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In probability theory, the matrix-exponential distribution is an absolutely continuous distribution with rational Laplace–Stieltjes transform. They were first introduced by David Cox in 1955 as distributions with rational Laplace–Stieltjes transforms. The probability density function is f(x) = \mathbf e^ \mathbf \textx\ge 0 (and 0 when ''x'' < 0), and the
cumulative distribution function In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Ev ...
is F(t) = 1 - \alpha e^ \textbf where 1 is a vector of 1s and : \begin \alpha & \in \mathbb R^, \\ T & \in \mathbb R^, \\ s & \in \mathbb R^. \end There are no restrictions on the parameters α, T, s other than that they correspond to a probability distribution. There is no straightforward way to ascertain if a particular set of parameters form such a distribution. The dimension of the matrix T is the order of the matrix-exponential representation. The distribution is a generalisation of the phase-type distribution.


Moments

If ''X'' has a matrix-exponential distribution then the ''k''th
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is given by :\operatorname E(X^k) = (-1)^k! \mathbf T^\mathbf.


Fitting

Matrix exponential distributions can be fitted using maximum likelihood estimation.


Software

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BuTools
' a MATLAB and
Mathematica Wolfram Mathematica is a software system with built-in libraries for several areas of technical computing that allow machine learning, statistics, symbolic computation, data manipulation, network analysis, time series analysis, NLP, optimizat ...
script for fitting matrix-exponential distributions to three specified moments.


See also

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Rational arrival process In queueing theory, a discipline within the mathematical theory of probability, a rational arrival process (RAP) is a mathematical model for the time between job arrivals to a system. It extends the concept of a Markov arrival process, allowing f ...


References

Continuous distributions {{probability-stub