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The Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
(TPP) is a trade agreement between Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam, and United States
United States
signed on 4 February 2016, which was not ratified as required and did not take effect. After the United States
United States
withdrew its signature,[6] the agreement could not enter into force. The remaining nations negotiated a new trade agreement called Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, which incorporates most of the provisions of the TPP. The TPP began as an expansion of the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPSEP or P4) signed by Brunei, Chile, New Zealand and Singapore
Singapore
in 2005. Beginning in 2008, additional countries joined the discussion for a broader agreement: Australia, Canada, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, the United States, and Vietnam, bringing the negotiating countries to twelve. In January 2017, the United States
United States
withdrew from the agreement.[5][7] The other 11 TPP countries agreed in May 2017 to revive it[8][9] and reached agreement in January 2018. In March 2018, the 11 countries signed the revised version of the agreement, called Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership.[10] The original TPP contained measures to lower both non-tariff and tariff barriers to trade,[11] and establish an investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanism.[12][13] The U.S. International Trade Commission,[14] the Peterson Institute for International Economics, the World Bank
World Bank
and the Office of the Chief Economist at Global Affairs Canada
Canada
found the final agreement would, if ratified, lead to net positive economic outcomes for all signatories, while an analysis using an unorthodox model by two Tufts University
Tufts University
economists found the agreement would adversely affect the signatories.[Note 1] Many observers have argued the trade deal would have served a geopolitical purpose, namely to reduce the signatories' dependence on Chinese trade and bring the signatories closer to the United States.[24][25][26][27]

Contents

1 Membership

1.1 Withdrawn member 1.2 Potential members

2 History

2.1 Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Agreement 2.2 Original negotiations 2.3 Ratification of the original agreement 2.4 United States
United States
withdrawal 2.5 New negotiations and CPTPP

3 Contents

3.1 Trade barriers 3.2 Environmental protection 3.3 Good governance 3.4 Human rights 3.5 Intellectual property

3.5.1 Pharmaceuticals

3.6 Investor-state arbitration 3.7 Labour standards 3.8 Regulatory cooperation

4 Economic impact

4.1 Effects on economic equality 4.2 Macroeconomics

4.2.1 World Bank
World Bank
report 4.2.2 U.S. International Trade Commission estimate 4.2.3 Office of the Chief Economist at Global Affairs Canada
Canada
report 4.2.4 Peterson Institute for International Economics
Peterson Institute for International Economics
report 4.2.5 Tufts University
Tufts University
report

4.3 Effects on the European Union 4.4 Liberalization

5 Geopolitics

5.1 United States
United States
considerations 5.2 Non-TPP party opinions

6 Criticism

6.1 Currency manipulation 6.2 Length and complexity 6.3 Secrecy of negotiations 6.4 Industry influence 6.5 Non-compete clause 6.6 Criticisms from politicians and activists

7 See also 8 Notes 9 References 10 External links

Membership[edit]

  Signatory (withdrawn)   Parties   Signatories

Twelve countries participated in negotiations for the TPP: the four parties to the 2005 Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement and eight additional countries. All twelve signed the TPP on 4 February 2016.[28] The agreement will enter into force after ratification by all signatories, if this occurs within two years. If the agreement is not ratified by all before 4 February 2018, it will enter into force after ratification by at least 6 states which together have a GDP of more than 85% of the GDP of all signatories.

Country Status 2005 agreement Signature of TPP Ratification of TPP Start of TPP Negotiations

 Singapore Party (28 May 2006) 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002008-02-01-0000February 2008

 Brunei Party (28 May 2006) 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002008-02-01-0000February 2008

 New Zealand Party (12 July 2006) 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016 000000002017-05-11-000011 May 2017 000000002008-02-01-0000February 2008

 Chile Party (8 November 2006) 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002008-02-01-0000February 2008

 Australia Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002008-11-01-0000November 2008

 Peru Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002008-11-01-0000November 2008

 Vietnam Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002008-11-01-0000November 2008

 Malaysia Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002010-10-01-0000October 2010

 Mexico Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002012-10-01-0000October 2012

 Canada[29] Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016

000000002012-10-01-0000October 2012

 Japan Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016 000000002017-01-20-000020 January 2017 000000002013-05-01-0000May 2013

Withdrawn member[edit] On 23 January 2017, US President Donald Trump
Donald Trump
signed a presidential memorandum to withdraw the United States' signature from the agreement, making its ratification as it was in February 2016 virtually impossible.[30]

Country Status 2005 agreement Signature of TPP Start of TPP Negotiations Withdrawn

 United States Non-party 000000002016-02-04-00004 February 2016 000000002008-02-01-0000February 2008 23 January 2017[31]

Potential members[edit] APEC
APEC
members may accede to the TPP, as may any other jurisdiction to which existing TPP members agree. After an application for membership is received, a commission of parties to the treaty negotiates conditions for accession. South Korea
South Korea
did not participate in the 2006 agreement, but showed interest in entering the TPP,[32] and was invited to the TPP negotiating rounds in December 2010 by the U.S. after the successful conclusion of its Free trade
Free trade
agreement between the United States
United States
of America and the Republic of Korea.[33] South Korea
South Korea
already had bilateral trade agreements with some TPP members, but areas such as vehicle manufacturing and agriculture still needed to be agreed upon, making further multilateral TPP negotiations somewhat complicated.[34] South Korea
South Korea
may join the TPP as part of a second wave of expansion for the trade agreement.[35] Other countries and regions that are interested in TPP membership include Taiwan,[36] the Philippines,[37] and Colombia[38] as of 2010; Thailand[39] and Laos[40] as of 2012; and Indonesia,[41] Cambodia,[42] Bangladesh,[43] and India[44] as of 2013. According to law professor Edmund Sim in 2013, many of these countries would need to change their protectionist trade policies in order to join the TPP.[45] The largest economy in the Pacific Rim
Pacific Rim
not involved in the negotiations is China. According to the Brookings Institution
Brookings Institution
in 2013, the most fundamental challenge for the TPP project regarding China
China
was that "it may not constitute a powerful enough enticement to propel China
China
to sign on to these new standards on trade and investment. China so far has reacted by accelerating its own trade initiatives in Asia."[46] In 2013, it was thought China
China
might still be interested in joining the TPP eventually.[47] An academic analysis has shown that while the TPP would be more successful if China
China
participated in it, the benefits to China
China
are intangible.[48] In October 2015, Indonesian President Joko Widodo
Joko Widodo
declared Indonesia's intention to join the TPP.[49] Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
has announced interest of joining the TPP and is currently studying its feasibility.[50][51]

Country Status 2005 agreement Status TPP Announced Interest

 Colombia Non-party Announced Interest 000000002010-01-01-0000January 2010

 Philippines Non-party Announced Interest 000000002010-09-01-0000September 2010

 Thailand Non-party Announced Interest 000000002012-11-01-0000November 2012

 Republic of China
China
(Taiwan) Non-party Announced Interest 000000002013-09-01-0000September 2013

 South Korea Non-party Announced Interest 000000002013-11-01-0000November 2013

 Indonesia Non-party Declared Intent to Join[49] 000000002015-10-01-0000October 2015

