Franco Modigliani (; ; 18 June 1918 – 25 September 2003) was an Italian-American
economist
An economist is a professional and practitioner in the social sciences, social science discipline of economics.
The individual may also study, develop, and apply theories and concepts from economics and write about economic policy. Within this ...
and the recipient of the 1985
Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics
The Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, officially the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel (), commonly referred to as the Nobel Prize in Economics(), is an award in the field of economic sciences adminis ...
. He was a professor at
University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign,
Carnegie Mellon University
Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) is a private research university in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. The institution was established in 1900 by Andrew Carnegie as the Carnegie Technical Schools. In 1912, it became the Carnegie Institu ...
, and
MIT Sloan School of Management.
Early life and education
Modigliani was born on 18 June 1918 in
Rome
Rome (Italian language, Italian and , ) is the capital city and most populated (municipality) of Italy. It is also the administrative centre of the Lazio Regions of Italy, region and of the Metropolitan City of Rome. A special named with 2, ...
to the Jewish family of a
pediatrician father and a voluntary
social worker
Social work is an academic discipline and practice-based profession concerned with meeting the basic needs of individuals, families, groups, communities, and society as a whole to enhance their individual and collective well-being. Social wo ...
mother.
["Franco Modigliani" by Daniel B. Klein and Ryan Daza, in]
The Ideological Migration of the Economics Laureates
, '' Econ Journal Watch'', 10(3), September 2013, pp. 472–293
He entered university at the age of seventeen, enrolling in the faculty of Law at the
Sapienza University of Rome
The Sapienza University of Rome (), formally the Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza", abbreviated simply as Sapienza ('Wisdom'), is a Public university, public research university located in Rome, Italy. It was founded in 1303 and is ...
.
[Parisi, Daniela (2005) "Five Italian Articles Written by the Young Franco Modigliani (1937–1938)", ''Rivista Internazional di Scienze Sociali'', 113(4), pp. 555–557 (in ]language
Language is a structured system of communication that consists of grammar and vocabulary. It is the primary means by which humans convey meaning, both in spoken and signed language, signed forms, and may also be conveyed through writing syste ...
) In his second year at Sapienza, his submission to a nationwide contest in
economics
Economics () is a behavioral science that studies the Production (economics), production, distribution (economics), distribution, and Consumption (economics), consumption of goods and services.
Economics focuses on the behaviour and interac ...
sponsored by the official
student organization of the state, won first prize and Modigliani received an award from the hand of
Benito Mussolini
Benito Amilcare Andrea Mussolini (29 July 188328 April 1945) was an Italian politician and journalist who, upon assuming office as Prime Minister of Italy, Prime Minister, became the dictator of Fascist Italy from the March on Rome in 1922 un ...
.
[Franco Modigliani]
autobiographical notes, Nobel Prize organization website, 1985
He wrote several essays for the fascist magazine ''
Lo Stato'' where he showed an inclination for the fascist ideological currents critical of liberalism.
Among his early works in Fascist Italy was an article about the organization and management of production in a
socialist
Socialism is an economic ideology, economic and political philosophy encompassing diverse Economic system, economic and social systems characterised by social ownership of the means of production, as opposed to private ownership. It describes ...
economy, written in
Italian and arguing the case for socialism along lines laid out by earlier
market socialists like
Abba Lerner and
Oskar Lange.
[Mongiovi, Gary (2015)]
Franco Modigliani and the Socialist State
", Economics & Finance Department, St. John's, May 2015
But, that early enthusiasm evaporated soon after the passage of
racial laws in Italy. In 1938, Modigliani left Italy for
Paris
Paris () is the Capital city, capital and List of communes in France with over 20,000 inhabitants, largest city of France. With an estimated population of 2,048,472 residents in January 2025 in an area of more than , Paris is the List of ci ...
together with his then-girlfriend, Serena Calabi, to join her parents there. After briefly returning to
Rome
Rome (Italian language, Italian and , ) is the capital city and most populated (municipality) of Italy. It is also the administrative centre of the Lazio Regions of Italy, region and of the Metropolitan City of Rome. A special named with 2, ...
to discuss his ''
laurea
In Italy, the ''laurea'' is the main post-secondary academic degree. The name originally referred literally to the laurel wreath, since ancient times a sign of honor and now worn by Italian students right after their official graduation ceremo ...
