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In
statistics Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a s ...
, the Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) is a
correlation coefficient A correlation coefficient is a numerical measure of some type of linear correlation, meaning a statistical relationship between two variables. The variables may be two columns of a given data set of observations, often called a sample, or two c ...
that measures
linear In mathematics, the term ''linear'' is used in two distinct senses for two different properties: * linearity of a '' function'' (or '' mapping''); * linearity of a '' polynomial''. An example of a linear function is the function defined by f(x) ...
correlation between two sets of data. It is the ratio between the
covariance In probability theory and statistics, covariance is a measure of the joint variability of two random variables. The sign of the covariance, therefore, shows the tendency in the linear relationship between the variables. If greater values of one ...
of two variables and the product of their
standard deviation In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation of the values of a variable about its Expected value, mean. A low standard Deviation (statistics), deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean ( ...
s; thus, it is essentially a normalized measurement of the covariance, such that the result always has a value between −1 and 1. As with covariance itself, the measure can only reflect a linear
correlation In statistics, correlation or dependence is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables or bivariate data. Although in the broadest sense, "correlation" may indicate any type of association, in statistics ...
of variables, and ignores many other types of relationships or correlations. As a simple example, one would expect the age and height of a sample of children from a school to have a Pearson correlation coefficient significantly greater than 0, but less than 1 (as 1 would represent an unrealistically perfect correlation).


Naming and history

It was developed by
Karl Pearson Karl Pearson (; born Carl Pearson; 27 March 1857 – 27 April 1936) was an English biostatistician and mathematician. He has been credited with establishing the discipline of mathematical statistics. He founded the world's first university ...
from a related idea introduced by
Francis Galton Sir Francis Galton (; 16 February 1822 – 17 January 1911) was an English polymath and the originator of eugenics during the Victorian era; his ideas later became the basis of behavioural genetics. Galton produced over 340 papers and b ...
in the 1880s, and for which the mathematical formula was derived and published by Auguste Bravais in 1844. The naming of the coefficient is thus an example of Stigler's Law.


Motivation/Intuition and Derivation

The correlation coefficient can be derived by considering the cosine of the angle between two points representing the two sets of x and y co-ordinate data. This expression is therefore a number between -1 and 1 and is equal to unity when all the points lie on a straight line.


Definition

Pearson's correlation coefficient is the
covariance In probability theory and statistics, covariance is a measure of the joint variability of two random variables. The sign of the covariance, therefore, shows the tendency in the linear relationship between the variables. If greater values of one ...
of the two variables divided by the product of their standard deviations. The form of the definition involves a "product moment", that is, the mean (the first moment about the origin) of the product of the mean-adjusted random variables; hence the modifier ''product-moment'' in the name.


For a population

Pearson's correlation coefficient, when applied to a
population Population is a set of humans or other organisms in a given region or area. Governments conduct a census to quantify the resident population size within a given jurisdiction. The term is also applied to non-human animals, microorganisms, and pl ...
, is commonly represented by the Greek letter ''ρ'' (rho) and may be referred to as the ''population correlation coefficient'' or the ''population Pearson correlation coefficient''. Given a pair of random variables (X,Y) (for example, Height and Weight), the formula for ''ρ''Real Statistics Using Excel,
Basic Concepts of Correlation
, retrieved 22 February 2015.
is \rho_= \frac where * \operatorname is the
covariance In probability theory and statistics, covariance is a measure of the joint variability of two random variables. The sign of the covariance, therefore, shows the tendency in the linear relationship between the variables. If greater values of one ...
* \sigma_X is the
standard deviation In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation of the values of a variable about its Expected value, mean. A low standard Deviation (statistics), deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean ( ...
of X * \sigma_Y is the standard deviation of Y . The formula for \operatorname(X,Y) can be expressed in terms of
mean A mean is a quantity representing the "center" of a collection of numbers and is intermediate to the extreme values of the set of numbers. There are several kinds of means (or "measures of central tendency") in mathematics, especially in statist ...
and expectation. Since :\operatorname(X,Y) = \operatorname\mathbb X-\mu_X)(Y-\mu_Y) the formula for \rho can also be written as \rho_ = \frac where * \sigma_Y and \sigma_X are defined as above * \mu_X is the mean of X * \mu_Y is the mean of Y * \operatorname\mathbb is the expectation. The formula for \rho can be expressed in terms of uncentered moments. Since :\begin \mu_X = &\operatorname\mathbb \\ \mu_Y = &\operatorname\mathbb \\ \sigma_X^2 = &\operatorname\mathbb\left left(X - \operatorname\mathbb[Xright)^2\right">.html" ;"title="left(X - \operatorname\mathbb[X">left(X - \operatorname\mathbb[Xright)^2\right= \operatorname\mathbb\left[X^2\right] - \left(\operatorname\mathbb[X]\right)^2 \\ \sigma_Y^2 = &\operatorname\mathbb\left[\left(Y - \operatorname\mathbb right)^2\right] = \operatorname\mathbb\left ^2\right- \left(\operatorname\mathbb right)^2 \\ \operatorname(X,Y) = &\operatorname\mathbb left(X - \mu_X\right)\left(Y - \mu_Y\right)= \operatorname\mathbb left(X - \operatorname\mathbb[Xright)\left(Y - \operatorname\mathbb right)">.html" ;"title="left(X - \operatorname\mathbb[X">left(X - \operatorname\mathbb[Xright)\left(Y - \operatorname\mathbb right)= \operatorname\mathbb[XY] - \operatorname\mathbb[X]\operatorname\mathbb , \end the formula for \rho can also be written as \rho_ = \frac.


