The term (sometimes written or ) is a
New Latin phrase meaning "before the event".
In
economics
Economics () is a behavioral science that studies the Production (economics), production, distribution (economics), distribution, and Consumption (economics), consumption of goods and services.
Economics focuses on the behaviour and interac ...
, ''ex-ante'' or
notional demand refers to the desire for
goods and services
Goods are items that are usually (but not always) tangible, such as pens or Apple, apples. Services are activities provided by other people, such as teachers or barbers. Taken together, it is the Production (economics), production, distributio ...
that is not backed by the ability to pay for those goods and services. This is also termed as '
want
The idea of want can be examined from many perspectives. In secular societies want might be considered similar to the emotion desire, which can be studied scientifically through the disciplines of psychology or sociology. Alternatively want can ...
s of people'.
''Ex-ante'' is used most commonly in the
commercial world, where results of a particular action, or series of actions, are forecast (or intended). The opposite of ''ex-ante'' is ''
ex-post'' (actual) (or ''ex post''). Buying a
lottery ticket loses you money ''ex ante'' (in
expectation), but if you win, it was the right decision ''ex post''.
Examples
Finance
* In the financial world, the ''ex-ante return'' is the expected
return of an investment portfolio.
* In the
recruitment
Recruitment is #Process, the overall process of identifying, sourcing, screening, shortlisting, and interviewing candidates for Job (role), jobs (either permanent or temporary) within an organization. Recruitment also is the process involved in ...
industry, ''ex-ante'' is often used when forecasting resource requirements on large future projects.
The ''ex-ante'' (and ''ex-post'') reasoning in economic topics was introduced
mainly by Swedish economist
Gunnar Myrdal
Karl Gunnar Myrdal ( ; ; 6 December 1898 – 17 May 1987) was a Swedish economist and sociologist. In 1974, he received the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences along with Friedrich Hayek for "their pioneering work in the theory of money an ...
in his 1927–39 work on monetary theory, who
described it in this way:
Focusing attention on the relation between saving and investment, Myrdal argued
that one may without any contradiction consider that, as they are made by separate
agents, ''ex ante'' saving and investment decisions are not at parity in general while ''ex post'' saving and investment are recorded in bookkeeping balance exactly:
This analysis has become a standard tool in
macroeconomics
Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that deals with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. This includes regional, national, and global economies. Macroeconomists study topics such as output (econ ...
.
Prices are quantities that directly refer to a point of time: they are determined at a point of time, after an ''ex ante'' adjustment process has taken place. As for the macroeconomic quantities, Myrdal proposed to refer to the point of time at which they are calculated.
Gunnar Myrdal further explained that ''ex ante'' disparity and ''ex post'' balance are made consistent through price changes, which result from the behavior of economic agents, which is based on ''ex ante'' anticipations:
In context of ''ex-ante'', the Swedish economist Myrdal also dealt with the question of the unit of time, which he proposed to solve by reducing the actual time-dimension of macroeconomic variables such as income, saving and investment to a point of time:
Economist
G. L. S. Shackle claimed the importance of Gunnar Myrdal´s analysis by which saving and investment are allowed to adjust ''ex ante'' to each other. However, the reference to ''ex ante'' and ''ex post'' analysis has become so usual in modern macroeconomics that the position of
John Maynard Keynes
John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes ( ; 5 June 1883 – 21 April 1946), was an English economist and philosopher whose ideas fundamentally changed the theory and practice of macroeconomics and the economic policies of governments. Originall ...
to not include it in his work was
currently considered as an oddity, if not a mistake. As Shackle put it:
European Union law
In European Union law, ''ex ante'' regulation is a type of regulation that is designed to prevent companies engaging in harmful conduct. It is usually used in sectors where there is anti-competitive behavior. For example, such regulations are used in the telecommunications sector as well as in relation to data protection (the
General Data Protection Regulation is an ex-ante regulation)
See also
* ''
A priori
('from the earlier') and ('from the later') are Latin phrases used in philosophy to distinguish types of knowledge, Justification (epistemology), justification, or argument by their reliance on experience. knowledge is independent from any ...
''
*
List of Latin phrases
This is a list of Wikipedia articles of Latin phrases and their translation into English.
To view all phrases on a single, lengthy document, see: List of Latin phrases (full).
Lists of pages
* List of Latin phrases (A)
* List of Latin phrases ( ...
*
''Ex post facto'' law
References
External links
A Methodolocical Issue: ''Ex Ante'' and ''Ex Post'' Analysis Irrelevant to Keynes's Theory of EmploymentRules from Myrdal’s Monetary Equilibrium Adrián de León-Arias
Monetary Equilibrium -Claes Henrik Siver Stockholm University
Myrdal's Analysis of Monetary Equilibrium G.L.S. Shackle{{DEFAULTSORT:Ex-Ante
Latin words and phrases
Macroeconomics
Investment