Antony Green
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Antony John Green (born 2 March 1960) is an Australian psephologist,
data scientist Data science is an interdisciplinary academic field that uses statistics, scientific computing, scientific methods, processing, scientific visualization, algorithms and systems to extract or extrapolate knowledge from potentially noisy, struct ...
, journalist, and commentator. He was the
Australian Broadcasting Corporation The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) is Australia’s principal public service broadcaster. It is funded primarily by grants from the federal government and is administered by a government-appointed board of directors. The ABC is ...
's chief election analyst until his retirement from the role after the federal election in May 2025. He stated that he would remain active in an off-air capacity, and continue to work on the ABC's computer and data systems for several more years.


Early years and education

Anthony Green was born in 1960 in
Warrington Warrington () is an industrial town in the Borough of Warrington, borough of the same name in Cheshire, England. The town sits on the banks of the River Mersey and was Historic counties of England, historically part of Lancashire. It is east o ...
, Lancashire, in northern England, to teen parents Ann and John Green. In 1964 the family migrated to Australia as Ten Pound Poms, staying first in a migrant hostel in Dundas, New South Wales. Green grew up near
Parramatta Parramatta (; ) is a suburb (Australia), suburb and major commercial centre in Greater Western Sydney. Parramatta is located approximately west of the Sydney central business district, Sydney CBD, on the banks of the Parramatta River. It is co ...
in Sydney, attended Oatlands Primary School in
Oatlands, New South Wales Oatlands is a suburb of Sydney, in the state of New South Wales, Australia. It is north-west of the Sydney central business district in the Local government in Australia, local government area of the City of Parramatta. Oatlands is part of Grea ...
and
James Ruse Agricultural High School James Ruse Agricultural High School (colloquially known as Ruse or JR) is a government-funded co-educational academically selective and specialist secondary day school, located in the Sydney suburb of Carlingford, New South Wales, Australia ...
in Carlingford (Sydney), graduating in 1977. Green graduated from the
University of Sydney The University of Sydney (USYD) is a public university, public research university in Sydney, Australia. Founded in 1850, it is the oldest university in both Australia and Oceania. One of Australia's six sandstone universities, it was one of the ...
with a Bachelor of Science in mathematics and computing, and a Bachelor of Economics with honours in politics.


Career

Green worked initially as a data analyst in the computing industry.


Australian Broadcasting Corporation

In August 1989, Green joined the
Australian Broadcasting Corporation The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) is Australia’s principal public service broadcaster. It is funded primarily by grants from the federal government and is administered by a government-appointed board of directors. The ABC is ...
(ABC). Green recalls he saw an ad for a position, on a six-month contract, as an ABC election researcher, and applied, along with 150 other applicants. His experience and his "slightly bubbly personality" helped him get the position. ABC producer Ian Carroll and journalist Kerry O’Brien recommended he stay on and he remained with the ABC for the following decades. Green first appeared on the ABC's election-night television coverage in the 1991 New South Wales election, following with the federal election in 1993. , Green had analysed over 70Australian elections at the territory, state and federal level for the ABC, starting with the
1989 Queensland state election The 1989 Queensland state election was held in the Australian state of Queensland on 2 December 1989 to elect the 89 members of the state's Legislative Assembly. This was the first election following the downfall of eight-term premier Sir Joh B ...
to the
2024 Queensland state election The 2024 Queensland state election was held on 26 October 2024 to elect all members to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland pursuant to the ''Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015''. As a result of the 2016 Queensland term l ...
. He designed a computer system that he used to display and predict election results based on automated result feeds from Australia's electoral commissions. Green has also worked on elections from as far afield as Canada, New Zealand and the United Kingdom for the ABC. As the ABC's chief election analyst, Green was responsible for the content of its election website. He also has editorial responsibility for its data analysis and for their election-night results service. He is considered "the face of election night coverage". In time for the 2013 federal election campaign, Green helped introduce the voter engagement tool Vote Compass to the ABC website. It enables voters to gauge how their views align with candidates based on parties' statements on issues and also provides Green and other analysts a dataset larger than traditional opinion polls. Green also writes a comprehensive blog on electoral matters. Green has said that he tends not to do campaign commentary and that he "prefer edto go into an election night with no preconceived view on the outcome and to just concentrate on understanding the data as it comes in..." In a 2015 interview, he explained that some of the work in preparation for his election night coverage could start years earlier—including building up the database with candidates, polling places, and past results, and calculating the impact of redistributions. He also recounted the realisation of his recurring nightmare of the power outage during the on air coverage of the
2010 Victorian state election The 2010 Victorian state election, held on Saturday, 27 November 2010, was for the 57th Parliament of Victoria. The election was to elect all 88 members of the Legislative Assembly and all 40 members of the Legislative Council. The incumbent ...
.


