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Lack-of-fit Sum Of Squares
In statistics, a sum of squares due to lack of fit, or more tersely a lack-of-fit sum of squares, is one of the components of a partition of the sum of squares of residuals in an analysis of variance, used in the numerator in an F-test of the null hypothesis that says that a proposed model fits well. The other component is the pure-error sum of squares. The pure-error sum of squares is the sum of squared deviations of each value of the dependent variable from the average value over all observations sharing its independent variable value(s). These are errors that could never be avoided by any predictive equation that assigned a predicted value for the dependent variable as a function of the value(s) of the independent variable(s). The remainder of the residual sum of squares is attributed to lack of fit of the model since it would be mathematically possible to eliminate these errors entirely. Principle In order for the lack-of-fit sum of squares to differ from the sum of squares ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ''wikt:Statistik#German, Statistik'', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model to be studied. Populations can be diverse groups of people or objects such as "all people living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal". Statistics deals with every aspect of data, including the planning of data collection in terms of the design of statistical survey, surveys and experimental design, experiments.Dodge, Y. (2006) ''The Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms'', Oxford University Press. When census data cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by developing specific experiment designs and survey sample (statistics), samples. Representative sampling as ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Expected Value
In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, mathematical expectation, mean, average, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average. Informally, the expected value is the arithmetic mean of a large number of independently selected outcomes of a random variable. The expected value of a random variable with a finite number of outcomes is a weighted average of all possible outcomes. In the case of a continuum of possible outcomes, the expectation is defined by integration. In the axiomatic foundation for probability provided by measure theory, the expectation is given by Lebesgue integration. The expected value of a random variable is often denoted by , , or , with also often stylized as or \mathbb. History The idea of the expected value originated in the middle of the 17th century from the study of the so-called problem of points, which seeks to divide the stakes ''in a fair way'' between two players, who have to end th ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Fraction Of Variance Unexplained
In statistics, the fraction of variance unexplained (FVU) in the context of a regression task is the fraction of variance of the regressand (dependent variable) ''Y'' which cannot be explained, i.e., which is not correctly predicted, by the explanatory variables ''X''. Formal definition Suppose we are given a regression function f yielding for each y_i an estimate \widehat_i = f(x_i) where x_i is the vector of the ''i''th observations on all the explanatory variables. We define the fraction of variance unexplained (FVU) as: :\begin \text & = = = \left( = 1- , \text\right) \\ pt & = 1 - R^2 \end where ''R''2 is the coefficient of determination and ''VAR''err and ''VAR''tot are the variance of the residuals and the sample variance of the dependent variable. ''SS''''err'' (the sum of squared predictions errors, equivalently the residual sum of squares), ''SS''''tot'' (the total sum of squares), and ''SS''''reg'' (the sum of squares of the regression, equivalently the explai ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Likelihood-ratio Test
In statistics, the likelihood-ratio test assesses the goodness of fit of two competing statistical models based on the ratio of their likelihoods, specifically one found by maximization over the entire parameter space and another found after imposing some constraint. If the constraint (i.e., the null hypothesis) is supported by the observed data, the two likelihoods should not differ by more than sampling error. Thus the likelihood-ratio test tests whether this ratio is significantly different from one, or equivalently whether its natural logarithm is significantly different from zero. The likelihood-ratio test, also known as Wilks test, is the oldest of the three classical approaches to hypothesis testing, together with the Lagrange multiplier test and the Wald test. In fact, the latter two can be conceptualized as approximations to the likelihood-ratio test, and are asymptotically equivalent. In the case of comparing two models each of which has no unknown parameters, use o ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Goodness Of Fit
The goodness of fit of a statistical model describes how well it fits a set of observations. Measures of goodness of fit typically summarize the discrepancy between observed values and the values expected under the model in question. Such measures can be used in statistical hypothesis testing, e.g. to test for normality of residuals, to test whether two samples are drawn from identical distributions (see Kolmogorov–Smirnov test), or whether outcome frequencies follow a specified distribution (see Pearson's chi-square test). In the analysis of variance, one of the components into which the variance is partitioned may be a lack-of-fit sum of squares. Fit of distributions In assessing whether a given distribution is suited to a data-set, the following tests and their underlying measures of fit can be used: * Bayesian information criterion *Kolmogorov–Smirnov test *Cramér–von Mises criterion *Anderson–Darling test * Shapiro–Wilk test *Chi-squared test *Akaike informat ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Independence (probability Theory)
Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes. Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent if, informally speaking, the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other or, equivalently, does not affect the odds. Similarly, two random variables are independent if the realization of one does not affect the probability distribution of the other. When dealing with collections of more than two events, two notions of independence need to be distinguished. The events are called pairwise independent if any two events in the collection are independent of each other, while mutual independence (or collective independence) of events means, informally speaking, that each event is independent of any combination of other events in the collection. A similar notion exists for collections of random variables. Mutual independence implies pairwise independence ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Confidence Level
