Thorvald Nicolai Thiele (24 December 1838 – 26 September 1910) was a
Danish
Danish may refer to:
* Something of, from, or related to the country of Denmark
People
* A national or citizen of Denmark, also called a "Dane," see Demographics of Denmark
* Culture of Denmark
* Danish people or Danes, people with a Danish a ...
astronomer
An astronomer is a scientist in the field of astronomy who focuses their studies on a specific question or field outside the scope of Earth. They observe astronomical objects such as stars, planets, moons, comets and galaxies – in either ...
and director of the
Copenhagen Observatory
Copenhagen ( or .; da, København ) is the capital and most populous city of Denmark, with a proper population of around 815.000 in the last quarter of 2022; and some 1.370,000 in the urban area; and the wider Copenhagen metropolitan ar ...
.
He was also an
actuary and
mathematician
A mathematician is someone who uses an extensive knowledge of mathematics in their work, typically to solve mathematical problems.
Mathematicians are concerned with numbers, data, quantity, structure, space, models, and change.
History
On ...
, most notable for his work in
statistics,
interpolation and the
three-body problem
In physics and classical mechanics, the three-body problem is the problem of taking the initial positions and velocities (or momenta) of three point masses and solving for their subsequent motion according to Newton's laws of motion and Newton's ...
.
Thiele made notable contributions to the statistical study of random time series and introduced the
cumulant
In probability theory and statistics, the cumulants of a probability distribution are a set of quantities that provide an alternative to the '' moments'' of the distribution. Any two probability distributions whose moments are identical will have ...
s and
likelihood function
The likelihood function (often simply called the likelihood) represents the probability of random variable realizations conditional on particular values of the statistical parameters. Thus, when evaluated on a given sample, the likelihood funct ...
s, and was considered to be one of the greatest statisticians of all time by
Ronald Fisher
Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher (17 February 1890 – 29 July 1962) was a British polymath who was active as a mathematician, statistician, biologist, geneticist, and academic. For his work in statistics, he has been described as "a genius who ...
. In the early 1900s he also developed and proposed a generalisation of
approval voting to multiple winner elections called
sequential proportional approval voting
Sequential proportional approval voting (SPAV) or reweighted approval voting (RAV) is an electoral system that extends the concept of approval voting to a multiple winner election. It is a simplified version of proportional approval voting. Pr ...
,
which was briefly used for party lists in
Sweden when proportional representation was introduced in 1909.
Thiele also was a founder and Mathematical Director of the
Hafnia Insurance Company and led the founding of the
Danish Society of Actuaries. It was through his
insurance
Insurance is a means of protection from financial loss in which, in exchange for a fee, a party agrees to compensate another party in the event of a certain loss, damage, or injury. It is a form of risk management, primarily used to hedge ...
work that he came into contact with fellow mathematician
Jørgen Pedersen Gram
Jørgen Pedersen Gram (27 June 1850 – 29 April 1916) was a Danish actuary and mathematician who was born in Nustrup, Duchy of Schleswig, Denmark and died in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Important papers of his include ''On series expansions determi ...
.
Thiele was the father of astronomer
Holger Thiele
Holger Thiele (September 25, 1878 – June 5, 1946) was a Danish American astronomer and discoverer of minor planets and comets.
He was the son of Thorvald Nicolai Thiele (1838–1910), the noted Danish astronomer, actuary and mathematician, af ...
.
The main-belt asteroids
843 Nicolaia
843 Nicolaia is a main-belt asteroid
An asteroid is a minor planet of the inner Solar System. Sizes and shapes of asteroids vary significantly, ranging from 1-meter rocks to a dwarf planet almost 1000 km in diameter; they are rocky, met ...
(discovered by his son Holger) and
1586 Thiele
Events
* January 18 – The 7.9 Tenshō earthquake strikes the Chubu region of Japan, triggering a tsunami and causing at least 8,000 deaths.
