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Extended Negative Binomial Distribution
In probability and statistics the extended negative binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution extending the negative binomial distribution. It is a truncated version of the negative binomial distribution for which estimation methods have been studied.Shah S.M. (1971) "The displaced negative binomial distribution", ''Bulletin of the Calcutta Statistical Association'', 20, 143–152 In the context of actuarial science, the distribution appeared in its general form in a paper by K. Hess, A. Liewald and K.D. Schmidt when they characterized all distributions for which the extended Panjer recursion works. For the case , the distribution was already discussed by Willmot and put into a parametrized family with the logarithmic distribution and the negative binomial distribution by H.U. Gerber. Probability mass function For a natural number and real parameters , with and , the probability mass function of the ExtNegBin(, , ) distribution is given by : ...
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Probability
Probability is a branch of mathematics and statistics concerning events and numerical descriptions of how likely they are to occur. The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1; the larger the probability, the more likely an event is to occur."Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, Volume 1: Distribution Theory", Alan Stuart and Keith Ord, 6th ed., (2009), .William Feller, ''An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications'', vol. 1, 3rd ed., (1968), Wiley, . This number is often expressed as a percentage (%), ranging from 0% to 100%. A simple example is the tossing of a fair (unbiased) coin. Since the coin is fair, the two outcomes ("heads" and "tails") are both equally probable; the probability of "heads" equals the probability of "tails"; and since no other outcomes are possible, the probability of either "heads" or "tails" is 1/2 (which could also be written as 0.5 or 50%). These concepts have been given an axiomatic mathematical formaliza ...
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Statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model to be studied. Populations can be diverse groups of people or objects such as "all people living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal". Statistics deals with every aspect of data, including the planning of data collection in terms of the design of statistical survey, surveys and experimental design, experiments. When census data (comprising every member of the target population) cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by developing specific experiment designs and survey sample (statistics), samples. Representative sampling assures that inferences and conclusions can reasonably extend from the sample ...
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Discrete Probability Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, a probability distribution is a function that gives the probabilities of occurrence of possible events for an experiment. It is a mathematical description of a random phenomenon in terms of its sample space and the probabilities of events (subsets of the sample space). For instance, if is used to denote the outcome of a coin toss ("the experiment"), then the probability distribution of would take the value 0.5 (1 in 2 or 1/2) for , and 0.5 for (assuming that the coin is fair). More commonly, probability distributions are used to compare the relative occurrence of many different random values. Probability distributions can be defined in different ways and for discrete or for continuous variables. Distributions with special properties or for especially important applications are given specific names. Introduction A probability distribution is a mathematical description of the probabilities of events, subsets of the sample space. The ...
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Negative Binomial Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the negative binomial distribution, also called a Pascal distribution, is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of failures in a sequence of independent and identically distributed Bernoulli trials before a specified/constant/fixed number of successes r occur. For example, we can define rolling a 6 on some dice as a success, and rolling any other number as a failure, and ask how many failure rolls will occur before we see the third success (r=3). In such a case, the probability distribution of the number of failures that appear will be a negative binomial distribution. An alternative formulation is to model the number of total trials (instead of the number of failures). In fact, for a specified (non-random) number of successes , the number of failures is random because the number of total trials is random. For example, we could use the negative binomial distribution to model the number of days (random) a certain machin ...
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Truncated Distribution
In statistics, a truncated distribution is a conditional distribution that results from restricting the domain of some other probability distribution. Truncated distributions arise in practical statistics in cases where the ability to record, or even to know about, occurrences is limited to values which lie above or below a given threshold or within a specified range. For example, if the dates of birth of children in a school are examined, these would typically be subject to truncation relative to those of all children in the area given that the school accepts only children in a given age range on a specific date. There would be no information about how many children in the locality had dates of birth before or after the school's cutoff dates if only a direct approach to the school were used to obtain information. Where sampling is such as to retain knowledge of items that fall outside the required range, without recording the actual values, this is known as censoring, as opposed ...
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Adrienne W
Adrienne is the French feminine form of the male name Adrien. Its meaning is literally "from the city of Hadria." * Adrienne Ames (1907–1947), American actress * Adrienne Armstrong (born 1969), wife of Green Day frontman Billie Joe Armstrong * Adrienne Arsenault (born 1967), Canadian journalist * Adrienne Bailon (born 1983), member of girl group The Cheetah Girls and host of the Real Talk Show * Adrienne Barbeau (born 1945), American actress * Adrienne Beames (1942–2018), Australian long-distance runner * Adrienne Bolland (1896–1975), French test pilot and first woman to fly over the Andes * Adrienne Clarke (born 1938), Australian botanist and former Lieutenant Governor of Victoria * Adrienne Clarkson (born 1939), Canadian journalist and former Governor General of Canada * Adrienne Corri (1930–2016), Scottish actress * Adrienne Fazan (1906–1986), American Academy Award-winning film editor * Adrienne Frantz (born 1978), American actress and singer-songwriter * Adrien ...
