Bayesian inference using Gibbs sampling (BUGS) is a
statistical software
Statistical software are specialized computer programs for analysis in statistics and econometrics.
Open-source
* ADaMSoft – a generalized statistical software with data mining algorithms and methods for data management
* ADMB – a software ...
for performing
Bayesian inference
Bayesian inference is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Bayesian inference is an important technique in statistics, a ...
using
Markov chain Monte Carlo
In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods comprise a class of algorithms for sampling from a probability distribution. By constructing a Markov chain that has the desired distribution as its equilibrium distribution, one can obtain ...
(MCMC) methods. It was developed by
David Spiegelhalter
Sir David John Spiegelhalter (born 16 August 1953) is a British statistician and a Fellow of Churchill College, Cambridge. From 2007 to 2018 he was Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory at the U ...
at the Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit in
Cambridge
Cambridge ( ) is a university city and the county town in Cambridgeshire, England. It is located on the River Cam approximately north of London. As of the 2021 United Kingdom census, the population of Cambridge was 145,700. Cambridge bec ...
in 1989 and released as free software in 1991.
The BUGS project has evolved through four main versions: ClassicBUGS,
WinBUGS
WinBUGS is statistical software for Bayesian analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods.
It is based on the BUGS ( Bayesian inference Using Gibbs Sampling) project started in 1989. It runs under Microsoft Windows, though it can als ...
,
OpenBUGS
OpenBUGS is a software application for the Bayesian analysis of complex statistical models using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. OpenBUGS is the open source variant of WinBUGS ( Bayesian inference Using Gibbs Sampling). It runs under ...
an
MultiBUGS MultiBUGS is built on the existing algorithms and tools in OpenBUGS and WinBUGS, which are no longer developed, and implements
parallelization
Parallel computing is a type of computation in which many calculations or processes are carried out simultaneously. Large problems can often be divided into smaller ones, which can then be solved at the same time. There are several different fo ...
to speed up computation. Several
R packages are available
R2MultiBUGSacts as an interface to MultiBUGS, whil
Nimbleis an extension of the BUGS language.
Alternative implementations of the BUGS language include
JAGS and
Stan.
See also
*
Spike and slab variable selection
Spike-and-slab regression is a type of Bayesian linear regression in which a particular hierarchical prior distribution for the regression coefficients is chosen such that only a subset of the possible regressors is retained. The technique that ...
*
Bayesian structural time series
Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model is a statistical technique used for feature selection, time series forecasting, nowcasting, inferring causal impact and other applications. The model is designed to work with time series data.
The mode ...
References
External links
The BUGS Project
Computational statistics
Domain-specific programming languages
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