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Skew Normal Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the skew normal distribution is a continuous probability distribution that generalises the normal distribution to allow for non-zero skewness. Definition Let \phi(x) denote the Normal distribution, standard normal probability density function :\phi(x)=\frace^ with the cumulative distribution function given by :\Phi(x) = \int_^ \phi(t)\ \mathrm dt = \frac \left[ 1 + \operatorname \left(\frac\right)\right], where "erf" is the error function. Then the probability density function (pdf) of the skew-normal distribution with parameter \alpha is given by :f(x) = 2\phi(x)\Phi(\alpha x). \, This distribution was first introduced by O'Hagan and Leonard (1976). Alternative forms to this distribution, with the corresponding quantile function, have been given by Ashour and Abdel-Hamid and by Mudholkar and Hutson. A stochastic process that underpins the distribution was described by Andel, Netuka and Zvara (1984). Both the distribution and its stochas ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Skew Normal Densities
Skew may refer to: In mathematics * Skew lines, neither parallel nor intersecting. * Skew normal distribution, a probability distribution * Skew field or division ring * Skew-Hermitian matrix * Skew lattice * Skew polygon, whose vertices do not lie on a plane * Infinite skew polyhedron * Skew-symmetric graph * Skew-symmetric matrix * Skew tableau, a generalization of Young tableaux * Skewness, a measure of the asymmetry of a probability distribution * Shear mapping In science and technology *Skew, also synclinal or gauche in alkane stereochemistry *Skew ray (optics), an optical path not in a plane of symmetry * Skew arch, not at a right angle In computing * Clock skew * Transitive data skew, an issue of data synchronization In telecommunications * Skew (fax), unstraightness * Skew (antenna) a method to improve the horizontal radiation pattern Other uses * Volatility skew, in finance, a downward-sloping volatility smile * SKEW, the ticker symbol for the CBOE Skew Index See also ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Cumulative Distribution Function
In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Every probability distribution Support (measure theory), supported on the real numbers, discrete or "mixed" as well as Continuous variable, continuous, is uniquely identified by a right-continuous Monotonic function, monotone increasing function (a càdlàg function) F \colon \mathbb R \rightarrow [0,1] satisfying \lim_F(x)=0 and \lim_F(x)=1. In the case of a scalar continuous distribution, it gives the area under the probability density function from negative infinity to x. Cumulative distribution functions are also used to specify the distribution of multivariate random variables. Definition The cumulative distribution function of a real-valued random variable X is the function given by where the right-hand side represents the probability ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Log-normal Distribution
In probability theory, a log-normal (or lognormal) distribution is a continuous probability distribution of a random variable whose logarithm is normal distribution, normally distributed. Thus, if the random variable is log-normally distributed, then has a normal distribution. Equivalently, if has a normal distribution, then the exponential function of , , has a log-normal distribution. A random variable which is log-normally distributed takes only positive real values. It is a convenient and useful model for measurements in exact and engineering sciences, as well as medicine, economics and other topics (e.g., energies, concentrations, lengths, prices of financial instruments, and other metrics). The distribution is occasionally referred to as the Galton distribution or Galton's distribution, after Francis Galton. The log-normal distribution has also been associated with other names, such as Donald MacAlister#log-normal, McAlister, Gibrat's law, Gibrat and Cobb–Douglas. A l ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Generalized Normal Distribution
The generalized normal distribution (GND) or generalized Gaussian distribution (GGD) is either of two families of parametric continuous probability distributions on the real line. Both families add a shape parameter to the normal distribution. To distinguish the two families, they are referred to below as "symmetric" and "asymmetric"; however, this is not a standard nomenclature. Symmetric version The symmetric generalized normal distribution, also known as the exponential power distribution or the generalized error distribution, is a parametric family of symmetric distributions. It includes all normal and Laplace distributions, and as limiting cases it includes all continuous uniform distributions on bounded intervals of the real line. This family includes the normal distribution when \textstyle\beta=2 (with mean \textstyle\mu and variance \textstyle \frac) and it includes the Laplace distribution when \textstyle\beta=1. As \textstyle\beta\rightarrow\infty, the density ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Seven States Of Randomness
The seven states of randomness in probability theory, fractals and risk analysis are extensions of the concept of randomness as modeled by the normal distribution. These seven states were first introduced by Benoît Mandelbrot in his 1997 book ''Fractals and Scaling in Finance'', which applied fractal analysis to the study of risk and randomness. This classification builds upon the three main states of randomness: mild, slow, and wild. The importance of seven states of randomness classification for mathematical finance is that methods such as Markowitz mean variance portfolio and Black–Scholes model may be invalidated as the tails of the distribution of returns are fattened: the former relies on finite standard deviation ( volatility) and stability of correlation, while the latter is constructed upon Brownian motion. History These seven states build on earlier work of Mandelbrot in 1963: "The variations of certain speculative prices" and "New methods in statistical economi ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Exponentially Modified Gaussian Distribution