In frequentist statistics, a confidence interval (CI) is a range of estimates for an unknown parameter. A confidence interval is computed at a designated ''confidence level''; the 95% confidence level is most common, but other levels, such as 90% or 99%, are sometimes used. The confidence level represents the long-run proportion of corresponding CIs that contain the true value of the parameter. For example, out of all intervals computed at the 95% level, 95% of them should contain the parameter's true value. Factors affecting the width of the CI include the sample size, the variability in the sample, and the confidence level. All else being the same, a larger sample produces a narrower confidence interval, greater variability in the sample produces a wider confidence interval, and a higher confidence level produces a wider confidence interval. Definition Let be a random sample from a probability distribution with statistical parameter , which is a quantity to be estimat ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
F Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the ''F''-distribution or F-ratio, also known as Snedecor's ''F'' distribution or the Fisher–Snedecor distribution (after Ronald Fisher and George W. Snedecor) is a continuous probability distribution that arises frequently as the null distribution of a test statistic, most notably in the analysis of variance (ANOVA) and other ''F''-tests. Definition The F-distribution with ''d''1 and ''d''2 degrees of freedom is the distribution of : X = \frac where S_1 and S_2 are independent random variables with chi-square distributions with respective degrees of freedom d_1 and d_2. It can be shown to follow that the probability density function (pdf) for ''X'' is given by : \begin f(x; d_1,d_2) &= \frac \\ pt&=\frac \left(\frac\right)^ x^ \left(1+\frac \, x \right)^ \end for real ''x'' > 0. Here \mathrm is the beta function. In many applications, the parameters ''d''1 and ''d''2 are positive integers, but the distribution is well-def ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Cumulative Distribution Function
In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Every probability distribution supported on the real numbers, discrete or "mixed" as well as continuous, is uniquely identified by an ''upwards continuous'' ''monotonic increasing'' cumulative distribution function F : \mathbb R \rightarrow ,1/math> satisfying \lim_F(x)=0 and \lim_F(x)=1. In the case of a scalar continuous distribution, it gives the area under the probability density function from minus infinity to x. Cumulative distribution functions are also used to specify the distribution of multivariate random variables. Definition The cumulative distribution function of a real-valued random variable X is the function given by where the right-hand side represents the probability that the random variable X takes on a value less tha ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Stochastic Order
In probability theory and statistics, a stochastic order quantifies the concept of one random variable being "bigger" than another. These are usually partial orders, so that one random variable A may be neither stochastically greater than, less than nor equal to another random variable B. Many different orders exist, which have different applications. Usual stochastic order A real random variable A is less than a random variable B in the "usual stochastic order" if :\Pr(A>x) \le \Pr(B>x)\textx \in (-\infty,\infty), where \Pr(\cdot) denotes the probability of an event. This is sometimes denoted A \preceq B or A \le_ B. If additionally \Pr(A>x) x) for some x, then A is stochastically strictly less than B, sometimes denoted A \prec B. In decision theory, under this circumstance ''B'' is said to be first-order stochastically dominant over ''A''. Characterizations The following rules describe situations when one random variable is stochastically less than or equal to another. Stri ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Non-central F-distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the noncentral ''F''-distribution is a continuous probability distribution that is a noncentral generalization of the (ordinary) ''F''-distribution. It describes the distribution of the quotient (''X''/''n''1)/(''Y''/''n''2), where the numerator ''X'' has a noncentral chi-squared distribution with ''n''1 degrees of freedom and the denominator ''Y'' has a central chi-squared distribution with ''n''2 degrees of freedom. It is also required that ''X'' and ''Y'' are statistically independent of each other. It is the distribution of the test statistic in analysis of variance problems when the null hypothesis is false. The noncentral ''F''-distribution is used to find the power function of such a test. Occurrence and specification If X is a noncentral chi-squared random variable with noncentrality parameter \lambda and \nu_1 degrees of freedom, and Y is a chi-squared random variable with \nu_2 degrees of freedom that is statistically indep ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Noncentral Chi-squared Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the noncentral chi-squared distribution (or noncentral chi-square distribution, noncentral \chi^2 distribution) is a noncentral generalization of the chi-squared distribution. It often arises in the power analysis of statistical tests in which the null distribution is (perhaps asymptotically) a chi-squared distribution; important examples of such tests are the likelihood-ratio tests. Definitions Background Let (X_1,X_2, \ldots, X_i, \ldots,X_k) be ''k'' independent, normally distributed random variables with means \mu_i and unit variances. Then the random variable : \sum_^k X_i^2 is distributed according to the noncentral chi-squared distribution. It has two parameters: k which specifies the number of degrees of freedom (i.e. the number of X_i), and \lambda which is related to the mean of the random variables X_i by: : \lambda=\sum_^k \mu_i^2. \lambda is sometimes called the noncentrality parameter. Note that some references defin ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
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