The Association of Professional Futurists (APF) was founded in 2002 to validate the competencies of emerging futurists.
[Glasner, Joanna. The Future Needs Futurists, ''Wired'', October 2005](_blank)
/ref> As analysts, speakers, managers or consultants, APF's credentialed members cultivate strategic foresight
Strategic foresight is a planning-oriented discipline related to futures studies. In a business context, a more action-oriented approach has become well known as corporate foresight.Rohrbeck, Rene (2010) ''Corporate Foresight: Towards a Maturity Mo ...
for their organizations and clients. APF represents the professional side of the futures movement, while groups such as the World Futures Studies Federation The World Futures Studies Federation is a global non-governmental organization that was founded in 1973 to promote the development of futures studies as an academic discipline. Its current president is Dr. Erik F. Øverland, Norway.
History
The ...
, the World Future Society
The World Future Society (WFS), founded in 1966, is an international community of futurists and future thinkers.
History
Prominent members and contributors have included Ray Kurzweil, Peter Drucker, Carl Sagan, and Neil deGrasse Tyson
N ...
or The Millennium Project
The Millennium Project is a think tank that publishes a ''State of the Future'' report. In 2001 it was associated with the American Council for the United Nations University. ANDREW ZIPERN, November 8, 2001, The New York TimesRewarding Technolo ...
, represent its academic, popular, and activists expressions, respectively.
History
APF emerged as a network of practicing futurists who were utilizing futurology
Futures studies, futures research, futurism or futurology is the systematic, interdisciplinary and holistic study of social and technological advancement, and other environmental trends, often for the purpose of exploring how people will li ...
methods. As the field approached the year 2000, it began to renew old calls and issue new ones to raise its internal standards in regards to ethics, competencies, and quality of work. While few felt that futurists—an occupational interest group at best—might become a full-fledged recognized profession via certification, the nine members of APF's founding board, including Peter Bishop
Peter Bishop is a fictional character of the Fox television series ''Fringe''. He is portrayed by Joshua Jackson
Joshua Carter Jackson (born June 11, 1978) is a Canadian-American actor. He is known for his starring role as Charlie Conway in ...
, Jennifer Jarratt, Andy Hines
Andy Hines (born March 22, 1962) is an American futurist, head of graduate studies in Foresight at the University of Houston, and author of several books on strategic foresight.
Hines is a professional futurist, co-creator of the framework fores ...
, and Herb Rubenstein felt that foresight professionals should lead the global discussion about professional futures practice, encourage the use of futures and foresight in strategic decision making, and offer services, resources and training for foresight professionals to advance their skills and knowledge.
Membership
The Association of Professional Futurists has 500 individual members from 40 countries, including authors and speakers, such as Clem Bezold, Sohail Inayatullah
Sohail Inayatullah is a Pakistani-born Australian academic, futures studies researcher and a professor at the Graduate Institute of Futures Studies at Tamkang University in Taipei, Taiwan.
Biography
Born in 1958 in Lahore, Pakistan, to a fath ...
, Thomas Frey, Alexandra Levit, Richard Slaughter
Richard Slaughter is a scholar and writer in the field of futures studies, applied foresight and social innovation. He is the co-director of Foresight International, and has guest edited the journals ''Futures'' and '' foresight''. His work ha ...
, and Amy Webb. Beyond individuals, it has renowned organizational members, such as Arup Foresight, the Foresight Alliance, the Institute for the Future
The Institute for the Future (IFTF) is a Palo Alto, California, US–based not-for-profit think tank. It was established, in 1968, as a spin-off from the RAND Corporation to help organizations plan for the long-term future, a subject known as ...
-Palo Alto, Institute for Futures Research
The Institute for Futures Research (IFR), established in 1974, is a research institution of the University of Stellenbosch specialising in futurology, primarily as a support service for knowledge and strategic management
In the field of manag ...
-Stellenbosch, Kantar Foresight, Kairos Futures, Kedge, Leading Futurists LLC, OCAD University
Ontario College of Art & Design University, commonly known as OCAD University or OCAD, is a public art university located in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The university's main campus is spread throughout several buildings and facilities within d ...