In probability theory, an exponentially modified Gaussian distribution (EMG, also known as exGaussian distribution) describes the sum of independent Normal distribution, normal and Exponential distribution, exponential random variables. An exGaussian random variable ''Z'' may be expressed as , where ''X'' and ''Y'' are independent, ''X'' is Gaussian with mean ''μ'' and variance ''σ''2, and ''Y'' is exponential of rate ''λ''. It has a characteristic positive skew from the exponential component. It may also be regarded as a weighted function of a shifted exponential with the weight being a function of the normal distribution. Definition The probability density function (pdf) of the exponentially modified Gaussian distribution is :f(x;\mu,\sigma,\lambda) = \frac \exp \left[\frac (2 \mu + \lambda \sigma^2 - 2 x)\right] \operatorname \left(\frac\right), where erfc is the complementary error function defined as :\begin \operatorname(x) & = 1-\operatorn ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Method Of Moments (statistics)
In statistics, the method of moments is a method of estimation of population parameters. The same principle is used to derive higher moments like skewness and kurtosis. It starts by expressing the population moments (i.e., the expected values of powers of the random variable under consideration) as functions of the parameters of interest. Those expressions are then set equal to the sample moments. The number of such equations is the same as the number of parameters to be estimated. Those equations are then solved for the parameters of interest. The solutions are estimates of those parameters. The method of moments was introduced by Pafnuty Chebyshev in 1887 in the proof of the central limit theorem. The idea of matching empirical moments of a distribution to the population moments dates back at least to Karl Pearson. Method Suppose that the parameter \theta = (\theta_1, \theta_2, \dots, \theta_k) characterizes the distribution f_W(w; \theta) of the random variable W. Supp ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Maximum Likelihood
In statistics, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a method of estimating the parameters of an assumed probability distribution, given some observed data. This is achieved by maximizing a likelihood function so that, under the assumed statistical model, the observed data is most probable. The point in the parameter space that maximizes the likelihood function is called the maximum likelihood estimate. The logic of maximum likelihood is both intuitive and flexible, and as such the method has become a dominant means of statistical inference. If the likelihood function is differentiable, the derivative test for finding maxima can be applied. In some cases, the first-order conditions of the likelihood function can be solved analytically; for instance, the ordinary least squares estimator for a linear regression model maximizes the likelihood when the random errors are assumed to have normal distributions with the same variance. From the perspective of Bayesian inference, ML ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Estimation
Estimation (or estimating) is the process of finding an estimate or approximation, which is a value that is usable for some purpose even if input data may be incomplete, uncertain, or unstable. The value is nonetheless usable because it is derived from the best information available.C. Lon Enloe, Elizabeth Garnett, Jonathan Miles, ''Physical Science: What the Technology Professional Needs to Know'' (2000), p. 47. Typically, estimation involves "using the value of a statistic derived from a sample to estimate the value of a corresponding population parameter".Raymond A. Kent, "Estimation", ''Data Construction and Data Analysis for Survey Research'' (2001), p. 157. The sample provides information that can be projected, through various formal or informal processes, to determine a range most likely to describe the missing information. An estimate that turns out to be incorrect will be an overestimate if the estimate exceeds the actual result and an underestimate if the estimate f ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Cumulative Distribution Function
In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Every probability distribution Support (measure theory), supported on the real numbers, discrete or "mixed" as well as Continuous variable, continuous, is uniquely identified by a right-continuous Monotonic function, monotone increasing function (a càdlàg function) F \colon \mathbb R \rightarrow [0,1] satisfying \lim_F(x)=0 and \lim_F(x)=1. In the case of a scalar continuous distribution, it gives the area under the probability density function from negative infinity to x. Cumulative distribution functions are also used to specify the distribution of multivariate random variables. Definition The cumulative distribution function of a real-valued random variable X is the function given by where the right-hand side represents the probability ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Probability Density Function
In probability theory, a probability density function (PDF), density function, or density of an absolutely continuous random variable, is a Function (mathematics), function whose value at any given sample (or point) in the sample space (the set of possible values taken by the random variable) can be interpreted as providing a ''relative likelihood'' that the value of the random variable would be equal to that sample. Probability density is the probability per unit length, in other words, while the ''absolute likelihood'' for a continuous random variable to take on any particular value is 0 (since there is an infinite set of possible values to begin with), the value of the PDF at two different samples can be used to infer, in any particular draw of the random variable, how much more likely it is that the random variable would be close to one sample compared to the other sample. More precisely, the PDF is used to specify the probability of the random variable falling ''within ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Error Function
In mathematics, the error function (also called the Gauss error function), often denoted by , is a function \mathrm: \mathbb \to \mathbb defined as: \operatorname z = \frac\int_0^z e^\,\mathrm dt. The integral here is a complex Contour integration, contour integral which is path-independent because \exp(-t^2) is Holomorphic function, holomorphic on the whole complex plane \mathbb. In many applications, the function argument is a real number, in which case the function value is also real. In some old texts, the error function is defined without the factor of \frac. This nonelementary integral is a sigmoid function, sigmoid function that occurs often in probability, statistics, and partial differential equations. In statistics, for non-negative real values of , the error function has the following interpretation: for a real random variable that is normal distribution, normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation \frac, is the probability that falls in the range . ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
