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Sum Of Squared Error
Squared deviations from the mean (SDM) result from squaring deviations. In probability theory and statistics, the definition of ''variance'' is either the expected value of the SDM (when considering a theoretical distribution) or its average value (for actual experimental data). Computations for ''analysis of variance'' involve the partitioning of a sum of SDM. Background An understanding of the computations involved is greatly enhanced by a study of the statistical value : \operatorname( X ^ 2 ), where \operatorname is the expected value operator. For a random variable X with mean \mu and variance \sigma^2, : \sigma^2 = \operatorname( X ^ 2 ) - \mu^2.Mood & Graybill: ''An introduction to the Theory of Statistics'' (McGraw Hill) Therefore, : \operatorname( X ^ 2 ) = \sigma^2 + \mu^2. From the above, the following can be derived: : \operatorname\left( \sum\left( X ^ 2\right) \right) = n\sigma^2 + n\mu^2, : \operatorname\left( \left(\sum X \right)^ 2 \right) = n\sigma^2 + ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Square (algebra)
In mathematics, a square is the result of multiplication, multiplying a number by itself. The verb "to square" is used to denote this operation. Squaring is the same as exponentiation, raising to the power 2 (number), 2, and is denoted by a superscript 2; for instance, the square of 3 may be written as 32, which is the number 9. In some cases when superscripts are not available, as for instance in programming languages or plain text files, the notations ''x''^2 (caret) or ''x''**2 may be used in place of ''x''2. The adjective which corresponds to squaring is ''wikt:quadratic, quadratic''. The square of an integer may also be called a square number or a perfect square. In algebra, the operation of squaring is often generalized to polynomials, other expression (mathematics), expressions, or values in systems of mathematical values other than the numbers. For instance, the square of the linear function (calculus), linear polynomial is the quadratic polynomial . One of the imp ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Residual Sum Of Squares
In statistics, the residual sum of squares (RSS), also known as the sum of squared estimate of errors (SSE), is the sum of the squares of residuals (deviations predicted from actual empirical values of data). It is a measure of the discrepancy between the data and an estimation model, such as a linear regression. A small RSS indicates a tight fit of the model to the data. It is used as an optimality criterion in parameter selection and model selection. In general, total sum of squares = explained sum of squares + residual sum of squares. For a proof of this in the multivariate ordinary least squares (OLS) case, see partitioning in the general OLS model. One explanatory variable In a model with a single explanatory variable, RSS is given by: :\operatorname = \sum_^n (y_i - f(x_i))^2 where ''y''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the variable to be predicted, ''x''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the explanatory variable, and f(x_i) is the predicted value of ''y''''i'' (also terme ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Variance Decomposition
In econometrics and other applications of multivariate time series analysis, a variance decomposition or forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) is used to aid in the interpretation of a vector autoregression (VAR) model once it has been fitted.Lütkepohl, H. (2007) ''New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis'', Springer. p. 63. The variance decomposition indicates the amount of information each variable contributes to the other variables in the autoregression. It determines how much of the forecast error variance of each of the variables can be explained by exogenous shocks to the other variables. Calculating the forecast error variance For the VAR (p) of form : y_t=\nu +A_1y_+\dots+A_p y_+u_t . This can be changed to a VAR(1) structure by writing it in companion form (see general matrix notation of a VAR(p)) : Y_t=V+A Y_+U_t where :: A=\begin A_1 & A_2 & \dots & A_ & A_p \\ \mathbf_k & 0 & \dots & 0 & 0 \\ 0 & \mathbf_k & & 0 & 0 \\ \vdots & & \ddots & ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Residual Sum Of Squares
In statistics, the residual sum of squares (RSS), also known as the sum of squared estimate of errors (SSE), is the sum of the squares of residuals (deviations predicted from actual empirical values of data). It is a measure of the discrepancy between the data and an estimation model, such as a linear regression. A small RSS indicates a tight fit of the model to the data. It is used as an optimality criterion in parameter selection and model selection. In general, total sum of squares = explained sum of squares + residual sum of squares. For a proof of this in the multivariate ordinary least squares (OLS) case, see partitioning in the general OLS model. One explanatory variable In a model with a single explanatory variable, RSS is given by: :\operatorname = \sum_^n (y_i - f(x_i))^2 where ''y''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the variable to be predicted, ''x''''i'' is the ''i''th value of the explanatory variable, and f(x_i) is the predicted value of ''y''''i'' (also terme ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Mean Squared Error
In statistics, the mean squared error (MSE) or mean squared deviation (MSD) of an estimator (of a procedure for estimating an unobserved quantity) measures the average of the squares of the errors—that is, the average squared difference between the estimated values and the actual value. MSE is a risk function, corresponding to the expected value of the squared error loss. The fact that MSE is almost always strictly positive (and not zero) is because of randomness or because the estimator does not account for information that could produce a more accurate estimate. In machine learning, specifically empirical risk minimization, MSE may refer to the ''empirical'' risk (the average loss on an observed data set), as an estimate of the true MSE (the true risk: the average loss on the actual population distribution). The MSE is a measure of the quality of an estimator. As it is derived from the square of Euclidean distance, it is always a positive value that decreases as the error a ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Least Squares
