John Ashworth Nelder (8 October 1924 – 7 August 2010) was a British statistician known for his contributions to
experimental design
The design of experiments (DOE, DOX, or experimental design) is the design of any task that aims to describe and explain the variation of information under conditions that are hypothesized to reflect the variation. The term is generally associ ...
,
analysis of variance
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a collection of statistical models and their associated estimation procedures (such as the "variation" among and between groups) used to analyze the differences among means. ANOVA was developed by the statistician ...
,
computational statistics
Computational statistics, or statistical computing, is the bond between statistics and computer science. It means statistical methods that are enabled by using computational methods. It is the area of computational science (or scientific comput ...
, and
statistical theory.
Contributions
Nelder's work was influential in statistics. While leading research at
Rothamsted Experimental Station, Nelder developed and supervised the updating of the
statistical software
Statistical software are specialized computer programs for analysis in statistics and econometrics.
Open-source
* ADaMSoft – a generalized statistical software with data mining algorithms and methods for data management
* ADMB – a softwa ...
packages
GLIM
Glim or Gleam ( arz, جليم) is a neighborhood in Alexandria, Egypt.
See also
* Neighborhoods in Alexandria
Alexandria, Virginia, an independent city in the Commonwealth of Virginia, is located along the western bank of the Potomac Ri ...
and
GenStat: Both packages are flexible
high-level programming language
In computer science, a high-level programming language is a programming language with strong abstraction from the details of the computer. In contrast to low-level programming languages, it may use natural language ''elements'', be easier to ...
s that allow statisticians to formulate
linear models concisely.
GLIM influenced later environments for
statistical computing such as
S-PLUS and
R. Both GLIM and GenStat have powerful facilities for the
analysis of variance
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a collection of statistical models and their associated estimation procedures (such as the "variation" among and between groups) used to analyze the differences among means. ANOVA was developed by the statistician ...
for
block experiments, an area where Nelder made many contributions.
In
statistical theory, Nelder and Wedderburn proposed the
generalized linear model
In statistics, a generalized linear model (GLM) is a flexible generalization of ordinary linear regression. The GLM generalizes linear regression by allowing the linear model to be related to the response variable via a ''link function'' and by ...
. Generalized linear models were formulated by John Nelder and
Robert Wedderburn as a way of unifying various other statistical models, including
linear regression
In statistics, linear regression is a linear approach for modelling the relationship between a scalar response and one or more explanatory variables (also known as dependent and independent variables). The case of one explanatory variable is ...
,
logistic regression
In statistics, the logistic model (or logit model) is a statistical model that models the probability of an event taking place by having the log-odds for the event be a linear function (calculus), linear combination of one or more independent var ...
and
Poisson regression
In statistics, Poisson regression is a generalized linear model form of regression analysis used to model count data and contingency tables. Poisson regression assumes the response variable ''Y'' has a Poisson distribution, and assumes the loga ...
. They proposed an
iteratively reweighted least squares
The method of iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS) is used to solve certain optimization problems with objective functions of the form of a ''p''-norm:
:\underset \sum_^n \big, y_i - f_i (\boldsymbol\beta) \big, ^p,
by an iterative m ...
method for
maximum likelihood
In statistics, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a method of estimating the parameters of an assumed probability distribution, given some observed data. This is achieved by maximizing a likelihood function so that, under the assumed sta ...
estimation of the model parameters.
In
statistical inference, Nelder (along with
George Barnard and
A. W. F. Edwards) emphasized the importance of the
likelihood
The likelihood function (often simply called the likelihood) represents the probability of random variable realizations conditional on particular values of the statistical parameters. Thus, when evaluated on a given sample, the likelihood funct ...
in
data analysis
Data analysis is a process of inspecting, cleansing, transforming, and modeling data with the goal of discovering useful information, informing conclusions, and supporting decision-making. Data analysis has multiple facets and approaches, en ...
, promoting this "likelihood approach" as an alternative to
frequentist and
Bayesian statistics.
In
response-surface optimization, Nelder and
Roger Mead proposed the
Nelder–Mead method ">Nelder–Mead simplex heuristic, widely used in engineering and statistics.
Biography
Born in
Brushford, near Dulverton">Brushford, Somerset">Brushford, near Dulverton, Somerset, Nelder was educated at Blundell's School">Dulverton.html" ;"title="Brushford, Somerset">Brushford, near Dulverton">Brushford, Somerset">Brushford, near Dulverton, Somerset, Nelder was educated at Blundell's School and Sidney Sussex College, Cambridge, where he read Mathematics.