 Sri Lanka Non-party Announced Interest[52] 000000002015-11-01-0000November 2015

 China Non-party

000000002017-01-01-00002017

History[edit] Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Agreement[edit] Main article: Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Agreement Brunei, Chile, Singapore
Singapore
and New Zealand
New Zealand
are parties to the Transpacific Economic Partnership Agreement, which was signed in 2005, and entered into force in 2006. The original TPSEP agreement contains an accession clause and affirms the members' "commitment to encourage the accession to this Agreement by other economies".[53][54] It is a comprehensive agreement, affecting trade in goods, rules of origin, trade remedies, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, technical barriers to trade, trade in services, intellectual property, government procurement and competition policy. Among other things, it called for a 90 percent reduction of all tariffs between member countries by 1 January 2006, and reduction of all trade tariffs to zero by the year 2015.[55] Although original and negotiating parties are members of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
(APEC), the TPSEP is not an APEC initiative. However, the TPP is considered to be a pathfinder for the proposed Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific
Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific
(FTAAP), an APEC initiative. Original negotiations[edit] Main article: Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
negotiations In January 2008, the U.S. agreed to enter into talks with the Pacific 4 (P4) members regarding trade liberalisation in financial services.[56] This led to 19 formal negotiation rounds and a subsequent series of additional meetings, such as Chief Negotiators Meetings and Ministers Meetings, and resulted in the agreement announced on 5 October 2015. Ratification of the original agreement[edit] The original agreement was ratified by Japan
Japan
and New Zealand. Japan's main competition in the region is China, and the two nations have polar views on how the South-east Asia's economy should develop. Prior to the TPP, Japan
Japan
tried to take dominance by establishing the Asian Monetary Fund (AMF), which the U.S blocked. By 2011 Japan managed to establish a cooperative agreement with China
China
and Korea called the "PRC–Japan–Republic of Korea Free trade
Free trade
agreement", also known as the CJK FTA, which did not include the U.S. Japan's intention with this was so that they could use the People's Republic of China
China
card in order to gain U.S support in order to have backing within the TPP, and shift the negotiations toward Japan's agendas with support of the United States.[57] On 9 December 2016, resolution of participation was made in House of Councillors, and notified completion of domestic procedures for ratification to the depositary of the treaty (New Zealand) as the first ratified country on 20 January 2017.[58] New Zealand
New Zealand
ratified the TPP on May 11, 2017.[59] Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern
Jacinda Ardern
will seek to renegotiate the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement in Vietnam
Vietnam
in time to allow the government to ban foreign speculators buying New Zealand
New Zealand
existing homes. She said "Our view is that it will be possible to balance our desire to make sure that we provide housing that's affordable, by easing demand and banning foreign speculators from buying existing homes, while meeting our trade goals."[60] United States
United States
withdrawal[edit]

Presidential Memorandum Regarding Withdrawal of the United States
United States
from the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Negotiations and Agreement (2017)

During a speech on the 2016 presidential campaign, Republican Party nominee Donald Trump
Donald Trump
vowed to withdraw the United States
United States
from the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
if elected. He argued that the agreement would "undermine" the U.S. economy and its independence.[61][62] On 21 November 2016, in a video message, Trump introduced an economic strategy of "putting America first", stating that he would negotiate "fair, bilateral trade deals that bring jobs and industry back onto American shores." As part of this plan, Trump confirmed his intent for the United States
United States
to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
on his first day in office.[63][64][65] McConnell affirmed that the TPP would not be considered during the lame-duck session of Congress preceding the inauguration of Trump.[66] President Trump signed a Presidential memorandum[Note 2] to withdraw the U.S. from the TPP on 23 January 2017.[67] U.S. Senator John McCain criticized the withdrawal, saying "it will send a troubling signal of American disengagement in the Asia-Pacific region at a time we can least afford it."[68] U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
applauded the move, saying "For the last 30 years, we have had a series of trade deals[...] which have cost us millions of decent-paying jobs and caused a ‘race to the bottom’ which has lowered wages for American workers."[69] New negotiations and CPTPP[edit] Main article: Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership The TPP's future was uncertain after the United States' withdrawal. Several signatories, however, signaled their intention to rework TPP without US participation.[70] In January 2018 the remaining eleven countries agreed on a revised TPP, now renamed as the "Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership" (CPTPP). The agreement remains substantially the same, but contains a list of 20 "suspended provisions" that were added to the TPP at the U.S.'s insistence and that are now no longer binding.[71] These provisions primarily relate to investment, government procurement and intellectual property.[72] The United Kingdom held informal talks to join the renewed negotiations after Brexit
Brexit
and has expressed an interest in joining the TPP.[73] Contents[edit]

Wikisource
Wikisource
has original text related to this article: What Is the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement (TPP)?

