Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008
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This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the
2008 United States presidential election The 2008 United States presidential election was the 56th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 4, 2008. The Democratic ticket of Barack Obama, the junior senator from Illinois, and Joe Biden, the senior senator f ...
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Sarah Palin


Opinion polling


Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race


Arizona

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


California

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Colorado

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race Five-way race


Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)


District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)


Florida

27 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race Five-way race


Georgia

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race


Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)


Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Five-way race


Illinois

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Indiana

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race


Iowa

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004) Four-way race


Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)


Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Louisiana

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) First congressional district Second congressional district


Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Massachusetts

12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race Six-way race


Michigan

17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race Five-way race


Minnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)


Missouri

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race Five-way race Six-way race


Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Five-way race Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.


Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Second congressional district


Nevada

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race Five-way race Six-way race


New Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004) Four-way race Five-way race


New Jersey

15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004) Three-way race Four-way race Five-way race


New York

31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


North Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race


North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)


Ohio

20 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race Five-way race Seven-way race Eight-way race


Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race


Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)


South Carolina

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race


South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)


Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Texas

34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race Four-way race


Utah

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Three-way race


Vermont

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)


Virginia

13 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race Five-way race Six-way race


Washington

11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Wisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004) Four-way race


Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)


See also

*
Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates This is a collection of scientific, public nationwide opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Democratic presidential candidates. 2008 After Jan. Jan. 2008 2007 Before 2007 Three-way contest Head-to-head po ...
*
Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates This article is a collection of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2008 Republican presidential candidates, typically using standard statistical methodology. The public is generally sampled by land-line teleph ...
*
Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008 This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2008 United States presidential election. Presidential election Two-way contest: Barack Obama vs John McCain Democratic nominee v ...
* Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008 * Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008


Election Day projection

''FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)'' * Data derived from
Nate Silver Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball (see sabermetrics), basketball, and elections (see psephology). He is the founder and editor-in-chief of ''FiveThirtyEigh ...
's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today.
Methodology
* Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed. * The actual result matches this map with the exceptions that Barack Obama won Indiana and Nebraska's second congressional district.


References


External links


FiveThirtyEight.com:
Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling
Electoral-Vote.comPollster.com
Graphic display of aggregated polls
Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power CalculatorReal Clear PoliticsPrinceton Election Consortium
{{United States presidential election, 2008 Statewide es:Sondeo de opinión para la elección presidencial de los Estados Unidos en 2008