Nelder's appointments included Head of the Statistics Section at the Horticulture Research International, National Vegetable Research Station, Wellesbourne, from 1951 to 1968 and head of the Statistics Department at
Rothamsted Experimental Station from 1968 to 1984. During his time at Wellesbourne he spent a year (1965–1966) at the Waite Institute in Adelaide, South Australia, where he worked with Graham Wilkinson on Genstat. He held an appointment as Visiting Professor at
Imperial College London
Imperial College London (legally Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine) is a public research university in London, United Kingdom. Its history began with Prince Albert, consort of Queen Victoria, who developed his vision for a ...
from 1972 onwards.
He was responsible, with
Max Nicholson and
James Ferguson-Lees, for debunking the
Hastings Rarities
The Hastings Rarities affair is a case of statistically demonstrated ornithological fraud that misled the bird world for decades in the 20th century. The discovery of the long-running hoax shocked ornithologists.
The Hastings Rarities were a se ...
– sightings of a series of rare birds, preserved by a
taxidermist and provided with bogus histories.
[Nelder, J.A. (1962). A statistical examination of the Hastings Rarities. '' British Birds'', August 1962.]
Nelder died on 7 August 2010 in
Luton and Dunstable Hospital
Luton and Dunstable University Hospital is an acute hospital in Luton, Bedfordshire, England, run by Bedfordshire Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust. It provides medical and surgical services for over 350,000 people in southern Bedfordshire, the nort ...
, taken there after a fall at home, which was incidental to the cause of death.
Awards and distinctions
Nelder was elected a
Fellow of the Royal Society
Fellowship of the Royal Society (FRS, ForMemRS and HonFRS) is an award granted by the judges of the Royal Society of London to individuals who have made a "substantial contribution to the improvement of natural knowledge, including mathematic ...
in 1976 and received the
Royal Statistical Society
The Royal Statistical Society (RSS) is an established statistical society. It has three main roles: a British learned society for statistics, a professional body for statisticians and a charity which promotes statistics for the public good. ...
's
Guy Medal
The Guy Medals are awarded by the Royal Statistical Society in three categories; Gold, Silver and Bronze. The Silver and Bronze medals are awarded annually. The Gold Medal was awarded every three years between 1987 and 2011, but is awarded bienni ...
in Gold in 2005. He was also the recipient of the inaugural Karl Pearson Prize of the
International Statistical Institute, with
Peter McCullagh, "for their monograph Generalized Linear Models (1983)".
As tribute on his eightieth birthday, a
festschrift
In academia, a ''Festschrift'' (; plural, ''Festschriften'' ) is a book honoring a respected person, especially an academic, and presented during their lifetime. It generally takes the form of an edited volume, containing contributions from the ...
''Methods and Models in Statistics: In Honour of Professor John Nelder, FRS'' was edited by Niall Adams, Martin Crowder, David J Hand & Dave Stephens, Imperial College Press (2004).
The first annual John Nelder memorial lecture was held at Imperial College London, on 8 March 2012, as part of the Mathematics department Colloquium series. The lecture was given by John's long term co-author, Prof
Peter McCullagh. An interview
[http://stats.ma.ic.ac.uk/~nadams/podcast/podcast6.mp3 ] with Peter McCullagh, about statistical modelling, includes some reminiscences about John.
Selected publications
* JN and R. W. M. Wedderburn, "Generalized Linear Models", ''J. R. Statist. Soc.'' A, 135 (1972) 370–384.
*
McCullagh, P. and J.A. Nelder. 1989. ''Generalized Linear Models''. 2nd ed. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Florida.
*Lee, Y., J.A. Nelder, and Y. Pawitan. 2006. ''Generalized Linear Models with Random Effects: Unified Analysis via H-likelihood''. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Florida.
References
External links
A Conversation with John Nelder
{{DEFAULTSORT:Nelder, John
Fellows of the Royal Society
Presidents of the Royal Statistical Society
Rothamsted statisticians
English statisticians
Academics of Imperial College London
20th-century British mathematicians
21st-century British mathematicians
Alumni of Sidney Sussex College, Cambridge
People educated at Blundell's School
People from Dulverton
1924 births
2010 deaths
Rothamsted Experimental Station people