Writing and other activities

In addition to analysing and commenting on elections for the ABC, Green has written election analysis for third-party media outlets such as ''
The Sydney Morning Herald ''The Sydney Morning Herald'' (''SMH'') is a daily Tabloid (newspaper format), tabloid newspaper published in Sydney, Australia, and owned by Nine Entertainment. Founded in 1831 as the ''Sydney Herald'', the ''Herald'' is the oldest continuous ...
'' and ''
Crikey Crikey is an Australian online news outlet founded in 1999. It consists of a website and email newsletter available to subscribers. History Crikey was founded by the activist shareholder Stephen Mayne, a journalist and former staffer of the ...
'. He has appeared before the Joint Standing Committee on Electoral Matters of the
Australian Parliament The Parliament of Australia (officially the Parliament of the Commonwealth and also known as the Federal Parliament) is the federal legislature of Australia. It consists of three elements: the Monarchy of Australia, monarch of Australia (repr ...
urging reform of the ticket voting system used in
Australian Senate The Senate is the upper house of the Bicameralism, bicameral Parliament of Australia, the lower house being the Australian House of Representatives, House of Representatives. The powers, role and composition of the Senate are set out in Chap ...
elections. Green has also written papers for the
Parliament of New South Wales The Parliament of New South Wales, formally the Legislature of New South Wales, (definition of "The Legislature") is the bicameral legislative body of the Australian state of New South Wales (NSW). It consists of the Monarch, the New South Wa ...
and the
Parliament of Victoria The Parliament of Victoria is the bicameral legislature of the Australian state of Victoria (state), Victoria that follows a Westminster System, Westminster-derived parliamentary system. It consists of the Monarchy in Australia, King, represent ...
.


Retirement

In February 2025, Green announced he would retire from broadcasting following the federal election later that year. Stating that he would be 68 by the time the next federal election would be expected, Green said he did not feel "as sharp and quick as I was", and that he would prefer to retire than stay "too long". In March 2025, he covered the
2025 Western Australian state election The 2025 Western Australian state election was held on 8 March 2025 to elect members to the Parliament of Western Australia, where all 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly, Legislative Assembly and all 37 seats in the Western ...
, which was his final state election, with his final coverage overall being for the federal election on 3 May 2025. Green has stated that he will stay on at the ABC "for a couple
ore Ore is natural rock or sediment that contains one or more valuable minerals, typically including metals, concentrated above background levels, and that is economically viable to mine and process. The grade of ore refers to the concentration ...
years", albeit in a behind-the-scenes capacity, working on data systems and other election-related projects. When Green retired from on-screen appearances in May 2025, the ABC released a video of former and current Australian Prime Ministers
John Howard John Winston Howard (born 26 July 1939) is an Australian former politician who served as the 25th prime minister of Australia from 1996 to 2007. He held office as leader of the Liberal Party of Australia. His eleven-year tenure as prime min ...
,
Kevin Rudd Kevin Michael Rudd (born 21 September 1957) is an Australian diplomat and former politician who served as the 26th prime minister of Australia from 2007 to 2010 and June to September 2013. He held office as the Leaders of the Australian Labo ...
,
Julia Gillard Julia Eileen Gillard (born 29 September 1961) is an Australian former politician who served as the 27th prime minister of Australia from 2010 to 2013. She held office as the leader of the Labor Party (ALP), having previously served as the ...
,
Tony Abbott Anthony John Abbott (; born 4 November 1957) is an Australian former politician who served as the 28th prime minister of Australia from 2013 to 2015. He held office as the leader of the Liberal Party of Australia and was the member of parli ...
,
Malcolm Turnbull Malcolm Bligh Turnbull (born 24 October 1954) is an Australian former politician and businessman who served as the 29th prime minister of Australia from 2015 to 2018. He held office as Liberal Party of Australia, leader of the Liberal Party an ...
,
Scott Morrison Scott John Morrison (born 13 May 1968) is an Australian former politician who served as the 30th prime minister of Australia from 2018 to 2022. He held office as leader of the Liberal Party of Australia, leader of the Liberal Party and was ...
, and
Anthony Albanese Anthony Norman Albanese ( or ; born 2 March 1963) is an Australian politician serving as the 31st and current prime minister of Australia since 2022. He has been the Leaders of the Australian Labor Party#Leader, leader of the Labor Party si ...
reminiscing about Green's commentary on their respective election nights, and wishing him well in retirement.


