International Crisis Behavior Project
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International Crisis Behavior Project
The International Crisis Behavior (ICB) Project is a project that collates interstate crisis data from 1918 (the end of World War I) onward to 2017. The project was created in 1975 by Michael Brecher and Jonathan Wilkenfeld Jonathan Wilkenfeld (born March 24, 1942) is an American political scientist and professor emeritus at University of Maryland, specialized in foreign policy, terrorism and simulation methodology in political science. He is the Founding Director .... Data The International Crisis Behavior project contains data on international crises from 1918 onward (i.e., after the end of World War I) until a few years ago. As of January 2022, the newest available data is ICB Version 11, released in February 2016. The data for this version extends till 2017 and includes 487 international crises and 1,078 crisis actors. All data is available freely for download. Reception Academic reception Data from the ICB has been referenced in a number of academic papers studying the ...
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Michael Brecher
Michael Brecher (14 March 1925 – 16 January 2022) was a Canadian political scientist and teacher in Quebec. Life and career Brecher was born on 14 March 1925. He obtained his PhD in International Relations from Yale University in 1953, and joined the faculty of McGill University in 1954. He was R.B. Angus Professor of Political Science at McGill University until his retirement. His areas of research included; theory of crisis, conflict and war, protracted conflicts/enduring rivalries, foreign policy theory, international systems, the Middle East and South Asia international relations. He retired after 69 years, thereafter becoming R.B. Angus Professor of Political Science Emeritus, and a member of the Royal Society of Canada. Brecher died on 16 January 2022, at the age of 96. Selected publications Books * ''The Struggle for Kashmir'', Oxford University Press, 1953. * ''Nehru: A Political Biography'', Oxford University Press, 1959 & 2005. * ''Israel, the Korean War and Chin ...
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Jonathan Wilkenfeld
Jonathan Wilkenfeld (born March 24, 1942) is an American political scientist and professor emeritus at University of Maryland, specialized in foreign policy, terrorism and simulation methodology in political science. He is the Founding Director of the International Communication and Negotiation Simulations (ICONS) Project. Career Wilkenfeld attended University of Maryland, where he received a B.S. in Political Science. He later obtained an M.A. from George Washington University and a Ph.D. from Indiana University. Wilkenfeld has been a professor at University of Maryland since 1969, where he has worked with the university’s Department of Government and Politics and the Institute for Advanced Computer Studies (UMIACS). He is also a research professor of the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START). Wilkenfeld and Michael Brecher are the creators of the International Crisis Behavior Project (ICB), which maintains an online database of ...
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International Crisis
The term international crisis is a widespread term without a single common definition. To some, it involves "a sequence of interactions between the governments of two or more sovereign states in severe conflict, short of actual war, but involving the perception of a dangerously high probability of war". Types Lebow gives a breakdown of three types of international crises: * Justification of Hostilities. One of the nations decides, before the crisis starts, to go to war and constructs a crisis to justify it. The pattern of justification is almost always the same: Rouse public opinion, make impossible demands, try to legitimize the demands, deny your real intentions then employ the rejection of the demands as a reason for war. A recent example, commonly employed by critics of George W. Bush, is the Iraq disarmament crisis, which precipitated the Iraq War. * Spinoff Crisis. The nations are involved in a war or crisis with another nation or nations and this precipitates another crisi ...
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Philosophy Of The Social Sciences (journal)
''Philosophy of the Social Sciences'' is a peer-reviewed academic journal that covers philosophy of social science. Its editor-in-chief is Ian C. Jarvie (York University). The journal was established in 1971 and is currently published by SAGE Publications. Abstracting and indexing ''Philosophy of the Social Sciences'' is abstracted and indexed in Scopus and the Social Sciences Citation Index. According to the ''Journal Citation Reports'', the journal has a 2017 impact factor of 0.559, ranking it 40th out of 51 journals in the category "Ethics". See also * List of ethics journals This is a list of peer-reviewed, academic journals in the field of ethics. ''Note'': there are many important academic magazines that are not true peer-reviewed journals. They are not listed here. {{compact ToC, seealso=yes A * ''American J ... References External links * {{Official website, http://www.sagepub.com/journals/Journal200913/title SAGE Publishing academic journals Engli ...
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Rowman & Littlefield
Rowman & Littlefield Publishing Group is an independent publishing house founded in 1949. Under several imprints, the company offers scholarly books for the academic market, as well as trade books. The company also owns the book distributing company National Book Network based in Lanham, Maryland. History The current company took shape when University Press of America acquired Rowman & Littlefield in 1988 and took the Rowman & Littlefield name for the parent company. Since 2013, there has also been an affiliated company based in London called Rowman & Littlefield International. It is editorially independent and publishes only academic books in Philosophy, Politics & International Relations and Cultural Studies. The company sponsors the Rowman & Littlefield Award in Innovative Teaching, the only national teaching award in political science given in the United States. It is awarded annually by the American Political Science Association for people whose innovations have advanced ...
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Forecasting Principles
Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data. Later these can be compared (resolved) against what happens. For example, a company might estimate their revenue in the next year, then compare it against the actual results. Prediction is a similar but more general term. Forecasting might refer to specific formal statistical methods employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data, or alternatively to less formal judgmental methods or the process of prediction and resolution itself. Usage can vary between areas of application: for example, in hydrology the terms "forecast" and "forecasting" are sometimes reserved for estimates of values at certain specific future times, while the term "prediction" is used for more general estimates, such as the number of times floods will occur over a long period. Risk and uncertainty are central to forecasting and prediction; it is generally considered a good practice to indicate the degree of uncertainty ...
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