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Geometric Brownian Motion
A geometric Brownian motion (GBM) (also known as exponential Brownian motion) is a continuous-time stochastic process in which the logarithm of the randomly varying quantity follows a Brownian motion (also called a Wiener process) with drift. It is an important example of stochastic processes satisfying a stochastic differential equation (SDE); in particular, it is used in mathematical finance to model stock prices in the Black–Scholes model. Technical definition: the SDE A stochastic process ''S''''t'' is said to follow a GBM if it satisfies the following stochastic differential equation (SDE): : dS_t = \mu S_t\,dt + \sigma S_t\,dW_t where W_t is a Wiener process or Brownian motion, and \mu ('the percentage drift') and \sigma ('the percentage volatility') are constants. The former parameter is used to model deterministic trends, while the latter parameter models unpredictable events occurring during the motion. Solving the SDE For an arbitrary initial value ''S' ...
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GBM2
GBM may refer to: Medicine * ''Glioblastoma multiforme'', an outdated term for glioblastoma * Glomerular basement membrane Science and technology * Gateway belief model, a model in psychology and the communication sciences * Geometric Brownian motion, continuous stochastic process where the logarithm of a variable follows a Brownian movement, that is a Wiener process * Gradient boosting, a machine learning technique * Generic Buffer Management, a graphics API * Gamma-ray Burst Monitor, aboard the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope * Game Boy Micro, a 2005 handheld game console and the last model in the Game Boy line Other uses * Grand Besançon Métropole, a French intercommunal structure * GBM (''League of Legends'' player) (born 1994), Korean video gamer * Geoffrey Bwalya Mwamba (born 1959), Zambian politician * Garbaharey Airport, in Somalia * Garhwali language * Grand Bauhinia Medal The Grand Bauhinia Medal () is the highest award under the Decorations and medals of Hon ...
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Variance
In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable. The standard deviation (SD) is obtained as the square root of the variance. Variance is a measure of dispersion, meaning it is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out from their average value. It is the second central moment of a distribution, and the covariance of the random variable with itself, and it is often represented by \sigma^2, s^2, \operatorname(X), V(X), or \mathbb(X). An advantage of variance as a measure of dispersion is that it is more amenable to algebraic manipulation than other measures of dispersion such as the expected absolute deviation; for example, the variance of a sum of uncorrelated random variables is equal to the sum of their variances. A disadvantage of the variance for practical applications is that, unlike the standard deviation, its units differ from the random variable, which is why the standard devi ...
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Heston Model
In finance, the Heston model, named after Steven L. Heston, is a mathematical model that describes the evolution of the volatility of an underlying asset. It is a stochastic volatility model: such a model assumes that the volatility of the asset is not constant, nor even deterministic, but follows a random process. Mathematical formulation The Heston model assumes that ''St'', the price of the asset, is determined by a stochastic process, : dS_t = \mu S_t\,dt + \sqrt S_t\,dW^S_t, where the volatility \sqrt is given by a Feller square-root or CIR process, : d\nu_t = \kappa(\theta - \nu_t)\,dt + \xi \sqrt\,dW^_t, and W^S_t, W^_t are Wiener processes (i.e., continuous random walks) with correlation ρ. The value \nu_t, being the square of the volatility, is called the instantaneous variance. The model has five parameters: * \nu_0, the initial variance. * \theta, the long variance, or long-run average variance of the price; as ''t'' tends to infinity, the expected value of ...
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Local Volatility
A local volatility model, in mathematical finance and financial engineering, is an option pricing model that treats Volatility (finance), volatility as a function of both the current asset level S_t and of time t . As such, it is a generalisation of the Black–Scholes model, where the volatility is a constant (i.e. a trivial function of S_t and t ). Local volatility models are often compared with stochastic volatility, stochastic volatility models, where the instantaneous volatility is not just a function of the asset level S_t but depends also on a new "global" randomness coming from an additional random component. Formulation In mathematical finance, the asset ''S''''t'' that Underlying, underlies a financial derivative is typically assumed to follow a stochastic differential equation of the form : dS_t = (r_t-d_t) S_t\,dt + \sigma_t S_t\,dW_t , under the risk neutral measure, where r_t is the instantaneous risk-free interest rate, risk free rate, giving an average ...
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Deterministic System
In mathematics, computer science and physics, a deterministic system is a system in which no randomness is involved in the development of future states of the system. A deterministic model will thus always produce the same output from a given starting condition or initial state. In physics Physical laws that are described by differential equations represent deterministic systems, even though the state of the system at a given point in time may be difficult to describe explicitly. In quantum mechanics, the Schrödinger equation, which describes the continuous time evolution of a system's wave function, is deterministic. However, the relationship between a system's wave function and the observable properties of the system appears to be non-deterministic. In mathematics The systems studied in chaos theory are deterministic. If the initial state were known exactly, then the future state of such a system could theoretically be predicted. However, in practice, knowledge about the ...
