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Log-likelihood Ratio
In statistics, the likelihood-ratio test is a hypothesis test that involves comparing the goodness of fit of two competing statistical models, typically one found by maximization over the entire parameter space and another found after imposing some constraint, based on the ratio of their likelihoods. If the more constrained model (i.e., the null hypothesis) is supported by the observed data, the two likelihoods should not differ by more than sampling error. Thus the likelihood-ratio test tests whether this ratio is significantly different from one, or equivalently whether its natural logarithm is significantly different from zero. The likelihood-ratio test, also known as Wilks test, is the oldest of the three classical approaches to hypothesis testing, together with the Lagrange multiplier test and the Wald test. In fact, the latter two can be conceptualized as approximations to the likelihood-ratio test, and are asymptotically equivalent. In the case of comparing two models ...
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Statistics
Statistics (from German language, German: ', "description of a State (polity), state, a country") is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical model to be studied. Populations can be diverse groups of people or objects such as "all people living in a country" or "every atom composing a crystal". Statistics deals with every aspect of data, including the planning of data collection in terms of the design of statistical survey, surveys and experimental design, experiments. When census data (comprising every member of the target population) cannot be collected, statisticians collect data by developing specific experiment designs and survey sample (statistics), samples. Representative sampling assures that inferences and conclusions can reasonably extend from the sample ...
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Neyman–Pearson Lemma
In statistics, the Neyman–Pearson lemma describes the existence and uniqueness of the likelihood ratio as a uniformly most powerful test in certain contexts. It was introduced by Jerzy Neyman and Egon Pearson in a paper in 1933. The Neyman–Pearson lemma is part of the Neyman–Pearson theory of statistical testing, which introduced concepts such as errors of the second kind, power function, and inductive behavior.The Fisher, Neyman–Pearson Theories of Testing Hypotheses: One Theory or Two?: Journal of the American Statistical Association: Vol 88, No 424The Fisher, Neyman–Pearson Theories of Testing Hypotheses: One Theory or Two?: Journal of the American Statistical Association: Vol 88, No 424/ref>Wald: Chapter II: The Neyman–Pearson Theory of Testing a Statistical HypothesisWald: Chapter II: The Neyman–Pearson Theory of Testing a Statistical Hypothesis/ref>The Empire of ChanceThe Empire of Chance/ref> The previous Fisherian theory of significance testing postulated only ...
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Statistical Model
A statistical model is a mathematical model that embodies a set of statistical assumptions concerning the generation of Sample (statistics), sample data (and similar data from a larger Statistical population, population). A statistical model represents, often in considerably idealized form, the Data generating process, data-generating process. When referring specifically to probability, probabilities, the corresponding term is probabilistic model. All Statistical hypothesis testing, statistical hypothesis tests and all Estimator, statistical estimators are derived via statistical models. More generally, statistical models are part of the foundation of statistical inference. A statistical model is usually specified as a mathematical relationship between one or more random variables and other non-random variables. As such, a statistical model is "a formal representation of a theory" (Herman J. Adèr, Herman Adèr quoting Kenneth A. Bollen, Kenneth Bollen). Introduction Informally, a ...
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Sampling Distribution
In statistics, a sampling distribution or finite-sample distribution is the probability distribution of a given random-sample-based statistic. For an arbitrarily large number of samples where each sample, involving multiple observations (data points), is separately used to compute one value of a statistic (for example, the sample mean or sample variance) per sample, the sampling distribution is the probability distribution of the values that the statistic takes on. In many contexts, only one sample (i.e., a set of observations) is observed, but the sampling distribution can be found theoretically. Sampling distributions are important in statistics because they provide a major simplification en route to statistical inference. More specifically, they allow analytical considerations to be based on the probability distribution of a statistic, rather than on the joint probability distribution of all the individual sample values. Introduction The sampling distribution of a statistic i ...
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Chi-squared Distribution
In probability theory and statistics, the \chi^2-distribution with k Degrees of freedom (statistics), degrees of freedom is the distribution of a sum of the squares of k Independence (probability theory), independent standard normal random variables. The chi-squared distribution \chi^2_k is a special case of the gamma distribution and the univariate Wishart distribution. Specifically if X \sim \chi^2_k then X \sim \text(\alpha=\frac, \theta=2) (where \alpha is the shape parameter and \theta the scale parameter of the gamma distribution) and X \sim \text_1(1,k) . The scaled chi-squared distribution s^2 \chi^2_k is a reparametrization of the gamma distribution and the univariate Wishart distribution. Specifically if X \sim s^2 \chi^2_k then X \sim \text(\alpha=\frac, \theta=2 s^2) and X \sim \text_1(s^2,k) . The chi-squared distribution is one of the most widely used probability distributions in inferential statistics, notably in hypothesis testing and in constru ...