'' thesis at the city's university, he obtained his diploma on 22 July 1939, and returned to Paris.
[
The same year, they all immigrated to the United States and he enrolled at the Graduate Faculty of the ]New School for Social Research
The New School for Social Research (NSSR), previously known as The University in Exile and The New School University, is a graduate-level educational division of The New School in New York City, United States. NSSR enrolls more than 1,000 stud ...
. His Ph.D. dissertation, an elaboration and extension of John Hicks
Sir John Richard Hicks (8 April 1904 – 20 May 1989) was a British economist. He is considered one of the most important and influential economists of the twentieth century. The most familiar of his many contributions in the field of economics ...
' IS–LM model, was written under the supervision of Jacob Marschak and Abba Lerner, in 1944,[The basis of his dissertation subsequently appeared in ''Econometrica''. See Modigliani (1944)] and is considered "ground breaking."
Career
From 1942 to 1944, Modigliani taught at Columbia University
Columbia University in the City of New York, commonly referred to as Columbia University, is a Private university, private Ivy League research university in New York City. Established in 1754 as King's College on the grounds of Trinity Churc ...
and Bard College
Bard College is a private college, private Liberal arts colleges in the United States, liberal arts college in Annandale-on-Hudson, New York. The campus overlooks the Hudson River and Catskill Mountains within the Hudson River Historic District ...
as an instructor in economics
Economics () is a behavioral science that studies the Production (economics), production, distribution (economics), distribution, and Consumption (economics), consumption of goods and services.
Economics focuses on the behaviour and interac ...
and statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a s ...
. In 1946, he became a naturalized citizen of the United States. In 1948, he joined the University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign faculty. From 1952 to 1962, he was a member of the Carnegie Mellon University
Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) is a private research university in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. The institution was established in 1900 by Andrew Carnegie as the Carnegie Technical Schools. In 1912, it became the Carnegie Institu ...
faculty.[Professor Franco Modigliani]
obituary, ''The Independent
''The Independent'' is a British online newspaper. It was established in 1986 as a national morning printed paper. Nicknamed the ''Indy'', it began as a broadsheet and changed to tabloid format in 2003. The last printed edition was publis ...
'', 28 September 2003
In 1962, he joined the faculty of MIT, as an Institute Professor.
Contributions to economic theory
Modigliani, beginning in the 1950s, was an originator of the life-cycle hypothesis, which attempts to explain the level of saving
Saving is income not spent, or deferred Consumption (economics), consumption. In economics, a broader definition is any income not used for immediate consumption. Saving also involves reducing expenditures, such as recurring Cost, costs.
Methods ...
in the economy. The hypothesis that consumer
A consumer is a person or a group who intends to order, or use purchased goods, products, or services primarily for personal, social, family, household and similar needs, who is not directly related to entrepreneurial or business activities. ...
s aim for a stable level of consumption throughout their lifetime (for example by saving during their working years and then spending during their retirement
Retirement is the withdrawal from one's position or occupation or from one's active working life. A person may also semi-retire by reducing work hours or workload.
Many people choose to retire when they are elderly or incapable of doing their j ...
).
