War Plan Orange
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War Plan Orange (commonly known as Plan Orange or just Orange) is a series of
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Joint Army and Navy Board war plans for dealing with a possible war with
Japan Japan ( ja, 日本, or , and formally , ''Nihonkoku'') is an island country in East Asia. It is situated in the northwest Pacific Ocean, and is bordered on the west by the Sea of Japan, while extending from the Sea of Okhotsk in the n ...
during the years between the First and Second World Wars. It failed to foresee the significance of the technological changes to
naval warfare Naval warfare is combat in and on the sea, the ocean, or any other battlespace involving a major body of water such as a large lake or wide river. Mankind has fought battles on the sea for more than 3,000 years. Even in the interior of large la ...
, including the submarine, air support and aircraft carriers, and although the
Battle of Midway The Battle of Midway was a major naval battle in the Pacific Theater of World War II that took place on 4–7 June 1942, six months after Japan's attack on Pearl Harbor and one month after the Battle of the Coral Sea. The U.S. Navy under ...
was important, and the US Navy did " island-hop" to regain lost territory, there was no culminating "showdown" battle as anticipated by Plan Orange.


Development

Informal studies as early as 1906 covered a number of possibilities, from basing at
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or
Singapore Singapore (), officially the Republic of Singapore, is a sovereign island country and city-state in maritime Southeast Asia. It lies about one degree of latitude () north of the equator, off the southern tip of the Malay Peninsula, bor ...
(an idea revived by the British before World War II) to "a quick trans-Atlantic dash" to the Pacific.Holwitt, p.131. The plan eventually adopted was conceived by Rear Admiral Raymond P. Rodgers in 1911. * 19 Dec 1919: Strategy of the Pacific (JB 325, Serial 28) * 7 Jul 1923: Estimate of the Situation, Orange (JB 325, Serial 207) * 15 Aug 1924: Joint Basic War Plan - Orange (JB 325, Serial 228) * 10 Jan 1929: Revision of Joint Army and Navy Basic War Plan Orange (JB 325, Serial 280) * 20 Jun 1934: Inadequacy of Present Military and Naval Forces Philippine Area to Carry Out Assigned Missions in Event of an ORANGE War (JB 325, Serial 533) * 8 May 1935: Revision of Joint Army and Navy Basic War Plan - Orange (JB 325, Serial 546) * 19 May 1935: Revision of Joint Army and Navy Basic War Plan - Orange (JB 325, Serial 570) * 14 Oct 1936: Revision of Joint Orange Estimate of the Situation (JB 325, Serial 589) * 9 Dec 1936: Changes in Joint Basic War Plan Orange (JB 325, Serial 594) * 19 Feb 1938: Joint Army and Navy Basic War Plan Orange (1938) (JB 325, Serials 617 & 618) The plan was formally adopted by the Joint Army and Navy Board beginning in 1924. Predating the Rainbow plans, which presumed the assistance of
allies An alliance is a relationship among people, groups, or states that have joined together for mutual benefit or to achieve some common purpose, whether or not explicit agreement has been worked out among them. Members of an alliance are called ...
, Orange assumed that the United States would fight Japan alone.


Strategy

As originally conceived, it anticipated a blockade of the
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and other U.S. outposts in the Western Pacific. They were expected to hold out on their own while the Pacific Fleet marshaled its strength at bases in
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and
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and guarded against attacks on the
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. After mobilization (the ships maintained only half of their crews in peacetime), the fleet would sail to the western Pacific to relieve American forces in
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and the Philippines. Afterwards, the fleet would sail north for a decisive battle against the
Imperial Japanese Navy The Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN; Kyūjitai: Shinjitai: ' 'Navy of the Greater Japanese Empire', or ''Nippon Kaigun'', 'Japanese Navy') was the navy of the Empire of Japan from 1868 to 1945, when it was dissolved following Japan's surrender ...
's
Combined Fleet The was the main sea-going component of the Imperial Japanese Navy. Until 1933, the Combined Fleet was not a permanent organization, but a temporary force formed for the duration of a conflict or major naval maneuvers from various units norm ...
and then blockade the
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. The strategy was in keeping with the theory of
Alfred Thayer Mahan Alfred Thayer Mahan (; September 27, 1840 – December 1, 1914) was a United States naval officer and historian, whom John Keegan called "the most important American strategist of the nineteenth century." His book '' The Influence of Sea Powe ...
, a doctrine to which every major navy subscribed before
World War II World War II or the Second World War, often abbreviated as WWII or WW2, was a world war that lasted from 1939 to 1945. It involved the World War II by country, vast majority of the world's countries—including all of the great power ...
in which wars would be decided by engagements between opposing surface fleets (as they had been for over 300 years). Following the 1933 Operations IV Wargame, which resulted in defeat for a hypothetical blue fleet meant to symbolize a US Philippine relief force, War Plan Orange was revised to account for a more steady, methodical advance in order to take Japanese strongpoints in the
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. This was done in accordance to observations that both stretched logistical capacity in the "through ticket to the Philippines" strategy, and inability to repair damaged vessels, allowed Japan to gain
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via the neutralization of the US battle line force. Despite this, the strategy followed by the U.S. in the
Pacific War The Pacific War, sometimes called the Asia–Pacific War, was the theater of World War II that was fought in Asia, the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, and Oceania. It was geographically the largest theater of the war, including the vas ...
differed little from Rodgers' concept from 1911: a "leapfrog" campaign to conquer the
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and Carolines (held by Japan before the war); liberation of the Philippines; and blockade. Absent was the "decisive battle" of Mahan, and of Japanese planning.