* June 16 – The deposed and imprisoned Mary, Queen of Scots, recognizes Philip II of ...
are named in his honour.
Selected publications
*
*
*
See also
*
Founders of statistics
Statistics is the theory and application of mathematics to the scientific method including hypothesis generation, experimental design, sampling, data collection, data summarization, estimation, prediction and inference from those results to the ...
*
Gram–Charlier series The Gram–Charlier A series (named in honor of Jørgen Pedersen Gram and Carl Charlier), and the Edgeworth series (named in honor of Francis Ysidro Edgeworth) are series that approximate a probability distribution in terms of its cumulants. The ...
*
Kalman filter
For statistics and control theory, Kalman filtering, also known as linear quadratic estimation (LQE), is an algorithm that uses a series of measurements observed over time, including statistical noise and other inaccuracies, and produces estima ...
*
Least squares
*
Thiele's interpolation formula In mathematics, Thiele's interpolation formula is a formula that defines a rational function f(x) from a finite set of inputs x_i and their function values f(x_i). The problem of generating a function whose graph passes through a given set of func ...
*
Time series
In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Ex ...
Notes and references
Notes
References
*
**1. Introduction to Thiele, S. L. Lauritzen
**2. On the application of the method of
least squares to some cases, in which a combination of certain types of inhomogeneous random sources of errors gives these a 'systematic' character, T. N. Thiele
**3.
Time series
In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Ex ...
analysis in 1880: a discussion of contributions made by T. N. Thiele, S. L. Lauritzen
**4. The general theory of observations: calculus of probability and the method of
least squares, T. N. Thiele
**5. T. N. Thiele's contributions to statistics,
A. Hald
**6. On the halfinvariants in the theory of observations, T. N. Thiele
**7. The early history of
cumulants
In probability theory and statistics, the cumulants of a probability distribution are a set of quantities that provide an alternative to the '' moments'' of the distribution. Any two probability distributions whose moments are identical will have ...
and the
Gram–Charlier series The Gram–Charlier A series (named in honor of Jørgen Pedersen Gram and Carl Charlier), and the Edgeworth series (named in honor of Francis Ysidro Edgeworth) are series that approximate a probability distribution in terms of its cumulants. The ...
,
A. Hald
**8. Epilogue, S. L. Lauritzen
*
*
Anders Hald
Anders Hjorth Hald (3 July 1913 – 11 November 2007) was a Danish statistician. He was a professor at the University of Copenhagen from 1960 to 1982. While a professor, he did research in industrial quality control and other areas, and also auth ...
. "T. N. Thiele's contributions to statistics" ''International Statistical Review'' volume 49, (1981), number 1: 1—20.
*
Anders Hald
Anders Hjorth Hald (3 July 1913 – 11 November 2007) was a Danish statistician. He was a professor at the University of Copenhagen from 1960 to 1982. While a professor, he did research in industrial quality control and other areas, and also auth ...
. "The early history of the cumulants and the Gram–Charlier series" ''International Statistical Review'' volume 68 (2000), number 2,´: 137—153.
Steffen L. Lauritzen "Time series analysis in 1880. A discussion of contributions made by T.N. Thiele". ''International Statistical Review'' 49, 1981, 319–333.
Steffen L. Lauritzen ''Aspects of T. N. Thiele’s Contributions to Statistics'' ''Bulletin of the
International Statistical Institute'', 58, 27–30, 1999.
External links
*
Steffen L. LauritzenAspects of T. N. Thiele’s Contributions to Statistics,"''Bulletin of the
International Statistical Institute'', 58 (1999): 27–30.
{{DEFAULTSORT:Thiele, Thorvald N.
1838 births
1910 deaths
20th-century Danish astronomers
19th-century Danish astronomers
19th-century Danish mathematicians
20th-century Danish mathematicians
Danish statisticians
Danish actuaries
Rectors of the University of Copenhagen