing, e.g. to test for normality of residuals, to test whether two samples are drawn from identical distributions (see Kolmogorov–Smirnov test), or whether outcome frequencies follow a specified distribution (see Pearson's chi-square test). In the analysis of variance, one of the components into which the variance is partitioned may be a lack-of-fit sum of squares. Fit of distributions In assessing whether a given distribution is suited to a data-set, the following tests and their underlying measures of fit can be used: * Bayesian information criterion *Kolmogorov–Smirnov test *Cramér–von Mises criterion *Anderson–Darling test * Shapiro–Wilk test *Chi-squared test *Akaike informat ...
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