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ITEM Club
The ITEM Club is an economic forecasting group based in the United Kingdom. ITEM stands for ''Independent Treasury Economic Model''. It was founded in 1977 to produce quarterly economic UK forecasts, which are often mentioned in the UK news media. It has been sponsored by EY (Ernst & Young), a firm of business and financial advisers,"Our people"
since 1999, Ernst & Young corporate website. Retrieved on 2010-01-05. and was officially named The EY ITEM Club in 2012. The ITEM Club is clear in all its materials that it is independent of any political, academic or commercial bias despite corporate sponsorship. The UK model is used by

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Ernst & Young
EY, previously known as Ernst & Young, is a multinational corporation, multinational professional services partnership, network based in London, United Kingdom. Along with Deloitte, KPMG and PwC, it is one of the Big Four accounting firms, Big Four accounting firms. The EY network is composed of member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company Company limited by guarantee, limited by guarantee. EY is one of the largest professional services networks in the world. It primarily provides assurance services, assurance, tax, Information technology, information technology services (including managed services in areas like Cybersecurity, Cloud computing, Cloud, Digital transformation, Digital Transformation and Artificial intelligence, AI), management consulting, consulting, and Corporate services, advisory services to its clients. Ernst & Young Global Limited operates as a network of member firms which are structured as separate legal entities in a partnership, which has 395 ...
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HM Treasury
His Majesty's Treasury (HM Treasury or HMT), and informally referred to as the Treasury, is the Government of the United Kingdom’s economic and finance ministry. The Treasury is responsible for public spending, financial services policy, Tax system, taxation, Infrastructure, state infrastructure, and economic growth. It is led by the Chancellor of the Exchequer, chancellor of the exchequer, currently Rachel Reeves since 5 July 2024. The Treasury's main offices are located in London and Darlington, with additional offices in Edinburgh and Norwich. It is one of the smallest government departments in terms of staff numbers, but widely considered the most powerful. History The origins of the Treasury of England have been traced by some to an individual known as Henry the Treasurer, a servant to King William the Conqueror. This claim is based on an entry in the Domesday Book showing the individual Henry "the treasurer" as a landowner in Winchester, where the royal treasure was sto ...
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Economic Forecasting
Economic forecasting is the process of making predictions about the economy. Forecasts can be carried out at a high level of aggregation—for example for GDP, inflation, unemployment or the fiscal deficit—or at a more disaggregated level, for specific sectors of the economy or even specific firms. Economic forecasting is a measure to find out the future prosperity of a pattern of investment and is the key activity in economic analysis. Many institutions engage in economic forecasting: national governments, banks and central banks, consultants and private sector entities such as think-tanks, and companies or international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund, World Bank and the OECD. A broad range of forecasts are collected and compiled b"Consensus Economics" Some forecasts are produced annually, but many are updated more frequently. The economist typically considers risks (i.e., events or conditions that can cause the result to vary from their initial estimat ...
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