The rational expectations hypothesis is considered by economists[Wade-Hands, Douglas (1986) ''Modigliani And Grunberg : A Precursor To Rational Expectations?'', University of Puget Sound] to originate in the paper written by Modigliani and Emile Grunberg in 1954.[Grunberg, E. & Franco Modigliani (1954) "The Predictability of Social Events," '' Journal of Political Economy'', 62, pp. 465–478, December 1954]
When he was a member of the Carnegie Mellon University
Carnegie Mellon University (CMU) is a private research university in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States. The institution was established in 1900 by Andrew Carnegie as the Carnegie Technical Schools. In 1912, it became the Carnegie Institu ...
faculty, he formulated in 1958, along with Merton Miller, the Modigliani–Miller theorem for corporate finance
Corporate finance is an area of finance that deals with the sources of funding, and the capital structure of businesses, the actions that managers take to increase the Value investing, value of the firm to the shareholders, and the tools and analy ...
.[Miller, Merton H. & Franco Modigliani (1958)]
The cost of capital, corporate finance and the theory of investment
, '' The American Economic Review'', Vol. XLVIII, June 1958, #3, pp. 261–297. The article was a revised version of a paper delivered at the annual meeting of the Econometric Society
The Econometric Society is an international society of academic economists interested in applying statistical tools in the practice of econometrics. It is an independent organization with no connections to societies of professional mathematicians o ...
in December 1956.[Miller, Merton H. & Franco Modigliani (1963) "Corporate Income Taxes and the Cost of Capital: A Correction", '' The American Economic Review'', Vol. 53, No. 3, June 1963, pp. 433–443] The theorem posits that, under certain assumptions,[The theorem assumes an economic environment with an ]efficient market
The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is a hypothesis in financial economics that states that asset prices reflect all available information. A direct implication is that it is impossible to "beat the market" consistently on a risk-adjusted basis ...
and without tax
A tax is a mandatory financial charge or levy imposed on an individual or legal entity by a governmental organization to support government spending and public expenditures collectively or to regulate and reduce negative externalities. Tax co ...
es, bankruptcy
Bankruptcy is a legal process through which people or other entities who cannot repay debts to creditors may seek relief from some or all of their debts. In most jurisdictions, bankruptcy is imposed by a court order, often initiated by the deb ...
costs, agency cost
An agency cost is an Economics, economic concept that refers to the costs associated with the relationship between a "Principal (commercial law), principal" (an organization, person or group of persons), and an "Agent (economics), agent". The agent ...
s, and asymmetric information. the value of a firm is not affected by whether it is financed by equity (selling shares) or by debt
Debt is an obligation that requires one party, the debtor, to pay money Loan, borrowed or otherwise withheld from another party, the creditor. Debt may be owed by a sovereign state or country, local government, company, or an individual. Co ...
(borrowing money), meaning that the debt-to-equity ratio is unimportant for private firms.[
In the early 1960s, his response, co-authored with Albert Ando, to the 1963 paper of ]Milton Friedman
Milton Friedman (; July 31, 1912 – November 16, 2006) was an American economist and statistician who received the 1976 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his research on consumption analysis, monetary history and theory and ...
and David I. Meiselman, initiated the so-called "monetary/fiscal policy debate" among economists, which went on for more than sixty years.
In 1975, Modigliani, in a paper whose co-author was his former student Lucas Papademos,[Papademos went on to become Governor of the ]Bank of Greece
The Bank of Greece ( , ) is the national central bank for Greece within the Eurosystem. It was the Greek central bank from 1927 to 2000, issuing the drachma. Since 2014, it has also been Greece's national competent authority within European ...
from 1994 until 2002, and Prime Minister of Greece
The prime minister of the Hellenic Republic (), usually referred to as the prime minister of Greece (), is the head of government of the Greece, Hellenic Republic and the leader of the Cabinet of Greece, Greek Cabinet.
The officeholder's of ...
from November 2011 to May 2012. introduced the concept of the "NIRU", the non-inflationary rate of unemployment
Unemployment, according to the OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development), is the proportion of people above a specified age (usually 15) not being in paid employment or self-employment but currently available for work du ...
