In
statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ''wikt:Statistik#German, Statistik'', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of ...
, an effect size is a value measuring the strength of the relationship between two variables in a population, or a sample-based estimate of that quantity. It can refer to the value of a statistic calculated from a sample of
data
In the pursuit of knowledge, data (; ) is a collection of discrete values that convey information, describing quantity, quality, fact, statistics, other basic units of meaning, or simply sequences of symbols that may be further interpreted ...
, the value of a parameter for a hypothetical population, or to the equation that operationalizes how statistics or parameters lead to the effect size value.
Examples of effect sizes include the
correlation
In statistics, correlation or dependence is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables or bivariate data. Although in the broadest sense, "correlation" may indicate any type of association, in statistics ...
between two variables, the
regression coefficient in a regression, the
mean
There are several kinds of mean in mathematics, especially in statistics. Each mean serves to summarize a given group of data, often to better understand the overall value (magnitude and sign) of a given data set.
For a data set, the ''arithme ...
difference, or the risk of a particular event (such as a heart attack) happening. Effect sizes complement
statistical hypothesis testing
A statistical hypothesis test is a method of statistical inference used to decide whether the data at hand sufficiently support a particular hypothesis.
Hypothesis testing allows us to make probabilistic statements about population parameters.
...
, and play an important role in
power
Power most often refers to:
* Power (physics), meaning "rate of doing work"
** Engine power, the power put out by an engine
** Electric power
* Power (social and political), the ability to influence people or events
** Abusive power
Power may a ...
analyses, sample size planning, and in
meta-analyses
A meta-analysis is a statistical analysis that combines the results of multiple scientific studies. Meta-analyses can be performed when there are multiple scientific studies addressing the same question, with each individual study reporting me ...
. The cluster of data-analysis methods concerning effect sizes is referred to as
estimation statistics
Estimation statistics, or simply estimation, is a data analysis framework that uses a combination of effect sizes, confidence intervals, precision planning, and meta-analysis to plan experiments, analyze data and interpret results. It complement ...
.
Effect size is an essential component when evaluating the strength of a statistical claim, and it is the first item (magnitude) in the
MAGIC criteria. The
standard deviation
In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean (also called the expected value) of the set, while ...
of the effect size is of critical importance, since it indicates how much uncertainty is included in the measurement. A standard deviation that is too large will make the measurement nearly meaningless. In meta-analysis, where the purpose is to combine multiple effect sizes, the uncertainty in the effect size is used to weigh effect sizes, so that large studies are considered more important than small studies. The uncertainty in the effect size is calculated differently for each type of effect size, but generally only requires knowing the study's sample size (''N''), or the number of observations (''n'') in each group.
Reporting effect sizes or estimates thereof (effect estimate
E estimate of effect) is considered good practice when presenting empirical research findings in many fields.
The reporting of effect sizes facilitates the interpretation of the importance of a research result, in contrast to its
statistical significance
In statistical hypothesis testing, a result has statistical significance when it is very unlikely to have occurred given the null hypothesis (simply by chance alone). More precisely, a study's defined significance level, denoted by \alpha, is the p ...
.
Effect sizes are particularly prominent in
social science
Social science is one of the branches of science, devoted to the study of societies and the relationships among individuals within those societies. The term was formerly used to refer to the field of sociology, the original "science of soc ...
and in
medical research
Medical research (or biomedical research), also known as experimental medicine, encompasses a wide array of research, extending from "basic research" (also called ''bench science'' or ''bench research''), – involving fundamental scientif ...
(where size of
treatment effect is important).
Effect sizes may be measured in relative or absolute terms. In relative effect sizes, two groups are directly compared with each other, as in
odds ratio
An odds ratio (OR) is a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B. The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of A in the presence of B and the odds of A in the absence of B, or equivalently (due ...
s and
relative risk
The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group. Together with risk difference and odds ratio, relative risk measures the association bet ...
s. For absolute effect sizes, a larger
absolute value
In mathematics, the absolute value or modulus of a real number x, is the non-negative value without regard to its sign. Namely, , x, =x if is a positive number, and , x, =-x if x is negative (in which case negating x makes -x positive), an ...
always indicates a stronger effect. Many types of measurements can be expressed as either absolute or relative, and these can be used together because they convey different information. A prominent task force in the psychology research community made the following recommendation:
Overview
Population and sample effect sizes
As in
statistical estimation
Estimation theory is a branch of statistics that deals with estimating the values of parameters based on measured empirical data that has a random component. The parameters describe an underlying physical setting in such a way that their value ...