Honours

In 2014, the
University of Sydney The University of Sydney (USYD) is a public university, public research university in Sydney, Australia. Founded in 1850, it is the oldest university in both Australia and Oceania. One of Australia's six sandstone universities, it was one of the ...
recognised Green with an Honorary Doctor of Letters. This was followed in 2015 by appointment as an adjunct professor in Sydney University's Department of Government and International Relations, recognising Green's work in the study of elections. In the Australian 2017 Queen's Birthday Honours List, Green was appointed an Officer of the
Order of Australia The Order of Australia is an Australian honours and awards system, Australian honour that recognises Australian citizens and other persons for outstanding achievement and service. It was established on 14 February 1975 by Elizabeth II, Monarch ...
(AO), "for distinguished service to the broadcast media as an analyst and commentator for state and federal elections, and to the community as a key interpreter of Australian democracy".


Personal life

Green is an avid
cyclist Cycling, also known as bicycling or biking, is the activity of riding a bicycle or other types of pedal-driven human-powered vehicles such as balance bikes, unicycles, tricycles, and quadricycles. Cycling is practised around the world fo ...
, joining Dulwich Hill Cycling Club in Sydney, and taking long-distance biking trips mostly in
Europe Europe is a continent located entirely in the Northern Hemisphere and mostly in the Eastern Hemisphere. It is bordered by the Arctic Ocean to the north, the Atlantic Ocean to the west, the Mediterranean Sea to the south, and Asia to the east ...
and Australia. He is also an ambassador for the
Sydney Swans The Sydney Swans are a professional Australian rules football club based in Sydney, New South Wales. The men's team competes in the Australian Football League (AFL), and the women's team in the AFL Women's (AFLW). The Swans also field a Austral ...
football Football is a family of team sports that involve, to varying degrees, kick (football), kicking a football (ball), ball to score a goal (sports), goal. Unqualified, football (word), the word ''football'' generally means the form of football t ...
club, a team in the AFL.


In popular culture

Green's contribution to political analysis was celebrated in the song "Antony Green" in the musical ''
Keating! ''Keating!'' is a sung-through musical which portrays the political career of former Australian Prime Minister Paul Keating. Keating was Prime Minister between 1991 and 1996; the musical follows him from his ascent to the leadership through ...
'', where he was represented as an animated character.


References


External links

*
Profile: Antony Green
2007 Election News -
Australian Broadcasting Corporation The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) is Australia’s principal public service broadcaster. It is funded primarily by grants from the federal government and is administered by a government-appointed board of directors. The ABC is ...

Antony Green's House of Reps Calculator
(2009) -
Australian Broadcasting Corporation The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) is Australia’s principal public service broadcaster. It is funded primarily by grants from the federal government and is administered by a government-appointed board of directors. The ABC is ...

Antony Green's Election Blog
(2016-01-12...2018-11-15) -
Australian Broadcasting Corporation The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) is Australia’s principal public service broadcaster. It is funded primarily by grants from the federal government and is administered by a government-appointed board of directors. The ABC is ...

Antony Green's Election Blog
(2019-12-12...present) - ''Antony Green .com.au'' {{DEFAULTSORT:Green, Antony 1960 births Living people Australian political commentators Psephologists Australian television newsreaders and news presenters English emigrants to Australia People from Warrington University of Sydney alumni People educated at James Ruse Agricultural High School Officers of the Order of Australia Australian political scientists