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Scatterplot Smoothing
In statistics, several scatterplot smoothing methods are available to fit a function through the points of a scatterplot to best represent the relationship between the variables. Scatterplots may be smoothed by fitting a line to the data points in a diagram. This line attempts to display the non-random component of the association between the variables in a 2D scatter plot. Smoothing attempts to separate the non-random behaviour in the data from the random fluctuations, removing or reducing these fluctuations, and allows prediction of the response based value of the explanatory variable.Dodge, Y. (2006) ''The Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms'', OUP. (entry for "smoothing") Smoothing is normally accomplished by using any one of the techniques mentioned below. * A straight line (simple linear regression) * A quadratic or a polynomial curve * Local regression * Smoothing splines The smoothing curve is chosen so as to provide the best fit in some sense, often defined as the fi ...
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Statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ''wikt:Statistik#German, Statistik'', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model to be studied. Populations can be diverse groups of people or objects such as "all people living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal". Statistics deals with every aspect of data, including the planning of data collection in terms of the design of statistical survey, surveys and experimental design, experiments.Dodge, Y. (2006) ''The Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms'', Oxford University Press. When census data cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by developing specific experiment designs and survey sample (statistics), samples. Representative sampling as ...
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Scatterplot
A scatter plot (also called a scatterplot, scatter graph, scatter chart, scattergram, or scatter diagram) is a type of plot or mathematical diagram using Cartesian coordinates to display values for typically two variables for a set of data. If the points are coded (color/shape/size), one additional variable can be displayed. The data are displayed as a collection of points, each having the value of one variable determining the position on the horizontal axis and the value of the other variable determining the position on the vertical axis. Overview A scatter plot can be used either when one continuous variable is under the control of the experimenter and the other depends on it or when both continuous variables are independent. If a parameter exists that is systematically incremented and/or decremented by the other, it is called the ''control parameter'' or independent variable and is customarily plotted along the horizontal axis. The measured or dependent variable is cu ...
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Explanatory Variable
Dependent and independent variables are variables in mathematical modeling, statistical modeling and experimental sciences. Dependent variables receive this name because, in an experiment, their values are studied under the supposition or demand that they depend, by some law or rule (e.g., by a mathematical function), on the values of other variables. Independent variables, in turn, are not seen as depending on any other variable in the scope of the experiment in question. In this sense, some common independent variables are time, space, density, mass, fluid flow rate, and previous values of some observed value of interest (e.g. human population size) to predict future values (the dependent variable). Of the two, it is always the dependent variable whose variation is being studied, by altering inputs, also known as regressors in a statistical context. In an experiment, any variable that can be attributed a value without attributing a value to any other variable is called an ind ...
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Simple Linear Regression
In statistics, simple linear regression is a linear regression model with a single explanatory variable. That is, it concerns two-dimensional sample points with one independent variable and one dependent variable (conventionally, the ''x'' and ''y'' coordinates in a Cartesian coordinate system) and finds a linear function (a non-vertical straight line) that, as accurately as possible, predicts the dependent variable values as a function of the independent variable. The adjective ''simple'' refers to the fact that the outcome variable is related to a single predictor. It is common to make the additional stipulation that the ordinary least squares (OLS) method should be used: the accuracy of each predicted value is measured by its squared '' residual'' (vertical distance between the point of the data set and the fitted line), and the goal is to make the sum of these squared deviations as small as possible. Other regression methods that can be used in place of ordinary least square ...
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Quadratic Polynomial
In mathematics, a quadratic polynomial is a polynomial of degree two in one or more variables. A quadratic function is the polynomial function defined by a quadratic polynomial. Before 20th century, the distinction was unclear between a polynomial and its associated polynomial function; so "quadratic polynomial" and "quadratic function" were almost synonymous. This is still the case in many elementary courses, where both terms are often abbreviated as "quadratic". For example, a univariate (single-variable) quadratic function has the form :f(x)=ax^2+bx+c,\quad a \ne 0, where is its variable. The graph of a univariate quadratic function is a parabola, a curve that has an axis of symmetry parallel to the -axis. If a quadratic function is equated with zero, then the result is a quadratic equation. The solutions of a quadratic equation are the zeros of the corresponding quadratic function. The bivariate case in terms of variables and has the form : f(x,y) = a x^2 + bx y+ c ...
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Polynomial
In mathematics, a polynomial is an expression consisting of indeterminates (also called variables) and coefficients, that involves only the operations of addition, subtraction, multiplication, and positive-integer powers of variables. An example of a polynomial of a single indeterminate is . An example with three indeterminates is . Polynomials appear in many areas of mathematics and science. For example, they are used to form polynomial equations, which encode a wide range of problems, from elementary word problems to complicated scientific problems; they are used to define polynomial functions, which appear in settings ranging from basic chemistry and physics to economics and social science; they are used in calculus and numerical analysis to approximate other functions. In advanced mathematics, polynomials are used to construct polynomial rings and algebraic varieties, which are central concepts in algebra and algebraic geometry. Etymology The word ''polynomial'' join ...