,[Subsequently known as the " non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU)] ostensibly an improvement over the " natural rate of unemployment" concept. The terms refer to a level of unemployment below which inflation
In economics, inflation is an increase in the average price of goods and services in terms of money. This increase is measured using a price index, typically a consumer price index (CPI). When the general price level rises, each unit of curre ...
rises.[Inflation "rises"; it does not "accelerate," as can often be misread from the acronym NAIRU]
In 1997, Modigliani and his granddaughter, Leah Modigliani, developed what is now called the " Modigliani Risk-Adjusted Performance," a measure of the risk-adjusted returns of an investment portfolio that was derived from the Sharpe ratio, adjusted for the risk of the portfolio relative to that of a benchmark, e.g. the "market."
Appointments and awards
In October 1985, Modigliani was awarded the Nobel prize in Economics "for his pioneering analyses of saving
Saving is income not spent, or deferred Consumption (economics), consumption. In economics, a broader definition is any income not used for immediate consumption. Saving also involves reducing expenditures, such as recurring Cost, costs.
Methods ...
and of financial market
A financial market is a market in which people trade financial securities and derivatives at low transaction costs. Some of the securities include stocks and bonds, raw materials and precious metals, which are known in the financial marke ...
s."
In 1985, Modigliani received MIT's James R. Killian Faculty Achievement Award. In 1997, he received an '' honoris causa'' degree in Management Engineering from the University of Naples Federico II
The University of Naples Federico II (; , ) is a public university, public research university in Naples, Campania, Italy. Established in 1224 and named after its founder, Frederick II, Holy Roman Emperor, Frederick II, it is the oldest public, s ...
in 1997.
Late in his life, Modigliani became a trustee of the Economists for Peace and Security organization, formerly "Economists Allied for Arms Reduction" and was considered an "influential adviser": in the late 1960s, on a contract with the Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve System (often shortened to the Federal Reserve, or simply the Fed) is the central banking system of the United States. It was created on December 23, 1913, with the enactment of the Federal Reserve Act, after a series of ...
, he designed the "MIT-Pennsylvania-Social Science Research Council" model, a tool that "guided monetary policy
Monetary policy is the policy adopted by the monetary authority of a nation to affect monetary and other financial conditions to accomplish broader objectives like high employment and price stability (normally interpreted as a low and stable rat ...
in Washington for many decades."[
A collection of Modigliani's papers is housed at ]Duke University
Duke University is a Private university, private research university in Durham, North Carolina, United States. Founded by Methodists and Quakers in the present-day city of Trinity, North Carolina, Trinity in 1838, the school moved to Durham in 1 ...
's Rubenstein Library.
Criticism
Modigliani's work on fiscal policy came under criticism from followers of Post-Keynesian economics
Post-Keynesian economics is a Schools of economic thought, school of economic thought with its origins in ''The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money, The General Theory'' of John Maynard Keynes, with subsequent development influence ...
, who disputed the "Keynesianism" of his viewpoints, pointing out his contribution to the NAIRU concept, as well as his general stance on fiscal deficits. The Modigliani-Miller theorem implies that, for a closed economy, state borrowing is merely deferred tax
A tax is a mandatory financial charge or levy imposed on an individual or legal entity by a governmental organization to support government spending and public expenditures collectively or to regulate and reduce negative externalities. Tax co ...
ation, since state spending can be financed only by " printing money", taxation, or borrowing, and therefore monetary financing of state spending implies the subsequent imposition of a so-called "inflation tax," which ostensibly has the same effect on permanent income as explicit taxation.[See " crowding out effect"]
Nonetheless, they acknowledged his dissenting voice on the issue of unemployment, in which Modigliani concurred early on with heterodox economists that Europe-wide unemployment in the late 20th century was caused by the lack of demand
In economics, demand is the quantity of a goods, good that consumers are willing and able to purchase at various prices during a given time. In economics "demand" for a commodity is not the same thing as "desire" for it. It refers to both the desi ...
