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Post-election Pendulum For The 2009 Queensland State Election
The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2009 Queensland state election. "Very safe" seats require a swing of over 20 per cent to change, "safe" seats require a swing of 10 to 20 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent. {, , , style="vertical-align:top;", {, class="toccolours" align="left" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="margin-right: .5em; margin-top: .4em; font-size: 90%; float:right" , - , COLSPAN=4 align="center" bgcolor="RED" , , - , COLSPAN=4 align="center" bgcolor="red" , , - , align="left" bgcolor="FFCACA" , Chatsworth , align="left" bgcolor="FFCACA" , Steven Kilburn , align="left" bgcolor="FFCACA" , ALP , align="center" bgcolor="FFCACA" , 0.1% , - , align="left" bgcolor="FFCACA" , Everton , align="left" bgcolor="FFCACA" , Murray Watt , align="left" bgcolor="FFCACA" , ALP , align="center" bgcolor="FFCACA" , 1.4% , - , align="left ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Mackerras Pendulum
The Mackerras pendulum was devised by the Australian psephologist Malcolm Mackerras as a way of predicting the outcome of an election contested between two major parties in a Westminster style lower house legislature such as the Australian House of Representatives, which is composed of single-member electorates and which uses a preferential voting system such as a Condorcet method or IRV. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in Parliament for the government, the opposition and the crossbenches according to the percentage-point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted. Two-party-preferred percentage The two-party preferred (2PP) method of prediction attempts to estimate the flow of second and subsequent preferences from smaller parties in order of their expec ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Peter Lawlor
Peter Lawlor (born 1 March 1948 in Ayr, Queensland) is a former Labor Member for Southport in the Queensland Legislative Assembly. He served as Queensland Minister for Tourism and Fair Trading. Prior to his term in state parliament he previously served as a councillor on the Gold Coast City Council. Gold Coast City Council Lawlor served as a Gold Coast City councillor for two terms up to 1994; he chaired the council's planning committee for three years. During his time on council, Lawlor campaigned on environmental issues and to preserve the Gold Coast Broadwater. At the time Gold Coast City Council had nine aldermen and a mayor. Areas to the north and west of the Gold Coast came under the separate Shire of Albert until the amalgamation of the council and shire in 1995. In March 1988 Lawlor was elected as Division 3 alderman. At the same election new Mayor Alderman Lex Bell ousted former Mayor Denis Pie. Lex Bell would go on to be elected as the independent member for Surfers ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Electoral District Of Pine Rivers
Pine Rivers is an Queensland Legislative Assembly electoral districts, electoral district of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland, Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of Queensland. It was first created for the 1972 Queensland state election, 1972 state election, based in the Shire of Pine Rivers in the northern outskirts of Brisbane. It was abolished in 1992 and replaced by Electoral district of Kurwongbah, Kurwongbah for the 1992 Queensland state election, 1992 state election. The final member for Pine Rivers, Margaret Woodgate, transferred to Kurwongbah. Pine Rivers was reintroduced for the 2009 Queensland state election, 2009 state election, essentially as Kurwongbah renamed. The name change from Kurwongbah was made necessary due to the redistribution excising the Kurwongbah, Queensland, eponymous suburb from the district. Originally proposed to be called ''Samsonvale'' by the Electoral Commission of Queensland, the name Pine Rivers was adopted after further revi ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Mary-Anne O'Neill
Mary-Anne O'Neill (born 20 April 1955) is an Australian politician. She was a Labor Party member of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland from 2009 to 2012. O'Neill was born and grew up in Tumut, New South Wales, and received higher education in Canberra. She was a union organiser before entering politics. In 2009, she was elected as the Labor member of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland for Kallangur, succeeding Ken Hayward Kenneth William Hayward (born 13 February 1954 in Cairns) was an Australian politician. He was a Labor member of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland from 1986 to 2009. Hayward entered state parliament after winning the seat of Caboolture at ..., who retired. References 1955 births Living people Members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly Australian Labor Party members of the Parliament of Queensland 21st-century Australian politicians Women members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly 21st-century Australian women pol ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Electoral District Of Kallangur
Kallangur was an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of Queensland from 1992 to 2017. The district was based in the outer northern suburbs of Brisbane. It is named for the suburb of Kallangur and also includes the suburbs of Dakabin, Kurwongbah, Murrumba Downs, Petrie and part of Narangba Narangba is a town and suburb of the Moreton Bay Region, Queensland, Australia. It is located 34 km north of Brisbane CBD. This suburb has rural origins, but is being redeveloped as a residential suburb on the outskirts of the greater Bris .... The electorate was first contested in 1992. Members for Kallangur Election results References External links * {{DEFAULTSORT:Kallangur Former electoral districts of Queensland Constituencies established in 1992 Constituencies disestablished in 2017 2017 disestablishments in Australia 1992 establishments in Australia ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Geoff Wilson (Australian Politician)