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Actuarial Science
Actuarial science is the discipline that applies mathematics, mathematical and statistics, statistical methods to Risk assessment, assess risk in insurance, pension, finance, investment and other industries and professions. Actuary, Actuaries are professionals trained in this discipline. In many countries, actuaries must demonstrate their competence by passing a series of rigorous professional examinations focused in fields such as probability and predictive analysis. Actuarial science includes a number of interrelated subjects, including mathematics, probability theory, statistics, finance, economics, financial accounting and computer science. Historically, actuarial science used deterministic models in the construction of tables and premiums. The science has gone through revolutionary changes since the 1980s due to the proliferation of high speed computers and the union of stochastic actuarial models with modern financial theory. Many universities have undergraduate and gradu ...
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Panjer Recursion
The Panjer recursion is an algorithm to compute the probability distribution approximation of a compound random variable S = \sum_^N X_i\, where both N\, and X_i\, are random variables and of special types. In more general cases the distribution of ''S'' is a compound distribution. The recursion for the special cases considered was introduced in a paper by Harry Panjer ( Distinguished Emeritus Professor, University of Waterloo). It is heavily used in actuarial science (see also systemic risk). Preliminaries We are interested in the compound random variable S = \sum_^N X_i\, where N\, and X_i\, fulfill the following preconditions. Claim size distribution We assume the X_i\, to be i.i.d. and independent of N\,. Furthermore the X_i\, have to be distributed on a lattice h \mathbb_0\, with latticewidth h>0\,. : f_k = P _i = hk\, In actuarial practice, X_i\, is obtained by discretisation of the claim density function (upper, lower...). Claim number distribution The number of ...
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Logarithmic Distribution
In probability and statistics, the logarithmic distribution (also known as the logarithmic series distribution or the log-series distribution) is a discrete probability distribution derived from the Maclaurin series expansion : -\ln(1-p) = p + \frac + \frac + \cdots. From this we obtain the identity :\sum_^ \frac \; \frac = 1. This leads directly to the probability mass function of a Log(''p'')-distributed random variable: : f(k) = \frac \; \frac for ''k'' ≥ 1, and where 0 < ''p'' < 1. Because of the identity above, the distribution is properly normalized. The
cumulative distribution function In probability theory and statistics, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a real-valued random variable X, or just distribution function of X, evalua ...
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Probability Mass Function
In probability and statistics, a probability mass function (sometimes called ''probability function'' or ''frequency function'') is a function that gives the probability that a discrete random variable is exactly equal to some value. Sometimes it is also known as the discrete probability density function. The probability mass function is often the primary means of defining a discrete probability distribution, and such functions exist for either scalar or multivariate random variables whose domain is discrete. A probability mass function differs from a continuous probability density function (PDF) in that the latter is associated with continuous rather than discrete random variables. A continuous PDF must be integrated over an interval to yield a probability. The value of the random variable having the largest probability mass is called the mode. Formal definition Probability mass function is the probability distribution of a discrete random variable, and provides the p ...
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Binomial Coefficient
In mathematics, the binomial coefficients are the positive integers that occur as coefficients in the binomial theorem. Commonly, a binomial coefficient is indexed by a pair of integers and is written \tbinom. It is the coefficient of the term in the polynomial expansion of the binomial power ; this coefficient can be computed by the multiplicative formula : \binom nk = \frac, which using factorial notation can be compactly expressed as : \binom = \frac. For example, the fourth power of is : \begin (1 + x)^4 &= \tbinom x^0 + \tbinom x^1 + \tbinom x^2 + \tbinom x^3 + \tbinom x^4 \\ &= 1 + 4x + 6 x^2 + 4x^3 + x^4, \end and the binomial coefficient \tbinom =\tfrac = \tfrac = 6 is the coefficient of the term. Arranging the numbers \tbinom, \tbinom, \ldots, \tbinom in successive rows for gives a triangular array called Pascal's triangle, satisfying the recurrence relation : \binom = \binom + \binom . The binomial coefficients occur in many areas of mathematics, and espe ...
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Gamma Function
In mathematics, the gamma function (represented by Γ, capital Greek alphabet, Greek letter gamma) is the most common extension of the factorial function to complex numbers. Derived by Daniel Bernoulli, the gamma function \Gamma(z) is defined for all complex numbers z except non-positive integers, and for every positive integer z=n, \Gamma(n) = (n-1)!\,.The gamma function can be defined via a convergent improper integral for complex numbers with positive real part: \Gamma(z) = \int_0^\infty t^ e^\textt, \ \qquad \Re(z) > 0\,.The gamma function then is defined in the complex plane as the analytic continuation of this integral function: it is a meromorphic function which is holomorphic function, holomorphic except at zero and the negative integers, where it has simple Zeros and poles, poles. The gamma function has no zeros, so the reciprocal gamma function is an entire function. In fact, the gamma function corresponds to the Mellin transform of the negative exponential functi ...
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