For a sample

Pearson's correlation coefficient, when applied to a sample, is commonly represented by r_ and may be referred to as the ''sample correlation coefficient'' or the ''sample Pearson correlation coefficient''. We can obtain a formula for r_ by substituting estimates of the covariances and variances based on a sample into the formula above. Given paired data \left\ consisting of n pairs, r_ is defined as r_ =\frac where *n is sample size *x_i, y_i are the individual sample points indexed with ''i'' *\bar = \frac \sum_^n x_i (the sample mean); and analogously for \bar. Rearranging gives us this formula for r_: :r_ = \frac , where n, x_i, y_i, \bar, \bar are defined as above. Rearranging again gives us this formula for r_: :r_ = \frac , where n, x_i, y_i are defined as above. This formula suggests a convenient single-pass algorithm for calculating sample correlations, though depending on the numbers involved, it can sometimes be numerically unstable. An equivalent expression gives the formula for r_ as the mean of the products of the
standard score In statistics, the standard score or ''z''-score is the number of standard deviations by which the value of a raw score (i.e., an observed value or data point) is above or below the mean value of what is being observed or measured. Raw scores ...
s as follows: :r_ = \frac \sum ^n _ \left( \frac \right) \left( \frac \right) where *n, x_i, y_i, \bar, \bar are defined as above, and s_x, s_y are defined below *\left( \frac \right) is the standard score (and analogously for the standard score of y). Alternative formulae for r_ are also available. For example, one can use the following formula for r_: :r_ =\frac where *n, x_i, y_i, \bar, \bar are defined as above and: *s_x = \sqrt (the sample standard deviation); and analogously for s_y.


For jointly gaussian distributions

If (X, Y) is jointly gaussian, with mean zero and
variance In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable. The standard deviation (SD) is obtained as the square root of the variance. Variance is a measure of dispersion ...
\Sigma, then \Sigma = \begin \sigma_X^2 & \rho_\sigma_X\sigma_Y \\ \rho_\sigma_X\sigma_Y & \sigma_Y^2 \\ \end.


Practical issues

Under heavy noise conditions, extracting the correlation coefficient between two sets of stochastic variables is nontrivial, in particular where
Canonical Correlation Analysis In statistics, canonical-correlation analysis (CCA), also called canonical variates analysis, is a way of inferring information from cross-covariance matrices. If we have two vectors ''X'' = (''X''1, ..., ''X'n'') and ''Y'' ...
reports degraded correlation values due to the heavy noise contributions. A generalization of the approach is given elsewhere. In case of missing data, Garren derived the
maximum likelihood In statistics, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a method of estimating the parameters of an assumed probability distribution, given some observed data. This is achieved by maximizing a likelihood function so that, under the assumed stati ...
estimator. Some distributions (e.g.,
stable distribution In probability theory, a distribution is said to be stable if a linear combination of two independent random variables with this distribution has the same distribution, up to location and scale parameters. A random variable is said to be st ...
s other than a
normal distribution In probability theory and statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is f(x) = \frac ...
) do not have a defined variance.


Mathematical properties

The values of both the sample and population Pearson correlation coefficients are on or between −1 and 1. Correlations equal to +1 or −1 correspond to data points lying exactly on a line (in the case of the sample correlation), or to a bivariate distribution entirely supported on a line (in the case of the population correlation). The Pearson correlation coefficient is symmetric: corr(''X'',''Y'') = corr(''Y'',''X''). A key mathematical property of the Pearson correlation coefficient is that it is invariant under separate changes in location and scale in the two variables. That is, we may transform ''X'' to and transform ''Y'' to , where ''a'', ''b'', ''c'', and ''d'' are constants with , without changing the correlation coefficient. (This holds for both the population and sample Pearson correlation coefficients.) More general linear transformations do change the correlation: see ' for an application of this. In particular, it might be useful to notice that corr(''-X'',''Y'') = -corr(''X'',''Y'')