The method of least squares is a standard approach in regression analysis to approximate the solution of overdetermined systems (sets of equations in which there are more equations than unknowns) by minimizing the sum of the squares of the residuals (a residual being the difference between an observed value and the fitted value provided by a model) made in the results of each individual equation. The most important application is in data fitting. When the problem has substantial uncertainties in the independent variable (the ''x'' variable), then simple regression and least-squares methods have problems; in such cases, the methodology required for fitting errors-in-variables models may be considered instead of that for least squares. Least squares problems fall into two categories: linear or ordinary least squares and nonlinear least squares, depending on whether or not the residuals are linear in all unknowns. The linear least-squares problem occurs in statistical regressio ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Errors And Residuals
In statistics and optimization, errors and residuals are two closely related and easily confused measures of the deviation of an observed value of an element of a statistical sample from its "true value" (not necessarily observable). The error of an observation is the deviation of the observed value from the true value of a quantity of interest (for example, a population mean). The residual is the difference between the observed value and the ''estimated'' value of the quantity of interest (for example, a sample mean). The distinction is most important in regression analysis, where the concepts are sometimes called the regression errors and regression residuals and where they lead to the concept of studentized residuals. In econometrics, "errors" are also called disturbances. Introduction Suppose there is a series of observations from a univariate distribution and we want to estimate the mean of that distribution (the so-called location model). In this case, the errors are th ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Algorithms For Calculating Variance
Algorithms for calculating variance play a major role in computational statistics. A key difficulty in the design of good algorithms for this problem is that formulas for the variance may involve sums of squares, which can lead to numerical instability as well as to arithmetic overflow when dealing with large values. Naïve algorithm A formula for calculating the variance of an entire population of size ''N'' is: :\sigma^2 = \overline - \bar x^2 = \frac . Using Bessel's correction to calculate an unbiased estimate of the population variance from a finite sample of ''n'' observations, the formula is: :s^2 = \left(\frac n - \left( \frac n \right)^2\right) \cdot \frac . Therefore, a naïve algorithm to calculate the estimated variance is given by the following: * Let * For each datum : ** ** ** * This algorithm can easily be adapted to compute the variance of a finite population: simply divide by ''n'' instead of ''n'' − 1 on the last line. Because and ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Absolute Deviation
In mathematics and statistics, deviation is a measure of difference between the observed value of a variable and some other value, often that variable's mean. The sign of the deviation reports the direction of that difference (the deviation is positive when the observed value exceeds the reference value). The magnitude of the value indicates the size of the difference. Types A deviation that is a difference between an observed value and the ''true value'' of a quantity of interest (where ''true value'' denotes the Expected Value, such as the population mean) is an error. A deviation that is the difference between the observed value and an ''estimate'' of the true value (e.g. the sample mean; the Expected Value of a sample can be used as an estimate of the Expected Value of the population) is a residual. These concepts are applicable for data at the interval and ratio levels of measurement. Unsigned or absolute deviation In statistics, the absolute deviation of an element of a ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Degrees Of Freedom (statistics)
In statistics, the number of degrees of freedom is the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary. Estimates of statistical parameters can be based upon different amounts of information or data. The number of independent pieces of information that go into the estimate of a parameter is called the degrees of freedom. In general, the degrees of freedom of an estimate of a parameter are equal to the number of independent scores that go into the estimate minus the number of parameters used as intermediate steps in the estimation of the parameter itself. For example, if the variance is to be estimated from a random sample of ''N'' independent scores, then the degrees of freedom is equal to the number of independent scores (''N'') minus the number of parameters estimated as intermediate steps (one, namely, the sample mean) and is therefore equal to ''N'' − 1. Mathematically, degrees of freedom is the number of dimensions of the domain o ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Explained Sum Of Squares
In statistics, the explained sum of squares (ESS), alternatively known as the model sum of squares or sum of squares due to regression (SSR – not to be confused with the residual sum of squares (RSS) or sum of squares of errors), is a quantity used in describing how well a model, often a regression model, represents the data being modelled. In particular, the explained sum of squares measures how much variation there is in the modelled values and this is compared to the total sum of squares (TSS), which measures how much variation there is in the observed data, and to the residual sum of squares, which measures the variation in the error between the observed data and modelled values. Definition The explained sum of squares (ESS) is the sum of the squares of the deviations of the predicted values from the mean value of a response variable, in a standard regression model — for example, , where ''y''''i'' is the ''i'' th observation of the response variable, ''x''''ji'' is the '' ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Deviation (statistics)
In mathematics and statistics, deviation is a measure of difference between the observed value of a variable and some other value, often that variable's mean. The sign of the deviation reports the direction of that difference (the deviation is positive when the observed value exceeds the reference value). The magnitude of the value indicates the size of the difference. Types A deviation that is a difference between an observed value and the ''true value'' of a quantity of interest (where ''true value'' denotes the Expected Value, such as the population mean) is an error. A deviation that is the difference between the observed value and an ''estimate'' of the true value (e.g. the sample mean; the Expected Value of a sample can be used as an estimate of the Expected Value of the population) is a residual. These concepts are applicable for data at the interval and ratio levels of measurement. Unsigned or absolute deviation In statistics, the absolute deviation of an element of a ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