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Arg Max
In mathematics, the arguments of the maxima (abbreviated arg max or argmax) and arguments of the minima (abbreviated arg min or argmin) are the input points at which a Function (mathematics), function output value is Maxima and minima, maximized and minimized, respectively.For clarity, we refer to the input (''x'') as ''points'' and the output (''y'') as ''values;'' compare critical point (mathematics), critical point and critical value (critical point), critical value. While the argument of a function, arguments are defined over the domain of a function, the output is part of its codomain. Definition Given an arbitrary set (mathematics), set a totally ordered set and a function, the \operatorname over some subset S of X is defined by :\operatorname_S f := \underset\, f(x) := \. If S = X or S is clear from the context, then S is often left out, as in \underset\, f(x) := \. In other words, \operatorname is the Set (mathematics), set of points x for which f(x) attains the f ...
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Log-likelihood
A likelihood function (often simply called the likelihood) measures how well a statistical model explains observed data by calculating the probability of seeing that data under different parameter values of the model. It is constructed from the joint probability distribution of the random variable that (presumably) generated the observations. When evaluated on the actual data points, it becomes a function solely of the model parameters. In maximum likelihood estimation, the argument that maximizes the likelihood function serves as a point estimate for the unknown parameter, while the Fisher information (often approximated by the likelihood's Hessian matrix at the maximum) gives an indication of the estimate's precision. In contrast, in Bayesian statistics, the estimate of interest is the ''converse'' of the likelihood, the so-called posterior probability of the parameter given the observed data, which is calculated via Bayes' rule. Definition The likelihood function, paramet ...
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Bounded Set
In mathematical analysis and related areas of mathematics, a set is called bounded if all of its points are within a certain distance of each other. Conversely, a set which is not bounded is called unbounded. The word "bounded" makes no sense in a general topological space without a corresponding metric. '' Boundary'' is a distinct concept; for example, a circle (not to be confused with a disk) in isolation is a boundaryless bounded set, while the half plane is unbounded yet has a boundary. A bounded set is not necessarily a closed set and vice versa. For example, a subset of a 2-dimensional real space constrained by two parabolic curves and defined in a Cartesian coordinate system is closed by the curves but not bounded (so unbounded). Definition in the real numbers A set of real numbers is called ''bounded from above'' if there exists some real number (not necessarily in ) such that for all in . The number is called an upper bound of . The terms ''bounded from b ...
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Supremum
In mathematics, the infimum (abbreviated inf; : infima) of a subset S of a partially ordered set P is the greatest element in P that is less than or equal to each element of S, if such an element exists. If the infimum of S exists, it is unique, and if ''b'' is a lower bound of S, then ''b'' is less than or equal to the infimum of S. Consequently, the term ''greatest lower bound'' (abbreviated as ) is also commonly used. The supremum (abbreviated sup; : suprema) of a subset S of a partially ordered set P is the least element in P that is greater than or equal to each element of S, if such an element exists. If the supremum of S exists, it is unique, and if ''b'' is an upper bound of S, then the supremum of S is less than or equal to ''b''. Consequently, the supremum is also referred to as the ''least upper bound'' (or ). The infimum is, in a precise sense, dual to the concept of a supremum. Infima and suprema of real numbers are common special cases that are important in analy ...
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Complement (set Theory)
In set theory, the complement of a Set (mathematics), set , often denoted by A^c (or ), is the set of Element (mathematics), elements not in . When all elements in the Universe (set theory), universe, i.e. all elements under consideration, are considered to be Element (mathematics), members of a given set , the absolute complement of is the set of elements in that are not in . The relative complement of with respect to a set , also termed the set difference of and , written B \setminus A, is the set of elements in that are not in . Absolute complement Definition If is a set, then the absolute complement of (or simply the complement of ) is the set of elements not in (within a larger set that is implicitly defined). In other words, let be a set that contains all the elements under study; if there is no need to mention , either because it has been previously specified, or it is obvious and unique, then the absolute complement of is the relative complement of in : ...
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Alternative Hypothesis
In statistical hypothesis testing, the alternative hypothesis is one of the proposed propositions in the hypothesis test. In general the goal of hypothesis test is to demonstrate that in the given condition, there is sufficient evidence supporting the credibility of alternative hypothesis instead of the exclusive proposition in the test (null hypothesis). It is usually consistent with the research hypothesis because it is constructed from literature review, previous studies, etc. However, the research hypothesis is sometimes consistent with the null hypothesis. In statistics, alternative hypothesis is often denoted as Ha or H1. Hypotheses are formulated to compare in a statistical hypothesis test. In the domain of inferential statistics, two rival hypotheses can be compared by explanatory power and predictive power. Basic definition The ''alternative hypothesis'' and ''null hypothesis'' are types of conjectures used in statistical tests, which are formal methods of reaching ...
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