Interpretation

The correlation coefficient ranges from −1 to 1. An absolute value of exactly 1 implies that a linear equation describes the relationship between ''X'' and ''Y'' perfectly, with all data points lying on a line. The correlation sign is determined by the regression slope: a value of +1 implies that all data points lie on a line for which ''Y'' increases as ''X'' increases, whereas a value of -1 implies a line where ''Y'' increases while ''X'' decreases. A value of 0 implies that there is no linear dependency between the variables. More generally, is positive if and only if ''X''''i'' and ''Y''''i'' lie on the same side of their respective means. Thus the correlation coefficient is positive if ''X''''i'' and ''Y''''i'' tend to be simultaneously greater than, or simultaneously less than, their respective means. The correlation coefficient is negative ( anti-correlation) if ''X''''i'' and ''Y''''i'' tend to lie on opposite sides of their respective means. Moreover, the stronger either tendency is, the larger is the
absolute value In mathematics, the absolute value or modulus of a real number x, is the non-negative value without regard to its sign. Namely, , x, =x if x is a positive number, and , x, =-x if x is negative (in which case negating x makes -x positive), ...
of the correlation coefficient. Rodgers and Nicewander cataloged thirteen ways of interpreting correlation or simple functions of it: * Function of raw scores and means * Standardized covariance * Standardized slope of the regression line * Geometric mean of the two regression slopes * Square root of the ratio of two variances * Mean cross-product of standardized variables * Function of the angle between two standardized regression lines * Function of the angle between two variable vectors * Rescaled variance of the difference between standardized scores * Estimated from the balloon rule * Related to the bivariate ellipses of isoconcentration * Function of test statistics from designed experiments * Ratio of two means


Geometric interpretation

] For uncentered data, there is a relation between the correlation coefficient and the angle ''φ'' between the two regression lines, and , obtained by regressing ''y'' on ''x'' and ''x'' on ''y'' respectively. (Here, ''φ'' is measured counterclockwise within the first quadrant formed around the lines' intersection point if , or counterclockwise from the fourth to the second quadrant if .) One can show that if the standard deviations are equal, then , where sec and tan are
trigonometric functions In mathematics, the trigonometric functions (also called circular functions, angle functions or goniometric functions) are real functions which relate an angle of a right-angled triangle to ratios of two side lengths. They are widely used in all ...
. For centered data (i.e., data which have been shifted by the sample means of their respective variables so as to have an average of zero for each variable), the correlation coefficient can also be viewed as the
cosine In mathematics, sine and cosine are trigonometric functions of an angle. The sine and cosine of an acute angle are defined in the context of a right triangle: for the specified angle, its sine is the ratio of the length of the side opposite that ...
of the
angle In Euclidean geometry, an angle can refer to a number of concepts relating to the intersection of two straight Line (geometry), lines at a Point (geometry), point. Formally, an angle is a figure lying in a Euclidean plane, plane formed by two R ...
''θ'' between the two observed vectors in ''N''-dimensional space (for ''N'' observations of each variable). Both the uncentered (non-Pearson-compliant) and centered correlation coefficients can be determined for a dataset. As an example, suppose five countries are found to have gross national products of 1, 2, 3, 5, and 8 billion dollars, respectively. Suppose these same five countries (in the same order) are found to have 11%, 12%, 13%, 15%, and 18% poverty. Then let x and y be ordered 5-element vectors containing the above data: and . By the usual procedure for finding the angle ''θ'' between two vectors (see
dot product In mathematics, the dot product or scalar productThe term ''scalar product'' means literally "product with a Scalar (mathematics), scalar as a result". It is also used for other symmetric bilinear forms, for example in a pseudo-Euclidean space. N ...
), the ''uncentered'' correlation coefficient is : \cos \theta = \frac = \frac = 0.920814711. This uncentered correlation coefficient is identical with the cosine similarity. The above data were deliberately chosen to be perfectly correlated: . The Pearson correlation coefficient must therefore be exactly one. Centering the data (shifting x by and y by ) yields and , from which : \cos \theta = \frac = \frac = 1 = \rho_, as expected.


Interpretation of the size of a correlation

Several authors have offered guidelines for the interpretation of a correlation coefficient. However, all such criteria are in some ways arbitrary. The interpretation of a correlation coefficient depends on the context and purposes. A correlation of 0.8 may be very low if one is verifying a physical law using high-quality instruments, but may be regarded as very high in the social sciences, where there may be a greater contribution from complicating factors.


Inference

Statistical inference based on Pearson's correlation coefficient often focuses on one of the following two aims: * One aim is to test the
null hypothesis The null hypothesis (often denoted ''H''0) is the claim in scientific research that the effect being studied does not exist. The null hypothesis can also be described as the hypothesis in which no relationship exists between two sets of data o ...
that the true correlation coefficient ''ρ'' is equal to 0, based on the value of the sample correlation coefficient ''r''. * The other aim is to derive a confidence interval that, on repeated sampling, has a given probability of containing ''ρ''. Methods of achieving one or both of these aims are discussed below.