, the true effect size is distinguished from the observed effect size, e.g. to measure the risk of disease in a population (the population effect size) one can measure the risk within a sample of that population (the sample effect size). Conventions for describing true and observed effect sizes follow standard statistical practices—one common approach is to use Greek letters like ρ
hoto denote population parameters and Latin letters like ''r'' to denote the corresponding statistic. Alternatively, a "hat" can be placed over the population parameter to denote the statistic, e.g. with
being the estimate of the parameter
.
As in any statistical setting, effect sizes are estimated with
sampling error
In statistics, sampling errors are incurred when the statistical characteristics of a population are estimated from a subset, or sample, of that population. Since the sample does not include all members of the population, statistics of the sample ( ...
, and may be biased unless the effect size estimator that is used is appropriate for the manner in which the data were
sampled
Sample or samples may refer to:
Base meaning
* Sample (statistics), a subset of a population – complete data set
* Sample (signal), a digital discrete sample of a continuous analog signal
* Sample (material), a specimen or small quantity of so ...
and the manner in which the measurements were made. An example of this is
publication bias
In published academic research, publication bias occurs when the outcome of an experiment or research study biases the decision to publish or otherwise distribute it. Publishing only results that show a significant finding disturbs the balance o ...
, which occurs when scientists report results only when the estimated effect sizes are large or are statistically significant. As a result, if many researchers carry out studies with low statistical power, the reported effect sizes will tend to be larger than the true (population) effects, if any.
Another example where effect sizes may be distorted is in a multiple-trial experiment, where the effect size calculation is based on the averaged or aggregated response across the trials.
Smaller studies sometimes show different, often larger, effect sizes than larger studies. This phenomenon is known as the small-study effect, which may signal publication bias.
Relationship to test statistics
Sample-based effect sizes are distinguished from
test statistic
A test statistic is a statistic (a quantity derived from the sample) used in statistical hypothesis testing.Berger, R. L.; Casella, G. (2001). ''Statistical Inference'', Duxbury Press, Second Edition (p.374) A hypothesis test is typically specifi ...
s used in hypothesis testing, in that they estimate the strength (magnitude) of, for example, an apparent relationship, rather than assigning a
significance level reflecting whether the magnitude of the relationship observed could be due to chance. The effect size does not directly determine the significance level, or vice versa. Given a sufficiently large sample size, a non-null statistical comparison will always show a statistically significant result unless the population effect size is exactly zero (and even there it will show statistical significance at the rate of the Type I error used). For example, a sample
Pearson correlation
In statistics, the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC, pronounced ) ― also known as Pearson's ''r'', the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (PPMCC), the bivariate correlation, or colloquially simply as the correlation coefficient ...
coefficient of 0.01 is statistically significant if the sample size is 1000. Reporting only the significant
''p''-value from this analysis could be misleading if a correlation of 0.01 is too small to be of interest in a particular application.
Standardized and unstandardized effect sizes
The term ''effect size'' can refer to a standardized measure of effect (such as ''r'',
Cohen's ''d'', or the
odds ratio
An odds ratio (OR) is a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B. The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of A in the presence of B and the odds of A in the absence of B, or equivalently (due ...
), or to an unstandardized measure (e.g., the difference between group means or the unstandardized regression coefficients). Standardized effect size measures are typically used when:
* the metrics of variables being studied do not have intrinsic meaning (e.g., a score on a personality test on an arbitrary scale),
* results from multiple studies are being combined,
* some or all of the studies use different scales, or
* it is desired to convey the size of an effect relative to the variability in the population.
In meta-analyses, standardized effect sizes are used as a common measure that can be calculated for different studies and then combined into an overall summary.
