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Thorvald Nicolai Thiele (24 December 1838 – 26 September 1910) was a
Danish Danish may refer to: * Something of, from, or related to the country of Denmark People * A national or citizen of Denmark, also called a "Dane," see Demographics of Denmark * Culture of Denmark * Danish people or Danes, people with a Danish a ...
astronomer An astronomer is a scientist in the field of astronomy who focuses their studies on a specific question or field outside the scope of Earth. They observe astronomical objects such as stars, planets, natural satellite, moons, comets and galaxy, g ...
and director of the
Copenhagen Observatory Copenhagen ( or .; da, København ) is the capital and most populous city of Denmark, with a proper population of around 815.000 in the last quarter of 2022; and some 1.370,000 in the urban area; and the wider Copenhagen metropolitan ar ...
. He was also an
actuary An actuary is a business professional who deals with the measurement and management of risk and uncertainty. The name of the corresponding field is actuarial science. These risks can affect both sides of the balance sheet and require asset man ...
and
mathematician A mathematician is someone who uses an extensive knowledge of mathematics in their work, typically to solve mathematical problems. Mathematicians are concerned with numbers, data, quantity, structure, space, models, and change. History On ...
, most notable for his work in
statistics Statistics (from German language, German: ''wikt:Statistik#German, Statistik'', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of ...
,
interpolation In the mathematical field of numerical analysis, interpolation is a type of estimation, a method of constructing (finding) new data points based on the range of a discrete set of known data points. In engineering and science, one often has a n ...
and the
three-body problem In physics and classical mechanics, the three-body problem is the problem of taking the initial positions and velocities (or momenta) of three point masses and solving for their subsequent motion according to Newton's laws of motion and Newton's ...
. Thiele made notable contributions to the statistical study of random time series and introduced the
cumulant In probability theory and statistics, the cumulants of a probability distribution are a set of quantities that provide an alternative to the '' moments'' of the distribution. Any two probability distributions whose moments are identical will ha ...
s and
likelihood function The likelihood function (often simply called the likelihood) represents the probability of random variable realizations conditional on particular values of the statistical parameters. Thus, when evaluated on a given sample, the likelihood funct ...
s, and was considered to be one of the greatest statisticians of all time by
Ronald Fisher Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher (17 February 1890 – 29 July 1962) was a British polymath who was active as a mathematician, statistician, biologist, geneticist, and academic. For his work in statistics, he has been described as "a genius who a ...
. In the early 1900s he also developed and proposed a generalisation of
approval voting Approval voting is an electoral system in which voters can select many candidates instead of selecting only one candidate. Description Approval voting ballots show a list of the options of candidates running. Approval voting lets each voter i ...
to multiple winner elections called
sequential proportional approval voting Sequential proportional approval voting (SPAV) or reweighted approval voting (RAV) is an electoral system that extends the concept of approval voting to a multiple winner election. It is a simplified version of proportional approval voting. Pro ...
, which was briefly used for party lists in
Sweden Sweden, formally the Kingdom of Sweden,The United Nations Group of Experts on Geographical Names states that the country's formal name is the Kingdom of SwedenUNGEGN World Geographical Names, Sweden./ref> is a Nordic country located on ...
when proportional representation was introduced in 1909. Thiele also was a founder and Mathematical Director of the Hafnia Insurance Company and led the founding of the Danish Society of Actuaries. It was through his
insurance Insurance is a means of protection from financial loss in which, in exchange for a fee, a party agrees to compensate another party in the event of a certain loss, damage, or injury. It is a form of risk management, primarily used to hedge ...
work that he came into contact with fellow mathematician
Jørgen Pedersen Gram Jørgen Pedersen Gram (27 June 1850 – 29 April 1916) was a Danish actuary and mathematician who was born in Nustrup, Duchy of Schleswig, Denmark and died in Copenhagen, Denmark. Important papers of his include ''On series expansions determin ...
. Thiele was the father of astronomer
Holger Thiele Holger Thiele (September 25, 1878 – June 5, 1946) was a Danish American astronomer and discoverer of minor planets and comets. He was the son of Thorvald Nicolai Thiele (1838–1910), the noted Danish astronomer, actuary and mathematician, aft ...
. The main-belt asteroids
843 Nicolaia 843 Nicolaia is a main-belt asteroid discovered by Danish astronomer H. Thiele on 30 September 1916. It was a lost asteroid for 65 years before being rediscovered by Astronomisches Rechen-Institut at Heidelberg in 1981. The asteroid is orbiting t ...
(discovered by his son Holger) and
1586 Thiele Events * January 18 – The 7.9 Tenshō earthquake strikes the Chubu region of Japan, triggering a tsunami and causing at least 8,000 deaths. * June 16 – The deposed and imprisoned Mary, Queen of Scots, recognizes Philip II of ...
are named in his honour.