Using a permutation test

Permutation tests provide a direct approach to performing hypothesis tests and constructing confidence intervals. A permutation test for Pearson's correlation coefficient involves the following two steps: # Using the original paired data (''x''''i'', ''y''''i''), randomly redefine the pairs to create a new data set (''x''''i'', ''y'''), where the ' are a
permutation In mathematics, a permutation of a set can mean one of two different things: * an arrangement of its members in a sequence or linear order, or * the act or process of changing the linear order of an ordered set. An example of the first mean ...
of the set . The permutation ' is selected randomly, with equal probabilities placed on all ''n''! possible permutations. This is equivalent to drawing the ' randomly without replacement from the set . In
bootstrapping In general, bootstrapping usually refers to a self-starting process that is supposed to continue or grow without external input. Many analytical techniques are often called bootstrap methods in reference to their self-starting or self-supporting ...
, a closely related approach, the ''i'' and the ' are equal and drawn with replacement from ; # Construct a correlation coefficient ''r'' from the randomized data. To perform the permutation test, repeat steps (1) and (2) a large number of times. The p-value for the permutation test is the proportion of the ''r'' values generated in step (2) that are larger than the Pearson correlation coefficient that was calculated from the original data. Here "larger" can mean either that the value is larger in magnitude, or larger in signed value, depending on whether a two-sided or one-sided test is desired.


Using a bootstrap

The bootstrap can be used to construct confidence intervals for Pearson's correlation coefficient. In the "non-parametric" bootstrap, ''n'' pairs (''x''''i'', ''y''''i'') are resampled "with replacement" from the observed set of ''n'' pairs, and the correlation coefficient ''r'' is calculated based on the resampled data. This process is repeated a large number of times, and the empirical distribution of the resampled ''r'' values are used to approximate the sampling distribution of the statistic. A 95% confidence interval for ''ρ'' can be defined as the interval spanning from the 2.5th to the 97.5th
percentile In statistics, a ''k''-th percentile, also known as percentile score or centile, is a score (e.g., a data point) a given percentage ''k'' of all scores in its frequency distribution exists ("exclusive" definition) or a score a given percentage ...
of the resampled ''r'' values.


Standard error

If x and y are random variables, with a simple linear relationship between them with an additive normal noise (i.e., y= a + bx + e), then a standard error associated to the correlation is :\sigma_r = \sqrt where r is the correlation and n the sample size.


Testing using Student's ''t''-distribution

For pairs from an uncorrelated bivariate normal distribution, the sampling distribution of the studentized Pearson's correlation coefficient follows Student's ''t''-distribution with degrees of freedom ''n'' − 2. Specifically, if the underlying variables have a bivariate normal distribution, the variable :t = \frac = r\sqrt has a student's ''t''-distribution in the null case (zero correlation). This holds approximately in case of non-normal observed values if sample sizes are large enough. For determining the critical values for ''r'' the inverse function is needed: :r = \frac. Alternatively, large sample, asymptotic approaches can be used. Another early paper provides graphs and tables for general values of ''ρ'', for small sample sizes, and discusses computational approaches. In the case where the underlying variables are not normal, the sampling distribution of Pearson's correlation coefficient follows a Student's ''t''-distribution, but the degrees of freedom are reduced.


Using the exact distribution

For data that follow a bivariate normal distribution, the exact density function ''f''(''r'') for the sample correlation coefficient ''r'' of a normal bivariate is :f(r) = \frac _\mathrm_\mathord\left(\tfrac, \tfrac; \tfrac(2n - 1); \tfrac(\rho r + 1)\right) where \Gamma is the
gamma function In mathematics, the gamma function (represented by Γ, capital Greek alphabet, Greek letter gamma) is the most common extension of the factorial function to complex numbers. Derived by Daniel Bernoulli, the gamma function \Gamma(z) is defined ...
and _\mathrm_(a,b;c;z) is the Gaussian hypergeometric function. In the special case when \rho = 0 (zero population correlation), the exact density function ''f''(''r'') can be written as :f(r) = \frac, where \Beta is the
beta function In mathematics, the beta function, also called the Euler integral of the first kind, is a special function that is closely related to the gamma function and to binomial coefficients. It is defined by the integral : \Beta(z_1,z_2) = \int_0^1 t^ ...
, which is one way of writing the density of a Student's t-distribution for a studentized sample correlation coefficient, as above.