Interpretation
Whether an effect size should be interpreted as small, medium, or large depends on its substantive context and its operational definition. Cohen's conventional criteria ''small'', ''medium'', or ''big''
are near ubiquitous across many fields, although Cohen
cautioned:
"The terms 'small,' 'medium,' and 'large' are relative, not only to each other, but to the area of behavioral science or even more particularly to the specific content and research method being employed in any given investigation....In the face of this relativity, there is a certain risk inherent in offering conventional operational definitions for these terms for use in power analysis in as diverse a field of inquiry as behavioral science. This risk is nevertheless accepted in the belief that more is to be gained than lost by supplying a common conventional frame of reference which is recommended for use only when no better basis for estimating the ES index is available." (p. 25)
In the two sample layout, Sawilowsky
concluded "Based on current research findings in the applied literature, it seems appropriate to revise the rules of thumb for effect sizes," keeping in mind Cohen's cautions, and expanded the descriptions to include ''very small'', ''very large'', and ''huge''. The same de facto standards could be developed for other layouts.
Lenth noted for a "medium" effect size, "you'll choose the same ''n'' regardless of the accuracy or reliability of your instrument, or the narrowness or diversity of your subjects. Clearly, important considerations are being ignored here. Researchers should interpret the substantive significance of their results by grounding them in a meaningful context or by quantifying their contribution to knowledge, and Cohen's effect size descriptions can be helpful as a starting point."
Similarly, a U.S. Dept of Education sponsored report said "The widespread indiscriminate use of Cohen’s generic small, medium, and large effect size values to characterize effect sizes in domains to which his normative values do not apply is thus likewise inappropriate and misleading."
They suggested that "appropriate norms are those based on distributions of effect sizes for comparable outcome measures from comparable interventions targeted on comparable samples." Thus if a study in a field where most interventions are tiny yielded a small effect (by Cohen's criteria), these new criteria would call it "large". In a related point, see
Abelson's paradox
Abelson's paradox is an applied statistics paradox identified by Robert P. Abelson. The paradox pertains to a possible paradoxical relationship between the magnitude of the ''r''2 (i.e., coefficient of determination) effect size and its practical ...
and Sawilowsky's paradox.
Types
About 50 to 100 different measures of effect size are known. Many effect sizes of different types can be converted to other types, as many estimate the separation of two distributions, so are mathematically related. For example, a correlation coefficient can be converted to a Cohen's d and vice versa.
Correlation family: Effect sizes based on "variance explained"
These effect sizes estimate the amount of the variance within an experiment that is "explained" or "accounted for" by the experiment's model (
Explained variation In statistics, explained variation measures the proportion to which a mathematical model accounts for the variation (dispersion) of a given data set. Often, variation is quantified as variance; then, the more specific term explained variance can be ...
).
Pearson ''r'' or correlation coefficient
Pearson's correlation, often denoted ''r'' and introduced by
Karl Pearson, is widely used as an ''effect size'' when paired quantitative data are available; for instance if one were studying the relationship between birth weight and longevity. The correlation coefficient can also be used when the data are binary. Pearson's ''r'' can vary in magnitude from −1 to 1, with −1 indicating a perfect negative linear relation, 1 indicating a perfect positive linear relation, and 0 indicating no linear relation between two variables.
Cohen gives the following guidelines for the social sciences:
= Coefficient of determination (''r2'' or ''R2'')
=
A related ''effect size'' is ''r
2'', the
coefficient of determination
In statistics, the coefficient of determination, denoted ''R''2 or ''r''2 and pronounced "R squared", is the proportion of the variation in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent variable(s).
It is a statistic used i ...
(also referred to as ''R
2'' or "''r''-squared"), calculated as the square of the Pearson correlation ''r''. In the case of paired data, this is a measure of the proportion of variance shared by the two variables, and varies from 0 to 1. For example, with an ''r'' of 0.21 the coefficient of determination is 0.0441, meaning that 4.4% of the variance of either variable is shared with the other variable. The ''r
2'' is always positive, so does not convey the direction of the correlation between the two variables.
