In
economics
Economics () is a behavioral science that studies the Production (economics), production, distribution (economics), distribution, and Consumption (economics), consumption of goods and services.
Economics focuses on the behaviour and interac ...
, coordination failure is a concept that can explain
recessions through the failure of firms and other price setters to coordinate. In an economic system with multiple
equilibria, coordination failure occurs when a group of firms could achieve a more desirable equilibrium but fail to because they do not coordinate their decision making. Coordination failure can result in a
self-fulfilling prophecy A self-fulfilling prophecy is a prediction that comes true at least in part as a result of a person's belief or expectation that the prediction would come true. In the phenomena, people tend to act the way they have been expected to in order to mak ...
.
[Romer, 305.] For example, if one firm decides a recession is imminent and fires its workers, other firms might lose demand from the lay-offs and respond by firing their own workers leading to a recession at a new equilibrium. Coordination failure can also be associated with
sunspot equilibria (where equilibria are the result of variables that do not have any real impact on fundamentals) and
animal spirits.
Coordination failure can lead to an
underemployment equilibrium.
Coordination failure also implies that
fiscal policy
In economics and political science, fiscal policy is the use of government revenue collection ( taxes or tax cuts) and expenditure to influence a country's economy. The use of government revenue expenditures to influence macroeconomic variab ...
can mitigate the effects of recessions, or even avoid them entirely, by moving the economy to a higher-output equilibrium.
In
game theory
Game theory is the study of mathematical models of strategic interactions. It has applications in many fields of social science, and is used extensively in economics, logic, systems science and computer science. Initially, game theory addressed ...
, coordination failure can also be analyzed by
focal point (game theory)
In game theory, a focal point (or Schelling point) is a solution that people tend to choose by default in the absence of communication in order to avoid Coordination game#Experimental results, coordination failure. The concept was introduced by the ...
. Focal points are solutions that players choose by default without the presence of communication. For example, players in a
coordination game
A coordination game is a type of simultaneous game found in game theory. It describes the situation where a player will earn a higher payoff when they select the same course of action as another player. The game is not one of pure conflict, which ...
are unable to cooperate to reach mutually optimal solution without observing other players' choices and hence will only choose their best choices according to available information on hand. This will lead to a solution where players in the game gain lower payoffs than in the case of successful cooperation, and result in a coordination failure issue.
Example

Models of coordination failure can have multiple equilibria. In this example a representative firm e
i makes its output decisions based on the average output of other firms (e
*). When the representative firm produces as much as the average firm (e
i=e
*), the economy is at an equilibrium. The curve represents possible output decisions for the individual firm, and it intersects with the 45 degree line at three points, meaning there are three equilibria. If the firm and society are better off with more output, point B is most desirable. However, the firm's production is determined by what the other firms decide. Ideally, they could all coordinate to produce at the level corresponding with the equilibrium at point B, but, if they fail to coordinate, firms might produce at a less efficient equilibrium.
In the workplace
Jordi Brandts and David J. Cooper study how to overcome coordination failure in a corporate organization, where this issue arises between manager and employees. In this study, they discuss that a manager can prevent the coordination failure issue by either increasing financial incentives for his employees or communicating with the employees. They also find that the communication tool, especially clear and direct communication, is more effective than the incentive tool if the manager wants to overcome coordination failure and hence improve the employees’ performance.
[Brandts and Cooper (2007), 1223-1268.]
See also
*
Diamond coconut model
*
Coordination game
A coordination game is a type of simultaneous game found in game theory. It describes the situation where a player will earn a higher payoff when they select the same course of action as another player. The game is not one of pure conflict, which ...
*
Strategic complementarity
*
Focal point (game theory)
In game theory, a focal point (or Schelling point) is a solution that people tend to choose by default in the absence of communication in order to avoid Coordination game#Experimental results, coordination failure. The concept was introduced by the ...
Notes
References
*
* Cooper, Russel and Andrew John. "Coordinating Coordination Failures." in ''New Keynesian Economics''. eds. Mankiw, N. Gregory and Romer, David. MIT Press. Cambridge, Massachusetts: 1991.
*
*
* Mankiw, N. Gregory and Romer, David eds. ''New Keynesian Economics''. MIT Press. Cambridge, Massachusetts: 1991.
{{DEFAULTSORT:Coordination Failure (Economics)
New Keynesian economics
Fiscal policy