California Gubernatorial Election, 2006

The 2006 California gubernatorial election occurred on November 7, 2006. The primary elections took place on June 6, 2006. The incumbent Republican Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, won re-election for his first and only full term. His main opponent was California State Treasurer Phil Angelides, the California Democratic Party nominee. Peter Camejo was the California Green Party nominee, Janice Jordan was the Peace and Freedom Party nominee, Art Olivier was the California Libertarian Party nominee, and Edward C. Noonan was the California American Independent Party nominee.

Under the state constitution, the governor serves a four-year term, with a maximum or minimum term limit of two four-year terms for life, regardless of whether or not they are consecutive or nonconsecutive. Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected in a 2003 recall election and served out the remainder of predecessor Gray Davis's term ending in 2007; Schwarzenegger was therefore eligible to serve until 2011. As of , this and the concurrent Insurance Commissioner election mark the most recent time Republicans have won a statewide election in California, the most recent time a Republican was officially elected California governor, and the last election in which a California governor and lieutenant governor of opposite political parties were elected.

Exit polls showed Schwarzenegger won the vote of White (63%–32%) and Asian Americans (62%–37%), while Angelides won among African Americans (70%–27%) and Latinos (56%–39%).

Primary election

Bar graph of statewide results

Results by county

The period for candidate nominations closed on March 24, 2006.

Democratic

Candidates

* Phil Angelides – California State Treasurer; former State Democratic Chair and developer
* Barbara Becnel – Executive Director of Neighborhood House of North Richmond; founder of Save Stanley Tookie Williams campaign
* Joe Brouilette – high school teacher
* Edie Bukewihge – writer and publisher
* Jerald Gerst – physician
* Vibert Greene – engineer
* Frank Macaluso – medical doctor
* Michael Strimling – attorney
* Steve Westly – California State Controller; former Internet executive

The two front-runners for the Democratic nomination were Angelides and California State Controller Steve Westly. A pre-election poll had Westly leading Angelides by six percentage points. The Field Poll conducted on April 17, 2006, showed that both Democratic candidates had low recognition factors amongst the state's electorate, with only 45% having any opinion on Angelides and 40% for Westly. Of registered Democrats surveyed, 59% said they didn't know enough about Angelides to have any opinion about him, with 58% saying the same for Westly. The ''Los Angeles Times'' reported that the race for the Democratic nomination was a virtual tie, with Angelides leading Westly by three percentage points (37%–34%), within the 3% margin of error. Unusually, 28% of Democratic voters were undecided, and both candidates tried to earn the undecided vote.

Angelides reported a recent increase in support for his campaign and gained union support as well as support from the "core" liberal constituency. The California Democratic Party endorsed him prior to the primary, despite most polls showing that Westly would fare much better against Schwarzenegger in the general election. However, many registered Democrats believed that Westly had a greater chance of winning against incumbent governor Schwarzenegger and felt that he had a slightly "more positive" image. In the end, Angelides won 47.9% of the vote to Westly's 43.4%. The turnout for the primary, was a record low 33.6%, far below the 38% predicted by the Secretary of State, with the turnout of valid ballots cast on election day at 28%.

Polling

Results

Republican

Candidates

* Jeffrey Burns – general contractor
* Bill Chambers – railroad switchman
* Robert C. Newman II – psychologist and farmer
* Arnold Schwarzenegger – incumbent Governor of California

Republican Schwarzenegger faced token opposition and won overwhelmingly in the primary held on June 6, 2006.

Results

Minor parties

Green

American Independent

Libertarian

Peace and Freedom

General election

Candidates

* Phil Angelides ( Democratic) – California State Treasurer, Ex-State Democratic Chair & Developer
* Peter Camejo (Green) – 2002/2003 Green Party gubernatorial candidate, 2004 independent vice presidential candidate (Ralph Nader's running mate)
* Janice Jordan ( Peace and Freedom) – 2004 Peace and Freedom Party vice presidential candidate ( Leonard Peltier's running mate)
* Edward C. Noonan ( American Independent) – computer shop owner
* Art Olivier (Libertarian) – former mayor of Bellflower, 2000 Libertarian Party vice presidential candidate ( Harry Browne's running mate)
* Arnold Schwarzenegger ( Republican) – incumbent Governor of California, actor, businessman

Campaign

Schwarzenegger's decision to call the 2005 special election, as well as his propositions dealing with teachers' and nurses' unions and other political missteps, brought his approval rating down to 39% by April 2006, though he ended up solidly defeating his opponents. During his first two years, he came under fire from some conservatives for supporting several taxes on Californians, and from some liberals for refusing to sign a bill allowing gay marriage, and his support for several controversial propositions in 2005. Later, Schwarzenegger's popularity with voters rebounded and he won reelection by a wide margin.

Predictions

Polling

Schwarzenegger v Westly

Results

By county

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
* Mendocino (largest municipality: Ukiah)
* Santa Clara (largest municipality: San Jose)
* Sonoma (largest municipality: Santa Rosa)

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
* Los Angeles (largest municipality: Los Angeles)

By congressional district

Schwarzenegger won 37 of 53 congressional districts, including 13 held by Democrats.

By city

Analysis

Results showed Schwarzenegger won 52 counties while Angelides won six; Schwarzenegger won an absolute majority in 48 counties and a plurality in four others, while Angelides won a majority in two counties and a plurality in four more. Schwarzenegger won large majorities in California's rural counties, the populous Southern California counties of San Diego, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura, as well as populous Sacramento, Fresno, and Kern counties in the Central Valley. The results were closely contested in Los Angeles County and in Bay Area suburban counties. Angelides won substantially only in Alameda and San Francisco counties.

Contra Costa, Humboldt, Mendocino, Monterey, Napa, Santa Clara, Solano, Sonoma, and Yolo counties all voted for Schwarzenegger after voting No on the recall in 2003.

See also

* United States gubernatorial elections, 2006
* State of California
* Governors of California
* California Victory 2006, Republican field campaign

Notes

References

External links

Democratic candidates

Phil Angelides

Barbara Becnel

Edie Bukewihge

Republican candidates

Bill Chambers

Robert C. Newman II

Third-party and Independent candidates

Peter Camejo

George Fellows

Janice Jordan

Edward Noonan

Art Olivier

Other sites with relevant information

VoteCircle.com Non-partisan resources & vote sharing network for Californians


* ttps://web.archive.org/web/20061019230612/http://cbs5.com/seenon/local_story_282234406.html Video of the debate
Election Volunteer – Complete List of 2006 Gubernatorial candidates

Official Homepage of the Governor of California

{{Arnold Schwarzenegger

Gubernatorial
2006
California
Arnold Schwarzenegger