Using the Fisher transformation

In practice, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests relating to ''ρ'' are usually carried out using the, Variance-stabilizing transformation, Fisher transformation, F'': :F(r) \equiv \tfrac \, \ln \left(\frac\right) = \operatorname(r) ''F''(''r'') approximately follows a
normal distribution In probability theory and statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is f(x) = \frac ...
with :\text = F(\rho) = \operatorname(\rho)and standard error =\text = \frac, where ''n'' is the sample size. The approximation error is lowest for a large sample size n and small r and \rho_0 and increases otherwise. Using the approximation, a
z-score In statistics, the standard score or ''z''-score is the number of standard deviations by which the value of a raw score (i.e., an observed value or data point) is above or below the mean value of what is being observed or measured. Raw scores ...
is :z = \frac = (r) - F(\rho_0)sqrt under the
null hypothesis The null hypothesis (often denoted ''H''0) is the claim in scientific research that the effect being studied does not exist. The null hypothesis can also be described as the hypothesis in which no relationship exists between two sets of data o ...
that \rho = \rho_0, given the assumption that the sample pairs are independent and identically distributed and follow a bivariate normal distribution. Thus an approximate p-value can be obtained from a normal probability table. For example, if ''z'' = 2.2 is observed and a two-sided p-value is desired to test the null hypothesis that \rho = 0, the p-value is , where Φ is the standard normal
cumulative distribution function In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evaluated at x, is the probability that X will take a value less than or equal to x. Ever ...
. To obtain a confidence interval for ρ, we first compute a confidence interval for ''F''(''\rho''): :100(1 - \alpha)\%\text: \operatorname(\rho) \in operatorname(r) \pm z_\text/math> The inverse Fisher transformation brings the interval back to the correlation scale. :100(1 - \alpha)\%\text: \rho \in tanh(\operatorname(r) - z_\text), \tanh(\operatorname(r) + z_\text)/math> For example, suppose we observe ''r'' = 0.7 with a sample size of ''n''=50, and we wish to obtain a 95% confidence interval for ''ρ''. The transformed value is \operatorname \left ( r \right ) = 0.8673, so the confidence interval on the transformed scale is 0.8673 \pm \frac , or (0.5814, 1.1532). Converting back to the correlation scale yields (0.5237, 0.8188).


In least squares regression analysis

The square of the sample correlation coefficient is typically denoted ''r''2 and is a special case of the coefficient of determination. In this case, it estimates the fraction of the variance in ''Y'' that is explained by ''X'' in a
simple linear regression In statistics, simple linear regression (SLR) is a linear regression model with a single explanatory variable. That is, it concerns two-dimensional sample points with one independent variable and one dependent variable (conventionally, the ''x ...
. So if we have the observed dataset Y_1, \dots , Y_n and the fitted dataset \hat Y_1, \dots , \hat Y_n then as a starting point the total variation in the ''Y''''i'' around their average value can be decomposed as follows :\sum_i (Y_i - \bar)^2 = \sum_i (Y_i-\hat_i)^2 + \sum_i (\hat_i-\bar)^2, where the \hat_i are the fitted values from the regression analysis. This can be rearranged to give :1 = \frac + \frac. The two summands above are the fraction of variance in ''Y'' that is explained by ''X'' (right) and that is unexplained by ''X'' (left). Next, we apply a property of
least squares The method of least squares is a mathematical optimization technique that aims to determine the best fit function by minimizing the sum of the squares of the differences between the observed values and the predicted values of the model. The me ...
regression models, that the sample covariance between \hat_i and Y_i-\hat_i is zero. Thus, the sample correlation coefficient between the observed and fitted response values in the regression can be written (calculation is under expectation, assumes Gaussian statistics) : \begin r(Y,\hat) &= \frac\\ pt&= \frac\\ pt&= \frac\\ pt&= \frac\\ pt&= \sqrt. \end Thus :r(Y,\hat)^2 = \frac where r(Y,\hat)^2 is the proportion of variance in ''Y'' explained by a linear function of ''X''. In the derivation above, the fact that :\sum_i (Y_i-\hat_i)(\hat_i-\bar) = 0 can be proved by noticing that the partial derivatives of the residual sum of squares () over ''β''0 and ''β''1 are equal to 0 in the least squares model, where :\text = \sum_i (Y_i - \hat_i)^2. In the end, the equation can be written as :r(Y,\hat)^2 = \frac where *\text_\text = \sum_i (\hat_i-\bar)^2 *\text_\text = \sum_i (Y_i-\bar)^2. The symbol \text_\text is called the regression sum of squares, also called the explained sum of squares, and \text_\text is the total sum of squares (proportional to the
variance In probability theory and statistics, variance is the expected value of the squared deviation from the mean of a random variable. The standard deviation (SD) is obtained as the square root of the variance. Variance is a measure of dispersion ...
of the data).