= Eta-squared (''η''2)
=
Eta-squared describes the ratio of variance explained in the dependent variable by a predictor while controlling for other predictors, making it analogous to the r
2. Eta-squared is a biased estimator of the variance explained by the model in the population (it estimates only the effect size in the sample). This estimate shares the weakness with r
2 that each additional variable will automatically increase the value of η
2. In addition, it measures the variance explained of the sample, not the population, meaning that it will always overestimate the effect size, although the bias grows smaller as the sample grows larger.
:
= Omega-squared (''ω''2)
=
A less biased estimator of the variance explained in the population is ''ω''
2[Tabachnick, B.G. & Fidell, L.S. (2007). Chapter 4: "Cleaning up your act. Screening data prior to analysis", p. 55 In B.G. Tabachnick & L.S. Fidell (Eds.), ''Using Multivariate Statistics'', Fifth Edition. Boston: Pearson Education, Inc. / Allyn and Bacon.]
:
This form of the formula is limited to between-subjects analysis with equal sample sizes in all cells.
Since it is less biased (although not ''un''biased), ''ω''
2 is preferable to η
2; however, it can be more inconvenient to calculate for complex analyses. A generalized form of the estimator has been published for between-subjects and within-subjects analysis, repeated measure, mixed design, and randomized block design experiments.
In addition, methods to calculate partial ''ω''
2 for individual factors and combined factors in designs with up to three independent variables have been published.
[
]
Cohen's ''ƒ''2
Cohen's ''ƒ''2 is one of several effect size measures to use in the context of an F-test
An ''F''-test is any statistical test in which the test statistic has an ''F''-distribution under the null hypothesis. It is most often used when comparing statistical models that have been fitted to a data set, in order to identify the model th ...
for ANOVA
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a collection of statistical models and their associated estimation procedures (such as the "variation" among and between groups) used to analyze the differences among means. ANOVA was developed by the statistician ...
or multiple regression
In statistical modeling, regression analysis is a set of statistical processes for Estimation theory, estimating the relationships between a dependent variable (often called the 'outcome' or 'response' variable, or a 'label' in machine learning ...
. Its amount of bias (overestimation of the effect size for the ANOVA) depends on the bias of its underlying measurement of variance explained (e.g., ''R''2, ''η''2, ''ω''2).
The ''ƒ''2 effect size measure for multiple regression is defined as:
:
:where ''R''2 is the squared multiple correlation.
Likewise, ''ƒ''2 can be defined as:
: or
:for models described by those effect size measures.
The effect size measure for sequential multiple regression and also common for PLS modeling is defined as:
:
:where ''R''2''A'' is the variance accounted for by a set of one or more independent variables ''A'', and ''R''2''AB'' is the combined variance accounted for by ''A'' and another set of one or more independent variables of interest ''B''. By convention, ''ƒ''2 effect sizes of , , and are termed ''small'', ''medium'', and ''large'', respectively.
Cohen's can also be found for factorial analysis of variance (ANOVA) working backwards, using:
:
In a balanced design (equivalent sample sizes across groups) of ANOVA, the corresponding population parameter of is
:
wherein ''μ''''j'' denotes the population mean within the ''j''th group of the total ''K'' groups, and ''σ'' the equivalent population standard deviations within each groups. ''SS'' is the sum of squares in ANOVA.
Cohen's ''q''
Another measure that is used with correlation differences is Cohen's q. This is the difference between two Fisher transformed Pearson regression coefficients. In symbols this is
:
where ''r''1 and ''r''2 are the regressions being compared. The expected value of ''q'' is zero and its variance is
:
where ''N''1 and ''N''2 are the number of data points in the first and second regression respectively.
Difference family: Effect sizes based on differences between means
The raw effect size pertaining to a comparison of two groups is inherently calculated as the differences between the two means. However, to facilitate interpretation it is common to standardise the effect size; various conventions for statistical standardisation are presented below.
Standardized mean difference
A (population) effect size ''θ'' based on means usually considers the standardized mean difference (SMD) between two populations
:
where ''μ''1 is the mean for one population, ''μ''2 is the mean for the other population, and σ is a standard deviation
In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean (also called the expected value) of the set, while ...
based on either or both populations.
