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In
auction theory Auction theory is an applied branch of economics which deals with how bidders act in auction markets and researches how the features of auction markets Incentivisation, incentivise predictable outcomes. Auction theory is a tool used to inform the ...
, particularly
Bayesian-optimal mechanism design A Bayesian-optimal mechanism (BOM) is a mechanism in which the designer does not know the valuations of the agents for whom the mechanism is designed, but the designer knows that they are random variables and knows the probability distribution of ...
, a virtual valuation of an agent is a function that measures the surplus that can be extracted from that agent. A typical application is a seller who wants to sell an item to a potential buyer and wants to decide on the optimal price. The optimal price depends on the ''valuation'' of the buyer to the item, v. The seller does not know v exactly, but he assumes that v is a random variable, with some
cumulative distribution function In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Ev ...
F(v) and
probability distribution function Probability distribution function may refer to: * Probability distribution * Cumulative distribution function * Probability mass function * Probability density function In probability theory, a probability density function (PDF), or density ...
f(v) := F'(v). The ''virtual valuation'' of the agent is defined as: ::r(v) := v - \frac


Applications

A key theorem of Myerson says that: ::The expected profit of any truthful mechanism is equal to its expected virtual surplus. In the case of a single buyer, this implies that the price p should be determined according to the equation: ::r(p) = 0 This guarantees that the buyer will buy the item, if and only if his virtual-valuation is weakly-positive, so the seller will have a weakly-positive expected profit. This exactly equals the optimal sale price – the price that maximizes the
expected value In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, mathematical expectation, mean, average, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informally, the expected value is the arithmetic mean of a l ...
of the seller's profit, given the distribution of valuations: :p = \operatorname_v v\cdot (1-F(v)) Virtual valuations can be used to construct
Bayesian-optimal mechanism A Bayesian-optimal mechanism (BOM) is a mechanism in which the designer does not know the valuations of the agents for whom the mechanism is designed, but the designer knows that they are random variables and knows the probability distribution of th ...
s also when there are multiple buyers, or different item-types.


Examples

1. The buyer's valuation has a
continuous uniform distribution In probability theory and statistics, the continuous uniform distribution or rectangular distribution is a family of symmetric probability distributions. The distribution describes an experiment where there is an arbitrary outcome that lies betw ...
in ,1/math>. So: * F(v) = v \text ,1 * f(v) = 1 \text ,1 * r(v) = 2v-1 \text ,1 * r^(0) = 1/2, so the optimal single-item price is 1/2. 2. The buyer's valuation has a
normal distribution In statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is : f(x) = \frac e^ The parameter \mu ...
with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. w(v) is monotonically increasing, and crosses the ''x''-axis in about 0.75, so this is the optimal price. The crossing point moves right when the standard deviation is larger.See thi
Desmos graph


Regularity

A
probability distribution function Probability distribution function may refer to: * Probability distribution * Cumulative distribution function * Probability mass function * Probability density function In probability theory, a probability density function (PDF), or density ...
is called regular if its virtual-valuation function is weakly-increasing. Regularity is important because it implies that the virtual-surplus can be maximized by a
truthful mechanism In game theory, an asymmetric game where players have private information is said to be strategy-proof or strategyproof (SP) if it is a weakly-dominant strategy for every player to reveal his/her private information, i.e. given no information about ...
. A sufficient condition for regularity is monotone hazard rate, which means that the following function is weakly-increasing: ::r(v) := \frac Monotone-hazard-rate implies regularity, but the opposite is not true. The proof is simple: the monotone hazard rate implies -\frac is weakly increasing in v and therefore the virtual valuation v-\frac is strictly increasing in v.


See also

*
Myerson ironing Mechanism design is a field in economics and game theory that takes an objectives-first approach to designing economic mechanisms or incentives, toward desired objectives, in strategic settings, where players act rationally. Because it starts a ...
*
Algorithmic pricing Algorithmic pricing is the practice of automatically setting the requested price for items for sale, in order to maximize the seller's profits. Dynamic pricing algorithms usually rely on one or more of the following data. * Probabilistic and stati ...


References

{{reflist Mechanism design