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Volatility Smile
Volatility smiles are implied volatility patterns that arise in pricing financial options. It is a parameter (implied volatility) that is needed to be modified for the Black–Scholes formula to fit market prices. In particular for a given expiration, options whose strike price differs substantially from the underlying asset's price command higher prices (and thus implied volatilities) than what is suggested by standard option pricing models. These options are said to be either deep in-the-money or out-of-the-money. Graphing implied volatilities against strike prices for a given expiry produces a skewed "smile" instead of the expected flat surface. The pattern differs across various markets. Equity options traded in American markets did not show a volatility smile before the Crash of 1987 but began showing one afterwards. It is believed that investor reassessments of the probabilities of fat-tail have led to higher prices for out-of-the-money options. This anomaly implies ...
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Stochastic Volatility
In statistics, stochastic volatility models are those in which the variance of a stochastic process is itself randomly distributed. They are used in the field of mathematical finance to evaluate derivative securities, such as options. The name derives from the models' treatment of the underlying security's volatility as a random process, governed by state variables such as the price level of the underlying security, the tendency of volatility to revert to some long-run mean value, and the variance of the volatility process itself, among others. Stochastic volatility models are one approach to resolve a shortcoming of the Black–Scholes model. In particular, models based on Black-Scholes assume that the underlying volatility is constant over the life of the derivative, and unaffected by the changes in the price level of the underlying security. However, these models cannot explain long-observed features of the implied volatility surface such as volatility smile and skew, w ...
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Itô's Lemma
In mathematics Mathematics is a field of study that discovers and organizes methods, Mathematical theory, theories and theorems that are developed and Mathematical proof, proved for the needs of empirical sciences and mathematics itself. There are many ar ..., Itô's lemma or Itô's formula (also called the Itô–Döblin formula) is an identity used in Itô calculus to find the differential of a time-dependent function of a stochastic process. It serves as the stochastic calculus counterpart of the chain rule. It can be heuristically derived by forming the Taylor series expansion of the function up to its second derivatives and retaining terms up to first order in the time increment and second order in the Wiener process increment. The Lemma (mathematics), lemma is widely employed in mathematical finance, and its best known application is in the derivation of the Black–Scholes equation for option values. This result was discovered by Japanese mathematician Kiyoshi It ...
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Log Return
In finance, return is a profit on an investment. It comprises any change in value of the investment, and/or cash flows (or securities, or other investments) which the investor receives from that investment over a specified time period, such as interest payments, coupons, cash dividends and stock dividends. It may be measured either in absolute terms (e.g., dollars) or as a percentage of the amount invested. The latter is also called the holding period return. A loss instead of a profit is described as a '' negative return'', assuming the amount invested is greater than zero. To compare returns over time periods of different lengths on an equal basis, it is useful to convert each return into a return over a period of time of a standard length. The result of the conversion is called the rate of return. Typically, the period of time is a year, in which case the rate of return is also called the annualized return, and the conversion process, described below, is called ''annualizati ...
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Heat Kernel
In the mathematical study of heat conduction and diffusion, a heat kernel is the fundamental solution to the heat equation on a specified domain with appropriate boundary conditions. It is also one of the main tools in the study of the spectrum of the Laplace operator, and is thus of some auxiliary importance throughout mathematical physics. The heat kernel represents the evolution of temperature in a region whose boundary is held fixed at a particular temperature (typically zero), such that an initial unit of heat energy is placed at a point at time . Definition ] The most well-known heat kernel is the heat kernel of -dimensional Euclidean space , which has the form of a time-varying Gaussian function, K(t,x,y) = \frac \exp\left(-\frac\right), which is defined for all x,y\in\mathbb^d and t > 0. This solves the heat equation \left\{ \begin{aligned} & \frac{\partial K}{\partial t}(t,x,y) = \Delta_x K(t,x,y)\\ & \lim_{t \to 0} K(t,x,y) = \delta(x-y) = \delta_x(y) \end{aligned} ...
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Heat Equation
In mathematics and physics (more specifically thermodynamics), the heat equation is a parabolic partial differential equation. The theory of the heat equation was first developed by Joseph Fourier in 1822 for the purpose of modeling how a quantity such as heat diffuses through a given region. Since then, the heat equation and its variants have been found to be fundamental in many parts of both pure and applied mathematics. Definition Given an open subset of and a subinterval of , one says that a function is a solution of the heat equation if : \frac = \frac + \cdots + \frac, where denotes a general point of the domain. It is typical to refer to as time and as spatial variables, even in abstract contexts where these phrases fail to have their intuitive meaning. The collection of spatial variables is often referred to simply as . For any given value of , the right-hand side of the equation is the Laplace operator, Laplacian of the function . As such, the heat equation is ...
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Dirac Delta Function
In mathematical analysis, the Dirac delta function (or distribution), also known as the unit impulse, is a generalized function on the real numbers, whose value is zero everywhere except at zero, and whose integral over the entire real line is equal to one. Thus it can be Heuristic, represented heuristically as \delta (x) = \begin 0, & x \neq 0 \\ , & x = 0 \end such that \int_^ \delta(x) dx=1. Since there is no function having this property, modelling the delta "function" rigorously involves the use of limit (mathematics), limits or, as is common in mathematics, measure theory and the theory of distribution (mathematics), distributions. The delta function was introduced by physicist Paul Dirac, and has since been applied routinely in physics and engineering to model point masses and instantaneous impulses. It is called the delta function because it is a continuous analogue of the Kronecker delta function, which is usually defined on a discrete domain and takes values ...
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