In the practical setting the population values are typically not known and must be estimated from sample statistics. The several versions of effect sizes based on means differ with respect to which statistics are used.
This form for the effect size resembles the computation for a ''t''-test statistic, with the critical difference that the ''t''-test statistic includes a factor of . This means that for a given effect size, the significance level increases with the sample size. Unlike the ''t''-test statistic, the effect size aims to estimate a population parameter
A parameter (), generally, is any characteristic that can help in defining or classifying a particular system (meaning an event, project, object, situation, etc.). That is, a parameter is an element of a system that is useful, or critical, when ...
and is not affected by the sample size.
SMD values of 0.2 to 0.5 are considered small, 0.5 to 0.8 are considered medium, and greater than 0.8 are considered large.
Cohen's ''d''
Cohen's ''d'' is defined as the difference between two means divided by a standard deviation for the data, ''i.e.''
:
Jacob Cohen defined ''s'', the pooled standard deviation, as (for two independent samples):
:
where the variance for one of the groups is defined as
:
and similarly for the other group.
The table below contains descriptors for magnitudes of ''d'' = 0.01 to 2.0, as initially suggested by Cohen and expanded by Sawilowsky.[ http://digitalcommons.wayne.edu/jmasm/vol8/iss2/26/]
Other authors choose a slightly different computation of the standard deviation when referring to "Cohen's ''d''" where the denominator is without "-2"
:
This definition of "Cohen's ''d''" is termed the maximum likelihood
In statistics, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a method of estimation theory, estimating the Statistical parameter, parameters of an assumed probability distribution, given some observed data. This is achieved by Mathematical optimization, ...
estimator by Hedges and Olkin,
and it is related to Hedges' ''g'' by a scaling factor (see below).
With two paired samples, we look at the distribution of the difference scores. In that case, ''s'' is the standard deviation of this distribution of difference scores. This creates the following relationship between the t-statistic to test for a difference in the means of the two groups and Cohen's ''d'':
:
and
:
Cohen's ''d'' is frequently used in estimating sample sizes
Sample size determination is the act of choosing the number of observations or Replication (statistics), replicates to include in a statistical sample. The sample size is an important feature of any empirical study in which the goal is to make stat ...
for statistical testing. A lower Cohen's ''d'' indicates the necessity of larger sample sizes, and vice versa, as can subsequently be determined together with the additional parameters of desired significance level
In statistical hypothesis testing, a result has statistical significance when it is very unlikely to have occurred given the null hypothesis (simply by chance alone). More precisely, a study's defined significance level, denoted by \alpha, is the ...
and statistical power
In statistics, the power of a binary hypothesis test is the probability that the test correctly rejects the null hypothesis (H_0) when a specific alternative hypothesis (H_1) is true. It is commonly denoted by 1-\beta, and represents the chances ...
.
For paired samples Cohen suggests that the d calculated is actually a d', which doesn't provide the correct answer to obtain the power of the test, and that before looking the values up in the tables provided, it should be corrected for r as in the following formula:
:
Glass' Δ
In 1976, Gene V. Glass
Gene V Glass (born June 19, 1940) is an American statistician and researcher working in educational psychology and the social sciences. According to the science writer Morton Hunt, he coined the term "meta-analysis" and illustrated its first us ...
proposed an estimator of the effect size that uses only the standard deviation of the second group
:
The second group may be regarded as a control group, and Glass argued that if several treatments were compared to the control group it would be better to use just the standard deviation computed from the control group, so that effect sizes would not differ under equal means and different variances.
Under a correct assumption of equal population variances a pooled estimate for ''σ'' is more precise.
Hedges' ''g''
Hedges' ''g'', suggested by Larry Hedges
Larry Vernon Hedges is a researcher in statistical methods for meta-analysis and evaluation of education policy. He is Professor of Statistics and Education and Social Policy, Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University. Previously, he ...
in 1981,
is like the other measures based on a standardized difference
:
where the pooled standard deviation is computed as:
:
However, as an estimator
In statistics, an estimator is a rule for calculating an estimate of a given quantity based on observed data: thus the rule (the estimator), the quantity of interest (the estimand) and its result (the estimate) are distinguished. For example, the ...
for the population effect size ''θ'' it is bias
Bias is a disproportionate weight ''in favor of'' or ''against'' an idea or thing, usually in a way that is closed-minded, prejudicial, or unfair. Biases can be innate or learned. People may develop biases for or against an individual, a group, ...
ed.