Selected publications

* * *


See also

*
Founders of statistics Statistics is the theory and application of mathematics to the scientific method including hypothesis generation, experimental design, sampling, data collection, data summarization, estimation, prediction and inference from those results to the p ...
*
Gram–Charlier series The Gram–Charlier A series (named in honor of Jørgen Pedersen Gram and Carl Charlier), and the Edgeworth series (named in honor of Francis Ysidro Edgeworth) are series that approximate a probability distribution in terms of its cumulants. The ser ...
*
Kalman filter For statistics and control theory, Kalman filtering, also known as linear quadratic estimation (LQE), is an algorithm that uses a series of measurements observed over time, including statistical noise and other inaccuracies, and produces estimat ...
*
Least squares The method of least squares is a standard approach in regression analysis to approximate the solution of overdetermined systems (sets of equations in which there are more equations than unknowns) by minimizing the sum of the squares of the res ...
*
Thiele's interpolation formula In mathematics, Thiele's interpolation formula is a formula that defines a rational function f(x) from a finite set of inputs x_i and their function values f(x_i). The problem of generating a function whose graph passes through a given set of functi ...
*
Time series In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Exa ...


Notes and references


Notes


References

* **1. Introduction to Thiele, S. L. Lauritzen **2. On the application of the method of
least squares The method of least squares is a standard approach in regression analysis to approximate the solution of overdetermined systems (sets of equations in which there are more equations than unknowns) by minimizing the sum of the squares of the res ...
to some cases, in which a combination of certain types of inhomogeneous random sources of errors gives these a 'systematic' character, T. N. Thiele **3.
Time series In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Exa ...
analysis in 1880: a discussion of contributions made by T. N. Thiele, S. L. Lauritzen **4. The general theory of observations: calculus of probability and the method of
least squares The method of least squares is a standard approach in regression analysis to approximate the solution of overdetermined systems (sets of equations in which there are more equations than unknowns) by minimizing the sum of the squares of the res ...
, T. N. Thiele **5. T. N. Thiele's contributions to statistics, A. Hald **6. On the halfinvariants in the theory of observations, T. N. Thiele **7. The early history of
cumulants In probability theory and statistics, the cumulants of a probability distribution are a set of quantities that provide an alternative to the '' moments'' of the distribution. Any two probability distributions whose moments are identical will ha ...
and the
Gram–Charlier series The Gram–Charlier A series (named in honor of Jørgen Pedersen Gram and Carl Charlier), and the Edgeworth series (named in honor of Francis Ysidro Edgeworth) are series that approximate a probability distribution in terms of its cumulants. The ser ...
, A. Hald **8. Epilogue, S. L. Lauritzen * *
Anders Hald Anders Hjorth Hald (3 July 1913 – 11 November 2007) was a Danish statistician. He was a professor at the University of Copenhagen from 1960 to 1982. While a professor, he did research in industrial quality control and other areas, and also autho ...
. "T. N. Thiele's contributions to statistics" ''International Statistical Review'' volume 49, (1981), number 1: 1—20. *
Anders Hald Anders Hjorth Hald (3 July 1913 – 11 November 2007) was a Danish statistician. He was a professor at the University of Copenhagen from 1960 to 1982. While a professor, he did research in industrial quality control and other areas, and also autho ...
. "The early history of the cumulants and the Gram–Charlier series" ''International Statistical Review'' volume 68 (2000), number 2,´: 137—153.
Steffen L. Lauritzen
"Time series analysis in 1880. A discussion of contributions made by T.N. Thiele". ''International Statistical Review'' 49, 1981, 319–333.
Steffen L. Lauritzen ''Aspects of T. N. Thiele’s Contributions to Statistics''
''Bulletin of the
International Statistical Institute The International Statistical Institute (ISI) is a professional association of statisticians. It was founded in 1885, although there had been international statistical congresses since 1853. The institute has about 4,000 elected members from gov ...
'', 58, 27–30, 1999.


External links

*
Steffen L. Lauritzen

Aspects of T. N. Thiele’s Contributions to Statistics,"
''Bulletin of the
International Statistical Institute The International Statistical Institute (ISI) is a professional association of statisticians. It was founded in 1885, although there had been international statistical congresses since 1853. The institute has about 4,000 elected members from gov ...
'', 58 (1999): 27–30. {{DEFAULTSORT:Thiele, Thorvald N. 1838 births 1910 deaths 20th-century Danish astronomers 19th-century Danish astronomers 19th-century Danish mathematicians 20th-century Danish mathematicians Danish statisticians Danish actuaries Rectors of the University of Copenhagen