Mirabilis Liber
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Mirabilis Liber
{{italic title The ''Mirabilis liber'' (''Mirabilis liber qui prophetias revelationesque, necnon res mirandas, preteritas, presentes et futuras, aperte demonstrat...'') is an anonymous and formerly very popular compilation of predictions by various Christian saints and diviners first printed in France in 1522 (though purportedly published in Rome in 1524, probably because it was the date of an important and long-anticipated planetary alignment) and reprinted several times thereafter. It is not to be confused with the almost contemporary ''Liber mirabilis''. Its unwitting contributors include: * Bishop Bemechobus (misprint for Pseudo-Methodius – Syrian, 7th century) * The Tiburtine Sibyl (Syrian, 9th century) * ‘ St Augustine of Hippo’ (actually by the 10th-century monk Adso of Montier-en-Der) * ‘St Severus’ (in fact a 15th-century composition) * Johann Lichtenberger (an anthology of various named sources, first printed in 1488) * A set of papal prophecies (14th centu ...
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Prediction
A prediction (Latin ''præ-'', "before," and ''dicere'', "to say"), or forecast, is a statement about a future event or data. They are often, but not always, based upon experience or knowledge. There is no universal agreement about the exact difference from "estimation"; different authors and disciplines ascribe different connotations. Future events are necessarily uncertain, so guaranteed accurate information about the future is impossible. Prediction can be useful to assist in making plans about possible developments. Opinion In a non-statistical sense, the term "prediction" is often used to refer to an informed guess or opinion. A prediction of this kind might be informed by a predicting person's abductive reasoning, inductive reasoning, deductive reasoning, and experience; and may be useful—if the predicting person is a knowledgeable person in the field. The Delphi method is a technique for eliciting such expert-judgement-based predictions in a controlled way. Th ...
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