, SAMI Consulting, Shaping Tomorrow, and Tamkang University, th
Center for Post-Normal Studies
th
Philippine Futures Thinking Society
and th
Center for Engaged Foresight
Instead of ''certifying'' members through coursework, professional futurists chose a pathway to ''credential'' its members, based on a peer-review assessment of their competencies. APF Professional Membership is conferred following a portfolio review to those who can, at the minimum, document performance in two of seven professional standards: consulting, organizational function, postgraduate degree, certificate program, speaking, teaching or writing. Full Members may use the appellation of ''APF'' after their name. Besides its Full Member program, APF also offers Provisional, Associate, and Student Memberships.
Founding Members of the Organization
* John Mahaffie
* Jim Mathews
* Michael Mcallum
* Pero Micic
* Stephen Millett
* Mary Jane Naquin
* Peter Padbury
* Randy Scheel
* Lee Shupp
* Herb Rubenstein
* Verne Wheelwright
* Derek Woodgate
* Peter Bishop
* Michele Bowman
* Jennifer Jarratt
* Dominique Purcell Jaurola
* Christian Crews
* Mike De Bettencourt
* Kate Delaney
* Jay Forrest
* Jay Gary
* Joyce Gioia
* Terry Grim
* Andy Hines
* David Shannon
Past APF Board Members
The first APF board was constituted in 2002 and consisted of nine members: Peter Bishop, Michele Bowman, Sandy Burchsted, Tom Conger, Mike de Bettencourt, Bob Hahn, Andy Hines, Jennifer Jarratt, and Herb Rubenstein. Randy Scheel served as the Executive Director, a role later assumed by Andy Hines.
* Richard Yonck
* Tanja Hichert
* Jason Swanson
* Cindy Frewen
* Catherine Cosgrove
* Wayne Pethrick
* Marcus Barber
* Jim Breaux
* Herb Rubenstein
* Wendy Schulz
* Lee Shupp
* Rob Hanson
* Nick Price
* Jennifer Jarratt
* Joan Foltz
* Garry Golden
* Roumiana Gotseva
* Andy Hines
* Stephen Aguilar-Millan
* Stacey Aldrich
* Natalie Ambrose
* Peter Bishop
* Michele Bowman
* Sandy Burchsted
* Tom Conger
* Bridgette Engeler
* Maree Conway
* Peter Hayward
* Jim Mathews
* Claudia Juech
* Josh Lindenger
* John Mahaffie
* Riel Miller
* Rowena Morrow
* Andrew Curry
* Randy Moss
* Christian Crews
* Mike de Bettencourt
* Bob Hahn
* Ann Feeney
* Joe Tankersley
* Derek Woodgate
* Prateeksha Singh
* Marius Oosthuizen
* Yoonsik Choi
Chairpersons of the Organization
* Shermon Cruz (Current)
* Jay Gary
* Cindy Frewen
* Ann Feeney
* Andy Hines
* John Mahaffie
* Michele Bowman
* Jennifer Jarratt
Programs & Publications
APF Annual gatherings have been a key activity since its founding. The first gathering was an "Applied Futures Summit" in Seattle in April 2002, at which founders agreed to establish the Association. The second gathering was in Austin, TX, focused on "The Future of Futures," employing a scenario planning
Scenario planning, scenario thinking, scenario analysis, scenario prediction and the scenario method all describe a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. It is in large part an adaptation and gener ...
approach to explore the next decade of the field. Each subsequent gathering has focused on a particular topic, such as Design Thinking in Pasadena, CA, or the Future of Virtual Reality in Las Vegas, NV, Global Health in Seattle, WA, Blockchain Futures in Brisbane, Australia, or Resurgent City in Pittsburgh, PA.
APF hosts shorter "Pro Dev" workshops preceding larger conferences, in addition to annual gatherings, such as its September 2019 workshop in Mexico City on the "Praxis of Professional Futurists." As a digital learning platform, APF members also conduct various events online, ranging from Twitter
Twitter is an online social media and social networking service owned and operated by American company Twitter, Inc., on which users post and interact with 280-character-long messages known as "tweets". Registered users can post, like, and ...
chats, to webinars, to day-long learning festivals that address topics such as the future of museums, the future of machine intelligence, diverse futures, and design thinking. In 2020, APF began to host monthly member-only "Foresight Friday" webinars to showcase outstanding work by its professional members.
APF's flagship publication for members is its newsletter, published quarterly since 2003. The ''Compass'' features recaps of APF events, articles on future trends, methodology salons, book reviews, plus member news and promotions. Non-members may view themed or conference editions.
Professionalism
Helping raise professionalism of futurists has been a perennial pursuit of the APF. In 2016, after three appointed studies over nine years, APF released a Foresight Competency Model, a product of 23 members from 4 continents that mapped the personal, academic, workplace, and technical competencies that futurists draw upon to support their work as consulting, organizational or academic futurists.