Nevertheless, this bias can be approximately corrected through multiplication by a factor
:
Hedges and Olkin refer to this less-biased estimator as ''d'', but it is not the same as Cohen's ''d''.
The exact form for the correction factor ''J()'' involves the gamma function
In mathematics, the gamma function (represented by , the capital letter gamma from the Greek alphabet) is one commonly used extension of the factorial function to complex numbers. The gamma function is defined for all complex numbers except ...
:
Ψ, root-mean-square standardized effect
A similar effect size estimator for multiple comparisons (e.g., ANOVA
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a collection of statistical models and their associated estimation procedures (such as the "variation" among and between groups) used to analyze the differences among means. ANOVA was developed by the statistician ...
) is the Ψ root-mean-square standardized effect:
:
where ''k'' is the number of groups in the comparisons.
This essentially presents the omnibus difference of the entire model adjusted by the root mean square, analogous to ''d'' or ''g''.
In addition, a generalization for multi-factorial designs has been provided.
Distribution of effect sizes based on means
Provided that the data is Gaussian
Carl Friedrich Gauss (1777–1855) is the eponym of all of the topics listed below.
There are over 100 topics all named after this German mathematician and scientist, all in the fields of mathematics, physics, and astronomy. The English eponymo ...
distributed a scaled Hedges' ''g'', , follows a noncentral ''t''-distribution with the noncentrality parameter and (''n''1 + ''n''2 − 2) degrees of freedom. Likewise, the scaled Glass' Δ is distributed with ''n''2 − 1 degrees of freedom.
From the distribution it is possible to compute the expectation and variance of the effect sizes.
In some cases large sample approximations for the variance are used. One suggestion for the variance of Hedges' unbiased estimator is
:
Other metrics
Mahalanobis distance (D) is a multivariate generalization of Cohen's d, which takes into account the relationships between the variables.
Categorical family: Effect sizes for associations among categorical variables
Commonly used measures of association for the chi-squared test
A chi-squared test (also chi-square or test) is a statistical hypothesis test used in the analysis of contingency tables when the sample sizes are large. In simpler terms, this test is primarily used to examine whether two categorical variables ...
are the Phi coefficient
In statistics, the phi coefficient (or mean square contingency coefficient and denoted by φ or rφ) is a measure of association for two binary variables. In machine learning, it is known as the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) and used as ...
and Cramér's V (sometimes referred to as Cramér's phi and denoted as ''φ''''c''). Phi is related to the point-biserial correlation coefficient The point biserial correlation coefficient (''rpb'') is a correlation coefficient used when one variable (e.g. ''Y'') is dichotomy, dichotomous; ''Y'' can either be "naturally" dichotomous, like whether a coin lands heads or tails, or an artificiall ...
and Cohen's ''d'' and estimates the extent of the relationship between two variables (2 × 2).[Aaron, B., Kromrey, J. D., & Ferron, J. M. (1998, November)]
Equating r-based and d-based effect-size indices: Problems with a commonly recommended formula.
Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Florida Educational Research Association, Orlando, FL. (ERIC Document Reproduction Service No. ED433353) Cramér's V may be used with variables having more than two levels.
Phi can be computed by finding the square root of the chi-squared statistic divided by the sample size.
Similarly, Cramér's V is computed by taking the square root of the chi-squared statistic divided by the sample size and the length of the minimum dimension (''k'' is the smaller of the number of rows ''r'' or columns ''c'').
φ''c'' is the intercorrelation of the two discrete variables and may be computed for any value of ''r'' or ''c''. However, as chi-squared values tend to increase with the number of cells, the greater the difference between ''r'' and ''c'', the more likely V will tend to 1 without strong evidence of a meaningful correlation.
