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An event tree is an inductive analytical diagram in which an event is analyzed using
Boolean logic In mathematics and mathematical logic, Boolean algebra is a branch of algebra. It differs from elementary algebra in two ways. First, the values of the variable (mathematics), variables are the truth values ''true'' and ''false'', usually denot ...
to examine a chronological series of subsequent events or consequences. For example, event tree analysis is a major component of nuclear reactor safety engineering.Wang, John '' et al.'' (2000). An event tree displays sequence progression, sequence end states and sequence-specific dependencies across time.


Analytical tool

Event tree analysis is a logical evaluative process which works by tracing forward in time or forwards through a causal chain to model risk. It does not require the premise of a known hazard. An event tree is an inductive investigatory process. In contrast, the
Fault tree analysis Fault tree analysis (FTA) is a type of failure analysis in which an undesired state of a system is examined. This analysis method is mainly used in safety engineering and reliability engineering to understand how systems can fail, to identify the ...
(FTA) evaluates risk by tracing backwards in time or backwards through a cause chain. The analysis takes as a premise a given hazard. FTA is a deductive investigatory process.


Applications

An event tree may start from a specific initiator such as loss of critical supply, or component failure.Compare Northeast Blackout of 2003#Causes. Some industries use both fault trees and event trees. Software has been created for fault tree analysis and event tree analysis and is licensed for use at the world's nuclear power plants for Probabilistic Safety Assessment.


See also

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Event structure Event may refer to: Gatherings of people * Ceremony, an event of ritual significance, performed on a special occasion * Convention (meeting), a gathering of individuals engaged in some common interest * Event management, the organization of e ...
*
Root cause analysis In science and engineering, root cause analysis (RCA) is a method of problem solving used for identifying the root causes of faults or problems. It is widely used in IT operations, manufacturing, telecommunications, industrial process control, ...
*
Ishikawa diagram Ishikawa diagrams (also called fishbone diagrams, herringbone diagrams, cause-and-effect diagrams) are causal diagrams created by Kaoru Ishikawa that show the potential causes of a specific event. Common uses of the Ishikawa diagram are produc ...
* Why-Because analysis *
Failure mode and effects analysis Failure is the social concept of not meeting a desirable or intended Goal, objective, and is usually viewed as the opposite of success. The criteria for failure depends on context, and may be relative to a particular observer or belief system ...
(FMEA)


Notes


References

* National Research Council (US), Committee on Environmental Impacts Associated with Commercialization of Transgenic Plants, Board on Agriculture and Natural Resources, Division on Earth and Life Studies. (2002). ''Environmental Effects of Transgenic Plants: the Scope and Adequacy of Regulation.'' Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.
OCLC 231950695
* Wang, John X. and Marvin L. Roush. (2000). ''What Every Engineer Should Know About Risk Engineering and Management.'' London: CRC Press.
OCLC 5030452
Quality Reliability engineering Risk analysis methodologies Safety engineering {{engineering-stub