A version of the text of the agreement "subject to legal review" was released by prospective member parties on 5 November 2015.[74] Portions of drafts of the full agreement were previously leaked to the public.[75] Many of the provisions in the leaked documents are modeled on previous trade agreements.[citation needed] The contents of the TPP go far beyond the standards drafted by the World Trade Organization. The TPP includes a negative-list of all sectors covered for the liberalizing trade, except for those clearly stated. The TPP includes new regulation for online commerce, treatment of foreign investors, far more comprehensive protection for intellectual property, labor codes, and an agreement for neutrality regarding state-owned enterprises.[76] A 2016 study by University of Maryland political scientists Todd Allee and Andrew Lugg finds that out of the 74 previous trade agreements that TPP members signed since 1995, the text of the TPP most resembles that from earlier U.S. trade agreements.[77] A 2017 study found that the TPP scored high relative to other trade agreements in terms of a government’s ability to freely legislate and implement regulations in given public policy domains.[78] Trade barriers[edit] The agreement cuts over 18,000 tariffs.[79] Tariffs on all U.S. manufactured goods and almost all U.S. farm products would be eliminated completely, with most eliminations occurring immediately.[80] According to the Congressional Research Service, TPP "would be the largest U.S. FTA by trade flows ($905 billion in U.S. goods and services exports and $980 billion in imports in 2014)".[22] The signatories represent roughly 40% of global GDP, and one-third of world trade.[81] In addition, the agreement mandates expedited customs procedures for express shipments and prohibits customs duties from being applied to electronic transmissions. It also requires additional privacy, security, and consumer protections for online transactions and encourages the publication of online customs forms. These provisions are expected to be particularly beneficial to small businesses.[80] Environmental protection[edit] According to the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative, the "TPP includes the most robust enforceable environment commitments of any trade agreement in history".[82] The USTR notes that the TPP requires signatories to fulfill their obligations under the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES) to protect and conserve iconic species.[82] According to the USTR, TPP is the first trade agreement to prohibit harmful fisheries subsidies, such as those that contribute to overfishing.[82] The USTR asserts that TPP signatories are required to "combat illegal fishing", "promote sustainable fisheries management practices", and "protect wetlands and important natural areas", "combat wildlife trafficking, illegal logging, and illegal fishing" and "protect the marine environment from ship pollution, including by implementing their obligations under MARPOL (an international agreement to prevent marine pollution)".[82] Morin and Baumier of the Canada
Canada
Research Chair in International Political Economy (writing for the International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development) argue that while the TPP contains an impressive number of environmental provisions and a wide range of environmental protection areas, very few of these standards are innovative, most of which being copied from previous US agreements, and that the TPP missed an opportunity to be an original and progressive contribution to the environmental agenda. However, the TPP is innovative in its utilization of a combination of the American and the European approaches in environmental protection. Indeed, in doing so, the TPP became much more detailed and specific than regular US agreements while being legally more enforceable than European agreements.[83] In 2013 when TPP was still being negotiated, Sierra Club's director of responsible trade, Ilana Solomon, argued that the TPP "could directly threaten our climate and our environment [including] new rights that would be given to corporations, and new constraints on the fossil fuel industry all have a huge impact on our climate, water, and land."[84] Upon the release of a draft of the Environment Chapter in January 2014, the Natural Resources Defense Council
Natural Resources Defense Council
and the World Wide Fund for Nature joined with the Sierra Club
Sierra Club
in criticizing the TPP.[85] After the announcement of the United Nations
United Nations
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) on 25 September 2015 and the finalisation of the TPP a week later, critics discussed the interactions between the SDGs and the TPP. While one critic sees the TPP as providing a mixed bag of benefits and drawbacks to the SDGs,[86] another regards the TPP as being incompatible with the SDGs, highlighting that if the development provisions clash with any other aspect of the TPP, the other aspect takes priority.[87] The Friends of the Earth
Friends of the Earth
have spoken out against the TPP.[88][89] The White House has cited supportive statements from the World Wildlife Fund, the Nature Conservancy, the Humane Society, the Wildlife Conservation Society, Defenders of Wildlife, International Fund for Animal Welfare, World Animal Protection
World Animal Protection
and other environmental groups in favor of the TPP.[90][91] The Peterson Institute for International Economics argues that the TPP is "the most environmentally friendly trade deal ever negotiated."[92] In regards to ISDS, PIIE analysts note that there is little evidence of constraints on environmental policies resulting from ISDS litigation.[93] A September 2016 report by the Institute for Agriculture and Trade Policy (IATP) predicts that "as countries take action to protect the climate, conflicts between trade rules and climate goals will escalate".[94]:1 The report goes on to say that trade agreements like the TPP set broad-reaching rules for the economy and government policy, thereby expanding trade, often in extractive sectors, and protecting corporations and financial firms from future measures to stabilize the climate.[94] Good governance[edit] According to the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative, signatories are required to join the United Nations
United Nations
Convention Against Corruption (UNCAC); criminalize bribery of public officials; have in place a code of conduct for public officials; take measures to decrease conflicts of interest; effectively enforce anti-corruption laws and regulations; and involve private organizations in the fight against corruption.[95] Human rights[edit] According to the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative, the TPP prohibits exploitative child labor and forced labor; ensures the right to collective bargaining; and prohibits employment discrimination.[96] The USTR asserts that "research by the International Labor Organization and the World Trade Organization finds that combining expanded trade opportunities with strong protections for workers can help workers move from informal-sector jobs into formal work in wage-paying, regulated export industries which offer a minimum wage, benefits, and safety programs".[96] The USTR asserts that "research also shows that trade improves human rights conditions by fostering pluralistic institutions and increasing open exchanges of information."[96] PolitiFact rates President Obama's claim that due to the Trans-Pacific Partnership "we've got a country like Malaysia
Malaysia
taking really serious efforts to crack down on human trafficking" as "mostly true".[97] PolitiFact notes that Malaysia
Malaysia
began to comply with the TPP in June 2015, amending its law to improve the treatment of trafficking victims.[97] Among the changes, Malaysia
Malaysia
gave victims better access to government shelters, transitional housing and more victim-friendly restitution procedures.[97] Malaysia
Malaysia
has also taken steps to stop human trafficking within the construction industry.[97] In August 2017, Reuters
Reuters
reported that the Vietnamese government was intensifying repression of human rights, in part because of the Trump administration's decision to drop the Trans-Pacific Partnership.[98] Membership of the TPP had previously encouraged Vietnam
Vietnam
to show a good human rights record.[98] Intellectual property[edit] The intellectual property section of a leaked draft of the TPP lays out a minimum level of protection parties to the Agreement must grant for trademarks, copyright, and patents.[99] Copyright
Copyright