induced by austerity
In economic policy, austerity is a set of Political economy, political-economic policies that aim to reduce government budget deficits through Government spending, spending cuts, tax increases, or a combination of both. There are three prim ...
policies.[Demand-driven fiscal policies, as opposed to supply-driven, are a cornerstone of Keynesian and Post-Keynesian economics. For a critique of European economic policies from a modern, Post-Keynesian point of view, see e.g. Mitchell, William (2016) ''Eurozone Dystopia: Groupthink and Denial on a Grand Scale'', ]Edward Elgar
Sir Edward William Elgar, 1st Baronet, (; 2 June 1857 – 23 February 1934) was an English composer, many of whose works have entered the British and international classical concert repertoire. Among his best-known compositions are orchestr ...
, 2015,
Personal life
In 1939, while they were in Paris, Modigliani married Serena Calabi. They had two children, Andre and Sergio Modigliani.
Modigliani died in Cambridge, Massachusetts
Cambridge ( ) is a city in Middlesex County, Massachusetts, United States. It is a suburb in the Greater Boston metropolitan area, located directly across the Charles River from Boston. The city's population as of the 2020 United States census, ...
, in 2003, while still working at MIT, and teaching until the last months of his life. He was 85.["In March 2003, only few months before his demise, I was at MIT and witnessed Franco odiglianistill teaching with the same enthusiasm another class at the Sloan School of Management" : from Pagano, Marco (2005)]
The Modigliani-Miller Theorems: A Cornerstone of Finance
, Center for Studies in Economics and Finance, May 2005 Serena Modigliani-Calabi, active to the end in progressive politics, most notably with the League of Women Voters, and an outspoken believer in participatory democracy
Participatory democracy, participant democracy, participative democracy, or semi-direct democracy is a form of government in which Citizenship, citizens participate individually and directly in political decisions and policies that affect their ...
,[Chilmarker Serena Modigliani, 91, Escaped Fascism]
, '' Vineyard Gazette'', 9 October 2008 died in 2008.[Serena Calabi]
obituary, ''The Boston Globe
''The Boston Globe,'' also known locally as ''the Globe'', is an American daily newspaper founded and based in Boston, Massachusetts. The newspaper has won a total of 27 Pulitzer Prizes. ''The Boston Globe'' is the oldest and largest daily new ...
'', 24 September 2008
Selected bibliography
Books
*
*
*
*
*
Articles
*
*
See also
* Piero Sraffa
Piero Sraffa Fellow of the British Academy, FBA (5 August 1898 – 3 September 1983) was an influential Italian Political economy, political economist who served as lecturer of economics at the University of Cambridge. His book ''Production of Co ...
* List of Jewish Nobel laureates
Notes
References
External links
*
Modigliani works
IDEAS/RePEc
*
What influences our likelihood to save?
, Union Bank of Switzerland website, with filmed interviews by Franco Modigliani
*
*
{{DEFAULTSORT:Modigliani, Franco
1918 births
2003 deaths
Nobel laureates in Economics
American Nobel laureates
Italian Nobel laureates
Social scientists from New York City
American business theorists
Italian economists
Italian business theorists
Italian Sephardi Jews
Italian emigrants to the United States
20th-century Italian Jews
Corporate finance theorists
Neo-Keynesian economists
Jewish American social scientists
Carnegie Mellon University faculty
MIT Sloan School of Management faculty
Columbia University faculty
Bard College faculty
The New School alumni
Jews who emigrated to escape Nazism
Writers from Rome
People from Belmont, Massachusetts
Fellows of the Econometric Society
Presidents of the Econometric Society
Presidents of the American Economic Association
Naturalized citizens of the United States
Distinguished fellows of the American Economic Association
Economists from Massachusetts
20th-century American economists
Presidents of the American Finance Association
20th-century American Sephardic Jews
21st-century American Sephardic Jews