The Foresight Competency Model addresses the basic question of what one ought to be capable of doing as a professional futurist. At the center of the model is a circle of six foresight competencies: Framing, Scanning, Futuring, Designing, Visioning, and Adapting.
The Foresight Competency Model also defined sector competencies for different types of foresight professionals, such as consulting or organizational futurists, at the entry, associate, and senior career level. The origins of the Foresight Competency Model arose from previous taxonomies of futures research methods that offered guidelines for carrying out successful strategic foresight, developed over four decades.[Markley, Oliver (1983). Preparing for the professional futures field: Observations from the UHCLC futures program. ''Futures, 15''(1), 47-64. https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-3287(83)90072-1]
Futurist Recognition
APF's members annually select and recognize significant futures works. The first awards were announced in 2008. The ten 'most significant futures works' in 2008 included Peter Schwartz's ''The Art of the Long View'', Wendell Bell
Wendell Bell (September 27, 1924 – November 3, 2019) was a futurist and Professor Emeritus of Sociology at Yale University. His areas of specialization included sociology, social class, race, family life and future studies.
Early career
Durin ...
's ''Foundations of Futures Studies: Human Science for a New Era'', Bertrand de Jouvenel
Bertrand de Jouvenel des Ursins (31 October 1903 – 1 March 1987) was a French philosopher, political economist, and futurist. He taught at the University of Oxford, the University of Cambridge, the University of Manchester, Yale University, ...
's ''L'Art de la Conjecture (The Art of Conjecture)'', and Ray Kurzweil
Raymond Kurzweil ( ; born February 12, 1948) is an American computer scientist, author, inventor, and futurist. He is involved in fields such as optical character recognition (OCR), text-to-speech synthesis, speech recognition technology, and e ...
's ''The Age of Spiritual Machines
''The Age of Spiritual Machines: When Computers Exceed Human Intelligence'' is a non-fiction book by inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil about artificial intelligence and the future course of humanity. First published in hardcover on January 1, 1 ...
''.
APF also has an annual student recognition program in which universities offering undergraduate, Masters and/or PhDs in foresight and futures studies can submit up to three student works that the instructor(s) considers being of exceptional quality in terms of originality, content, and contribution to the field.
As is the intention of many associations, APF has sought to improve the image and performance of the field. APF's credentialed members have written for and are cited in various journals and magazines such as ''Wired
''Wired'' (stylized as ''WIRED'') is a monthly American magazine, published in print and online editions, that focuses on how emerging technologies affect culture, the economy, and politics. Owned by Condé Nast, it is headquartered in San Fra ...
'', ''Fast Company
''Fast Company'' is a monthly American business magazine published in print and online that focuses on technology, business, and design. It publishes six print issues per year.
History
''Fast Company'' was launched in November 1995 by Alan Web ...
'', ''Futures'', ''Technological Forecasting and Social Change
''Technological Forecasting and Social Change'' (formerly ''Technological Forecasting'') is a peer-reviewed academic journal published by Elsevier which discusses futures studies, technology assessment, and technological forecasting. Articles foc ...
'', ''Foresight'',
World Futures Review
', '' The Futurist Journal,'' Futures & Foresight Science
''Futures & Foresight Science'' is an academic journal published by Wiley. The journal publishes articles dedicated to advancing methods that aid anticipating the future. The journal was established in 2019 by Professor George Wright (Editor in ...
, and the ''Journal for Futures Studies''.
APF is led by an international board of 12 futurists from five continents along with key volunteers. It is incorporated in the State of Delaware and is formed as a 501(c)(6)
A 501(c) organization is a nonprofit organization in the federal law of the United States according to Internal Revenue Code (26 U.S.C. § 501(c)) and is one of over 29 types of nonprofit organizations exempt from some federal income taxes. S ...
business league, with its headquarters in Washington, DC. It is considered exempt by the IRS as it is not organized for profit. APF's Twitter feed i
@profuturists
See also
* List of futurologists
"Futurology" as a term was coined in the twentieth century. What counts under that term has changed over time, as such this list is a jumble, and is intended to be suggestive, not definitive.
Notable futurologists include:
{, class="wikitable sor ...
References
{{Reflist, 2
External links
APF - Nonprofit Profile, 2020 Bronze Level, at Guidestar.org
Futures studies organizations
Organizations established in 2002