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Generalized Extreme Value Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions developed within extreme value theory to combine the Gumbel distribution, Gumbel, Fréchet distribution, Fréchet and Weibull distribution, Weibull families also known as type I, II and III extreme value distributions. By the Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem, extreme value theorem the GEV distribution is the only possible limit distribution of properly normalized maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. Note that a limit distribution needs to exist, which requires regularity conditions on the tail of the distribution. Despite this, the GEV distribution is often used as an approximation to model the maxima of long (finite) sequences of random variables. In some fields of application the generalized extreme value distribution is known as the Fisher–Tippett distribution, named after Ronald Fisher, R.A ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Location Parameter
In statistics, a location parameter of a probability distribution is a scalar- or vector-valued parameter x_0, which determines the "location" or shift of the distribution. In the literature of location parameter estimation, the probability distributions with such parameter are found to be formally defined in one of the following equivalent ways: * either as having a probability density function or probability mass function f(x - x_0); or * having a cumulative distribution function F(x - x_0); or * being defined as resulting from the random variable transformation x_0 + X, where X is a random variable with a certain, possibly unknown, distribution. See also . A direct example of a location parameter is the parameter \mu of the normal distribution. To see this, note that the probability density function f(x , \mu, \sigma) of a normal distribution \mathcal(\mu,\sigma^2) can have the parameter \mu factored out and be written as: : g(x' = x - \mu , \sigma) = \frac \exp\left(-\f ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Probit Model
In statistics, a probit model is a type of regression where the dependent variable can take only two values, for example married or not married. The word is a portmanteau, coming from ''probability'' + ''unit''. The purpose of the model is to estimate the probability that an observation with particular characteristics will fall into a specific one of the categories; moreover, classifying observations based on their predicted probabilities is a type of binary classification model. A probit model is a popular specification for a binary response model. As such it treats the same set of problems as does logistic regression using similar techniques. When viewed in the generalized linear model framework, the probit model employs a probit link function. It is most often estimated using the maximum likelihood procedure, such an estimation being called a probit regression. Conceptual framework Suppose a response variable ''Y'' is ''binary'', that is it can have only two possible o ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Logit Model
In statistics, the logit ( ) function is the quantile function associated with the standard logistic distribution. It has many uses in data analysis and machine learning, especially in data transformations. Mathematically, the logit is the inverse of the standard logistic function \sigma(x) = 1/(1+e^), so the logit is defined as : \operatorname p = \sigma^(p) = \ln \frac \quad \text \quad p \in (0,1). Because of this, the logit is also called the log-odds since it is equal to the logarithm of the odds \frac where is a probability. Thus, the logit is a type of function that maps probability values from (0, 1) to real numbers in (-\infty, +\infty), akin to the probit function. Definition If is a probability, then is the corresponding odds; the of the probability is the logarithm of the odds, i.e.: : \operatorname(p)=\ln\left( \frac \right) =\ln(p)-\ln(1-p)=-\ln\left( \frac-1\right)=2\operatorname(2p-1). The base of the logarithm function used is of little import ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Discrete Choice
In economics, discrete choice models, or qualitative choice models, describe, explain, and predict choices between two or more discrete alternatives, such as entering or not entering the labor market, or choosing between modes of transport. Such choices contrast with standard consumption models in which the quantity of each good consumed is assumed to be a continuous variable. In the continuous case, calculus methods (e.g. first-order conditions) can be used to determine the optimum amount chosen, and demand can be modeled empirically using regression analysis. On the other hand, discrete choice analysis examines situations in which the potential outcomes are discrete, such that the optimum is not characterized by standard first-order conditions. Thus, instead of examining "how much" as in problems with continuous choice variables, discrete choice analysis examines "which one". However, discrete choice analysis can also be used to examine the chosen quantity when only a few distinc ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Error Variable
In statistics, linear regression is a model that estimates the relationship between a scalar response (dependent variable) and one or more explanatory variables (regressor or independent variable). A model with exactly one explanatory variable is a ''simple linear regression''; a model with two or more explanatory variables is a multiple linear regression. This term is distinct from multivariate linear regression, which predicts multiple correlated dependent variables rather than a single dependent variable. In linear regression, the relationships are modeled using linear predictor functions whose unknown model parameters are estimated from the data. Most commonly, the conditional mean of the response given the values of the explanatory variables (or predictors) is assumed to be an affine function of those values; less commonly, the conditional median or some other quantile is used. Like all forms of regression analysis, linear regression focuses on the conditional probabili ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Latent Variable