Japanese plans

The
Imperial Japanese Navy The Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN; Kyūjitai: Shinjitai: ' 'Navy of the Greater Japanese Empire', or ''Nippon Kaigun'', 'Japanese Navy') was the navy of the Empire of Japan from 1868 to 1945, when it was dissolved following Japan's surrender ...
developed a counterplan to allow the
U.S. Pacific Fleet The United States Pacific Fleet (USPACFLT) is a theater-level component command of the United States Navy, located in the Pacific Ocean. It provides naval forces to the Indo-Pacific Command. Fleet headquarters is at Joint Base Pearl Harbor ...
to sail across the Pacific while using submarines and carrier attacks to weaken it. The Japanese fleet would then attempt to force a
fleet action A fleet action is a naval engagement involving combat between forces that are larger than a squadron on either of the opposing sides. Fleet action is defined by combat and not just manoeuvring of the naval forces strategically, operationally or ...
against the weakened U.S. fleet in a "decisive battle area", near Japan (see Kantai Kessen), also in line with Mahanian doctrine, which Japan had enthusiastically embraced. It was the basis for Japan's demand for a 70% ratio (10:10:7) at the
Washington Naval Conference The Washington Naval Conference was a disarmament conference called by the United States and held in Washington, DC from November 12, 1921 to February 6, 1922. It was conducted outside the auspices of the League of Nations. It was attended by nine ...
, which was considered necessary to provide Japan superiority in the "decisive battle area" (taking into account that the U.S. had naval commitments in other theaters, while Japan did not). It was also the basis of the United States' insistence on 60%, which amounted to parity.


Outcomes

Actual events generally followed the plan. Although carrier battles and the use of airplanes and submarines overshadowed surface action, the "leapfrog" campaign played out largely as anticipated. The Imperial Japanese Navy, obsessed with the "decisive battle" doctrine, ignored the vital need for defense against submarines. The
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and American submarine campaigns against their opponents' merchant shipping demonstrated the need for an anti-submarine warfare strategy. While the Allies took extensive measures to combat the threat of German U-boats, the Japanese failed to effectively counter the American submarines which ultimately choked Japan's industrial production and paralyzed her navy. Japan also notably failed to institute an anti-commerce campaign herself; systematic use of
commerce raiders Commerce raiding (french: guerre de course, "war of the chase"; german: Handelskrieg, "trade war") is a form of naval warfare used to destroy or disrupt logistics of the enemy on the open sea by attacking its merchant shipping, rather than eng ...
could have made Allied operations much more complex and conquering and holding Japanese-held islands more difficult. American war planners failed to appreciate that technological advances in submarines and
naval aviation Naval aviation is the application of military air power by navies, whether from warships that embark aircraft, or land bases. Naval aviation is typically projected to a position nearer the target by way of an aircraft carrier. Carrier-based ...
had made Mahan's doctrine obsolete and did not anticipate a preemptive strike from the Japanese. In particular, they did not yet know either that aircraft would be able to effectively sink battleships or that Japan might put the American battleship force (the Battle Line) out of action at a stroke, which actually happened at Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941. American plans changed after this attack. Even after major Japanese defeats like Midway, once the effectiveness of aircraft carriers was known, the Americans favored a methodical "island-hopping" advance, never going far beyond land-based air cover. Meanwhile, a blockade was imposed from the very beginning of the war, with the first American submarine, , arriving off Japan on about 31 December 1941. A number of requirements grew out of Orange, including the specification for a
fleet submarine A fleet submarine is a submarine with the speed, range, and endurance to operate as part of a navy's battle fleet. Examples of fleet submarines are the British First World War era K class and the American World War II era ''Gato'' class. The t ...
with high speed, long range, and heavy torpedo armament. These coalesced in the submarine in 1932 (only to be rejected and returned to with the in around August 1941). The demand for submarines of this size also drove the development of the notoriously problematic
Mark 14 torpedo The Mark 14 torpedo was the United States Navy's standard submarine-launched anti-ship torpedo of World War II. This weapon was plagued with many problems which crippled its performance early in the war. It was supplemented by the Mark 18 elec ...
(and its equally notorious Mark VI exploder), under the guidance of CommanderHolwitt, p.147fn52. Ralph W. Christie.Blair, p.61. The Navy also spent "several hundred thousand dollars" to develop powerful, compact diesel engines, among them the troublesome
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(HOR), which proved useful for railroads.


See also

* ''
How Japan Plans to Win ''How Japan Plans to Win'' is the English translation of ''The Three-Power Alliance and the United States-Japanese War'', a work of current events by Kinoaki Matsuo, a Japanese Foreign Affairs Officer, Navy Admiralty Liaison, Navy strategizer, ...
'', by
Kinoaki Matsuo was a Foreign Affairs Officer and Navy Admiralty Liaison, Black Dragon Society member, writer, and Japanese Navy strategizer. ''How Japan Plans to Win'' In 1940 Kinoaki Matsuo published a book on how Japan planned to win a war with the United Sta ...
(1942) *
Plan Dog memo The Plan Dog memorandum was a 1940 American government document written by Chief of Naval Operations Harold Stark. It has been called "one of the best known documents of World War II." Confronting the problem of an expected two-front war against ...
*
Singapore Strategy The Singapore strategy was a naval defence policy of the United Kingdom that evolved in a series of war plans from 1919 to 1941. It aimed to deter aggression by Japan by providing a base for a fleet of the Royal Navy in the Far East, able to in ...
* United States color-coded war plans


References


Further reading

* * {{United States color-coded war plans Imperial Japanese Navy Japan–United States military relations Military doctrines Military history of the United States during World War II United States color-coded war plans United States Navy in the 20th century pt:Plano de guerra vermelho#Plano de guerra conjunto vermelho-laranja