is granted at a length of life of the author plus 70 years,[99] and requires countries to set criminal penalties for violating copyright protections such as Digital Rights Management.[100] According to the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative, the TPP will spur innovation by requiring signatories to establish strong patentability standard and adopt strong copyright protections.[101] Walter Park, Professor of Economics at American University, argues, based on the existing literature, that the pharmaceutical protections in TPP will potentially enhance unaffiliated licensing in developing countries, lead to tech transfers that contribute to local learning-by-doing, stimulate new drug launches in more countries, expand marketing and distribution networks, and encourage early-stage pharmaceutical innovations.[102] As of December 2011, some provisions relating to the enforcement of patents and copyrights alleged to be present in the US proposal for the agreement had been criticised as being excessively restrictive, beyond those in the Korea–US trade agreement and Anti-Counterfeiting Trade Agreement (ACTA).[103][104] The Electronic Frontier Foundation[104] was highly critical of the leaked draft chapter on intellectual property covering copyright, trademarks, and patents. In the US, they believed this was likely to further entrench controversial aspects of US copyright law (such as the Digital Millennium Copyright
Copyright
Act) and restrict the ability of Congress to engage in domestic law reform to meet the evolving intellectual property needs of American citizens and the innovative technology sector. Standardization of copyright provisions by other signatories would also require significant changes to other countries' copyright laws. These, according to EFF, include obligations for countries to expand copyright terms, restrict fair use, adopt criminal sanctions for copyright infringement that is done without a commercial motivation (ex. file sharing of copyrighted digital media), place greater liability on internet intermediaries, escalate protections for digital locks and create new threats for journalists and whistleblowers.[104] Both the copyright term expansion and the non-complaint provision (i.e., competent authorities may initiate legal action without the need for a formal complaint) previously failed to pass in Japan because they were so controversial.[105] In early 2015, "a group of artists, archivists, academics, and activists ... in Japan
Japan
[asked] their negotiators to oppose requirements in the TPP that would require their country, and five of the other 11 nations negotiating this secretive agreement, to expand their copyright terms to match the United States' already excessive length of copyright."[105] The final agreement nonetheless sets a term of copyright equal to the one that obtains under U.S. law—life of the author plus 70 years. Ken Akamatsu, creator of Japanese manga series Love Hina
Love Hina
and Mahou Sensei Negima!, expressed concern the agreement could decimate the derivative dōjinshi (self-published) works prevalent in Japan. Akamatsu argued that the TPP "would destroy derivative dōjinshi. And as a result, the power of the entire manga industry would also diminish."[106] Pharmaceuticals[edit] In May 2015, Nobel Memorial prize winning economist Paul Krugman expressed concern that the TPP would tighten the patent laws and allow corporations such as big pharmaceutical companies and Hollywood to gain advantages, in terms of increasing rewards, at the cost of consumers, and that people in developing countries would not be able to access the medicines under the TPP regime.[107] However, Walter Park, Professor of Economics at American University, argues that it is far from clear in economic research that this would necessarily happen: clarifying intellectual property rights on drugs, for some developing countries, has not led to greater prices and less access to drugs.[102] Park also argues, based on the existing literature, that the pharmaceutical protections in TPP will potentially enhance unaffiliated licensing in developing countries, lead to tech transfers that contribute to local learning-by-doing, stimulate new drug launches in more countries, expand marketing and distribution networks, and encourage early stage pharmaceutical innovations.[102] The Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative notes that the TPP "aligns with the Doha Declaration on TRIPS and Public Health", which allows developing countries to circumvent patent rights for better access to essential medicines.[101] Pharmaceutical companies have criticized TPP for having too lenient intellectual property protections.[102][108][109][110] In July 2015, an editorial in the New England Journal of Medicine cited concerns by Médecins sans Frontières
Médecins sans Frontières
and Oxfam
Oxfam
that a spike in drug prices caused by patent extensions could threaten millions of lives.[111] Extending "data exclusivity" provisions would "prevent drug regulatory agencies such as the Food and Drug Administration
Food and Drug Administration
from registering a generic version of a drug for a certain number of years." The article alleged that TPP could theoretically require corporations be paid compensation for any "lost profits" found to result from a nation's health regulations.[111] The article alleges that the provisions in the TPP concerning generic drugs seem to be directly targeting India's pharmaceutical industry.[111] Doctors Without Borders said in November 2015 that it was "extremely concerned about the inclusion of dangerous provisions that would dismantle public health safeguards enshrined in international law and restrict access to price-lowering generic medicines for millions of people."[112][113] The Australian Public Health Association (PHAA) published a media release in February 2014 that highlighted "the ways in which some of the expected economic gains from the TPPA may be undermined by poor health outcomes, and the economic costs associated with these poor health outcomes."[114] A number of United States
United States
Congressional members,[115] including Senator Bernie Sanders[116] and Representatives Sander M. Levin, John Conyers, Jim McDermott
Jim McDermott
and the now-retired Henry Waxman, as well as[117] John Lewis, Charles B. Rangel, Earl Blumenauer, Lloyd Doggett and then-congressman Pete Stark,[118] have expressed concerns about access to medicine. By protecting intellectual property in the form of the TPP mandating patent extensions, access by patients to affordable medicine in the developing world could be hindered, particularly in Vietnam.[115] Additionally, they worried that the TPP would not be flexible enough to accommodate existing non-discriminatory drug reimbursement programs and the diverse health systems of member countries.[118] In February 2015, former U.S. Labor Secretary Robert Reich stated he opposed the TPP because it would delay cheaper generic versions of drugs and because of its provisions for international tribunals that can require corporations be paid "compensation for any lost profits found to result from a nation's regulations."[119] Investor-state arbitration[edit] The TPP agreement establishes an investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanism,[120] which grants investors the right to sue foreign governments for treaty violations. For example, if an investor invests in country "A", a member of a trade treaty, and country A breaches that treaty, then the investor may sue country A's government for the breach.[121] ISDS
ISDS
is meant to provide investors in foreign countries basic protections from foreign government actions such as "freedom from discrimination", "protection against uncompensated expropriation of property", "protection against denial of justice" and "right to transfer capital":[122][123]

Freedom from discrimination: An assurance that those doing business abroad will face a level playing field and will not be treated less favorably than local investors or competitors from other countries. Protection against uncompensated seizure of property: An assurance that property of investors won’t be seized by the government without just compensation. Protection against denial of justice: An assurance that investors will not be denied justice in criminal, civil, or administrative adjudicatory proceedings. Right to transfer capital: An assurance that investors will be able to move capital relating to their investments freely, subject to safeguards to provide government flexibility, including to respond to financial crises and ensure the integrity and stability of the financial system.

