is a Japanese-American
meteorologist and
climatologist who pioneered the use of
computer
A computer is a machine that can be programmed to Execution (computing), carry out sequences of arithmetic or logical operations (computation) automatically. Modern digital electronic computers can perform generic sets of operations known as C ...
s to
simulate global
climate change and
natural climate variations. He was awarded the 2021
Nobel Prize in Physics jointly with
Klaus Hasselmann and
Giorgio Parisi, for his contributions to the
physical modeling of earth's climate, quantifying its variability, and predictions of climate change.
Early life and education
Born in 1931 in
Shinritsu Village,
Uma District,
Ehime Prefecture,
Japan
Japan ( ja, 日本, or , and formally , ''Nihonkoku'') is an island country in East Asia. It is situated in the northwest Pacific Ocean, and is bordered on the west by the Sea of Japan, while extending from the Sea of Okhotsk in the north ...
. Both his grandfather and his father were physicians, who operated the only clinic in the village.
[ Easier to access at ahoo mirror site https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/04e7a8f6d96a5694121d438ec1d19c86a3ec6eeb] A classmate recalled that, even in elementary school, he was already "interested in the weather, making comments such as 'If Japan didn't have
typhoons, we wouldn't have so much rain.'"
Manabe attended
Ehime Prefectural Mishima High School. When he was accepted into the
University of Tokyo, his family expected him to study medicine, but "whenever there's an emergency, the blood rushes to my head, so I would not have made a good doctor." Furthermore, "I had a horrible memory and I was clumsy with my hands. I thought that my only good trait was to gaze at the sky and get lost in my thoughts."
He joined the research team of Shigekata Shono (1911-1969), and majored in
meteorology.
Manabe received a
BA degree in 1953, an
MA degree in 1955, and a
DSc degree in 1958, all from the University of Tokyo.
Career
After finishing his doctorate, Manabe went to the United States to work at the General Circulation Research Section of the U.S. Weather Bureau, now the
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of
NOAA
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (abbreviated as NOAA ) is an United States scientific and regulatory agency within the United States Department of Commerce that forecasts weather, monitors oceanic and atmospheric conditio ...
, continuing until 1997. From 1997 to 2001, he worked at the Frontier Research System for Global Change in Japan serving as Director of the Global Warming Research Division. In 2002 he returned to the United States as a visiting research collaborator at the Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Science,
Princeton University. He currently serves as senior meteorologist at the university.
He also engaged as a specially invited professor at
Nagoya University
, abbreviated to or NU, is a Japanese national research university located in Chikusa-ku, Nagoya. It was the seventh Imperial University in Japan, one of the first five Designated National University and selected as a Top Type university of T ...
from December 2007 to March 2014.
Scientific accomplishments
Working at
NOAA
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (abbreviated as NOAA ) is an United States scientific and regulatory agency within the United States Department of Commerce that forecasts weather, monitors oceanic and atmospheric conditio ...
's
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, first in
Washington, DC and later in
Princeton, New Jersey, Manabe worked with director
Joseph Smagorinsky to develop
three-dimensional models of the
atmosphere
An atmosphere () is a layer of gas or layers of gases that envelop a planet, and is held in place by the gravity of the planetary body. A planet retains an atmosphere when the gravity is great and the temperature of the atmosphere is low. A s ...
.
As the first step, Manabe and Wetherald (1967) developed one-dimensional, single-column model of the atmosphere in radiative-convective equilibrium with positive feedback effect of water vapor.
Using the model, they found that, in response to the change in atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, the temperature increases at the Earth's surface and in the troposphere, whereas it decreases in the stratosphere.
The development of the radiative-convective model was a critically important step towards the development of comprehensive general circulation model of the atmosphere (Manabe et al. 1965). They used the model to simulate for the first time the three-dimensional response of temperature and the hydrologic cycle to increased carbon dioxide (Manabe and Wetherald, 1975). In 1969, Manabe and Bryan published the first simulations of the climate by a coupled ocean-atmosphere models, in which the general circulation model of the atmosphere is combined with that of ocean.
Throughout the 1990s and early 2000s, Manabe's research group published seminal papers using the coupled atmosphere ocean models to investigate the time-dependent response of
climate to changing
greenhouse gas
A greenhouse gas (GHG or GhG) is a gas that Absorption (electromagnetic radiation), absorbs and Emission (electromagnetic radiation), emits radiant energy within the thermal infrared range, causing the greenhouse effect. The primary greenhouse ...
concentrations of the atmosphere (Stouffer et al., 1989; Manabe et al., 1991 & 1992). They also applied the model to the study of past climate change, including the role of freshwater input to the North Atlantic Ocean as a potential cause of the so-called,
abrupt climate change evident in the paleoclimatic record (Manabe and Stouffer, 1995 & 2000). For further details, see the book ''Beyond Global Warming'' (Manabe and Broccoli, 2020).