In statistics, latent variables (from Latin: present participle of ) are variables that can only be inferred indirectly through a mathematical model from other observable variables that can be directly observed or measured. Such '' latent variable models'' are used in many disciplines, including engineering, medicine, ecology, physics, machine learning/artificial intelligence, natural language processing, bioinformatics, chemometrics, demography, economics, management, political science, psychology and the social sciences. Latent variables may correspond to aspects of physical reality. These could in principle be measured, but may not be for practical reasons. Among the earliest expressions of this idea is Francis Bacon's polemic the ''Novum Organum'', itself a challenge to the more traditional logic expressed in Aristotle's Organon: In this situation, the term ''hidden variables'' is commonly used, reflecting the fact that the variables are meaningful, but not observable ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Logistic Regression
In statistics, a logistic model (or logit model) is a statistical model that models the logit, log-odds of an event as a linear function (calculus), linear combination of one or more independent variables. In regression analysis, logistic regression (or logit regression) estimation theory, estimates the parameters of a logistic model (the coefficients in the linear or non linear combinations). In binary logistic regression there is a single binary variable, binary dependent variable, coded by an indicator variable, where the two values are labeled "0" and "1", while the independent variables can each be a binary variable (two classes, coded by an indicator variable) or a continuous variable (any real value). The corresponding probability of the value labeled "1" can vary between 0 (certainly the value "0") and 1 (certainly the value "1"), hence the labeling; the function that converts log-odds to probability is the logistic function, hence the name. The unit of measurement for the ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Multinomial Logit
In statistics, multinomial logistic regression is a classification method that generalizes logistic regression to multiclass problems, i.e. with more than two possible discrete outcomes. That is, it is a model that is used to predict the probabilities of the different possible outcomes of a categorically distributed dependent variable, given a set of independent variables (which may be real-valued, binary-valued, categorical-valued, etc.). Multinomial logistic regression is known by a variety of other names, including polytomous LR, multiclass LR, softmax regression, multinomial logit (mlogit), the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) classifier, and the conditional maximum entropy model. Background Multinomial logistic regression is used when the dependent variable in question is nominal (equivalently ''categorical'', meaning that it falls into any one of a set of categories that cannot be ordered in any meaningful way) and for which there are more than two categories. Some examples ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Extreme Value Theory
Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA) is the study of extremes in statistical distributions. It is widely used in many disciplines, such as structural engineering, finance, economics, earth sciences, traffic prediction, and Engineering geology, geological engineering. For example, EVA might be used in the field of hydrology to estimate the probability of an unusually large flooding event, such as the 100-year flood. Similarly, for the design of a breakwater (structure), breakwater, a coastal engineer would seek to estimate the 50 year wave and design the structure accordingly. Data analysis Two main approaches exist for practical extreme value analysis. The first method relies on deriving block maxima (minima) series as a preliminary step. In many situations it is customary and convenient to extract the annual maxima (minima), generating an ''annual maxima series'' (AMS). The second method relies on extracting, from a continuous record, the peak values reac ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Location–scale Family
In probability theory, especially in mathematical statistics, a location–scale family is a family of probability distributions parametrized by a location parameter and a non-negative scale parameter. For any random variable X whose probability distribution function belongs to such a family, the distribution function of Y \stackrel a + b Xalso belongs to the family (where \stackrel means " equal in distribution"—that is, "has the same distribution as"). In other words, a class \Omega of probability distributions is a location–scale family if for all cumulative distribution functions F \in \Omega and any real numbers a \in \mathbb and b > 0 , the distribution function G(x) = F(a + b x) is also a member of \Omega . * If X has a cumulative distribution function F_X(x)= P(X\le x), then Y a + b X has a cumulative distribution function F_Y(y) = F_X\left(\frac\right). * If X is a discrete random variable with probability mass function p_X(x)= P(X=x), then Y a + b X is ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