Geoffrey James Wilson (born 5 November 1952) is a former Australian politician. Early life and career Born in Culcairn in New South Wales, he was a barrister and union official before entering the Legislative Assembly. Member of parliament In 1998, he was elected to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland as the Labor member for Ferny Grove, which he represented until 2012. From January 2002 until October 2006 he Chaired the Parliamentary Crime and Misconduct Committee. Government Minister He was appointed Minister for Mines and Energy in September 2006 by Peter Beattie, and continued in that post after Anna Bligh took over as Premier Premier is a title for the head of government in central governments, state governments and local governments of some countries. A second in command to a premier is designated as a deputy premier. A premier will normally be a head of governm ... a year later. Following the 2009 election, he was named Minister for Education and Traini ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Electoral District Of Ferny Grove
Ferny Grove is one of the 89 electoral districts for the Legislative Assembly of Queensland in Australia. Located in northwest Brisbane, it is named for the suburb of Ferny Grove, Queensland, Ferny Grove. It was first created in 1992, and was represented by Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch), Labor from its creation until the 2012 Queensland state election, 2012 election, in which the LNP won with a 59.5 percent two-party vote. The election is notable for having decided the 2015 Queensland state election, 2015 state election. Labor won the seat back on a swing of 10 percent, just barely what it needed to take the seat off the LNP. However, the Palmer United Party candidate for Ferny Grove, Mark Taverner, was revealed to be an Bankruptcy#Australia, undischarged bankrupt and therefore ineligible to run. The revelation spurred speculation that a by-election would be needed to resolve the seat. However, ABC election analyst Antony Green believed that the Ferny Grove outco ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Phil Reeves (politician)
Philip Gerard Reeves (born 19 September 1966) is an Australian politician. Early life and career Born in Brisbane, he received a Bachelor of Arts in Leisure Management from Griffith University and was a sports management and marketing consultant. He joined the Labor Party in 1987 and was Vice-President of the Garden City Branch. Member of parliament In 1998, he was elected to the Legislative Assembly of Queensland as the member for Mansfield, defeating sitting Liberal Liberal or liberalism may refer to: Politics * a supporter of liberalism ** Liberalism by country * an adherent of a Liberal Party * Liberalism (international relations) * Sexually liberal feminism * Social liberalism Arts, entertainment and m ... MP Frank Carroll. Reeves represented Mansfield until the 2012 election, and was Minister for Child Safety and Minister for Sport from 26 March 2009. Personal life Phil Reeves is married to Megan and has three children, Brianna, Ashleigh and Jemma. References ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Electoral District Of Mansfield
Mansfield is an electoral district of the Legislative Assembly in the Australian state of Queensland. The district is based in the south-eastern suburbs of Brisbane. It is named for the suburb of Mansfield Mansfield is a market town and the administrative centre of Mansfield District in Nottinghamshire, England. It is the largest town in the wider Mansfield Urban Area (followed by Sutton-in-Ashfield). It gained the Royal Charter of a market tow ... and also includes the suburbs of Burbank, Rochedale and Wishart. The electorate was first created for the 1972 election. Mansfield has tended to be a seat held by the government of the day; only two of its members have served in opposition. Members for Mansfield Election results References 1. http://results.ecq.qld.gov.au/elections/state/State2015/results/district49.html External links * {{DEFAULTSORT:Mansfield Electoral districts of Queensland ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Desley Boyle
Desley Carole Boyle (born 29 March 1948) is a former Labor politician. Boyle represented the electoral district of Cairns, Queensland in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland and was elected in the 1998 State election and served until 2012 Queensland Parliamentary Website Accessed 22 March 2009 Early life and career Boyle was the director and clinical psychologist for Desley Boyle and Associates, in Cairns. She held a position with the Cairns' local government from 1988 to 1994, including two years as Deputy Mayor.Member of parliament She served on the Parliament ...[...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Electoral District Of Cairns
Cairns is an electoral district in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland in the state of Queensland, Australia. The division encompasses the central business district and inner-suburbs of Cairns, in Far North Queensland. Major locations include Bungalow, Manoora, Kanimbla, Earlville and Woree. History Created in 1888, Cairns has historically tended to be a safe Labor seat with a blue-collar economy based on sugar, mining and railways. However, in recent decades such industry has been surpassed in importance by tourism and service industries for wealthier retirees and has grown increasingly marginal. This trend culminated in 2012, when Gavin King took the seat for the LNP on a massive swing of over 13 percent, becoming the first conservative to hold the seat since 1904. The seat reverted to its Labor ways in 2015, when Rob Pyne defeated King on a swing slightly larger than the one King picked up three years earlier. Pyne quit the party to become an independent in 2016. He ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Barbara Stone
Barbara Gwendoline Stone (born 28 January 1962) is an Australian politician. She was a member of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland for Springwood and is a member of the Labor Party. Before politics Stone graduated with an Associate Diploma in Business Management and a Bachelor of Business (HRM) at Queensland University of Technology. She then worked at Australia Post for a number of years before becoming an Electorate Officer for Judy Spence, State Member for Mount Gravatt. Politics Stone entered Parliament after the 2001 state election, having been selected after the sitting member, Labor's Grant Musgrove Grant Steven Musgrove (born 28 March 1968) is an Australian public figure. Roles have included Chief Executive Officer of the Australian Council of Recycling (ACOR), the peak industry body for the resource recovery industry, a senior university ..., resigned in the wake of an electoral rorting scandal. She subsequently won the 2004, 2006 and 2009 elections, ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