ISDS
ISDS
cannot overturn local laws (unlike the World Trade Organization) which violate trade agreements,[93][124] but can grant monetary damages to investors adversely affected by such laws.[125] As pointed out by the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative, ISDS requires specific treaty violations, and does not allow corporations to sue solely over "lost profits".[123] The TPP specifically excludes tobacco industries from the ISDS process.[126] The carve-out came as a response to concerns about ISDS cases against anti-smoking laws, including Philip Morris v. Uruguay.[127] The exemption of tobacco from ISDS
ISDS
is a first for an international trade agreement.[126] On the basis of leaks, economists Joseph Stiglitz
Joseph Stiglitz
and Adam S. Hersh criticized the ISDS
ISDS
provisions of the TPP for interfering with the ability of governments to prevent public harm, alleging that if asbestos been discovered today, governments would have been unable to impose regulations without creating grounds for an ISDS
ISDS
suit.[128] Stiglitz also claimed that the TPP would give oil companies the right to sue governments for efforts to reduce carbon emissions and global warming.[129] In November 2015, Columbia professor Jeffrey Sachs
Jeffrey Sachs
concluded that the ISDS
ISDS
system of the TPP grants huge power to investors, and damages the judicial systems of all the member countries. He alleges that ISDS
ISDS
has been already used by corporations to upset governments so as to weaken the regulations that have negative effects on their profits.[130] In February 2016, Lise Johnson and Lisa Sachs of the Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment and Jeffrey Sachs
Jeffrey Sachs
of the Earth Institute allege that foreign corporations can sue a national government in international arbitration over a government's actions if the measures (including those for public health, national security, environment, food and drug, and responses to economic crises) have a negative effect on their profits and economic interests.[131] Lori Wallach
Lori Wallach
of Public Citizen's Global Trade Watch raised similar concerns while TPP was being negotiated.[132] In a February 2016 op-ed against the TPP, Senator Elizabeth Warren used the example of a French company suing Egypt because Egypt raised its minimum wage as an argument against the ISDS
ISDS
provisions of the TPP.[133] The Washington Post editorial board has however challenged this characterization of the case, noting that " Veolia
Veolia
of France, a waste management company, invoked ISDS
ISDS
to enforce a contract with the government of Alexandria, Egypt, that it says required compensation if costs increased; the company maintains that the wage increases triggered this provision. Incidentally, Veolia
Veolia
was working with Alexandria
Alexandria
on a World Bank-supported project to reduce greenhouse gases, not some corporate plot to exploit the people. The case — which would result, at most, in a monetary award to Veolia, not the overthrow of the minimum wage — remains in litigation."[134] The Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative challenges the notion that ISDS
ISDS
challenges "the sovereign ability of governments impose any measure they wish to protect labor rights, the environment, or other issues of public welfare".[123] The International Bar Association (IBA) mirrors these sentiments, noting that "while investment treaties limit states’ ability to inflict arbitrary or discriminatory treatment, they do not limit (and, in fact, expressly safeguard) a state’s sovereign right to regulate in the public interest in a fair, reasonable and non-discriminatory manner."[124] The White House notes that investment protections are a component of more than 3,000 trade agreements, the vast majority of which have some form of neutral arbitration.[135] The United States
United States
is party to at least 50 such agreements, has only faced 13 ISDS
ISDS
cases and never lost an ISDS
ISDS
case.[135] The White House asserts that the ISDS
ISDS
components of the TPP are an upgrade and improvement on ISDS
ISDS
in other trade agreements: TPP makes it absolutely clear that governments can regulate in the public interest (including with regard to health, safety and the environment); TPP includes the ability to dismiss frivolous claims quickly and award fees against the claimant to deter such suits; sham corporations will be prevented from accessing the investment protections; and arbitration proceedings under TPP will be open to the public and allow for inputs from non-parties.[135] The Peterson Institute for International Economics
Peterson Institute for International Economics
argues that "the ISDS
ISDS
provisions in the TPP are a significant improvement over those in previous agreements".[93] PIIE notes that the ISDS
ISDS
mechanism in the TPP respects environmental, health, and safety regulation; ensures the transparency of dispute proceedings; and eliminates forum shopping.[93] PIIE asserts that some of the innovations in the ISDS provisions of TPP "are generally disliked by the US business community."[93] PIIE claims that ISDS
ISDS
provisions are necessary, as they boost investment: "empirical evidence has shown that treaties including these provisions have a positive effect on foreign direct investment (FDI) flows between signatory countries."[136] PIIE challenges the claim that ISDS
ISDS
"arbitrators lack integrity", noting that arbitrators take an oath of impartiality and both sides of a case choose arbitrators.[93] PIIE agrees "that secrecy has gone too far" in many ISDS
ISDS
cases, but notes that "TPP negotiators heeded this criticism" and opened up ISDS
ISDS
cases to greater transparency.[93] According to the International Bar Association
International Bar Association
(IBA), states have won a higher percentage of ISDS
ISDS
cases than investors, and that around one-third of all cases end in settlement.[124] Claimant investors, when successful, recover on average less than half of the amounts claimed.[124] IBA notes that "only 8 per cent of ISDS
ISDS
proceedings are commenced by very large multinational corporations."[124] IBA challenges the notion that ISDS
ISDS
is biased against developing countries, noting that there is "no correlation between the success rates of claims against states and their income levels or development status."[124] IBA notes that ISDS
ISDS
is necessary even in countries with sophisticated domestic legal systems because those domestic courts rule according to domestic laws, not international law.[124] IBA notes that "increasingly, awards require the losing party to pay arbitration costs and legal fees to the winning party", which deters investors from initiating unmeritorious cases.[124] Labour standards[edit] According to the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative, the TPP imposes "binding and fully enforceable obligations" on signatories to "protect the freedom to form unions and bargain collectively" and "eliminate exploitative child labor and forced labor protect against employment discrimination".[137] The obligations include "laws on acceptable conditions of work related to minimum wages, hours of work, and occupational safety and health."[137] The USTR insists that if countries like Malaysia
Malaysia
and Vietnam
Vietnam
do not enforce provisions relating to forced labor, human trafficking and collective bargaining, they will cease to get the economic benefits of the TPP agreement.[138] The Peterson Institute for International Economics
Peterson Institute for International Economics
asserts that "the TPP includes more protections of labor rights than any previous US free trade agreement."[139] In January 2016, Human Rights Watch
Human Rights Watch
said that the TPP side agreements with Vietnam, Malaysia, and Brunei
Brunei
"are a unique and significant step in efforts to protect labor rights in trade agreements" but noted that enforcement of these rules remains to be seen: "gauging compliance will require subjective assessments by the US that may take years to carry out and face obstacles arising from foreign policy objectives, commercial interests, and other political considerations."[140] Dartmouth economics Professor Emily J. Blanchard argues that while the TPP has been roundly criticized on the political left, progressives should actually be supportive of the TPP: "The TPP’s promise of a new progressive rule book – one that includes enforceable agreements against child labor and workplace discrimination, measures to punish illegal logging and trade in protected species, and protections against consumer fraud – would mark a substantial step forward in the progressive policy agenda on the global stage."[141] In May 2015, U.S. congressman Sander Levin
Sander Levin
argued that it is difficult to enforce trade deals, as he questioned Vietnam's willingness to meet the labour standards of TPP.[142] A report by U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren said that there was a huge gap between the labor standards of past US free trade agreements and the actual enforcement of those provisions.[142] However, PIIE analysts note that research shows that the presence of "sticks" (a possible suspension of trade benefits) and "carrots" (technical assistance) in trade deals increase the likelihood that labor obligations in trade deals have a positive effect; there are both sticks and carrots present in TPP.[143] Regulatory cooperation[edit] Even though the TPP has yet to be passed, the agreement has already introduced forms of regulatory cooperation for agriculture beyond that found in the WTO.[144] This means that regulators in different TPP signatories have been engaging with each other and building trust.[144] Chad P. Bown, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, argues that this regulatory cooperation meant that the US poultry industry was not as hard-hit by the 2015 bird flu outbreak, as regulators in TPP countries cooperated and continued to accept US exports of poultry.[144] Economic impact[edit] The U.S. International Trade Commission, the Peterson Institute for International Economics, the World Bank
World Bank
and the Office of the Chief Economist at Global Affairs Canada
Canada
found that the final agreement would, if ratified, lead to net positive economic outcomes for all signatories, while a heterodox analysis by two Tufts University economists found that the agreement would adversely affect the signatories.[145][14][146][147] Effects on economic equality[edit] In 2013, Nobel Memorial prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz
Joseph Stiglitz
warned that, based on leaked drafts of the TPP, it "serves the interests of the wealthiest."[148][149] Organised labour in the U.S. argued, during the negotiations, that the trade deal would largely benefit corporations at the expense of workers in the manufacturing and service industries.[150] The Economic Policy Institute
Economic Policy Institute
and the Center for Economic and Policy Research have argued that the TPP could result in job losses and declining wages.[151][152] Economists Peter A. Petri and Michael G. Plummer challenge the view that TPP will primarily benefit the wealthy. Their analysis finds that "the gains from TPP appear to be fairly distributed—labour will gain relative to capital, and cost reductions will favour low-income households. Some workers will need to change jobs, but they constitute a small fraction of normal job churn in any given year, and the national benefits argue for generous compensation for their adjustment costs. The agreement will also benefit workers in TPP's poorest member countries."[153] Research by Harvard economist Robert Z. Lawrence finds that the "percentage gains for labor income from the TPP will be slightly greater than the gains to capital income. Households in all quintiles will benefit by similar percentages, but once differences in spending shares are taken into account, the percentage gains to poor and middle-class households will be slightly larger than the gains to households at the top."[154][155] An opinion piece by Ed Gerwin in the Wall Street Journal argues that the TPP agreement benefits small businesses in the US.[80] Economists David Autor, David Dorn and Gordon H. Hanson, who have extensively studied US labor markets adjustments to trade competition shocks caused by China,[156] support TPP.[157] They argue that TPP "would promote trade in knowledge-intensive services in which U.S. companies exert a strong comparative advantage", note that "killing the TPP would do little to bring factory work back to America" and argue that it would pressure China