Awards and honors

Manabe is a member of the
United States National Academy of Sciences, and a foreign member of Japan Academy,
Academia Europaea and the
Royal Society of Canada
The Royal Society of Canada (RSC; french: Société royale du Canada, SRC), also known as the Academies of Arts, Humanities and Sciences of Canada (French: ''Académies des arts, des lettres et des sciences du Canada''), is the senior national, bil ...
.
In 1992, Manabe was the first recipient of the Blue Planet Prize of the Asahi Glass Foundation. In 1995, he received the Asahi Prize from Asahi News-Cultural Foundation. In 1997 Manabe was awarded the Volvo Environmental Prize from the Volvo Foundation. In 2015 he was awarded the Benjamin Franklin Medal of Franklin Institute.
Manabe has also been honored with the
American Meteorological Society’s
Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal
The Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal is the highest award for atmospheric science of the American Meteorological Society. It is presented to individual scientists, who receive a medal. Named in honor of meteorology and oceanography pioneer Car ...
, the Second Half Century Award, and the Clarence Leroy Meisinger Award. In addition, he is honored with the
American Geophysical Union’s William Bowie Medal and Revelle Medal, and in 1998 received the
Milutin Milankovic Medal
The Milutin Milankovic Medal is an annual award in Earth science presented by the European Geosciences Union (EGU). The award was introduced in 1993 by the European Geophysical Society (EGS). After a merger with the European Union of Geosciences ...
from the
European Geophysical Society.
Manabe and Bryan's work in the development of the first
global climate models has been selected as one of the Top Ten Breakthroughs to have occurred in
NOAA
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (abbreviated as NOAA ) is an United States scientific and regulatory agency within the United States Department of Commerce that forecasts weather, monitors oceanic and atmospheric conditio ...
's first 200 years. In honor of his retirement from
NOAA
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (abbreviated as NOAA ) is an United States scientific and regulatory agency within the United States Department of Commerce that forecasts weather, monitors oceanic and atmospheric conditio ...
/
GFDL, a three-day scientific meeting was held in
Princeton, New Jersey in March 1998. "Understanding Climate Change: A Symposium in honor of Syukuro Manabe". The 2005 annual meeting of
American Meteorological Society included a special Suki Manabe Symposium.
Jointly Manabe with climatologist
James Hansen
James Edward Hansen (born March 29, 1942) is an American adjunct professor directing the Program on Climate Science, Awareness and Solutions of the Earth Institute at Columbia University. He is best known for his research in climatology, his 1 ...
received the
BBVA Foundation Frontiers of Knowledge Award in the Climate Change category in the ninth edition (2016) of the awards.
The two laureates were separately responsible for constructing the first computational models with the power to simulate climate behavior. Decades ago, they correctly predicted how much Earth's temperature would rise due to increasing atmospheric . The scores of models currently in use to chart climate evolution are heirs to those developed by Manabe and Hansen.
In 2018, Manabe received the
Crafoord Prize in Geosciences jointly with
Susan Solomon "for fundamental contributions to understanding the role of atmospheric trace gases in Earth’s climate system".
In 2021, he received the
Order of Culture.
The Nobel Prize
In 2021, one half of the
Nobel Prize in Physics was shared between Manabe and
Klaus Hasselmann "for the physical modeling of Earth's climate, quantifying variability and reliably predicting global warming".
Shuji Nakamura, the 2014 Nobel Prize in Physics awardee who also came from
Ehime Prefecture and immigrated to the United States, congratulated Manabe on October 6.
[Archived a]
Ghostarchive
and th
Wayback Machine
Selected publications
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See also
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List of Nobel laureates affiliated with the University of Tokyo
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List of Nobel laureates affiliated with Princeton University
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List of Japanese Nobel laureates
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List of Asian Nobel laureates
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List of Nobel laureates
References
External links
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Syukuro Manabe on the Role of Greenhouse Gas in Climate Change(2018)
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{{DEFAULTSORT:Manabe, Syukuro
1931 births
American academics of Japanese descent
American meteorologists
American Nobel laureates
Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal recipients
Japanese emigrants to the United States
Living people
Members of Academia Europaea
Members of the United States National Academy of Sciences
Nobel laureates in Physics
People from Ehime Prefecture
Recipients of the Order of Culture
University of Tokyo alumni