Sensitivity to the data distribution


Existence

The population Pearson correlation coefficient is defined in terms of moments, and therefore exists for any bivariate
probability distribution In probability theory and statistics, a probability distribution is a Function (mathematics), function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of possible events for an Experiment (probability theory), experiment. It is a mathematical descri ...
for which the
population Population is a set of humans or other organisms in a given region or area. Governments conduct a census to quantify the resident population size within a given jurisdiction. The term is also applied to non-human animals, microorganisms, and pl ...
covariance In probability theory and statistics, covariance is a measure of the joint variability of two random variables. The sign of the covariance, therefore, shows the tendency in the linear relationship between the variables. If greater values of one ...
is defined and the marginal population variances are defined and are non-zero. Some probability distributions, such as the
Cauchy distribution The Cauchy distribution, named after Augustin-Louis Cauchy, is a continuous probability distribution. It is also known, especially among physicists, as the Lorentz distribution (after Hendrik Lorentz), Cauchy–Lorentz distribution, Lorentz(ian) ...
, have undefined variance and hence ρ is not defined if ''X'' or ''Y'' follows such a distribution. In some practical applications, such as those involving data suspected to follow a heavy-tailed distribution, this is an important consideration. However, the existence of the correlation coefficient is usually not a concern; for instance, if the range of the distribution is bounded, ρ is always defined.


Sample size

*If the sample size is moderate or large and the population is normal, then, in the case of the bivariate
normal distribution In probability theory and statistics, a normal distribution or Gaussian distribution is a type of continuous probability distribution for a real-valued random variable. The general form of its probability density function is f(x) = \frac ...
, the sample correlation coefficient is the maximum likelihood estimate of the population correlation coefficient, and is asymptotically
unbiased Bias is a disproportionate weight ''in favor of'' or ''against'' an idea or thing, usually in a way that is inaccurate, closed-minded, prejudicial, or unfair. Biases can be innate or learned. People may develop biases for or against an individ ...
and efficient, which roughly means that it is impossible to construct a more accurate estimate than the sample correlation coefficient. *If the sample size is large and the population is not normal, then the sample correlation coefficient remains approximately unbiased, but may not be efficient. *If the sample size is large, then the sample correlation coefficient is a
consistent estimator In statistics, a consistent estimator or asymptotically consistent estimator is an estimator—a rule for computing estimates of a parameter ''θ''0—having the property that as the number of data points used increases indefinitely, the result ...
of the population correlation coefficient as long as the sample means, variances, and covariance are consistent (which is guaranteed when the
law of large numbers In probability theory, the law of large numbers is a mathematical law that states that the average of the results obtained from a large number of independent random samples converges to the true value, if it exists. More formally, the law o ...
can be applied). *If the sample size is small, then the sample correlation coefficient ''r'' is not an unbiased estimate of ''ρ''. The adjusted correlation coefficient must be used instead: see elsewhere in this article for the definition. *Correlations can be different for imbalanced
dichotomous A dichotomy () is a partition of a set, partition of a whole (or a set) into two parts (subsets). In other words, this couple of parts must be * jointly exhaustive: everything must belong to one part or the other, and * mutually exclusive: nothi ...
data when there is variance error in sample.


Robustness

Like many commonly used statistics, the sample
statistic A statistic (singular) or sample statistic is any quantity computed from values in a sample which is considered for a statistical purpose. Statistical purposes include estimating a population parameter, describing a sample, or evaluating a hypot ...
''r'' is not robust, so its value can be misleading if
outlier In statistics, an outlier is a data point that differs significantly from other observations. An outlier may be due to a variability in the measurement, an indication of novel data, or it may be the result of experimental error; the latter are ...
s are present. Specifically, the PMCC is neither distributionally robust, nor outlier resistant (see '). Inspection of the scatterplot between ''X'' and ''Y'' will typically reveal a situation where lack of robustness might be an issue, and in such cases it may be advisable to use a robust measure of association. Note however that while most robust estimators of association measure statistical dependence in some way, they are generally not interpretable on the same scale as the Pearson correlation coefficient. Statistical inference for Pearson's correlation coefficient is sensitive to the data distribution. Exact tests, and asymptotic tests based on the Fisher transformation can be applied if the data are approximately normally distributed, but may be misleading otherwise. In some situations, the bootstrap can be applied to construct confidence intervals, and permutation tests can be applied to carry out hypothesis tests. These non-parametric approaches may give more meaningful results in some situations where bivariate normality does not hold. However the standard versions of these approaches rely on exchangeability of the data, meaning that there is no ordering or grouping of the data pairs being analyzed that might affect the behavior of the correlation estimate. A stratified analysis is one way to either accommodate a lack of bivariate normality, or to isolate the correlation resulting from one factor while controlling for another. If ''W'' represents cluster membership or another factor that it is desirable to control, we can stratify the data based on the value of ''W'', then calculate a correlation coefficient within each stratum. The stratum-level estimates can then be combined to estimate the overall correlation while controlling for ''W''.


Variants

Variations of the correlation coefficient can be calculated for different purposes. Here are some examples.