Cramér's ''V'' may also be applied to 'goodness of fit' chi-squared models (i.e. those where ''c'' = 1). In this case it functions as a measure of tendency towards a single outcome (i.e. out of ''k'' outcomes). In such a case one must use ''r'' for ''k'', in order to preserve the 0 to 1 range of ''V''. Otherwise, using ''c'' would reduce the equation to that for Phi.
Cohen's ''w''
Another measure of effect size used for chi-squared tests is Cohen's ''w''. This is defined as
:
where ''p''0''i'' is the value of the ''i''th cell under ''H''0, ''p''1''i'' is the value of the ''i''th cell under ''H''1 and ''m'' is the number of cells.
Odds ratio
The odds ratio
An odds ratio (OR) is a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B. The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of A in the presence of B and the odds of A in the absence of B, or equivalently (due ...
(OR) is another useful effect size. It is appropriate when the research question focuses on the degree of association between two binary variables. For example, consider a study of spelling ability. In a control group, two students pass the class for every one who fails, so the odds of passing are two to one (or 2/1 = 2). In the treatment group, six students pass for every one who fails, so the odds of passing are six to one (or 6/1 = 6). The effect size can be computed by noting that the odds of passing in the treatment group are three times higher than in the control group (because 6 divided by 2 is 3). Therefore, the odds ratio is 3. Odds ratio statistics are on a different scale than Cohen's ''d'', so this '3' is not comparable to a Cohen's ''d'' of 3.
Relative risk
The relative risk
The relative risk (RR) or risk ratio is the ratio of the probability of an outcome in an exposed group to the probability of an outcome in an unexposed group. Together with risk difference and odds ratio, relative risk measures the association bet ...
(RR), also called risk ratio, is simply the risk (probability) of an event relative to some independent variable. This measure of effect size differs from the odds ratio in that it compares ''probabilities'' instead of ''odds'', but asymptotically approaches the latter for small probabilities. Using the example above, the ''probabilities'' for those in the control group and treatment group passing is 2/3 (or 0.67) and 6/7 (or 0.86), respectively. The effect size can be computed the same as above, but using the probabilities instead. Therefore, the relative risk is 1.28. Since rather large probabilities of passing were used, there is a large difference between relative risk and odds ratio. Had ''failure'' (a smaller probability) been used as the event (rather than ''passing''), the difference between the two measures of effect size would not be so great.
While both measures are useful, they have different statistical uses. In medical research, the odds ratio
An odds ratio (OR) is a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B. The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of A in the presence of B and the odds of A in the absence of B, or equivalently (due ...
is commonly used for case-control studies, as odds, but not probabilities, are usually estimated. Relative risk is commonly used in randomized controlled trial
A randomized controlled trial (or randomized control trial; RCT) is a form of scientific experiment used to control factors not under direct experimental control. Examples of RCTs are clinical trials that compare the effects of drugs, surgical te ...
s and cohort studies
A cohort study is a particular form of longitudinal study that samples a cohort (a group of people who share a defining characteristic, typically those who experienced a common event in a selected period, such as birth or graduation), performing ...
, but relative risk contributes to overestimations of the effectiveness of interventions.
Risk difference
The risk difference
The risk difference (RD), excess risk, or attributable risk is the difference between the risk of an outcome in the exposed group and the unexposed group. It is computed as I_e - I_u, where I_eis the incidence in the exposed group, and I_u is the ...
(RD), sometimes called absolute risk reduction, is simply the difference in risk (probability) of an event between two groups. It is a useful measure in experimental research, since RD tells you the extent to which an experimental interventions changes the probability of an event or outcome. Using the example above, the probabilities for those in the control group and treatment group passing is 2/3 (or 0.67) and 6/7 (or 0.86), respectively, and so the RD effect size is 0.86 − 0.67 = 0.19 (or 19%). RD is the superior measure for assessing effectiveness of interventions.
Cohen's ''h''
One measure used in power analysis when comparing two independent proportions is Cohen's ''h''. This is defined as follows
where ''p''1 and ''p''2 are the proportions of the two samples being compared and arcsin is the arcsine transformation.