China
to raise regulatory rules and standards to those of TPP members.[157] According to the U.S. International Trade Commission, the TPP will have positive effects on the U.S. economy as a whole, with unskilled labor reaping 25% of the gains, skilled workers 41% and business owners 34%.[158] Macroeconomics[edit] World Bank
World Bank
report[edit] World Bank
World Bank
found that if ratified by signatories, the TPP "agreement could raise GDP in member countries by an average of 1.1 percent by 2030. It could also increase member countries' trade by 11 percent by 2030, and represent a boost to regional trade growth, which had slowed to about 5 percent, on average, during 2010-14 from about 10 percent during 1990-07."[145] The World Bank
World Bank
finds that the agreement will raise real wages in all signatories: "In the United States, for example, changes in real wages are expected to be small as unskilled and skilled wages increase by 0.4 and 0.6 percent, respectively, by 2030. In contrast, in Vietnam, TPP could increase the real wages of unskilled workers by more than 14 percent by 2030, as production intensive in unskilled labor (e.g. textiles) shifts to Vietnam."[145] U.S. International Trade Commission estimate[edit] The U.S. International Trade Commission estimates that "TPP would have positive effects, albeit small as a percentage of the overall size of the U.S. economy".[14] There will be 128,000 more full-time jobs.[158] By 2032, U.S. annual real income would increase by 0.23%, real GDP would be $42.7 billion or 0.15% higher, employment would be 0.07% higher, US exports would increase 1%, and imports would increase 1.1%.[14] The report added, "TPP would generally establish trade-related disciplines that strengthen and harmonize regulations, increase certainty, and decrease trade costs for firms that trade and invest in the TPP region."[14] Vietnam
Vietnam
is often seen as the biggest beneficiary of TPP.[159][160][24] The U.S. International Trade Commission identifies the following US industries as net beneficiaries of TPP: Passenger cars; Apparel, Dairy production; Retailers and Wholesalers; and Business services; and as net losers: Auto parts; Textiles; Soybean production; Transportation and tourism; and Chemicals and drugs.[14][161] Office of the Chief Economist at Global Affairs Canada
Canada
report[edit] According to a report by the Office of the Chief Economist at Global Affairs Canada, ratification of TPP would increase Canada's GDP by $4.3 billion by 2040.[18][162] This is primarily due to the preferential access it would receive to markets in the Asia-Pacific rim.[18][162] According to the report, ratification by the other TPP signatories but a failure by Canada
Canada
to ratify the agreement would lead Canada
Canada
to face estimated GDP losses of $5.3 billion by 2040.[18][162] Peterson Institute for International Economics
Peterson Institute for International Economics
report[edit] Economists Peter A. Petri and Michael G. Plummer of the Peterson Institute for International Economics project that the TPP would increase incomes in the U.S. by $131 billion annually, or 0.5 percent of GDP. Exports from the U.S. would increase by $357 billion annually, or 9.1 percent, as a result of the agreement.[146] However, two Tufts University economists argue that the research by Petri relies on unrealistic assumptions such as full employment: lost jobs will be immediately replaced in other industrial sectors.[147] According to Harvard economist Dani Rodrik, "Petri and Plummer assume that labor markets are sufficiently flexible that job losses in adversely affected parts of the economy are necessarily offset by job gains elsewhere. Unemployment is ruled out from the start – a built-in outcome of the model that TPP proponents often fudge."[19] Rodrik notes that "the Petri-Plummer model is squarely rooted in decades of academic trade modeling, which makes a sharp distinction between microeconomic effects (shaping resource allocation across sectors) and macroeconomic effects (related to overall levels of demand and employment). In this tradition, trade liberalization is a microeconomic "shock" that affects the composition of employment, but not its overall level."[19] Tufts University
Tufts University
report[edit] Tufts University
Tufts University
researchers project the TPP would have a negative impact on employment: 450,000 US jobs, 75,000 Japanese jobs, 58,000 Canadian jobs and 5,000 New Zealand
New Zealand
jobs would be lost by 2025.[147] According to the report, 771,000 jobs would be lost in total and positive economic effects would be negligible for participating countries.[147][163] Harvard economist Robert Z. Lawrence
Robert Z. Lawrence
says that the model used by the Tufts researchers "is simply not suited for credibly predicting the effects of the TPP" and argues that the model used by Petri and Plummer is superior.[20] Lawrence argues that the model used by the Tufts researchers "does not have the granularity that allows it to estimate variables such as exports, imports, foreign direct investment, and changes in industrial structure. As a result, its predictions ignore the benefits to the TPP economies that occur through increased specialization, the realization of scale economies, and improved consumer choice."[20] Lawrence also notes that the model used by the Tufts researchers finds that the TPP will cause GDP to fall by 5.24% in non-TPP developing countries, such as China, India, and Indonesia, which Lawrence is highly skeptical of: "It is not believable that a trade agreement of this magnitude could cause the rest of the world to plummet into recession."[20] Harvard economist Dani Rodrik, a well-known skeptic of globalization, says that the Tufts researchers do "a poor job of explaining how their model works, and the particulars of their simulation are somewhat murky... the Capaldo framework lacks sectoral and country detail; its behavioral assumptions remain opaque; and its extreme Keynesian assumptions sit uneasily with its medium-term perspective."[19] Fredrik Erixon and Matthias Bauer of the European Centre for International Political Economy (ECIPE) write that the Tufts analysis has such serious flaws "that its results should neither be regarded reliable nor realistic."[21] They write that Tufts model is "by and large a demand-driven model that does not make efforts to capture the supply-side effects of trade, which are the effects that are proven to be the core positive effects of trade liberalisation. Equally problematic, the model is not designed to assess the effect on trade from trade agreements – in fact, the model is profoundly ill suited for such an exercise. No trade economist, regardless what school of thought he or she comes from, has ever used this model to make estimates of trade. The reason is simple: if a model cannot predict the effects on the flows and profile of trade as a consequence of trade liberalisation, it is of no use at all."[21] They add, "In Capaldo’s analysis, structural change and the emergence of new industries do not play a role at all. Capaldo implicitly assumes that an economy with its labour and capital does not respond and adjust to new circumstances. New competition only leads to new unemployment. In addition, the impact of lower barriers on international commerce on product and process innovation is neglected. Finally, Capaldo does not account for the impact of competition on the cost of production and final consumer prices."[21] According to the Congressional Research Service, "The Tufts study has drawn particular criticism as an unconventional framework for analyzing trade agreements, whereas Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models, such as that used in the Peterson study are standard in trade policy analysis."[22] Fabio Ghironi, Professor in Economics at the University of Washington, describes the models used by the World Bank and the Peterson Institute in more favorable terms than the Tufts analysis.[23] Effects on the European Union[edit] The EU is trying to form trade agreements with each country that is part of the TPP: since 2013, there have been talks of a free trade agreement between the EU and Japan, and in 2015 the EU presented its new strategy to improve trade in the Asia-Pacific entitled "Trade for All."[164] Liberalization[edit] According to an analysis by the Cato Institute of the chapters of the TPP, 15 chapters have a liberalizing impact, 5 have a protectionist impact, and 2 have a neutral impact.[165] Considered as a whole, the terms of the TPP are net liberalizing.[165] There have been conflicting arguments on whether or not the TPP aims to increase the liberalization of trade. For arguments that propose that the TPP succeeds at liberalizing trade among the participating nations, there is a question of whether or not this causes a positive or a negative net change. Some scholars argue that participatory members of the TPP believe that such membership is a utilitarian and practical method toward new trade liberalization.[166] Scholars Peter Petri and Michael Plummer describe the TPP as a "dynamic process - and example of competitive liberalization," and this liberalization described can result in a new type of governance for the Asia-Pacific, as well as transnational trade.[167] According to analyst and economist B.R. Williams, the United States has a large role in the reduction of trade barriers and increased U.S. investment. Williams explains that the U.S. aims to create a "broader platform for trade liberalization, particularly throughout the Asia-Pacific region."[168] Scholars C. Li and J. Whalley explore a numerical approach in explaining the liberalizing effects of the TPP. Li and Whalley uses a quantitative equilibrium simulation to explore the effects of the TPP on the liberalization of trade and new markets.[169] Geopolitics[edit] TPP increases the likelihood that Japan
Japan
will undertake economic reforms to revive its economy, which coupled with potential South-Korean accession to the TPP, might have an economic impact on China. By making the Chinese economy less competitive and Chinese leadership less likely to write the rules of trade in East and Southeast Asia, the Chinese regime will be under great internal and external pressure to liberalize its economy.[25] Japan's prime minister, Shinzo Abe, believes that future Chinese accession to TPP would have a major pacifying impact on the Asia-Pacific region.[26] U.S. Trade Representative Michael Froman
Michael Froman
has said that a failure to ratify TPP would give China
China
the opportunity to boost its exports and set labor and environmental standards in the fast-growing Asia Pacific region through the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).[170] South Korea
South Korea
did not participate in TPP "largely out of a concern to maintain balance in its economic relations with China
China
and the United States" but has shown greater interest in joining TPP after Japan, its biggest economic competitor, decided to participate.[24] Also, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, and Taiwan
Taiwan
have reportedly been considering and implementing various domestic reforms to improve their prospects for eventually joining.[171] Since formal TPP negotiations began in 2010, China's attitude towards TPP has:

swung from disdain to suspicion to cautious embrace... Conclusion of a TPP agreement in early October has sparked a lively debate in Beijing, with the weight of elite opinion seeming to tilt toward eventual membership; for example, the head of the Chinese-sponsored Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Jin Liqun, announced his support during a speech in Washington shortly after the TPP deal was announced.[24]

The TPP may give renewed impetus to trade negotiations among China, Japan, and Korea, and increase the likelihood of Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) which could provide a possible pathway to a free trade area of the Asia-Pacific.[24] In January 2016, the National Association of Manufacturers
National Association of Manufacturers
announced its support for TPP, saying "without such an agreement, the United States would be ceding economic leadership to other global powers, letting them set the rules of economic engagement in the region".[172] A 2016 study by University of Maryland political scientists Todd Allee and Andrew Lugg suggests that if the TPP becomes standard legal text, it will shape future trade cooperation and agreements.[77] An October 2016 survey of international relations scholars showed that the overwhelming majority supported the TPP.[173] United States
United States
considerations[edit] The original TPP was thought by some to likely bring China's neighbours closer to the United States
United States
and reduce their dependence on Chinese trade.[159][160][24][25][26][174][175][27][176][177] If ratified, the TPP would have strengthened American influence on future rules for the global economy. US Secretary of Defense Ash Carter claimed the passage of the TPP to be as valuable to the United States as the creation of another aircraft carrier.[24] President Obama has argued "if we don't pass this agreement—if America doesn't write those rules—then countries like China
China
will".[178] According to the Congressional Research Service, "many Asian policymakers—correctly or not—could interpret a failure of TPP in the United States
United States
as a symbol of declining U.S. interest in the region and inability to assert leadership... failure to conclude TPP could, in effect, allow China
China
to shape regional rules of commerce and diplomacy through its own trade and investment initiatives, potentially creating regional rules and norms less beneficial for U.S. interests."[22] Michael J. Green and Matthew P. Goodman argue that "history will be unforgiving if TPP fails... If Congress rejects TPP, trying to negotiate a similar arrangement in Asia would reopen demands on the United States—and in the meantime, would likely give impetus to alternative arrangements like RCEP that exclude the United States. Momentum behind the U.S.-led international order would shift to momentum against it. Future generations of historians will take note of U.S. leadership at this moment."[24] Dan Ikenson, director of Cato's Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies, argued in July 2016 that the "failure of Congress to ratify the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
this year would do more to subvert U.S. regional and global interests than anything China is capable of doing."[171] Stephen M. Walt, professor of international relations at Harvard University, writing after the Trump Administration abandoned the TPP, described the TPP as "a key institution that would have bound a number of Asian countries more tightly to the United States".[176] Non-TPP party opinions[edit] On 30 January 2015 Philip Hammond, the former Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom, described the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
as "potentially important liberalising steps forward".[179] The European Centre for International Political Economy
European Centre for International Political Economy
(ECIPE), a think tank on European policies, predicted in 2012 that the TPP would be a "deadly threat to European exporters of agricultural products in TPP countries".[180] ECIPE
ECIPE
has said in 2014 that TPP "will be the first 'competing' economic integration that is large enough to have a considerable negative impact on Europe. In the long-term, the negative effects will come from dynamic impact, e.g. on investment, productivity and competitiveness".[181] Pascal Lamy
Pascal Lamy
called the TPP "the last of big old-style trade agreements".[181]:2 Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev
Dmitry Medvedev
has been critical of TPP, saying that "the WTO is being encroached upon" and this might lead to the "destruction of world trade".[182] Criticism[edit] Nobel Memorial Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman
Paul Krugman
has said that "there isn't a compelling case for this deal, from either a global or a national point of view."[183] In February 2016, United Nations' human rights expert Alfred de Zayas argued that the TPP was fundamentally flawed and was based on an outdated model of trade pacts, and that governments should not sign or ratify the TPP.[184][185] According to de Zayas, the international human rights regime imposes binding legal obligations on countries, including the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights
International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights
and the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, and trade must be done under the human rights regime. Under the ISDS in the TPP, investors can sue a government, while a government cannot sue investors. De Zayas argued that this asymmetry made the system unfair. He added that international law, including accountability and transparency, must prevail over trade pacts.[184] Currency manipulation[edit] Some critics and even supporters of the TPP wanted the deal to contain measures that would crack down on nations who engage in alleged currency manipulation, notably China.[186] However, Daniel Drezner, professor of international politics at Tufts University, has argued that the trade deal was never likely to include restrictions on currency manipulation, as it would have restricted U.S. monetary policy.[187] Harvard economist Jeffrey Frankel has argued that the inclusion of currency manipulation language in TPP would be a mistake.[188] Frankel noted that currency manipulation would be hard to enforce (in part because it is impossible to tell whether a currency is overvalued or undervalued); "currency manipulation" can often be legitimate; China, often alleged to be a major currency manipulator, is not party to the TPP; currency manipulation accusations are often meritless; and because it would restrict U.S. monetary policy.[188] Length and complexity[edit] President Donald Trump
Donald Trump
has criticized the TPP agreement for being too long and complicated, saying, "[i]t’s 5,600 pages long, so complex that nobody’s read it."[189] Senator Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
has charged that the "TPP is much more than a ‘free trade’ agreement."[190] However, Georgetown University
Georgetown University
Professor Marc L. Busch and McGill University Professor Krzysztof J. Pelc note that modern trade deals are long and complex because they often tackle non-tariff barriers to trade, such as different standards and regulations, in addition to tariffs. Due to steadily decreasing tariff barriers since WWII, countries have become increasingly likely to enact trade barriers in the form of non-tariff barriers. National firms often lobby their own governments to enact regulations that are designed to keep out foreign firms. The TPP addresses many of these "disguised restrictions on trade" by, for instance, "basing these measures on agreed-upon science; making the process of formulating regulations more transparent; and giving foreign exporters opportunities to offer substantive input in the formulation of these measures."[191] Secrecy of negotiations[edit] As with many trade agreements, until being finalized, negotiations for the TPP were conducted with significant secrecy. Drafts of the agreement were kept classified during negotiations, and access to the working text was significantly restricted even for government officials and business representatives involved in the talks.[192] Despite this, some sections of TPP drafts were leaked to the public by WikiLeaks, which published an intellectual property chapter draft in 2013,[193][194] an environmental chapter draft in 2014,[195] and the final intellectual property chapter in 2014.[196] In 2012, critics such as Public Citizen's Global Trade Watch, a consumer advocacy group, called for more open negotiations in regard to the agreement. U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk responded that he believes the Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative (USTR) conducted "the most engaged and transparent process as we possibly could", but that "some measure of discretion and confidentiality" are needed "to preserve negotiating strength and to encourage our partners to be willing to put issues on the table they may not otherwise."[197] He dismissed the "tension" as natural and noted that when the Free Trade Area of the Americas drafts were released, negotiators were subsequently unable to reach a final agreement.[197] On 23 May 2012, U.S. Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat of Oregon, introduced S. 3225, which would have required the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative to disclose its TPP documents to all members of Congress.[198] Had it passed, Wyden said that the bill would increase Congressional access to information about USTR activity.[199] Michael R. Wessel, former commissioner on the U.S. Trade Deficit Review Commission claimed in May 2015 that "cleared advisors" like himself were "prohibited from sharing publicly the criticisms we’ve lodged about specific proposals and approaches". He claimed that only portions of the text had been provided, "to be read under the watchful eye of a USTR official", that access on secure government-run website did not contain the most-up-to-date information, and that for cleared advisors to get that information, he had "to travel to certain government facilities and sign in to read the materials" and "even then, the administration determines what we can and cannot review and, often, they provide carefully edited summaries rather than the actual underlying text, which is critical to really understanding the consequences of the agreement."[200] In June 2015, U.S. Senator Rand Paul, Republican of Kentucky, opposed the bill to fast-track the congressional ratification of the TPP on the basis of the trade agreement's secrecy.[201] Industry influence[edit] U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren, Democrat of Massachusetts, has alleged that corporations and industry exert disproportionate influence on U.S. trade negotiators.[202] She asserted in July 2016 that 85% of seats on U.S. trade advisory committees were held by "senior corporation executives or industry lobbyists", and that the members of the committees "whisper in the ear" of negotiators.[202] Michelle Ye Hee Lee, a fact-checker for The Washington Post, wrote that Warren used "misleading language" in describing the TPP. While Warren implied that "28 trade advisory committees were formed" specifically to influence the TPP, the advisory committees were actually created as part of the Trade Act of 1974; only the membership of the trade committees had changed during the Obama administration and the early phases of the TPP. Regarding Warren's claim that trade advisers secretly "whisper in the ear of our trade negotiators", Lee wrote: "while the direct meetings take place in private, committees still have to submit written reports to Congress and provide written recommendations and advice that are made public."[202] Furthermore, Lee wrote, "it is true that industry representatives make up a large number of the total membership, but it is worth noting that there is a labor committee in the second tier, labor representatives in the first tier and that the industry groups have a narrow focus (to give technical advice)."[202] In response to criticisms about transparency and the large representation from industry representatives, USTR announced it would create a Public Interest Trade Advisory Committee.[202] Non-compete clause[edit] Dean Baker
Dean Baker
argued that Article 18.78, under which countries should ensure that they protect trade secrets and impose criminal procedures for violators, could be used to enforce non-compete agreements.[203] Baker points out that California's success can partly be attributed to the fact that the state did not allow for the enforcement of non-compete agreements, making it easy for tech workers to quit their jobs and start to work for another company.[203] Criticisms from politicians and activists[edit] In 2014, linguist and political activist Noam Chomsky
Noam Chomsky
warned that the TPP is "designed to carry forward the neoliberal project to maximize profit and domination, and to set the working people in the world in competition with one another so as to lower wages to increase insecurity."[204] Senator Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders
(I-VT) argues that trade agreements like the TPP "have ended up devastating working families and enriching large corporations."[205] Professor Robert Reich contends that the TPP is a "Trojan horse in a global race to the bottom."[206][207][208] See also[edit]

