Matt Singh is an election and opinion polling analyst and founder of the website and polling company

Number Cruncher Politics Number Cruncher Politics is a political analysis and polling consultancy and blog site launched in 2014. The site is non-partisan and focusses on UK opinion polling, psephology, and statistical analysis. It is perhaps best known for correctly pre ...

, based in

London London is the capital and largest city of England and the United Kingdom, with a population of just under 9 million. It stands on the River Thames in south-east England at the head of a estuary down to the North Sea, and has been a majo ...

. Singh rose to prominence in mid-2015 for his analysis which correctly predicted the opinion polling failure and

Conservative Conservatism is a cultural, social, and political philosophy that seeks to promote and to preserve traditional institutions, practices, and values. The central tenets of conservatism may vary in relation to the culture and civilization i ...

victory at the 2015 UK general election, and more recently has become noted as a commentator and pollster on UK politics. Singh's Number Cruncher Politics publishes articles on the state of UK public opinion, and carries out regular polls of UK party voting intention. It has also undertaken commissioned polling for a range of organisations, including on race relations for ITV's current affairs show '' Peston'', on internationalism for the campaign group

Best for Britain Best for Britain is a civil society campaign, launched on 26 April 2017, to stop Brexit and continue the UK's membership of the European Union (EU). Since 2021, the organisation's aim has changed to encourage greater internationalism rather tha ...

, and on racism in Wales for

ITV Cymru Wales ITV Cymru Wales, previously known as Harlech Television and HTV Wales, is the ITV franchise for Wales. The new separate licence began on 1 January 2014, replacing the long-serving dual franchise region serving Wales and the West of England. Li ...

. As well as accurately forecasting the result of the 2015 UK election, Singh also provided commentary on the Labour Party leadership contest in August 2015, dismissing suggestions that polls were overstating support for eventual winner

Jeremy Corbyn Jeremy Bernard Corbyn (; born 26 May 1949) is a British politician who served as Leader of the Opposition and Leader of the Labour Party from 2015 to 2020. On the political left of the Labour Party, Corbyn describes himself as a socialist ...

and suggesting that they could even be understating it. In the event, Corbyn polled 59.5% of the vote, compared with the final

YouGov YouGov is a British international Internet-based market research and data analytics firm, headquartered in the UK, with operations in Europe, North America, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. In 2007, it acquired US company Polimetrix, and sinc ...

poll of 57%. At the 2017 UK election Singh was unable to repeat his success of 2015, suggesting in his ''

Financial Times The ''Financial Times'' (''FT'') is a British daily newspaper printed in broadsheet and published digitally that focuses on business and economic current affairs. Based in London, England, the paper is owned by a Japanese holding company, Nik ...

'' series ''The Election Analyst'' that the polls were again underestimating the Conservatives and that the party was likely to increase its majority. He acknowledged this "proved some way off the mark", as the Conservatives lost seats overall and the election resulted in a

hung parliament A hung parliament is a term used in legislatures primarily under the Westminster system to describe a situation in which no single political party or pre-existing coalition (also known as an alliance or bloc) has an absolute majority of legisl ...

. Singh has previously written for Bloomberg View, ''

The Times ''The Times'' is a British daily national newspaper based in London. It began in 1785 under the title ''The Daily Universal Register'', adopting its current name on 1 January 1788. ''The Times'' and its sister paper ''The Sunday Times'' (fou ...

'', the ''

New Statesman The ''New Statesman'' is a British political and cultural magazine published in London. Founded as a weekly review of politics and literature on 12 April 1913, it was at first connected with Sidney and Beatrice Webb and other leading members ...

'', and the ''Huffington Post''.

Banking career

Singh started work for Barclays Capital as an interest rate trader in 2005."The Blogger Who Beat the British Political Pollsters"
''Bloomberg Business'', 31 July 2015 He originally worked in UK Gilt trading and later Scandinavian interest rate swaps. He was noted for his instinct in trading against news event

References

External links

Number Cruncher Politics
{{DEFAULTSORT:Singh, Matt Year of birth missing (living people) Living people British statisticians Psephologists