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Psephology
Psephology (; from Greek ) is the study of elections and voting. Psephology attempts to both forecast and explain election results. The term is more common in Britain and in those English-speaking communities that rely heavily on the British standard of the language. Psephology uses historical precinct voting data, public opinion polls, campaign finance information and similar statistical data. The term was coined in 1948 by W. F. R. Hardie (1902–1990) in the United Kingdom after R. B. McCallum, a friend of Hardie's, requested a word to describe the study of elections. Its first documented usage in writing appeared in 1952."Chapter 15: British Psephology 1945–2001: Reflections on the Nuffield Election Histories" David ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
David Butler (academic)
Sir David Edgeworth Butler (17 October 1924 – 8 November 2022) was an English political scientist who specialised in psephology, the study of elections. He has been described as "the father of modern election science". Early life Born in London, Butler was the son of Harold Edgeworth Butler, Professor of Latin at University College, London by his wife, Margaret, ''née'' Pollard. Through his mother, he was the grandson of the historian A. F. Pollard. The politician R. A. Butler was a second cousin. Butler was educated at St Paul's School and New College, Oxford. His time at Oxford was interrupted by the Second World War, during which he saw service as a tank commander in the Staffordshire Yeomanry and crossed the Rhine during the latter stages of the war. After the war, he resumed his studies at Oxford, then proceeded to Princeton University as a Jane Eliza Procter Visiting Fellow from 1947 to 1948. He returned to Oxford as a researcher and academic at Nuffield College, ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Political Forecasting
Political forecasting aims at forecasting the outcomes of political events. Political events can be a number of events such as diplomatic decisions, actions by political leaders and other areas relating to politicians and political institutions. The area of political forecasting concerning elections is highly popular, especially amongst mass market audiences. Political forecasting methodology makes frequent use of mathematics, statistics and data science. Political forecasting as it pertains to elections is related to psephology. History People have long been interested in predicting election outcomes. Quotes of betting odds on papal succession appear as early as 1503, when such wagering was already considered "an old practice." Political betting also has a long history in Great Britain. As one prominent example, Charles James Fox, the late-eighteenth-century Whig statesman, was known as an inveterate gambler. His biographer, George Otto Trevelyan, noted that"(f)or ten years, ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Antony Green
Antony John Green (born 2 March 1960) is an Australian Psephology, psephologist, Data science, data scientist, journalist, and commentator. He was the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's chief election analyst until his retirement from the role after the 2025 Australian election, federal election in May 2025. He stated that he would remain active in an off-air capacity, and continue to work on the ABC's computer and data systems for several more years. Early years and education Anthony Green was born in 1960 in Warrington, Lancashire, in northern England, to teen parents Ann and John Green. In 1964 the family Post-war immigration to Australia, migrated to Australia as Ten Pound Poms, staying first in a migrant hostel in Dundas, New South Wales. Green grew up near Parramatta in Sydney, attended Oatlands Primary School in Oatlands, New South Wales and James Ruse Agricultural High School in Carlingford, New South Wales, Carlingford (Sydney), graduating in 1977. Green gradu ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Election
An election is a formal group decision-making process whereby a population chooses an individual or multiple individuals to hold Public administration, public office. Elections have been the usual mechanism by which modern representative democracy has operated since the 17th century. Elections may fill offices in the legislature, sometimes in the executive (government), executive and judiciary, and for local government, regional and local government. This process is also used in many other private and business organizations, from clubs to voluntary association and corporations. The global use of elections as a tool for selecting representatives in modern representative democracies is in contrast with the practice in the democratic archetype, ancient History of Athens , Athens, where the elections were considered an oligarchy , oligarchic institution and most political offices were filled using sortition, also known as allotment, by which officeholders were chosen by lot. ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Curtis Gans
Curtis Bernard Gans (June 17, 1937 – March 15, 2015) was an American activist, writer, and expert on American voting patterns. With Allard K. Lowenstein, Gans in 1967 started and headed the Dump Johnson movement. Based on opposition to the Vietnam War, the movement, which was considered quixotic at first, grew strong and was instrumental in setting in motion events which eventually persuaded president Lyndon Johnson that continuing his campaign to be re-nominated for the presidency by his party would be difficult and divisive and uncertain of success. Johnson withdrew his candidacy, an unusual event in American politics for a sitting president who had desired re-election. Gans studied turnout and voting patterns for more than three decades. He co-founded and was director of the Center for the Study of the American Electorate, formerly housed at American University in Washington, D. C. Gans was commonly sought out by major American publications as an expert on voting patter ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Public Opinion Polls