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Local Regression
Local regression or local polynomial regression, also known as moving regression, is a generalization of the moving average and polynomial regression. Its most common methods, initially developed for scatterplot smoothing, are LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing) and LOWESS (locally weighted scatterplot smoothing), both pronounced . They are two strongly related non-parametric regression methods that combine multiple regression models in a ''k''-nearest-neighbor-based meta-model. In some fields, LOESS is known and commonly referred to as Savitzky–Golay filter (proposed 15 years before LOESS). LOESS and LOWESS thus build on "classical" methods, such as linear and nonlinear least squares regression. They address situations in which the classical procedures do not perform well or cannot be effectively applied without undue labor. LOESS combines much of the simplicity of linear least squares regression with the flexibility of nonlinear regression. It does this by fitt ...
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Smoothing Spline
Smoothing splines are function estimates, \hat f(x), obtained from a set of noisy observations y_i of the target f(x_i), in order to balance a measure of goodness of fit of \hat f(x_i) to y_i with a derivative based measure of the smoothness of \hat f(x). They provide a means for smoothing noisy x_i, y_i data. The most familiar example is the cubic smoothing spline, but there are many other possibilities, including for the case where x is a vector quantity. Cubic spline definition Let \ be a set of observations, modeled by the relation Y_i = f(x_i) + \epsilon_i where the \epsilon_i are independent, zero mean random variables (usually assumed to have constant variance). The cubic smoothing spline estimate \hat f of the function f is defined to be the minimizer (over the class of twice differentiable functions) of : \sum_^n \^2 + \lambda \int \hat f''(x)^2 \,dx. Remarks: * \lambda \ge 0 is a smoothing parameter, controlling the trade-off between fidelity to the data and roughnes ...
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Sum Of Squared Error
Squared deviations from the mean (SDM) result from squaring deviations. In probability theory and statistics, the definition of ''variance'' is either the expected value of the SDM (when considering a theoretical distribution) or its average value (for actual experimental data). Computations for ''analysis of variance'' involve the partitioning of a sum of SDM. Background An understanding of the computations involved is greatly enhanced by a study of the statistical value : \operatorname( X ^ 2 ), where \operatorname is the expected value operator. For a random variable X with mean \mu and variance \sigma^2, : \sigma^2 = \operatorname( X ^ 2 ) - \mu^2.Mood & Graybill: ''An introduction to the Theory of Statistics'' (McGraw Hill) Therefore, : \operatorname( X ^ 2 ) = \sigma^2 + \mu^2. From the above, the following can be derived: : \operatorname\left( \sum\left( X ^ 2\right) \right) = n\sigma^2 + n\mu^2, : \operatorname\left( \left(\sum X \right)^ 2 \right) = n\sigma^2 + ...
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Least Squares
The method of least squares is a standard approach in regression analysis to approximate the solution of overdetermined systems (sets of equations in which there are more equations than unknowns) by minimizing the sum of the squares of the residuals (a residual being the difference between an observed value and the fitted value provided by a model) made in the results of each individual equation. The most important application is in data fitting. When the problem has substantial uncertainties in the independent variable (the ''x'' variable), then simple regression and least-squares methods have problems; in such cases, the methodology required for fitting errors-in-variables models may be considered instead of that for least squares. Least squares problems fall into two categories: linear or ordinary least squares and nonlinear least squares, depending on whether or not the residuals are linear in all unknowns. The linear least-squares problem occurs in statistical regressio ...
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Additive Model
In statistics, an additive model (AM) is a nonparametric regression method. It was suggested by Jerome H. Friedman and Werner Stuetzle (1981) and is an essential part of the ACE algorithm. The ''AM'' uses a one-dimensional smoother to build a restricted class of nonparametric regression models. Because of this, it is less affected by the curse of dimensionality than e.g. a ''p''-dimensional smoother. Furthermore, the ''AM'' is more flexible than a standard linear model, while being more interpretable than a general regression surface at the cost of approximation errors. Problems with ''AM'', like many other machine learning methods, include model selection, overfitting, and multicollinearity. Description Given a data set \_^n of ''n'' statistical units, where \_^n represent predictors and y_i is the outcome, the ''additive model'' takes the form : \mathrm x_, \ldots, x_= \beta_0+\sum_^p f_j(x_) or : Y= \beta_0+\sum_^p f_j(X_)+\varepsilon Where \mathrm \epsilon = 0, \mathrm(\eps ...
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Generalized Additive Model
In statistics, a generalized additive model (GAM) is a generalized linear model in which the linear response variable depends linearly on unknown smooth functions of some predictor variables, and interest focuses on inference about these smooth functions. GAMs were originally developed by Trevor Hastie and Robert Tibshirani to blend properties of generalized linear models with additive models. They can be interpreted as the discriminative generalization of the naive Bayes generative model. The model relates a univariate response variable, ''Y'', to some predictor variables, ''x''''i''. An exponential family distribution is specified for Y (for example normal, binomial or Poisson distributions) along with a link function ''g'' (for example the identity or log functions) relating the expected value of ''Y'' to the predictor variables via a structure such as : g(\operatorname(Y))=\beta_0 + f_1(x_1) + f_2(x_2)+ \cdots + f_m(x_m).\,\! The functions ''f''''i'' may be functions with a s ...
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