Adjusted correlation coefficient

The sample correlation coefficient is not an unbiased estimate of . For data that follows a bivariate normal distribution, the expectation for the sample correlation coefficient of a normal bivariate is :\operatorname\mathbb\left \right= \rho - \frac + \cdots, \quad therefore is a biased estimator of \rho. The unique minimum variance unbiased estimator is given by where: *r, n are defined as above, *\mathbf(a, b; c; z) is the Gaussian hypergeometric function. An approximately unbiased estimator can be obtained by truncating and solving this truncated equation: An approximate solution to equation () is where in () *r, n are defined as above, * is a suboptimal estimator, * can also be obtained by maximizing log(''f''(''r'')), * has minimum variance for large values of , * has a bias of order . Another proposed adjusted correlation coefficient is :r_\text=\sqrt. for large values of .


Weighted correlation coefficient

Suppose observations to be correlated have differing degrees of importance that can be expressed with a weight vector ''w''. To calculate the correlation between vectors ''x'' and ''y'' with the weight vector ''w'' (all of length ''n''), * Weighted mean: \operatorname(x; w) = \frac. * Weighted covariance \operatorname(x,y;w) = \frac. * Weighted correlation \operatorname(x,y;w) = \frac.


Reflective correlation coefficient

The reflective correlation is a variant of Pearson's correlation in which the data are not centered around their mean values. The population reflective correlation is :\operatorname_r(X,Y) = \frac. The reflective correlation is symmetric, but it is not invariant under translation: :\operatorname_r(X, Y) = \operatorname_r(Y, X) = \operatorname_r(X, bY) \neq \operatorname_r(X, a + b Y), \quad a \neq 0, b > 0. The sample reflective correlation is equivalent to cosine similarity: :rr_ = \frac. The weighted version of the sample reflective correlation is :rr_ = \frac.


Scaled correlation coefficient

Scaled correlation is a variant of Pearson's correlation in which the range of the data is restricted intentionally and in a controlled manner to reveal correlations between fast components in
time series In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. ...
. Scaled correlation is defined as average correlation across short segments of data. Let K be the number of segments that can fit into the total length of the signal T for a given scale s: :K = \operatorname\left(\frac\right). The scaled correlation across the entire signals \bar_s is then computed as :\bar_s = \frac \sum\limits_^K r_k, where r_k is Pearson's coefficient of correlation for segment k. By choosing the parameter s, the range of values is reduced and the correlations on long time scale are filtered out, only the correlations on short time scales being revealed. Thus, the contributions of slow components are removed and those of fast components are retained.


Pearson's distance

A distance metric for two variables ''X'' and ''Y'' known as ''Pearson's distance'' can be defined from their correlation coefficient as :d_=1-\rho_. Considering that the Pearson correlation coefficient falls between ��1, +1 the Pearson distance lies in , 2 The Pearson distance has been used in
cluster analysis Cluster analysis or clustering is the data analyzing technique in which task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called a cluster) are more Similarity measure, similar (in some specific sense defined by the ...
and data detection for communications and storage with unknown gain and offset. The Pearson "distance" defined this way assigns distance greater than 1 to negative correlations. In reality, both strong positive correlation and negative correlations are meaningful, so care must be taken when Pearson "distance" is used for nearest neighbor algorithm as such algorithm will only include neighbors with positive correlation and exclude neighbors with negative correlation. Alternatively, an absolute valued distance, d_=1-, \rho_, , can be applied, which will take both positive and negative correlations into consideration. The information on positive and negative association can be extracted separately, later.


Circular correlation coefficient

For variables ''X'' = and ''Y'' = that are defined on the unit circle , it is possible to define a circular analog of Pearson's coefficient. This is done by transforming data points in ''X'' and ''Y'' with a
sine In mathematics, sine and cosine are trigonometric functions of an angle. The sine and cosine of an acute angle are defined in the context of a right triangle: for the specified angle, its sine is the ratio of the length of the side opposite th ...
function such that the correlation coefficient is given as: :r_\text = \frac where \bar and \bar are the circular means of ''X'' and ''Y''. This measure can be useful in fields like meteorology where the angular direction of data is important.


Partial correlation

If a population or data-set is characterized by more than two variables, a partial correlation coefficient measures the strength of dependence between a pair of variables that is not accounted for by the way in which they both change in response to variations in a selected subset of the other variables.


Pearson correlation coefficient in quantum systems

For two observables, X and Y, in a bipartite quantum system Pearson correlation coefficient is defined as :\mathbb(X,Y) = \frac \,, where * \mathbb is the expectation value of the observable X , * \mathbb is the expectation value of the observable Y , * \mathbb \otimes Y is the expectation value of the observable X \otimes Y , * \mathbb is the variance of the observable X , and * \mathbb is the variance of the observable Y . \mathbb(X,Y) is symmetric, i.e., \mathbb(X,Y)= \mathbb(Y, X), and its absolute value is invariant under affine transformations.