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll, is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A person who conducts polls is referred to as a pollster. History The first known example of an opinion poll was a tally of voter preferences reported by the ''Raleigh Star and North Carolina State Gazette'' and the ''Wilmington American Watchman and Delaware Advertiser'' prior to the 1824 presidential election, showing Andrew Jackson leading John Quincy Adams by 335 votes to 169 in the contest for the United States presidency. Since Jackson won the popular vote in that state and the national popular vote, such straw votes gradually became more popular, but they remained local, usually citywide phenomena. In 1916, ''The Literary Digest'' embarked on ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Voting
Voting is the process of choosing officials or policies by casting a ballot, a document used by people to formally express their preferences. Republics and representative democracies are governments where the population chooses representatives by voting. The procedure for identifying the winners based on votes varies depending on both the country and the political office. Political scientists call these procedures electoral systems, while mathematicians and economists call them social choice rules. The study of these rules and what makes them good or bad is the subject of a branch of welfare economics known as social choice theory. In smaller organizations, voting can occur in many different ways: formally via ballot to elect others for example within a workplace, to elect members of political associations, or to choose roles for others; or informally with a spoken agreement or a gesture like a raised hand. In larger organizations, like countries, voting is generally confi ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Opinion Poll
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll, is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A person who conducts polls is referred to as a pollster. History The first known example of an opinion poll was a tally of voter preferences reported by the ''Raleigh Star and North Carolina State Gazette'' and the ''Wilmington American Watchman and Delaware Advertiser'' prior to the 1824 presidential election, showing Andrew Jackson leading John Quincy Adams by 335 votes to 169 in the contest for the United States presidency. Since Jackson won the popular vote in that state and the national popular vote, such straw votes gradually became more popular, but they remained local, usually citywide phenomena. In 1916, '' The Literary Digest'' embarked ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Allan Lichtman
Allan Jay Lichtman () is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973. He is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The Keys to the White House is a system that uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the next election. The system and Lichtman's predictions based on it have received extensive media coverage. He has accurately predicted the outcomes of many presidential elections from 1984 through 2020 using his interpretations of the system. Lichtman ran for the U.S. Senate seat in Maryland during the year of 2006; he finished sixth in the Democratic primary. In 2017, Lichtman authored the book '' The Case for Impeachment'', which laid out multiple arguments for the first impeachment of Donald Trump. Early life and education Lichtman was born in the Brownsville neighborhood of Brooklyn in New ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Axis My India
Axis My India is an Indian polling agency headquartered in Mumbai. In the 2019 Indian general election, Axis My India was noted by ''The Pioneer'' to have "successfully predicted not only the winning party but also the range of their mandate." It could not forecast the BJP forming a majority government on its own in the 2014 Indian general election. It publishes Exit polls but does not publishes Opinion polls that are done before the election. It stopped publishing Opinion polls since 2017. Election predictions 2025 Delhi Legislative Assembly election 2024 Maharashtra Legislative Assembly election 2022 Goa Legislative Assembly election 2022 Manipur Legislative Assembly election 2022 Punjab Legislative Assembly election 2022 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election 2022 Uttarakhand Legislative Assembly election Clients * India Today ''India Today'' is a weekly Indian English-language news magazine published by Living Media, Living Media India Limited ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Pradeep Gupta
Pradeep is a Diya lamp, used in Puja (religious ceremonies) in Hinduism, Jainism, & Buddhism. It is related to the name Pradip. Notable people with the name include: * Pradeep (Kannada actor) * Pradeep (Malayalam actor) * Kavi Pradeep * Vidya Pradeep * Pradeep Kumar * Pradeep Kumar (musician) * G. S. Pradeep * Pradeep Machiraju * Pradeep Rawat (actor) * Pradeep Sharma * Pradeep Pandey * Pradeep Shakthi * Pradeep Sarkar * Pradeep Sindhu * Pradeep E. Ragav * Pradeep Kumar Sinha * Pradeep Khosla * Pradeep John * Deepu Pradeep * Pradeep Mathur * Pappachen Pradeep * Badekkila Pradeep * Deepu Pradeep * Pradeep Chandran Nair * Pradeep (Malayalam actor) * Pradeep Kumar (politician) * Pradeep Yadav (Nepalese politician) * Pradeep Yadav (Indian politician) * Pradeep Yadav (cricketer) * Prithvirajsing Roopun (Pradeep Roopun) * Pradeep Tamta * Pradeep Singh Sihag * Pradeep Shettar * Pradeep Jaiswal Pradeep Jaiswal is Shiv Sena politician from Aurangabad, Maharashtra. He i ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
Thomas Ferguson (academic)
Thomas Ferguson (born 1949) is an American political scientist and author who writes on politics and economics Economics () is a behavioral science that studies the Production (economics), production, distribution (economics), distribution, and Consumption (economics), consumption of goods and services. Economics focuses on the behaviour and interac ..., often within a historical perspective. He is best known for his Investment Theory of Party Competition, described in detail in his 1995 book ''Golden Rule: The Investment Theory of Party Competition and the Logic of Money-driven Political Systems''. Biography Ferguson obtained his Ph.D. from Princeton University before teaching at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the University of Texas, Austin. He later moved to the University of Massachusetts Boston where he is now Emeritus Professor of Political Science. Ferguson is a member of the advisory board for the Institute for New Economic Thinking where he ... [...More Info...] [...Related Items...] OR: [Wikipedia] [Google] [Baidu] |
