Daily inflation-indexed bonds (also known as inflation-linked bonds or colloquially as linkers) are
bonds where the principal is indexed to
inflation or deflation on a daily basis. They are thus designed to hedge the inflation risk of a bond. The first known inflation-indexed bond was issued by the
Massachusetts Bay Company in 1780. The market has grown dramatically since the
British government began issuing inflation-linked
Gilts in 1981. As of 2019, government-issued inflation-linked bonds comprise over $3.1 trillion of the international debt market. The inflation-linked market primarily consists of
sovereign bonds, with privately issued inflation-linked bonds constituting a small portion of the market.
Structure
Daily inflation-indexed bonds pay a periodic
coupon that is equal to the product of the
principal and the nominal coupon rate.
For some bonds, such as in the case of
TIPS, the underlying principal of the bond changes, which results in a higher
interest payment when multiplied by the same rate. For example, if the annual coupon of the bond were 5% and the underlying principal of the bond were 100 units, the annual payment would be 5 units. If the inflation index increased by 10%, the principal of the bond would increase to 110 units. The coupon rate would remain at 5%, resulting in an interest payment of 110 x 5% = 5.5 units.
For other bonds, such as the
Series I United States Savings Bonds, the interest rate is adjusted according to inflation.
The relationship between coupon payments, breakeven daily inflation and real interest rates is given by the
Fisher equation. A rise in coupon payments is a result of an increase in inflation expectations, real rates, or both.
Real yield
The real yield of any bond is the annualized growth rate, less the rate of inflation over the same period. This calculation is often difficult in principle in the case of a nominal bond, because the yields of such a bond are specified for future periods in nominal terms, while the inflation over the period is an unknown rate at the time of the calculation. However, in the case of inflation-indexed bonds such as TIPS, the bond yield is specified as a rate in excess of inflation, so the real yield can be easily calculated using a standard bond calculation formula.
Global issuance
The most liquid instruments are
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), a type of
US Treasury security, with about $500 billion in issuance. The other important inflation-linked markets are the UK Index-linked Gilts with over $300 billion outstanding and the French OATi/OAT€i market with about $200 billion outstanding.
Germany
Germany, officially the Federal Republic of Germany, is a country in Central Europe. It lies between the Baltic Sea and the North Sea to the north and the Alps to the south. Its sixteen States of Germany, constituent states have a total popu ...
,
Greece
Greece, officially the Hellenic Republic, is a country in Southeast Europe. Located on the southern tip of the Balkan peninsula, it shares land borders with Albania to the northwest, North Macedonia and Bulgaria to the north, and Turkey to th ...
,
Australia
Australia, officially the Commonwealth of Australia, is a country comprising mainland Australia, the mainland of the Australia (continent), Australian continent, the island of Tasmania and list of islands of Australia, numerous smaller isl ...
,
Italy
Italy, officially the Italian Republic, is a country in Southern Europe, Southern and Western Europe, Western Europe. It consists of Italian Peninsula, a peninsula that extends into the Mediterranean Sea, with the Alps on its northern land b ...
,
Japan
Japan is an island country in East Asia. Located in the Pacific Ocean off the northeast coast of the Asia, Asian mainland, it is bordered on the west by the Sea of Japan and extends from the Sea of Okhotsk in the north to the East China Sea ...
,
Sweden
Sweden, formally the Kingdom of Sweden, is a Nordic countries, Nordic country located on the Scandinavian Peninsula in Northern Europe. It borders Norway to the west and north, and Finland to the east. At , Sweden is the largest Nordic count ...
,
Israel
Israel, officially the State of Israel, is a country in West Asia. It Borders of Israel, shares borders with Lebanon to the north, Syria to the north-east, Jordan to the east, Egypt to the south-west, and the Mediterranean Sea to the west. Isr ...
and
Iceland
Iceland is a Nordic countries, Nordic island country between the Atlantic Ocean, North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans, on the Mid-Atlantic Ridge between North America and Europe. It is culturally and politically linked with Europe and is the regi ...
also issue inflation-indexed bonds, as well as a number of Emerging Markets, most prominently
Brazil
Brazil, officially the Federative Republic of Brazil, is the largest country in South America. It is the world's List of countries and dependencies by area, fifth-largest country by area and the List of countries and dependencies by population ...
.
Inflation-indexed bond indices
Inflation-indexed
bond indices include the family of
Barclays Inflation Linked Bond Indices, such as the Barclays Inflation Linked Euro Government Bond Indices, and the
Lehman Brothers U.S. Treasury: U.S. TIPS index.
See also
*
Fisher equation
*
Constant Item Purchasing Power Accounting
References
External links
TIPSInflation-linked Gilts
Print
* Deacon, Mark, Andrew Derry, and Dariush Mirfendereski; ''Inflation-Indexed Securities: Bonds, Swaps, and Other Derivatives'' (2nd edition, 2004) Wiley Finance. .
* Benaben, Brice, and Sebastien Goldenberg (ed.); ''Inflation Risks and Products'' (Dec. 2008) Riskbooks. .
* Canty, Paul and Markus Heider; "Inflation Markets: A Comprehensive and Cohesive Guide" (2012) Risk Books. .
{{DEFAULTSORT:Inflation-Indexed Bond
Bonds (finance)
Government bonds
Inflation