Combating Online Infringement and Counterfeits Act
Combating Online Infringement and Counterfeits Act
(COICA) Counterfeit Digital rights Foreign trade of the United States Free trade Free Trade Area Generic drug Non-tariff barriers to trade Office of the United States
United States
Trade Representative Protect IP Act
Protect IP Act
(PIPA) Association of Southeast Asian Nations

Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
(RCEP - ASEAN plus 6)

Stop Online Piracy Act
Stop Online Piracy Act
(SOPA) Sustainable Development Goals
Sustainable Development Goals
(SDG) Tariff Trade in Services Agreement
Trade in Services Agreement
(TISA) Trade Promotional Authority Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership
Agreement

Notes[edit]

^ The Tufts University
Tufts University
working paper used the United Nations
United Nations
Global Policy Model to evaluate TPP; sources for the Tufts paper:[15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23] ^ The official title of the document is: Presidential Memorandum Regarding Withdrawal of the United States
United States
from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Negotiations and Agreement [1]

References[edit]

^ "Trans-Pacific free trade deal agreed creating vast partnership". BBC News. 5 October 2015. Retrieved 5 October 2015.  ^ Handley, Paul (5 October 2015). "12 Pacific countries seal huge free trade deal". Yahoo! News. AFP. Retrieved 7 October 2015.  ^ "US and 11 nations seal Pacific trade deal". Financial Times. the TPP must still be signed formally by the leader of each country and ratified by their parliaments (subscription required) ^ "Here's What Needs to Happen in Order for the Trans-Pacific Partnership to Become Binding". The Diplomat.  ^ a b "Presidential Memorandum Regarding Withdrawal of the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Negotiations and Agreement". whitehouse.gov. 23 January 2017. Retrieved 24 January 2017.  ^ Riley, Charles (23 January 2017). "Trump's decision to kill TPP leaves door open for China". CNN. Retrieved 23 January 2017.  ^ "Withdrawal of the United States
United States
From the Trans- Pacific Partnership Negotiations and Agreement". 25 January 2017.  ^ Shaffer, Sri Jegarajah, Craig Dale, Leslie (2017-05-21). "TPP nations agree to pursue trade deal without US". CNBC. Retrieved 2017-05-21.  ^ hermesauto (2017-05-21). "Saving the Trans-Pacific Partnership: What are the TPP's prospects after the US withdrawal?". The Straits Times. Retrieved 2017-05-21.  ^ Ming, Cheang (2018-03-09). "Global trade just had a 'one step forward, one step back' day". CNBC. Retrieved 2018-03-10.  ^ " Australia
Australia
and the Trans-Pacific Partnership: what we do and don't know". The Guardian. 6 October 2015.  ^ "Summary of the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement". USTR. 4 October 2015. Retrieved 16 October 2015.  ^ "What is the Trans-Pacific Partnership?". Vox. Retrieved 2 July 2015.  ^ a b c d e f " Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement: Likely Impact on the U.S. Economy and on Specific Industry Sectors" (PDF). United States International Trade Commission.  ^ "Potential Macroeconomic Implications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership" (PDF). World Bank. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-02-12.  ^ Hufbauer, Gary Clyde (5 February 2016). "Column: Why the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
isn't a bum deal". PBS. Retrieved 7 February 2016.  ^ Trading Down:Unemployment, Inequality and Other Risks of the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement J. Capaldo and A. Izurieta, Global Development and Environment Institute, Working Paper No. 16–01 Jan (2016) ^ a b c d Staff. " Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
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External links[edit]

Wikisource
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Wikimedia Commons has media related to Trans-Pacific Partnership.

Agreement online text in full (zip file), from the depositary Searchable link to text Fully highlightable, annotatable, and shareable text on the Medium (publishing platform). U.S. TPP site Greer, Evan (5 November 2015), Final TPP text confirms worst fears: shadowy agreement poses a grave threat to the Internet and freedom of expression, Fight for the Future, retrieved 11 December 2015 

Malcolm, Jeremy (9 December 2015), The Final Leaked TPP Text Is All That We Feared, Electronic Frontier Foundation, retrieved 16 December 2015 

Sutton, Maira (8 December 2015), How the TPP Will Affect You and Your Digital Rights, Electronic Frontier Foundation, retrieved 16 December 2015  Ian F. Fergusson, Bruce Vaughn The Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
Agreement – Congressional Research Service
Congressional Research Service
report for Congress. 21 pages, 12 December 2011 (PDF). Sit Tsui, Erebus Wong, Lau Kin Chi and Wen Tiejun, "The Rhetoric and Reality of the Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
– A View from China" (December 2016), Monthly Review

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(SDC) Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE)

Economic co-operation areas with neighbouring countries

BIMP-EAGA Indonesia–Malaysia– Singapore
Singapore
Growth Triangle Indonesia–Malaysia– Thailand
Thailand
Growth Triangle

Policies and Programs

Malaysian New Economic Policy (NEP) National Development Policy (NDP) New Economic Model (NEM) Government Transformation Programme (GTP) Economic Transformation Programme (ETP)

Agreements

Malaysia–European Union Free Trade Agreement Malaysia– New Zealand
New Zealand
Free Trade Agreement Malaysia– United States
United States
Free Trade Agreement Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
(RCEP) Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
(TPP)

Industries

Ports Transport Tourism Postal Agriculture

Palm oil production

Other topics

List of Malaysia
Malaysia
states by GDP Poverty in Malaysia Goods and services tax in Malaysia Bamboo network Subsidy reform in Malaysia

Category

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New Zealand
New Zealand
free-trade agreements

Existing

Bilateral

Australia Brunei Chile China Hong Kong Singapore Malaysia

Multilateral

Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement
Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement
(TPSEP)

Proposed

Bilateral

India Japan South Korea Peru United States Vietnam

Multilateral

Common Market of the South (Mercosur) Association of Southeast Asian Nations
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN) Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (CCASG / GCC) Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
(TPP)

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United States
United States
free-trade agreements

Existing

Bilateral

Australia Bahrain Chile Colombia Israel Jordan Morocco Oman Panama Peru Singapore South Korea

Multilateral

Dominican Republic–Central America Free Trade Agreement
Free Trade Agreement
(CAFTA-DR) North American Free Trade Agreement
Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA)

Proposed

Bilateral

Ecuador Ghana Indonesia Kenya Kuwait Malaysia Mauritius Mozambique New Zealand Taiwan United Arab Emirates Uruguay

Multilateral

Middle East Free Trade Area
Free Trade Area
(MEFTA) Transatlantic Free Trade Area
Free Trade Area
(TAFTA) Trade in Services Agreement
Trade in Services Agreement
(TISA) Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
(TTIP)

Suspended

Free Trade Area of the Americas
Free Trade Area of the Americas
(FTAA) (no interest since 2005) Southern African Customs Union (on hold since 2006) Thailand
Thailand
(on hold after 2006 coup) Qatar (on hold since 2006)

Defunct or expired

Canada
Canada
(became part of North American Free Trade Agreement) Canada– United States
United States
Automotive Products Agreement Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
(TPP)

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Foreign relations of Vietnam

Africa

Algeria Angola Kenya Tanzania

Americas

Canada Chile Cuba Mexico United States Uruguay Venezuela

Asia

Bangladesh Brunei Cambodia China India Indonesia Iran Israel Japan Laos Malaysia Mongolia Myanmar North Korea Pakistan Palestine Philippines Qatar Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand United Arab Emirates

Europe

Austria Bulgaria Czech Republic Denmark France Germany Greece Holy See Ireland Luxembourg Poland Russia Ukraine

Oceania

Australia New Zealand

Memberships

Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
(APEC) Association of Southeast Asian Nations East Asia Summit International Monetary Fund Organisation internationale de la Francophonie Trans-Pacific Partnership
Trans-Pacific Partnership
(TPP) World Trade Organization
World Trade Organization
(WTO)

Related topics

Diplomatic missions of / in Vietnam Foreign aid to Vietnam Overseas Vietnamese

Vietnamese Ministry of Foreign Affairs

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Executive actions of Donald Trump

Executive orders

2017

January

Minimizing the Economic Burden of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Pending Repeal (13765) Expediting Environmental Reviews and Approvals for High Priority Infrastructure Projects (13766) Border Security and Immigration Enforcement Improvements (13767) Enhancing Public Safety in the Interior of the United States
United States
(13768) Protecting the Nation from Foreign Terrorist Entry into the United States (13769) Ethics Commitments by Executive Branch Appointees (13770) Reducing Regulation and Controlling Regulatory Costs (13771)

February

Core Principles for Regulating the United States
United States
Financial System (13772) Providing an Order of Succession Within the Department of Justice (13775)

March

Protecting the Nation from Foreign Terrorist Entry into the United States (13780) Establishing the President’s Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis (13784)

April

Review of Designations Under the Antiquities Act (13792) Establishment of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy
Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy
(13797)

May

Establishment of Presidential Advisory Commission on Election Integrity (13799)

October

Promoting Healthcare Choice and Competition (13813)

Presidential memoranda

2017

January

Federal hiring freeze Reinstitution of Mexico
Mexico
City policy Withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Revival of Dakota Access Pipeline Revival of Keystone Pipeline Rebuilding the U.S. Armed Forces Plan to defeat the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria

March

Establishment of the White House Office
White House Office
of American Innovation

August

Presidential Memorandum on Military Service by Transgender Individuals

2018

March

Presidential Memorandum for the Secretary of Defense and the Secretary of Homeland Security Regarding Military Service by Transgender Individuals

Presidential proclamations

2017

January

National Day of Patriotic Devotion, 2017 National School Choice Week, 2017

Authority control

GND: 109624

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