Common language effect size
To more easily describe the meaning of an effect size, to people outside statistics, the common language effect size, as the name implies, was designed to communicate it in plain English. It is used to describe a difference between two groups and was proposed, as well as named, by Kenneth McGraw and S. P. Wong in 1992. They used the following example (about heights of men and women): "in any random pairing of young adult males and females, the probability of the male being taller than the female is .92, or in simpler terms yet, in 92 out of 100 blind dates among young adults, the male will be taller than the female", when describing the population value of the common language effect size.
The population value, for the common language effect size, is often reported like this, in terms of pairs randomly chosen from the population. Kerby (2014) notes that ''a pair'', defined as a score in one group paired with a score in another group, is a core concept of the common language effect size.
As another example, consider a scientific study (maybe of a treatment for some chronic disease, such as arthritis) with ten people in the treatment group and ten people in a control group. If everyone in the treatment group is compared to everyone in the control group, then there are (10×10=) 100 pairs. At the end of the study, the outcome is rated into a score, for each individual (for example on a scale of mobility and pain, in the case of an arthritis study), and then all the scores are compared between the pairs. The result, as the percent of pairs that support the hypothesis, is the common language effect size. In the example study it could be (let's say) .80, if 80 out of the 100 comparison pairs show a better outcome for the treatment group than the control group, and the report may read as follows: "When a patient in the treatment group was compared to a patient in the control group, in 80 of 100 pairs the treated patient showed a better treatment outcome." The sample value, in for example a study like this, is an unbiased estimator of the population value.
Vargha and Delaney generalized the common language effect size (Vargha-Delaney ''A''), to cover ordinal level data.
Rank-biserial correlation
An effect size related to the common language effect size is the rank-biserial correlation. This measure was introduced by Cureton as an effect size for the Mann–Whitney ''U'' test. That is, there are two groups, and scores for the groups have been converted to ranks. The Kerby simple difference formula computes the rank-biserial correlation from the common language effect size. Letting f be the proportion of pairs favorable to the hypothesis (the common language effect size), and letting u be the proportion of pairs not favorable, the rank-biserial r is the simple difference between the two proportions: ''r'' = ''f'' − ''u''. In other words, the correlation is the difference between the common language effect size and its complement. For example, if the common language effect size is 60%, then the rank-biserial r equals 60% minus 40%, or ''r'' = 0.20. The Kerby formula is directional, with positive values indicating that the results support the hypothesis.
A non-directional formula for the rank-biserial correlation was provided by Wendt, such that the correlation is always positive. The advantage of the Wendt formula is that it can be computed with information that is readily available in published papers. The formula uses only the test value of U from the Mann-Whitney U test, and the sample sizes of the two groups: ''r'' = 1 – (2''U'')/(''n''1 ''n''2). Note that U is defined here according to the classic definition as the smaller of the two ''U'' values which can be computed from the data. This ensures that 2''U'' < ''n''1''n''2, as ''n''1''n''2 is the maximum value of the ''U'' statistics.
An example can illustrate the use of the two formulas. Consider a health study of twenty older adults, with ten in the treatment group and ten in the control group; hence, there are ten times ten or 100 pairs. The health program uses diet, exercise, and supplements to improve memory, and memory is measured by a standardized test. A Mann-Whitney ''U'' test shows that the adult in the treatment group had the better memory in 70 of the 100 pairs, and the poorer memory in 30 pairs. The Mann-Whitney ''U'' is the smaller of 70 and 30, so ''U'' = 30. The correlation between memory and treatment performance by the Kerby simple difference formula is ''r'' = (70/100) − (30/100) = 0.40. The correlation by the Wendt formula is ''r'' = 1 − (2·30)/(10·10) = 0.40.
Effect size for ordinal data
Cliff's delta or , originally developed by Norman Cliff
Norman Cliff (born September 1, 1930) is an American psychologist. He received his Ph.D. from Princeton in psychometrics in 1957. After research positions in the US Public Health Service and at Educational Testing Service he joined the Universit ...
for use with ordinal data, is a measure of how often the values in one distribution are larger than the values in a second distribution. Crucially, it does not require any assumptions about the shape or spread of the two distributions.
The sample estimate is given by:
:
where the two distributions are of size and with items and , respectively, and