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Mel Kiper Jr. ( ; born July 25, 1960) is an American analyst covering
football Football is a family of team sports that involve, to varying degrees, kick (football), kicking a football (ball), ball to score a goal (sports), goal. Unqualified, football (word), the word ''football'' generally means the form of football t ...
for
ESPN ESPN (an initialism of their original name, which was the Entertainment and Sports Programming Network) is an American international basic cable sports channel owned by the Walt Disney Company (80% and operational control) and Hearst Commu ...
. Kiper has appeared on ESPN's annual
NFL draft The NFL draft, officially known as the Annual Player Selection Meeting, is an annual event which serves as the most common source of player recruitment in the National Football League. Each team is given a position in the drafting order in reve ...
coverage since 1984. He has been widely credited for establishing mock drafting and is regarded as one of the first draftniks alongside Joel Buchsbaum.


Career

Kiper said that he approached Ernie Accorsi, then-assistant general manager of the
Baltimore Colts The Baltimore Colts were a professional American football team that played in Baltimore from 1953 to 1983, when owner Robert Irsay moved the franchise to Indianapolis. The team was named for Baltimore's history of horse breeding and racing. It w ...
, with draft reports while still a student in high school. Accorsi told him that there was a market for draft information and suggested that Kiper convert his analysis into a business. The original contract he signed with ESPN in 1984 was for $400. Kiper and fellow draft analyst Todd McShay were often featured together and compared their mock drafts on ESPN programs. Kiper compiles a "big board", on which he ranks his top 25 players every week. One of the best known moments of Kiper's career was during the
1994 NFL Draft The 1994 NFL draft was the procedure by which National Football League teams selected amateur college football players. It is officially known as the NFL Annual Player Selection Meeting. The draft was held April 24–25, 1994, at the Marriott Ma ...
, when he butted heads with
Indianapolis Colts The Indianapolis Colts are a professional American football team based in Indianapolis. The Colts compete in the National Football League (NFL) as a member of the American Football Conference (AFC) AFC South, South division. Since the 2008 India ...
general manager A general manager (GM) is an executive who has overall responsibility for managing both the revenue and cost elements of a company's income statement, known as profit & loss (P&L) responsibility. A general manager usually oversees most or all of ...
Bill Tobin. Kiper, then relatively unknown as an analyst, derided the Colts for passing on
Trent Dilfer Trent Farris Dilfer (born March 13, 1972) is an American football coach and former quarterback who is the head coach for the UAB Blazers football team. Dilfer previously played in the National Football League (NFL) for 14 seasons. He achieved ...
after trading up to the fifth pick. Tobin retorted in an interview, "Who the hell is Mel Kiper?" and noted that Kiper has "never put on a jockstrap." Kiper also remarked at the draft that the Colts were "the laughingstock of the league year in and year out," which a bemused Chris Berman noted as marking " a day which will live in infamy." When Tobin died in 2024, Kiper offered condolences on social media.


Accuracy

Kiper has received sustained criticism for the low accuracy of his predictions. According to ''Cold Hard Football Facts'', Kiper's accuracy for the first round of the 2005–2008 NFL drafts was 32 of 127 total picks (25.2%), which included players that had already signed or were in the process of signing with a team before the draft. According to ''The Huddle Report'' in 2014, based on Kiper's final mock drafts, he had accurately predicted 23% of the first round picks in the previous five years. Kiper's initial drafts were even lower, correctly predicting 17 out of 256 from 2010–2018. In 2021, ''FantasyPros'' ranked Kiper's final mock draft 87th of 182 and ''Grading the Experts'' ranked his draft 32nd of 38. In 2023, Kiper correctly predicted only one of the 31 draftees in the first round despite updating his analysis on the morning of the NFL draft after gathering additional information.


In other media

*Kiper voices himself as the ESPN draft expert, has his own mock draft in '' ESPN NFL 2K5'' and is "unlockable" as a
free agent In professional sports, a free agent is a player or manager who is eligible to sign with other clubs or franchises; i.e., not under contract to any specific team. The term is also used in reference to a player who is under a contract at present ...
longsnapper. *Kiper appears in '' NFL Head Coach'' as a draft expert. *Kiper appears in ''
Madden NFL 07 ''Madden NFL 07'' is an American football video game based on the NFL that was published by EA Sports and developed by EA Tiburon. It is the first in the video game series to debut for the PlayStation 3 and Wii consoles as launch titles and the ...
'' and '' 08'' during the pre-draft workout period.


Personal life

Kiper was born in
Baltimore Baltimore is the most populous city in the U.S. state of Maryland. With a population of 585,708 at the 2020 census and estimated at 568,271 in 2024, it is the 30th-most populous U.S. city. The Baltimore metropolitan area is the 20th-large ...
, Maryland. His wife Kim, whom he married in 1989, assists him in running Mel Kiper Enterprises from their Baltimore home; he founded the company while in college in 1981. They have one daughter.


References


External links


Mel Kiper Jr.'s website
* {{DEFAULTSORT:Kiper, Mel Jr. 1960 births Living people ESPN people Mass media people from Baltimore People from Harford County, Maryland