In the run-up to the

2023 Dutch general election Early general elections are scheduled to be held in the Netherlands on 22 November 2023 to elect the members of the House of Representatives (Netherlands), House of Representatives. The election had been expected to be held in 2025, but a snap el ...

, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls are from the

2021 Dutch general election General elections were held in the Netherlands from 15 to 17 March 2021 to elect all 150 members of the House of Representatives. Following the elections and lengthy coalition formation talks, the sitting government remained in power. The elect ...

, held on 15–17 March, to election day. The next election was scheduled for March 2025, but, due to the fall of the fourth Rutte cabinet, took place on 22 November 2023. Four main pollsters performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Kantar and Peil.nl. Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.

Projections

Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages). Opinion polls NL 2021-2023

Seats

There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.

Vote share

Hypothetical scenarios

GroenLinks and PvdA merge into a single left-wing party

Pieter Omtzigt joins BBB

Pieter Omtzigt has stated he would not join BBB.

Pieter Omtzigt returns to CDA

Pieter Omtzigt has stated he would not return to CDA.

Pieter Omtzigt's party

This scenario occurred on 19 August when Omtzigt founded the

New Social Contract New Social Contract ( nl, Nieuw Sociaal Contract, ; NSC) is a political party in the Netherlands founded and led by Pieter Omtzigt. The party focuses on the themes of good governance and social security. History In early 2021, Omtzigt wr ...

party.

Notes

References

{{Dutch elections

2023 Events Predicted and scheduled events * January 1 ** In the United States, books, films, and other works published in 1927 will enter the public domain, assuming there are no changes made to copyright law. ** Croatia will adopt the eu ...