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Hanlon's razor is an
adage A proverb (from ) or an adage is a simple, traditional saying that expresses a perceived truth based on common sense or experience. Proverbs are often metaphorical and are an example of formulaic speech, formulaic language. A proverbial phrase ...
, or
rule of thumb In English language, English, the phrase ''rule of thumb'' refers to an approximate method for doing something, based on practical experience rather than theory. This usage of the phrase can be traced back to the 17th century and has been associat ...
, that states: It is a philosophical razor that suggests a way of eliminating unlikely explanations for human behavior. It is purportedly named after one Robert J. Hanlon, who submitted the statement to ''Murphy's Law Book Two: More Reasons Why Things Go Wrong!'' (1980). Similar statements have been recorded since at least the 18th century.


Origin

The adage was a submission credited in print to Robert J. Hanlon of
Scranton, Pennsylvania Scranton is a city in and the county seat of Lackawanna County, Pennsylvania, United States. With a population of 76,328 as of the 2020 United States census, 2020 census, Scranton is the most populous city in Northeastern Pennsylvania and the ...
, in a compilation of various jokes related to
Murphy's law Murphy's law is an adage or epigram that is typically stated as: "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong." Though similar statements and concepts have been made over the course of history, the law itself was coined by, and named after, Americ ...
published in Arthur Bloch's ''Murphy's Law Book Two: More Reasons Why Things Go Wrong!'' (1980).
search result in archive.org
A similar quotation appears in
Robert A. Heinlein Robert Anson Heinlein ( ; July 7, 1907 – May 8, 1988) was an American science fiction author, aeronautical engineer, and naval officer. Sometimes called the "dean of science fiction writers", he was among the first to emphasize scientific acc ...
's novella '' Logic of Empire'' (1941). The character Doc in the story describes the "devil theory" fallacy, explaining, "You have attributed conditions to villainy that simply result from stupidity." Hanlon's razor became well known after its inclusion in the ''
Jargon File The Jargon File is a glossary and usage dictionary of slang used by computer programmers. The original Jargon File was a collection of terms from technical cultures such as the MIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory, MIT AI Lab ...
'', a glossary of computer programmer slang, in 1990. Later that year, the ''Jargon File'' editors noted lack of knowledge of the term's derivation and the existence of a similar
epigram An epigram is a brief, interesting, memorable, sometimes surprising or satirical statement. The word derives from the Greek (, "inscription", from [], "to write on, to inscribe"). This literary device has been practiced for over two millennia ...
by William James, although this was possibly intended as a reference to William Laidlay, William James Laidlay. In 1996, the ''Jargon File'' entry on Hanlon's Razor noted the existence of the phrase in Heinlein's novella, with speculation that Hanlon's Razor might be a corruption of "Heinlein's Razor". The link to Murphy's law was described in a pair of 2001 blog entries by Quentin Stafford-Fraser, citing emails from Joseph E. Bigler. In 2002, the ''Jargon File'' entry noted the same. The ''Jargon File'' now calls it a "Murphyism". The name was inspired by
Occam's razor In philosophy, Occam's razor (also spelled Ockham's razor or Ocham's razor; ) is the problem-solving principle that recommends searching for explanations constructed with the smallest possible set of elements. It is also known as the principle o ...
.


Variations

Grey's law (a humorous
parallel Parallel may refer to: Mathematics * Parallel (geometry), two lines in the Euclidean plane which never intersect * Parallel (operator), mathematical operation named after the composition of electrical resistance in parallel circuits Science a ...
to Arthur C. Clarke's 3rd law): Douglas W. Hubbard quoted Hanlon's razor and added "a clumsier but more accurate corollary": A variation appears in '' The Wheels of Chance'' (1896) by
H. G. Wells Herbert George Wells (21 September 1866 – 13 August 1946) was an English writer, prolific in many genres. He wrote more than fifty novels and dozens of short stories. His non-fiction output included works of social commentary, politics, hist ...
: A similar quote is also misattributed to
Napoleon Napoleon Bonaparte (born Napoleone di Buonaparte; 15 August 1769 – 5 May 1821), later known by his regnal name Napoleon I, was a French general and statesman who rose to prominence during the French Revolution and led Military career ...
. Andrew Roberts, in his biography of Winston Churchill, quotes from Churchill's correspondence with
King George VI George VI (Albert Frederick Arthur George; 14 December 1895 – 6 February 1952) was King of the United Kingdom and the Dominions of the British Commonwealth from 11 December 1936 until his death in 1952. He was also the last Emperor of In ...
in February 1943 regarding disagreements with
Charles de Gaulle Charles André Joseph Marie de Gaulle (22 November 18909 November 1970) was a French general and statesman who led the Free France, Free French Forces against Nazi Germany in World War II and chaired the Provisional Government of the French Re ...
: "His insolence ... may be founded on stupidity rather than malice."


See also

* * Finagle's law *
Principle of charity In philosophy and rhetoric, the principle of charity or charitable interpretation requires interpreting a speaker's statements in the most rational way possible and, in the case of any argument, considering its best, strongest possible interpretati ...
* Sturgeon's law *
List of eponymous laws This list of eponymous laws provides links to articles on laws, principles, adages, and other succinct observations or predictions named after a person. In some cases the person named has coined the law – such as Parkinson's law. In others, ...


References


Literature

* {{cite book , last1=Hubbard , first1=Douglas W. , title=The failure of risk management: why it's broken and how to fix it , date=2020 , publisher=Wiley , location=Hoboken, New Jersey , isbn=9781119522034 , edition=Second Adages Principles Razors (philosophy) Intention Eponymous rules