Description
With a 4-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 3 million chance of impacting in 2106. With a 10-day observation arc, the asteroid had a 1 in 10 million chance of impacting in 2106. On 5 January 2013, the asteroid passed from Earth. It was removed from the Sentry (monitoring system), Sentry Risk Table on 8 January 2013. It had an observation arc of 32 days and an orbital Uncertainty Parameter U, uncertainty of 7. Since the asteroid had a poorly known orbit, the cone of uncertainty quickly multiplied as a result of Perturbation (astronomy), perturbations by the inner planets and prevented precise/reliable ephemeris data. Eliminating an entry on the Sentry Risk Table is a negative prediction; a prediction of where it will NOT be. With MPEC 2024-C131 the Minor Planet Center published on 12 February 2024 a newly computed orbit, using observations till 12 November 2023 and prediscovery observations from 31 May till 5 June 2010, reducing the uncertainty to 1.In the popular press
In 2013, an article, originally posted on The Voice of Russia had a poorly researched headline stating "We have 93 years left till the next End of the World". This story was reposted on Space Daily, but then astronomer Phil Plait clarified that it was "a fascinating mix of fact and error. A lot of what it says is accurate, but the most important claim—that an asteroid will impact Earth in 2106—is simply wrong."See also
* Torino Scale * Palermo scaleReferences
External links
* * * {{DEFAULTSORT:669555 Apollo asteroids Near-Earth objects removed from the Sentry Risk Table Potentially hazardous asteroids Near-Earth objects in 2013 Astronomical objects discovered in 2012, 20121219