Decorrelation of ''n'' random variables

It is always possible to remove the correlations between all pairs of an arbitrary number of random variables by using a data transformation, even if the relationship between the variables is nonlinear. A presentation of this result for population distributions is given by Cox & Hinkley. A corresponding result exists for reducing the sample correlations to zero. Suppose a vector of ''n'' random variables is observed ''m'' times. Let ''X'' be a matrix where X_ is the ''j''th variable of observation ''i''. Let Z_ be an ''m'' by ''m'' square matrix with every element 1. Then ''D'' is the data transformed so every random variable has zero mean, and ''T'' is the data transformed so all variables have zero mean and zero correlation with all other variables – the sample
correlation matrix In statistics, correlation or dependence is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables or bivariate data. Although in the broadest sense, "correlation" may indicate any type of association, in statistics ...
of ''T'' will be the identity matrix. This has to be further divided by the standard deviation to get unit variance. The transformed variables will be uncorrelated, even though they may not be
independent Independent or Independents may refer to: Arts, entertainment, and media Artist groups * Independents (artist group), a group of modernist painters based in Pennsylvania, United States * Independentes (English: Independents), a Portuguese artist ...
. :D = X -\frac Z_ X :T = D (D^ D)^, where an exponent of represents the
matrix square root In mathematics, the square root of a matrix extends the notion of square root from numbers to Matrix (mathematics), matrices. A matrix is said to be a square root of if the matrix product is equal to . Some authors use the name ''square root' ...
of the inverse of a matrix. The correlation matrix of ''T'' will be the identity matrix. If a new data observation ''x'' is a row vector of ''n'' elements, then the same transform can be applied to ''x'' to get the transformed vectors ''d'' and ''t'': :d = x - \frac Z_ X, :t = d (D^ D)^. This decorrelation is related to
principal components analysis Principal component analysis (PCA) is a Linear map, linear dimensionality reduction technique with applications in exploratory data analysis, visualization and Data Preprocessing, data preprocessing. The data is linear map, linearly transformed ...
for multivariate data.


Software implementations

* R's statistics base-package implements the correlation coefficient with cor(x, y), or (with the P value also) wit
cor.test(x, y)
* The
SciPy SciPy (pronounced "sigh pie") is a free and open-source Python library used for scientific computing and technical computing. SciPy contains modules for optimization, linear algebra, integration, interpolation, special functions, fast Fourier ...
Python library vi
pearsonr(x, y)
* The Pandas and Polars Python libraries implement the Pearson correlation coefficient calculation as the default option for the method
pandas.DataFrame.corr
an

respectively. *
Wolfram Mathematica Wolfram (previously known as Mathematica and Wolfram Mathematica) is a software system with built-in libraries for several areas of technical computing that allows machine learning, statistics, symbolic computation, data manipulation, network ...
via th
Correlation
function, or (with the P value) wit

* The Boost C++ library via th
correlation_coefficient
function. * Excel has an in-buil
correl(array1, array2)
function for calculating the Pearson's correlation coefficient.


See also

* Anscombe's quartet *
Association (statistics) In statistics, correlation or dependence is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables or bivariate data. Although in the broadest sense, "correlation" may indicate any type of association, in statistics ...
* Coefficient of colligation ** Yule's Q ** Yule's Y * Coefficient of multiple correlation * Concordance correlation coefficient *
Correlation and dependence In statistics, correlation or dependence is any statistical relationship, whether causal or not, between two random variables or bivariate data. Although in the broadest sense, "correlation" may indicate any type of association, in statistics ...
* Correlation ratio * Disattenuation * Distance correlation * Maximal information coefficient *
Multiple correlation In statistics, the coefficient of multiple correlation is a measure of how well a given variable can be predicted using a linear function of a set of other variables. It is the correlation between the variable's values and the best predictions th ...
* Normally distributed and uncorrelated does not imply independent *
Odds ratio An odds ratio (OR) is a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B. The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of event A taking place in the presence of B, and the odds of A in the absence of B ...
* Partial correlation * Polychoric correlation * Quadrant count ratio * RV coefficient *
Spearman's rank correlation coefficient In statistics, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient or Spearman's ''ρ'' is a number ranging from -1 to 1 that indicates how strongly two sets of ranks are correlated. It could be used in a situation where one only has ranked data, such as a ...
* Kendall rank correlation coefficient


Footnotes


References


External links

* – A free web interface and R package for the statistical comparison of two dependent or independent correlations with overlapping or non-overlapping variables. * – an interactive Flash simulation on the correlation of two normally distributed variables. * * – large table. * – A game where players guess how correlated two variables in a scatter plot are, in order to gain a better understanding of the concept of correlation. {{DEFAULTSORT:Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient Correlation indicators Parametric statistics Statistical ratios